Spot the Differential
11 September 2020 2172 comments
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Christian Pulisic

Willian and Pulisic make case for Chelsea double-up with Norwich on horizon
  • FPL ownership: 6.6% (4.8% at the time of writing)
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: bha | LIV | wba | CRY | SOU

Despite a slow start, Christian Pulisic (£8.5m) enjoyed a fine first season at Chelsea, and hit top gear upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June.

The United States international contributed a combined eight goals and assists in just nine league appearances during Project Restart, and went on to score in the FA Cup final defeat to Arsenal.

That kind of output suggests a big campaign lies ahead.

In yesterday’s press conference, manager Frank Lampard confirmed Pulisic is in contention for Monday’s trip to Brighton, and with an ownership of just 4.8% at the time of writing, could be an explosive differential for those willing to gamble on him starting. Saying that, an appearance off the bench might not be the end of the world for owners, considering his ability to haul from limited minutes, as evidenced at Anfield last season.

The Blues’ opponents in Gameweek 1, Brighton and Hove Albion, head into the season with plenty of optimism themselves after a busy transfer window, though it’s worth noting they shipped 11 goals in just three home games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United during the restart, while doubts linger over their ability to keep things tight against the best attacking setups in the league. 

Following the arrivals of Kai Havertz (£8.5m), Hakim Ziyech (£8.0m) and Timo Werner (£9.5m), competition for places at Chelsea is fierce right now. However, we think this could have a positive effect on Pulisic, who could now take his game to another level and thrive alongside such quality.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: cry | TOT | bur | WBA | che

James Ward-Prowse (£6.0m) may only have registered nine attacking returns last term, but with the Saints going from strength-to-strength, we’re backing the England international to kick on this season.

A product of the Saints academy, Ward-Prowse has become a vital part of manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s midfield unit, and played every minute of the club’s 2019/20 Premier League campaign. 

It has been suggested the departure of Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£5.0m), and re-introduction of Oriol Romeu (£4.5m) to the starting XI, will give the Southampton captain a bit more freedom to get forward, which is encouraging, but there is no getting away from the fact his ability from set-pieces and delivery from wide areas is the main attraction.

Ward-Prowse whipped in a massive 72 crosses from Gameweek 30+ onwards, more than any other player, while his 20 shots ranked joint-ninth amongst midfielders. Add to that free-kicks, corners and a share of penalties with Danny Ings (£8.5m), and we think there is a lot to like here. 

After a disappointing start to last season, Southampton performed well once Hasenhüttl had settled on his 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 system. Their away form was only bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City, while just the Manchester clubs collected more points during Project Restart.

The Saints are unbeaten in their last five league matches on the road, and take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 1 who have won just four games all calendar year, all of which bodes well for Ward-Prowse and Southampton’s prospects this weekend.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: EVE | sou | NEW | mun | WHU

This season feels like a defining moment for Dele Alli (£8.0m), after another disappointing campaign last time round.

However, his performances under Jose Mourinho in the early weeks of his tenure offers hope he may be able to find his best level again. 

Under Mourinho’s stewardship, there was an immediate improvement in Alli’s output, which saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in five matches, while his underlying statistics suggest he may be being overlooked.

Since Mourinho’s first game in charge, amongst midfielders, only Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Mohamed Salah (£12.0m) and Sadio Mané (£12.0m) accumulated big chances at a faster rate. His expected goal data was also encouraging, and trumped that of team-mate Son Heung-min (£9.0m), despite seeing fewer minutes.

While I’m unsure how much we can read into pre-season, Alli’s displays have offered promise, having registered two assists in a 3-0 home win over Ipswich Town before scoring in a 4-1 victory at Reading.

Up first for Tottenham Hotspur is Everton. While the Toffees’ will no doubt look a much better unit with their new midfield recruits, it may take time for them to gel, while their poor away record last term saw them concede 35 goals – only five teams gave up more.

Heading into the new season, it is vital for Alli to keep himself fit and find a bit more consistency in his performances. If he can do that, while retaining an attacking midfield role, he could be in for a big season.

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2,172 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. polis
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Havertz.

    Ziyech is out, Puli has been out injured and likely to be eased back.
    Chelsea have Pool next up in the league and surely Lamps will want Hav in that game. He's going to need some solid minutes v Brighton to get up to speed.

    Right? Right?!

    1. Lev Yashin
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      If it makes you feel better.

      1. polis
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Not really.

    2. EgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I think he starts!

    3. adstomko
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A) Ramsdale & KWP
      B) McCarthy & Egan

      1. adstomko
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        oops sorry

    4. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      To my mind what you've described is a reason to wait until after the Liverpool game for a Chelsea mid.

