Scout Notes
7 May 2023 395 comments
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The key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) notes, quotes and statistics from two of Saturday’s Premier League game are covered in our Scout Notes.

Manchester City v Leeds United and Liverpool v Brentford come under the spotlight here.

As ever, all the Opta player and team numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area – and you can access them yourself for free with a seven-day free trial.

PEP ON PENALTIES

Erling Haaland (£12.4m) had a rare off-day in front of goal against Leeds United, spurning six chances – the highest shot count of any Premier League player on Saturday – and even hitting the woodwork from close range in an attack that was ultimately brought back for offside.

It looked like he would be given the chance to salvage an attacking return from the brink of a blank when Phil Foden (£8.0m) was upended in the Leeds box, seven minutes from time.

But stepping up for the spot-kick was Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), perhaps giddy at the prospect of a rare hat-trick after two tidy first-half finishes from Riyad Mahrez (£7.3m) cut-backs.

The German saw his penalty strike the visitors’ upright; a minute later, a match that should have been done and dusted at 3-0 was nervy and uncomfortable following Rodrigo Moreno‘s (£6.3m) consolation.

Is Haaland now off penalties, then? Not if Pep Guardiola has anything to do with it.

“First he [Guardiola] showed to Erling that he was quite mad about that and then also he had a go at me. It is what it is in the end.

“The moment Erling grabbed the ball, I was sure he was going to take it but he looked out for me. I checked with him a few times to make sure he was sure. He was certain to hand the ball to me. I was confident to score.” – Ilkay Gundgan

“Who knows if Erling takes the penalty and misses? What happens if Riyad takes the penalty and misses? What happens if Ilkay Gundogan takes the penalty and scores? The question is if it’s 2-0, who is the taker? The taker is Erling or Riyad, they have to take it.

“Second point is that is shows how is Erling as a person. He wants to score goals, but at the same time the team, the mates are so important. He had chances to score, he didn’t convert but at the same time, he was outstanding. But at 2-0 especially in England, the game never is over. I wanted the taker to take it, they have more routine and specialist. That means if Erling or Riyad take a penalty, he is going to score? Maybe not. Who knows.

“He is ruthless, but at the same time if Ilkay has never scored a hat-trick, he’s so generous, so nice. Who knows it, the feeling is he has more confidence right now because he’s taken ten or 11 penalties and has the feeling, Gundo doesn’t have the feeling. I understand both sides. The game could be over for the chances.

“At 2-0 you have to close it. You don’t have to give anything. If you can control you have to control. Saying that, Gundo could have scored, other ones could have missed. It’s not about that. I admire that Gundo wanted to take the responsibility to take the penalty. That is the best value as a player. Normally the taker is the taker, Erling has to take it, because he’s our specialist.” – Pep Guardiola

TIREDNESS PROMPTS ROTATION

Above: Ilkay Gundogan’s brace ironically came from a more defensive role as one of the two holding midfielders. Julian Alvarez, Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland all started a league match together for the first time, the first two of those playing as the advanced number 8s behind Haaland up top.

Pep Guardiola made seven changes for this match, the likes of Jack Grealish (£7.3m), Ruben Dias (£6.0m) and John Stones (£5.6m) making way and remaining unused substitutes.

The City boss did signpost the rotation, citing tiredness in his pre-match presser after weeks of downplaying any suggestion of fatigue, and repeated the sentiment after full-time.

“You cannot forget that we had three games in six days after a demanding game against Arsenal. They are human beings. That’s why I had to rotate with seven players.

“Right after Fulham, I didn’t have the feeling that I needed to rotate. The day after when I saw the game against West Ham, I had the feeling they were tired and I said we have to change it.

“All the guys that came in after not playing for a long time, like [Aymeric] Laporte, he was exceptional. All of them, Rico [Lewis] played exceptional.” – Pep Guardiola

Everton away in Gameweek 36 is the middle fixture in a Tuesday-Sunday-Wednesday turnaround, so there is a fair bit of respite after the first leg of the UEFA Champions League semi-final in Madrid.

We won’t, however, benefit from any early team news leaks as we did this week, so Guardiola’s pre-match presser will be all we have to go off.

Nathan Ake (£5.0m) escaped the rotation but Guardiola will likely wish he had rested the Dutchman, who limped off with a hamstring strain.

“I didn’t speak with the doctor but probably, if he asked to [come off]… we will see, next few days.” – Pep Guardiola on Nathan Ake

ALLARDYCE’S FIRST GAME

The 2-1 scoreline gave the impression that the game was closer than it was – but for Haaland’s uncharacteristic profligacy and Gundogan’s penalty miss, City would have been out of sight.

