Big Numbers
11 January 2023 1483 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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With three more Gameweeks’ worth of Premier League player and team data available to assess after the Boxing Day restart, it’s time to once again wheel out the Big Numbers article ahead of Double Gameweek 20.

If you’re new to the site, this article series looks at the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) statistics ahead of the upcoming Gameweek.

These cherry-picked Opta stats can all be found in our Premium Members’ Area.

Only subscribers can read the full article; those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading, as well as see a list of the benefits that Membership brings, can do so by clicking here.




33 goals conceded by Gavin Bazunu (£4.5m) this season, a whopping 11.3 more than what Opta deem he should have shipped (21.7) based on the quality of shots he has faced. Southampton, despite being bottom of the league, actually have the eighth-best expected goals conceded (xGC) average in the division in 2022/23.

337 baseline bonus points registered by David Raya (£4.6m) in 2022/23, the most of any goalkeeper. It’s not just saves that are boosting his bonus points potential (he has 21 save points this season, the highest in the league) but he also leads the way for recoveries, which covers things like crosses claimed and loose balls pounced on. Having relatively easy, score-boosting stops to make can be important for an FPL goalkeeper, and Raya has that perfect blend in west London: the Bees are 20th for shots on target allowed but joint-eighth for big chances conceded.

7 shots in the box attempted by Fabian Schar (£5.0m) since the restart, the most by any FPL defender and more even than the likes of Marcus Rashford (£7.0m) and Anthony Martial (£6.6m) have managed – albeit without scoring. Over the course of 2022/23, the Switzerland international is the leading Fantasy defender for both goal attempts (23) and big chances (four). Ironically, his only goal came from 25 yards out.

6 big chances created by Kieran Trippier (£6.0m) since play resumed in Gameweek 17. That’s a tally that only one other defender, Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m), has managed to beat in the whole of 2022/23, let alone the last three Gameweeks.

FPL Gameweek 10: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus and statistics

98% of Premier League matches started by an available Joao Cancelo (£7.2m) between August 2021 and November 2022, with his only benching during that time coming in Gameweek 25 of last season when many other City regulars made way. Cancelo has played just 67 minutes since the post-World Cup restart.

14 penalty area touches in three Gameweeks recorded by Matt Doherty (£4.6m), the most by any FPL defender since Premier League football resumed in December. Only the aforementioned Schar beats him for shots in the box (six) in that time. It’s a Double Gameweek up next for Doherty and Spurs, although whether Antonio Conte’s semi-frequent rotation at wing-back deprives the Irishman of the chance to start two games is another question. A minutes-per-shot-in-the-box average of 61.1 is the best of any Fantasy defender this season (min. five appearances), to show what he can do when he is given the chance. Similarly…

239.4 minutes per expected goal involvement (xGI) is Ivan Perisic‘s (£5.5m) defender-best average in 2022/23 (min. five apps). The problem, again, has been game-time guarantees: of the combined 29 appearances made by Doherty and Perisic this season, 11 of them have been as substitutes and only five have lasted 90 minutes.


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  1. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Shitty are out

  2. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    KDB a good pick for doubles ?

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Has blanked about 7 games on the trot now...

  3. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    No shots on target by City !

  4. Hairy Potter
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Milk Cup wide open now.

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Filthy

  5. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Cancelo's confidence oh my.

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      How has he gone from looking like a fullback Ronaldo to being axed in 2 weeks?

  6. BobbyV
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Zero attempts on target from City…lol

  7. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Handbags @ Forest

  8. Feanor
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    At this rate the only trophy City will win is the Golden Boot for Haaland

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Even Kane could still catch him for that too!

  9. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Don't see many captaining Haaland in this form in this side...

  10. BobbyV
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Haaland to Kane (TC)

  11. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Man Utd will fancy to win this now.

    1. Sterling Archer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Newcastle will fancy it more!

  12. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    City pretty much full strength for most of the 2nd half but couldn't muster a single shot on target against one of the worst defences in the premier league. Food for thought ahead of the double week.

    1. SouthCoastSaint
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Can we have some credit for being absolutely fantastic ?

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Drink it in son

      2. Bushwhacker
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Against that City team? No. They were absolutely dreadful and looked like they really couldn't give a rats. They didn't even bother throwing the ball in . . to the point you wonder if they deliberately tanked the game. But YAY Saints, they played their heart out.

      3. gooberman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        No

  13. SouthCoastSaint
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I want to beeeee, in that number!!!!!

    When the saints go marching in!!!!!

    COYR!!!!!

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Congrats mate

      1. Amey
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Hey mate !
        Long time ...
        Hope you are doing good 🙂

    2. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Congrats on the huge win!

    3. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Absolutely superb mate. Well done Southampton

    4. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Enjoy the win - great night for the Saints fans

      1. SouthCoastSaint
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers all absolutely incredible.

        Results like this come round once in a blue moon!!!!

  14. Don Rogers FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Team as follows:-

    De Gea (ward)
    Shaw, Tripper, Docherty, Cancelo (Bueno)
    Almiron, Martinelli, Rashford, Mount (Andreas)
    Haaland, Kane (Nketiah)

    1FT, £6.0 ITB

    Second Double gives me 7 DGWs already and I am thinking Mount> KDB to give me 8.