    5. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      too early imo

  2. RealSocialDads
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Narrowed it down to this...

    A. KWP
    B. Jamal Lewis

    Will rotate with Charlie Taylor as 3rd defender. Have Mccarthy in net so KWP would be double Saints def

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Despite the double up, I'd still go Walker-Peters.

  3. SerieD
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    RMT and strategy.

    Team:
    McCarthy(Steer)
    Davies, Justin, Taa (KWP, Ferguson)
    Son, Havertz, Salah, Auba, Soucek
    Mitro, Richarlison(Brewster)

    1mil ITB for Auba+Son --> B.Fernandes+ KDB gw2 or so.

    Couple things that i wonder.. Do I need premeium forward?
    DCL or Rich, i could downgrade to DCL and get doherty, still have 1mil itb for Manu and City. Should I?

    Other ideas that I have not considered?
    Thanks a million! ( in the bank)

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I really like Richa over DCL and have him at the moment. Team looks good

      1. SerieD
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers Aapoman!

  4. MattyW
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Batshuayi or Adams ?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Ad

    2. EgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Bat after GW5 probably

      1. MattyW
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers guys - I’ll stick with Adams

    3. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I reckon Adams edges it.

      1. Jarnathan
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Do you think Batshuyi will start? I see Batshuayi as a better long term pick and I'd rather not get in players for short term if I can help it.

    4. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Adams for now

    5. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      adams if you must

  5. Clintymints
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Has the phrase "Kobra Kai" been coined yet?

    If not can I coin it? kthx

    1. Lev Yashin
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      oh, wax off mate!

  6. CrouchDown
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    (A) Son + Ings

    (B) Zaha + Kane

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

    2. EgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

    3. Meinhoff
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

    4. Clintymints
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Mother of the divine, A!!

    5. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A, comfortably.

  7. EgyptianKing
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    AMN or Justin mates?

  8. tafrère
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Matip or Gomez ?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Gomez

      1. EgyptianKing
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        This

      2. tafrère
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers

  9. adstomko
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    A) Ramsdale & KWP
    B) McCarthy & Egan

  10. Jebiga
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Fell free to join my Simply the best h2h:
    pass: 309qi8

  11. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    In your opinion who are the standout 7.5 - 8m MFs to have for the first 4 - 6 GWs for this front eight

    Aubameyang ASM JWP Son xxxxxxxx

    Werner Mitrovic Jimenez

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. UnluckyXI
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Rodriguez, Barnes & Greenwood (If no Sancho)

    2. Jebiga
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Why not havertz instead of werner ?

  12. Lev Yashin
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Aapoman says it's risky.

    What say you?

    Johnstone
    TAA, Davies, KWP, Justin
    Auba, Pulisic, Soucek
    Ings, Jimenez, Mitro

    Button, Mitchell, Bruno, Foden

    +0,5m for Martial in GW2

  13. Roy Rovers
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Would you change anything?

    McCarthy
    TAA Saiss Justin
    Aubameyang Henderson Soucek Bissouma
    Kane Werner Ings

    Steer Mitchell Taylor Bruno

    After GW2 - Auba & zings > KDB & Martial

    1. Roy Rovers
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      *Ings

    2. SuperG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Very good team. Like the fact you’re going big up top. Personsly I don’t like Hendo - one of those players who great on the pitch but does naff-all in fpl.

      1. Roy Rovers
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Saiss > 4.5 and and Hendo > JWP?

  14. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Repost re my dreams:

    If you genuinely had a dream the other night that Doherty got a brace on his debut would you have to pick him in your team? Currently on Dier! I feel like I’m going against my sub-conscience if I dont.

    1. Mayor of Flair
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Had you any dreams about Mitrovic by any chance?

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        5.8 by GW3

    2. BIind Moth
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Yeah Doherty is giving me the biggest headache of any player. Medium risk / high reward

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Son or Alli mate?

      2. SuperG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Zero risk for me. Locked in.

    3. SomewhatPleasing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      You're picking players because of a dream?
      Cool, one less manager out of the way.

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Lol ouch you nasty little sausage.

    4. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I'd be down the bookies for a couple of quid maybe.

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        This is a good shout, think i’ll stick with Dier.

  15. Bob B
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Is Wilson likely to be on PKs at Newcastle?

    Also,

    A. Davies + Fernandes
    B. Robertson + Havertz

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

  16. Tarzan
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Bottomed
    Tinkered with the team a bit

    RMT
    McCarthy - Nyland*
    TAA - Robertson - C Taylor* - Johnson - KWP
    Salah - Alli - Traore - Mount - Soucek
    Vardy - DCL - Ings

    *not playing in GW1

    1. gauzah
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Mid is no good.

  17. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    How is this Benchboost?

