Spot the Differential
19 August 2022 1619 comments
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Gameweek 3 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Leicester City and Brighton and Hove Albion, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

KAI HAVERTZ

Havertz shines again as Arsenal impress in FPL Double Gameweek 29 opener 6
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: lee | LEI | sou | WHU | ful

Kai Havertz (£7.9m) should have scored against Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 2, as Reece James’ (£6.1m) cross was put past the post by the German.

However, he led the line well, combining effectively with fellow attackers Raheem Sterling (£10.0m) and Mason Mount (£8.0m), and now faces Leeds United on Sunday.

Beyond that, the Blues’ fixtures look great right up until the international break, particularly from an attacking perspective. Indeed, not one of their next four opponents have kept a clean sheet this season, conceding a whopping 18 goals between them.

Across Chelsea’s opening two matches against Everton and Spurs, Havertz has attempted five shots, all inside the box. Notably, he’s also posted team-leading totals for penalty box touches, shots on target and headed goal attempts.

In Gameweek 2, Havertz was deployed alongside Sterling in a front two and given considerable freedom to roam. It was an interesting system that resembled a 4-2-2-2 in possession and relied upon James and Marc Cucurella (£5.0m) for width, which can only be a good thing for Havertz’s goalscoring prospects moving forwards, given both wing-backs crossing ability.

Havertz is owned by just 3.9% of FPL managers, and whilst difficult to fit in, could be a smart differential to take advantage of Chelsea’s kind run.

JAMIE VARDY

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £9.5m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: SOU | che | MUN | bha | AVL

Jamie Vardy (£9.5m) is an intriguing differential pick in Gameweek 3, given that opponents Southampton have failed to keep a single away clean sheet in the Premier League since October 2021.

On average, they have conceded 2.6 goals per game during that run, suggesting Vardy can net his first haul of the season on Saturday.

The veteran forward looks to be Leicester City’s first-choice forward again in 2022/23, starting his team’s first two matches and assisting Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall’s (£5.0m) strike against Brentford.  He is also on penalties and managed 15 Premier League goals last season, highlighting his FPL points potential.

Leicester haven’t got off to a great start, drawing with Brentford and losing at Arsenal, but they have scored four goals, so their attacking output hasn’t necessarily been affected. It’s also worth noting that they ranked fifth for goals scored (62) in 2021/22, with just under 55% of those goals arriving on home turf.

The swift turnaround between fixtures in Gameweeks 5 and 6 are possibly ones to watch for Vardy, given that Brendan Rodgers may manage his minutes, but there’s no Europe this season, which does help.

Vardy is a real livewire in the final third and an explosive differential for this forthcoming round of fixtures.

LEWIS DUNK

Fit-again Dunk a tempting FPL differential with goal threat and clean sheet potential 1
  • FPL ownership: 2.5%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: whu | LEE | ful | LEI | bou

Lewis Dunk (£4.5m) is a solid performer for Brighton and Hove Albion, and should now tick along nicely given his fixtures.

The Albion captain played a pivotal role in helping his side keep a clean sheet against Newcastle United in Gameweek 2, and that defensive solidity, combined with the 30-year-old’s threat from set-pieces, is appealing.

Last season, Dunk ranked 17th among all defenders for shots in the box, but in 2020/21 was second, so there does seem to be some potential for points at both ends of the pitch.

Despite losing two of last season’s star players, Yves Bissouma (£5.0m) and Cucurella, Graham Potter’s side have started the campaign unbeaten. They have won at Manchester United and then followed that result up with a goalless draw against the Magpies, a game in which they deserved to win.

Now, Brighton don’t face another top-six side until Liverpool and Spurs in October. In fact, their run from Gameweeks 3 to 8 sees them sit top of our Season Ticker, with particularly appealing matchups against Leeds United, Fulham and Bournemouth to come.

At just £4.5m, Dunk is decent value and could be a great enabler, allowing you to push more money further forward.



1,619 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Was Neto close to a price drop yesterday?

    1. Slitherene
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Don't think so

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Someone was saying earlier that the serious players don’t own him.

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Someone? 😛

    4. -GK22-
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He’s 5.4 now

    5. Nomar
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He was and he did drop last night. Now £5.4m

      And soon will be £5.3m too, no doubt.

  2. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg? No free transfers left, 1.9 in the bank

    Ederson
    TAA James Cancelo Zinchenko
    Diaz Martinelli Jensen
    Kane Jesus Haaland
    Ward Neco Andreas Reed

    1. Slitherene
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ok

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Classic comment: Salah? 😛

  3. FCRS BGD
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hi guys,
    For draft league who would you pick as 3rd forward out of these ?
    1) Martial
    2) Firmino
    3) Che Adams
    Thanks

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Firmino is the only one from this list who fills me with a little excitement.

      1. FCRS BGD
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ok thanks

  4. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Exhausted thinkering, will leave the 5-3-2 team with 1FT 0.5ITB.

    Any change required here folks?