    After tonight's performance however I am even more nervous about Cancelo. My thinking was to just let him ride and take whatever comes along but now thinking to take -4 But who to get in?

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Should that not be Bueno (Cancelo)

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah he's leaving my team ; there's clearly something very wrong between him and Pep.

    3. Don Rogers FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Also now thinking of captaining Rashford rather than Haaland and even wondering about the Mount> KDB move.

  15. Bartowski
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Possibility of Forest or Soton being in a Cup Final. I did not see that one coming.

    1. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I mean people care very little for that Cup in a normal year . . this year? I half think City threw that.

  16. Hairy Potter
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Hmm, TC Haaland no longer seems appealing this DGW.

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Just captain doesn't even seem appealing lol

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      They often do well after a poor result
      E.g. 1-1 vs. Villa earlier in the season, went on to score 13 goals in next 3 games

  17. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Can't help but lol at Josep and City.

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Arteta literally trained under him. No Pep and this current Arsneal doesn't exist.

      1. demob
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Boo hoo hoo

  18. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Andreas & Mitro >
    Mahrez & Martial
    For -4 pts
    Yaaay
    Nope

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No sir.

  19. artvandelay316
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Am I right in thinking Botman is a better option to replace Cancelo than another City player?

    1. Norco
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Absolutely

  20. Bartowski
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    As a solid differential pick, and considering Haaland's opponents, it really doesn't seem that bad an idea to captain Rashford.

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Problem with Haaland is he could score two hat tricks in a row. Rashford can’t.

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Two goals in three minutes last night

        1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Against Charlton.

          1. g40steve
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            City got beat by bottom club Southampton

      2. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        There is no problem in that, coz the chance of Haaland scoring 2 hatricks is very low as well. Rashfords on form and the chance of him matching Haaland is realistic.

    2. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah, Rashfords form can't be overlooked at this point.

    3. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Shhhh, did it last week & still on him

    4. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1. It does.
      2. Captain Haaland.

  21. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    When is the draw for semis?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      In 15 mins

    2. Black Knights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      In a minute.

  22. romperstomper
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    After watching citey tonight I'm not gonna triple-up. I still need to replace patterson though so with 3.3m ITB is it:

    1. Shaw - nailed
    2. Varrane - nailed but 0.3 cheaper
    3. Martinez - nailed(ish) but 0.6 cheaper
    4. AWB - nailed providing Dalot is injured but 0.8 cheaper

    I'm tempted by the potential savings as later on I want to upgrade greenwood or pereira but I'd appreciate a steer here

  23. Manani
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Cancelo > Stones
    or
    James > Dohetry

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      james

    2. alexmj
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      doherty

  24. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    BGW25 basically a non-issue now, even more so if the United's draw each other in a few minutes.

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Free hit chip for doubles instead then

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yep and depending on your thoughts around BB, it's probably wise to get the FH chip out of the way in 20 or 23.

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Beat the CL rotation

  25. ZimZalabim
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    is there a draw or do we know who plays who in the semis ?

    1. Bartowski
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      It's happening nowish, be on the cup twitter page or Sky https://twitter.com/Carabao_Cup

  26. Assisting the assister
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Asked Chat GPT if I should TC Haaland. No help. ‘That decision depends on your specific situation in your fantasy league. Factors such as your current standing in the league, your team's remaining budget, and the other players on your roster should all be considered before making a decision. Additionally, you may want to consider the upcoming schedule of Haaland's team, as well as the potential for injuries or other factors that could affect his performance. Ultimately, the decision of whether or not to triple captain Haaland is up to you and you need to make a decision based on the best information you have available to you.’

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Not much helpful.

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      what is chat gpt?

      1. Defcons are for Kinnear
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        The thing responsible for changing education

      2. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        AI program/website - very powerful

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          cheers. scary times...

      3. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        AI bot recently created. Doing some amazing stuff in answering questions that you would normally ask 1000 search result google and take a bigger chunk of your time researching on.

      4. sulldaddy
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        AI

        Step one of cyberdyne and terminators squashing us.

        😉

    3. Make FPL Casual Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Great, an AI Pro pundit...

      Musk needn't have fretted after all

  27. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on this team after -4?

    Ward
    Akanji Shaw Trippier
    Rashford KDB Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland Mitrovic Kane

    Ramsdale White Andreas Patterson

  28. JELLYFISH
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Best Man U def up to 4.5m? Thinking Martinez or AWB?

  29. mikeyboss33
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    2 fts available 0 in bank
    Kepa, Ward
    Walker, Gabriel, Shaw, Trippier, Beuno
    KDB, Salah, Martinelli, Rash, Almirion,
    Halaand, Mitro, Greenwood
    Salah > Saka
    Mitro > Kane
    Rashford TC

  30. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Andreas to mahrez good to go?

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Obvious risk aside I'd say that's a solid move. He's been rested for the cups and been playing well so I'd say he'll play at least one for the next two.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yeh cheers will do

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Do it