    Patricio* McCarthy
    TAA Robbo Saiss Vinagre* KWP
    Salah(C) Havertz Barnes Bowen Saka
    Werner Antonio Adams

    * Could be any other combination priced 10.0
    Finding those two spots difficult so any suggestions are welcomed.

    Wildcarding GW2.

  18. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Che adams started only 1 of the last 3 leagues games!!!

    Is he even going to start?

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Yeah, I think he's edged ahead of Long and Obafemi.

    2. _Ninja_
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      He should start. Obafemi and less so long will get gametime though.

  19. Horlicks esq.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Does TorresMagic™ still haunt these corridors?!

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      He does

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      dont call the police

  20. half_time_oranges
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Decided to challenge myself this season by pretending to be Gareth Southgate (not in a weird role-playing way) but in only choosing English players. So here's my team, bang on £100m:

    McCarthy
    TAA Basham Coady Ayling
    Barnes Alli Saka
    Kane Vardy Ings

    Martin, Mitchell, Stephens, Sterling

    Still pondering Dier in the back line?
    Or downgrading Coady to 4.5 def and going JWP instead of Saka in midfield?
    Thoughts?

    1. Lev Yashin
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Do I not like that.

    2. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Wow...

    3. Mayor of Flair
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Made an Irish one

      Randolf
      Doherty Egan Stevens Coleman
      Brady Hendrick McCarthy Hourihane
      Connolly McGoldrick

      Several million still in the bank

      1. Rogue Todd
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Several million rank too 😉

        1. Mayor of Flair
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          Easy armband choice every week at least!

  21. Pigeon
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    RMT final draft, open to criticism. SV: 100m

    Ryan
    TAA Doherty KWP
    Auba Salah Alli Barnes Soucek
    Kane Mitrovic
    Bench: Walton Mitchell Brewster Taylor

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I think Mitro will flop as will Fulham, otherwise a solid set up. Che Adams worth a look for Mitro instead?

      1. Pigeon
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        I've had Adams in a few drafts but with Long and Obafemi waiting to eat into his minutes I went with Mitro as he'll always play 90 mins and Fulham need to give him the final ball to score lol. I might wildcard this team so maybe I'll take the risk

  22. InvertedWinger
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    I'd be mad going A over B right?
    A) Vardy, Alli, Che Adams
    B) Werner, Ings, Mitrovic

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B is the way to go

      1. InvertedWinger
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers

  23. juanmata8
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    a) Ings + Mitrovic

    or

    b) Jimenez + Adams

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

  24. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    A) Doherty, Saiss, Son
    B) Robbo, Davies, Alli

    Any input on final spots?

    1. MattyW
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

  25. cthaeh
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    No love for Lundstram these season?

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Not nailed, mid

      1. NULL-X-VOID
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        huh Lundy isn't nailed as a mid?

        1. UnluckyXI
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          Started to miss out more and more towards the end of the season and was being rotated

  26. OPTA FPL
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone else double up McCarthy KWP? Or i should get a Brighton def instead

    1. NULL-X-VOID
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I'm doubling up currently.

      Options can be Justin/Taylor GW1 blank/Vinagre

  27. NULL-X-VOID
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Saw the Amazon Doc on Spurs, jokes aside man when Jose referred to Alex Ferguson properly by putting the Sir prefix just showed he respects Game no matter what.

  28. Barnabus
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    How's this team looking?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo Doherty
    Salah Auba Perez ASM
    Werner Adams Mitro

    Nyland Mitchell Bissouma Taylor

    GW2: Salah & Perez > Some combo of Bruno/Rash/Greenwood/Son/Alli/Puli/Havertz depending on who's fit and playing.
    GW3: Auba > KDB

  29. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Going with two teams this season, one for me and one for my baby son:

    First Team

    McCarthy
    TAA Egan Davies Justin
    Salah Aubameyang Son ASM
    Ings Werner

    Button Mitchell Bissouma Brewster

    Alternative Team

    McCarthy
    TAA Robertson KWP
    Aubameyang Havertz Alli Soucek
    Kane Vardy Mitrovic

    Nyland Williams Mitchell Bissouma

    Thoughts / or rate my team(s) please ??

  30. Camzy
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Casual template:

    McCarthy (21.3%) Nyland (17.7%)
    TAA (55.1%) Doherty (26.1%) Douglas (16.3%) Bernardo (13.8%) Egan (17.6%)
    Auba (46%) Salah (30.4%) Son (29.6%) ASM (21.3%) Traore (20.5%)
    Werner (48%) Mitrovic (26%) Davis (15.3%)

    How many have you got?

    I have 5.

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Same, 5 for me too.

      1. NULL-X-VOID
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        5

    2. Jebiga
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      5

    3. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      4

    4. Jullepuu
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      6 for me

    5. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      2

    6. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      5