Big Numbers
9 November 2022 475 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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With plenty of Premier League player and team data available to pore over in 2022/23, it’s time to once again wheel out the Big Numbers article ahead of Gameweek 16.

If you’re new to the site, this article series looks at the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) statistics ahead of the upcoming Gameweek.

These cherry-picked Opta stats can all be found in our Premium Members’ Area.

Only subscribers can read the full article; those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading, as well as see a list of the benefits that Membership brings, can do so by clicking here.

-8.00 expected goals prevented (xGP) by Mark Travers (£4.3m) this season, the worst xGP total in the division. For the uninitiated, this means that the Bournemouth goalkeeper has conceded eight more goals (24) than Opta thinks he ought to have (16) based on the quality of shots he has faced. Compare that to the now-injured Neto (£4.5m), whose xGP was a third-best +2.80, and there’s a rather convenient explanation as to why the Cherries now appear a softer touch to when Neto was between the sticks. Travers has had the misfortune of facing four big-six clubs in his five starts, however.

+6.20 xGP by Alisson (£5.4m) in the last six matches alone, underscoring the suggestion that whatever Liverpool have achieved in terms of results (wins over Spurs, West Ham and Man City) and clean sheets (two) in that time has been in large part down to their goalkeeper. The Reds are indeed rock-bottom of the table for expected goals conceded (xGC, 10.75) in their last six fixtures.

67.6% is Edouard Mendy‘s (£4.8m) save percentage this season, the 14th-best in the division among goalkeepers who have made more than one start. Top of the list? The man he replaced, Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.5m), who thwarted 88.0% of the attempts he faced before falling victim to a foot injury.

5 shots from inside the six-yard box attempted by Timothy Castagne (£4.5m) this season, two more than any other FPL defender. It’s a stat we reported on a fortnight ago but the Belgian has added another couple of close-range efforts since then and is behind only Gabriel Magalhaes (£5.1m) for expected goals (xG) in 2022/23 among players in their position.

19 shots attempted by Romain Perraud (£4.4m) this season, a total that no other defender can better. Ten of these efforts have arrived in the last three Gameweeks alone, with the left-back noticeably allowed to get forward more in the absence of a natural right-back on the other side of the pitch. He’s not an FPL transfer target for Gameweek 16, of course, but one to monitor if Nathan Jones takes over at the south coast and brings his wing-back system with him. Southampton top our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 17-26.

FPL Gameweek 4: Which players have the best 'match-ups' with opponents?



475 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Drumandbaines123
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Stupidly rage transferred out Foden after his three 1 pointers. Now it looks like he could start this weekend. To make matters worse I'm also going to the bloody game. We all know how this ends...

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      It looked like he could start the last few weekends given his youth and the fact he played every single game up until the start of this run of benchings. Forget about him

    2. Bus stop in Hounslow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Hopefully a win for the Bees

  2. Cantonesque
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Cheeky bench boost here?

    Pickford
    Saliba Cancelo Trippier
    Salah Foden Saka Almiron Rashford
    Haaland Wilson

    Ward / Solanke / Perisic / Neco

    (haven't yet pulled trigger on Mitro > Solanke but seems the best move even to bench him)

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      decent but I would wait for bb to be honest. could easily be 8 points on bench max

      1. Cantonesque
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks, yeah that's the voice of reason. Maybe I just need to bench Rashford (disappointing own) or Almiron (due a blank surely!) since Perisic looks like a good shout to start up front against Leeds now; Solanke as cover for Wilson no show.

  3. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Raya
    Cancelo, Saliba, Cresswell
    Salah, Foden, Saka, Martinelli
    Haaland, Wilson*, Mitrovic*

    (Ward, Trippier, Andreas, Neco)

    With 2FT +0.8 itb what should I do?
    A) Raya + Mitro > Alisson + Solanke
    B) Foden + Saka > KDB + Almiron
    C) Other ideas?

    Also, any idea why Saka wasn't even on the bench?

    1. Cantonesque
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A seems good here

      Might regret Trippier benching, or would Solanke then go on bench as Wilson cover? (Mitro>Solanke for Wilson cover probably my mive as per post above)

      1. SomeoneKnows
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Plan was to bench Trippier despite the risk, but I guess Solanke could be a cover for Wilson / Haaland.

        Any idea regarding the Saka no show?

        1. Cantonesque
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          No insight myself, I just assumed Arteta has decided to go all in on the league, was happy to drop out of Carabao, took it as a confirmation that Saka would surely start on weekend.

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Don't bench Trippier

  4. One for All
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Guaita
    Taa, White, Trippier
    Bowen, Martinelli, Zaha, Foden
    Darwin, Haaland, Kane

    Ward, Andreas, Webster, Neco

    0 FT 0.1 ITB

    Gtg, start Andreas over Bowen?

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yeah I'd start Andreas

      1. One for All
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Cool thanks

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Bowen for me. More upside

      1. One for All
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Good fixture but been poor. No returns since I've bought him.