    Ward (Iversen)
    TAA Robbo Cancelo James Neco
    Salah [C] Kulusevski Martinelli (Dasilva Andreas)
    Haaland Jesus (Archer)

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yup, looks good.

      Prefer another 4.5 over Andreas though.

      High owned cheap players tend to drop in price first and he is the highest owned 4.5 mid 🙂

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah luxury transfer that, will deal later albeit it could be too late for a drop 🙂

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Dasilva is going to replace Andreas soon, well those who don't own Dasilva...

    2. RichRover
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Upgrade gk

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        That was the plan but will do next week to let Ward (SOU) first then Raya/Sanchez come in as part of 2FT deal or even Ederson if downgrading somewhere, ta!

    3. -GK22-
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Almost same starting 11 as me but I’m playing da silva over neco

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        That flip flop really exhausted me overnight 😆 coin toss ended up with Neco ...

    4. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      One Keeper to at least 4.5m

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ta, will do next week

        1. -GK22-
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Hopefully neco and da silva both get a return! Good luck

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            GL mate!

  5. brianj
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Since I've decided I'm keeping Salah and not buying KDB, who do I captain? Salah or Haaland?

    1. Slitherene
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Coin toss

  6. Stamford B
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Was Cucurella expected to rise last night?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Iffy.

    2. Whats the Huth
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sort of

    4. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

  7. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play (one) and who first on the bench?

    A trippier (MCI)
    B andreas (BRE)
    C neco Williams (eve

    1. Pukki Party
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play C, A first on bench

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play C
      First on Bench A

  8. Pukki Party
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts? Currently saving, Robbo to James? Rashford to 6.9m mid?

    Ward
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Neco
    Son Kulu Saka Martinelli Rashford
    Haaland

    Iversen Trippier 4.5 4.5

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would be looking to rid myself of Rashford ASAP, what are you waiting for?

      1. Pukki Party
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        A miracle. Not really any options i like and Liverpools high line could be good for him.

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Dear God!

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Take a punt Cornet 6.0.

      His returns were really good last season and I doubt he will be worse than Rashford.

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Rashford to Harrison?

    4. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Robbo > James is late for price swing, Rashford to anybody cheaper and potentially better is adding value

  9. FPLAdmiral
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any areas to improve on this WC? 0.2 ITB

    Raya
    TAA, Cancelo, Cucu, James, Zinch
    Salah (vc), L.Diaz, Martinelli
    Haaland, Jesus (c)

    (Sanchez)(Dasilva, Andreas.P, Greenwood)

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Very nice

  10. C_G
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    am i gtg?? pls help.

    made 2 FTs earlier in the week - Tripps & Iversen ---> Saliba & Sanchez

    Ward

    TAA James Walker Saliba Neco

    KDB Salah Martinelli

    Kane Jesus

    Sanchez Bailey Andreas Greenwood

  11. noquarternt
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Will Ten Haag fully park the bus? Surely he’s got to start thinking of saving his job now? If they go for it and lose 7-0 he’d have to resign surely?

    1. Bennerman
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wild thoughts

      1. noquarternt
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Salah is the stand out captain to me if Ten Haag still tries silly stuff like Eriksen up front/ defensive mid. Just wondering if he fears the sack yet or not.

        1. Bennerman
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Wild thoughts.

          The sack?

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Save his job lol

    3. Nomar
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      To be honest, if he gets sacked now it would probably be a blessing. Not even a blessing in disguise either, just a plain old blessing!

      He’d get a nice hefty settlement for the remainder of his contract and he could take a job with a top non-dysfunctional football club.

      And considering United can’t defend, parking the bus and inviting Liverpool to attack them is probably not the best stratagem.

      1. Bennerman
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Utter nonsense

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      This is the problem with Man Utd. Everyone knows they need to rebuild, but people still expect them to challenge at the same time.

    5. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Heard the plan is to sit really deep & try to play one-twos between DDG & Maguire for 90mins

      1. Andy_Social
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        As dire as the situation is, will the fans accept parking the bus at Old Trafford?

    6. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      They'll go for 1:0.

  12. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best 5.5 mid option for this GW?

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Eze

  13. HollywoodXI
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    My team value tanked this week. Need Robbo and Bailey to repay the faith!

  14. Von Lipwig
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I haven't had a chance to read anything FPL related this week.

    I've quickly set my team like so and would love to know if I've missed anything important (and I also don't pick Arsenal players fyi).

    Thanks all!

    Mendy
    TAA Robbo Dias Digne
    Salah KDB(c) Neto Bailey Andreas
    Haaland

    Ward/Trippier/Plange/Taylor

    1FT, 0ITB

    1. KujaliaFC
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Take out KDB for Martinelli and Plange for Jesus.

      1. Von Lipwig
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Can't do that I'm afraid

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Need strong alternative to the no-ARS policy, team are rather weak currently with Digne Neto Bailey and Andreas starting imo. Need at least only starting 2 of them.

    3. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you don't want Arseoles where are your Spurs? Also, someone mentioned Dias puled up in training yesterday - but haven't a clue if that's bona fide.