        1. Biggsy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          I hear his underlying stats are reasonable, don't quote me on that though. Villa game aside, United have been strong at the back so can't see Andreas getting much

          1. One for All
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 26 days ago

            Yeah thanks, I might just start him. Kept Zaha for 2 weeks when he blanked and returned some pts for me last gw, plus I still have Foden who should haul.

  5. pablo discobar
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Caribou cup 4th round starts 1 day after World cup final, and obviously before gw 16

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      They have to get it out of the way as some 'caribou' (reindeer) will be busy on Christmas Day - also it's before gw17.

  6. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier Perisic
    Salah Bilva Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Mitrovic Wilson

    Iversen Andreas Guehi Neco

    1FT, 2.5itb

    1. Mitrovic >> Darwin Nunez
    2. Bilva >> Saka
    3. Bilva >> Foden

    Thanks!

    1. One for All
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      1

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      1. Can't see Wolves being a goal fest so Martinelli should be enough. 3 is too sideways and feels like a "wait and see about leaks and sneak it in before site crashes" move

    3. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      1.

  7. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Ward
    Dier, Trippier, Cancelo
    Saka, Martinelli, Foden, Almiron
    Haaland (c), Kane, Darwin

    Kepa, Andreas, Guehi, Dunk

    Now that Foden is guaranteed* to start, I'm not sure I'd touch the front seven. 2FT and £1.8m ITB. Dier to any defender?

    (*sarcasm)

    1. Saka Punch
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Dier to Gabriel might be worth a transfer

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Yeah, it's the one I wished I'd done last week instead of waiting for the 30 minute to deadline madness

    2. One for All
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Ward to Allison, Dier to Saliba

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Good shout on those. Thanks

  8. AD105
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Darwin, Jesus or Bobby for this week? Or someone else?

    Need to bin Mitro I think and have some spare cash

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I favour Darwin but that could be ownership bias

    2. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Jesus due some goals maybe

    3. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Darwin for me, I'm short of funds to do Wilson to him

  9. Wirtzel Gummidge
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Pope
    Trippier Castagne Cancelo
    Salah Rashford Antony Martinelli
    Jesus Haaland Wilson
    (Ward Andreas NecoW Dalot)

    2ft 0.5 itb. Plan was to bring in Kane this week with 2 ft, but I can't do that without significantly weakening another position,

    1. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      So I've backed myself into a bit of a corner really, bad planning on my part, but hey ho, any ideas appreciated, thanks 🙂

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Antony likely out so that's definitely first port of call. Maybe Kulu to get in on spurs action (assuming he's fit)? Downgrade Dalot to Williams (Brandon) too get some more cash if needed

      1. Wirtzel Gummidge
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks Biggsy, was just checking, I can do Antony to Kulu, leaving another transfer. Only way I can see to get Kane is Jesus/Antony > Kane/Summerville.

        1. Biggsy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          That's not a bad route to Kane

  10. SouthCoastSaint
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Only one transfer so would you get Perisic in or Firmino if you had to chose?

    Should note my saints were diabolical tonight with a decent side out so go against Salah (c) at your peril

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I have Firmino and I'm not playing him yet again because of a favourable fixture, waste of time

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I've considered both myself. If it looks like Perisic will be OOP, I'll go for him ... even if Spurs are ropey, he was so involved against Liverpool.

  11. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Surely Foden starts Vs Brentford. Fully rested..

    1. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yeah, it's Foden's time.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Haven’t we been here before? With this exact same question? With rivers of tears to follow? El Dorado was never found.

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        But this is the 4th time we're saying it!

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          Way way more than that.

      2. panda07
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Have you not seen the Mysterious Cities of Gold?

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Hope Pep feels the same way

    4. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Encouraging that he was an unused sub and Jack, Mahrez and Alvarez all played the full 90 …. But ..,. PEP.

    5. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yeah for me it is one more week of "surely Foden starts" paired with "surely Almiron can't keep this up", and another red arrow probably as a result.

    6. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      It really depends if Haaland starts.
      If Haaland starts Foden starts. If not both are benched (IMO)

      1. BarryFabregas
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 24 days ago

        Is haaland really going to be rested before the international break.

  12. Jase3377
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Does anyone have any ideas how I can use 1FT? Only 0.1 ITB

    Pope
    Cancelo, VVD, Gabriel, Trippier
    Salah, Foden, Saka, Martinelli
    Haaland, Wilson

    Ward, Andreas, Eduoard, Neco

    Any ideas appreciated. Bench order ok too?

    Thanks

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      You’re good to go in all reality! Maybe Pope to some other keeper given you’ve got Trippier? Or is that too punty?.

      1. Jase3377
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Thanks mate
        Was my thought too but had Pope all year and ideally want him after WC. I don't think any other keeper is worth that loss in value.

        I guess I will let the transfer go pending any late news

  13. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Bench order correct 1, Andrea’s (MU) 2, botman (CHE) 3, neco (CRY)? Thanks

    1. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      correct.

    2. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yah

  14. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Will Neco play?