      1. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Dias pulled up? I can’t find anything on line. Just rumour? I’ll keep eyes peeled this morning

        1. masewindu
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          He didn't. It was the other Dias saying goodbye to his name sake. He pulled up In brand new Tesla in training.

  15. Woyofthewovers66
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Kulu + Haaland (+ Da Silva sub)
    B) Maddison + KDB (4.5 FWD fodder)

    1. Pukki Party
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  16. Valar(Keith)
    • 17 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    All set

    Ward
    Taa Cancelo James
    Salah(c) Zaha Gross Martinelli
    Toney Jesus(vc) Haaland
    Sanchez Saliba Neco Andreas

    Playing safe on WC. Saliba will come on for zaha next week. If saliba gets rotated long term it's no worry since neco can cover him from gw6. In hindsight I should've just started with a.setup like this at the start.. but oh well.

    Good luck all

  17. C_G
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    play 1:

    Bailey

    Neco

    Andreas

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lol

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lol

    3. Nomar
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Neco.

  18. Dannyb
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best captain?
    A Haaland
    B Toney
    C Jesus

  19. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start one

    A. Neco
    B. Bailey
    C. Andreas

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      These were the questions asked back in GW1 excluding Neco...

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        What were the answers then?

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Why many have sent Andreas and Bailey to the bin.

          1. Nomar
            • 16 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Wrong.

            People were raving about Andreas after GW1.

            Then he blanked in GW2 and the usual trigger happy, itchy finger, knee jerk crowd decided he’s useless…..

            1. Andy_Social
              • 14 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Lot of knee-jerkers here. Such as the one who knee-jerked Jesus out of his team when he blanked in GW1. These are not people you want to take advice from. He still thinks he's the font of all expertise - don't fall into the trap.

    2. DangerFC
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Does it matter?

  20. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So…Perisic…any news or leaks? Will he start? Thoughts?

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Likely to start

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I dont see what's so complicated/mysterious about Conte's quote. Sess starts again, Perisic will start once midweek games kick in

      1. Meme2011
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Was there any Doherty news?

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Not afaik. Would expect him to be one of the "old players" but I'm assuming its just fitness issues keeping him out. From earlier Conte comments, it does seem like Doherty would be 1st choice when fit

          1. Meme2011
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            🙂

  21. Meme2011
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play Andreas or Ben white please guys?

  22. Bluetiger1
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    In torn between Salah or Jesus to captain GW 3

    Salah good record against United but form since return from African Nations not great whilst Jesus seems in fire.

    A. Salah captain GW3

    or

    B Jesus captain GW3

    1. footballfreak
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      i keep changing them but currently on B

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

    2. Nomar
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’m trying hard to think of reasons why you would not captain the highest scoring mid in FPL against this current iteration of Man United.

      Or, why you just wouldn’t cap any decent FPL asset against them.

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Appreciate feedback that's why torn - thanks

  23. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any bench choice/order you would change?

    Sanchez
    TAA Cancelo James N.Williams
    Salah(C) Diaz Martinelli Rodrigo
    Haaland Jesus

    Ward Andreas Trippier Archer

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Play trippier over nico

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Trippier plays City, you think he has a higher chance of a CS?

  24. Mr. O'Connell
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Team value of under 100m. Shall I just start again?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Problem...

    2. The Philosopher
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same here. Price changes have hit me hard this season due to life getting busy.

      1. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Life > FPL ( > = greater than)

    3. Nomar
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Potentially a lot of sellers may get heavily punished this weekend.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Maybe - don't sweat TV - at this stage it's all knee-jerk panicking.

        1. Mr. O'Connell
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I dunno. Not sure there's much point in playing without Groß and Dasilva.

  25. DangerFC
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need last min captain help.

    A. Kane
    B. Kdb
    C. Haaland.
    D jesus

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A, otherwise C

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      D

  26. C0YS
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I’m sure this has been discussed a lot already, but…

    Who do my fellow WC-ers think is the best 4.5 to switch Dasilva to (already have Andreas)? Or do I keep him and hope for the best?

    1. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nvm, Dasilva is my only 4.5 so Andreas is an option if he’s better

    2. el polako
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why he needs swapping ?

    3. masewindu
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I have the same problem. Thinking of swapping Andreas first out though upgrade to Eze or towards a Mount or

  27. Fergymac
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Sanchez and Mee
    B) Raya and Dunk

    1. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Probably A

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  28. Mikei
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play Dasilva or Rodrigo? Or both instead of Rice?
    Salah Martinneli Rice …..
    Haaland Jesus Toney
    Thanks.

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Rodrigi

  29. The Senate
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would I be crazy to not get James in and to get Cucurella instead?

    The leftover 1.8/2.9 will upgrade Bailey or Archer next GW

    1. The Philosopher
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      James > Cucu imo

      1. Andy_Social
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Who will you get for Bailey or Archer that gets close to the chasm between James and Cucurella?

  30. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Damn really tanked team value last night