    1. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Looks like out until New Year https://www.songkick.com/artists/531960-neko-case

  15. SKENG
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Looks like I'm keeping Foden... best use of 2 FTs here with 0.2 ITB?

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier Dunk
    Salah Zaha Martinelli Foden
    Haaland Jesus Mitrovic

    Ward Guehi Andreas Neco

    1. artvandelay316
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Mitro out and roll other FT.

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Roll it into the GW17 wildcard you mean?

        1. Caravagio
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          think you can roll a transfer if you Make no transfers during the world Cup. Said something about it on the scout cast. Wild innit.

  16. artvandelay316
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Current team. I have 1FT and 2m bank. Any changes needed here?

    Sanchez
    Trippier, Cancelo, Guehi
    Salah, Foden, Martinelli, Almiron
    Haaland, Wilson, Jesus

    Ward, Andreas, Dunk, Neco

    1. The Big Larsbowski
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Wilson to Darwin

      1. artvandelay316
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Cheers.

    2. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Looks fab. Keep an eye on Wilson fitness, then early team news with Foden. I'm sure FPL will have sorted any issues to avoid any site crash this week.

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Ye of too much faith!

  17. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Dunk and Saka.

    Evening All.

    Dunk came off early and Saka not in the squad. Should I have any concerns about either of these issues?

    Thanks.

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Nope that's a big chance for them to start

  18. A Team Of James McCleans
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Anderson (NFO A)
    Patterson (BOU A)
    Williams (CPL H)

    Start one

    1. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Anderson

    2. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A

  19. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Pope Ward
    Cancelo Trippier Saliba Guehl Neco
    KDB Trossard Martinelli Almiron Andreas
    Haaland Kane Mitrovic

    1 ft
    0.7 itb

    A) Pope to Allison
    B). Guehl to Castagne

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      B is a downgrade imo. A

  20. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    2 FTs. Which moves to make?

    A) Foden and Toney to KdB and Solanke
    B) Raya and Toney to Allison and Darwin

    1. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      A.

  21. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Which is better For this GW
    A- Solanke > Darwin
    B- Rashford > Trossard
    C- Rashford > Foden
    D- Guéhi > Cancelo

    1. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      D.

  22. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    So when will we know if wilson is fit?

  23. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    1FT. 2m ITB.. best move here?

    Wilson to Nunez punt?

    Pope
    Saliba Trippier Cancelo
    Saka Martinelli Foden Trossard
    Kane Wilson Haaland

    Iversen Andreas Dunk Guehi

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Yes get Darwin

      1. _Ninja_
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Cheers

  24. Make FPL Casual Again
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Strange position to be in after not making any transfers last week, but can't see anything that stands out :

    Pope
    Cancello Trippier Peresic
    Foden Saka Marti Almiron
    Haaland Kane Nunez

    Ward Andrea's Doherty Neco

    Looks like Foden, Haaland will play..

    Maybe Saka to Madison/Trossard?

    Or a GK ?

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      My outfielders are the same except I've Rashford instead of Almiron. Don't think Saka out is a good move, I think I'll end up burning a FT if I'm confident Foden starts (which I kind of am at the moment).

      1. Make FPL Casual Again
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 26 days ago

        Yeah don't like the Saka move either, just looking for a punt with 2 FT

        1. agueroooooney
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 26 days ago

          Same really but I couldn't find anything. Almiron to Trossard/Rashford is the only one I can see but I doubt you want to ditch him. If you're worried about Perisic's minutes he could be swapped.

          Barring that you might just want a 1 week keeper swap or upgrade Doherty on the bench.

  25. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Makes me think Kane rather than KDB should be transfer out if I decide to get Haaland back. With Richarlison and Kulusevski back has to to be risk of limited minutes at the weekend

    Harry Kane: Tottenham captain subbed off suffering from fatigue, says Antonio Conte

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/63578773

  26. agueroooooney
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    I've the same starting outfielders except I've Rashford instead of Almiron. Don't think Saka out is a good move, I think I'll end up burning a FT if I'm confident Foden starts (which I kind of am at the moment).

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Oops

  27. C0YS
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Now that the Cup games are over, Foden out for:
    A) Salah
    B) KDB

    Heavily leaning towards Salah, any reason not to?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      Foden has a good chance of starting at weekend

      Keep

    2. thegaffer82
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 26 days ago

      I’m in the camp that says that Foden will be back this weekend and will have a point to prove to Pep.
      I’d risk waiting on early team news in this particular scenario. Then try to get Salah for Foden if he’s benched again

  28. Max City
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Need advice, how to use my FT:

    Pope Ward
    Trip Cress White (Dunk Neco)
    Saka Zaha Mart Trossard (Foden)
    Haaland Kane Wilson

    1FT 0.6itb

    Thinking of:
    Foden >> Kulusevski, but it will give me a benching headache

  29. dansmith1985
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 26 days ago

    Jesus to Nunez a good trade?

  30. Danno - Emre Canada
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Jesus or Darwin this GW. Have Salah but no Arsenal....
    Cheers all