The more solid-looking Leeds performance in the second half also has to be placed in context; was it not more City taking their foot off the pedal and preserving energy ahead of Tuesday’s trip to Spain?

Still, there was enough encouragement for Sam Allardyce to take into the Gameweek 36 clash with Newcastle, who many of us will be lumping on for their ‘double’.

“I’m not upbeat because I’ve got no points like but I am pleased with what they’ve done in the second half and not embarrass themselves and showed some fighting spirit. So we can build the confidence next week again, and we can build the confidence on the second half performance and we can play a lot better for 90 minutes next week, not just 45.” – Sam Allardyce

Joel Robles (£4.0m) became the latest bargain-bin FPL goalkeeper to get first-team minutes, having ousted the out-of-form Illan Meslier (£4.5m) between the sticks.

LIVERPOOL: OUT OF THE ‘RED ZONE’?

This was the third match in a week for Liverpool and a second successive edgy 1-0, a lively Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) again the difference. This may still end up being his worst-ever FPL season since joining the Reds in 2017 but when your ‘worst’ is 27 attacking returns and counting, you must be half-decent.

The good news for owners of Liverpool players, who may have been fearing some fatigue-led rotation this week, is that the busy schedule is now over and a nine-day breather awaits ahead of the trip to a Leicester City side that still hasn’t kept a clean sheet since the World Cup.

“Great news, absolutely. Imagine we would have played now on Tuesday again, we would be completely knackered. It’s really fine. You could see that today, there was one team who had a full week and one team who played only three days ago a super-intense game as well, and before that three days ago a super-intense game as well.” – Jurgen Klopp on the prospect of a nine-day breather

Klopp opted for all four of Salah, Cody Gakpo (£7.7m), Darwin Nunez (£8.6m) and Diogo Jota (£8.9m) in his line-up but there was no system change, only Gakpo playing in central midfield.

Salah’s tap-in and Darwin’s glaring miss from a Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.6m) pass made up a big chunk of Liverpool’s expected goals (xG) tally of 2.24, with a bitty match closer than the Opta bods make it sound.

The Reds have, remarkably, now kept as many clean sheets (13) as Newcastle United this season, despite having conceded over twice as many ‘big chances’ as the Magpies. This was one of their more competent defensive displays, with Brentford’s set-piece threat dealt with admirably.

“With a bit more quality we could have played players in for bigger chances. That’s the only thing that we probably missed, aside from the fantastic goal by Bryan [Mbeumo], which was just offside, was the final cross or the final slide ball.” – Thomas Frank



395 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Who to captain next week

    Mitoma
    Haaland
    Isak
    Wilson

    ???

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Currently on Isak myself

      1. Gazzpfc
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I’m on Wilson

    2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Wilson . Ignore the content creators and their X mins narrative. If Wilson starts he's more likely to get points. He hasn't been starting and still getting more points than Isak. What more do you need?

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Has to be a Newcastle forward for the best captaincy option in 36

    4. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Newcastle forward

      Possible play two & decide after today's fixtures

    5. Touré De Force
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Trippier for me, own Isak also fwiw

  2. The Mighty Whites
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    2FT, 0.2 ITB, thoughts?

    Kepa - Steele
    TAA - Trippier - Shaw - Ake - Botman
    Salah - Grealish - Rashford - Mitoma - March
    Haaland - Watkins - Isak

    A: Botman & Watkins to Lindelof/Dalot & Wilson
    B: Ake to Lindelof/Dalot
    C: Something else

    1. Bottleandahalf
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Will you not want another MU mid for their dgw?

    2. Muller Reus Corner
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Botman and Watkins to Toti and Wilson

    3. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      His only way to get Fernandes would be to swap for Salah who plays Leicester next week. He can do that next week if he wants.
      A. Looks good to me if you prefer double Toon attack to double Toon defence.
      B Lets you consdier KdB for his double.
      Nice team either option is good

      1. Bottleandahalf
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Can do Watkins and Grealish to Fernandes and Fodder.

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Been going through many options right now and probably it comes down which trip you want from both United and City.

    And most likely both KDB and Bruno mean no Salah, at the same time most likely both KDB and Bruno mean no more space for second City mid.

    Would you go for something like:
    1) Grealish def - plus Bruno or Salah as well
    2) Grealish KDB - no Salah or Bruno
    3) only KDB but with Salah or Bruno

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I am narrowed down to the following:
      A. Alvarez Haaland Akanji Shaw Bruno Rashford + Salah
      B. Alvarez Haaland Grealish Shaw Bruno Rashford + TAA

      Leaning towards A

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        *Akanji Salah v Grealish TAA basically

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      3 with Bruno

      Liverpool two 1 0 wins at home on the trot and Villa not scoring or conceding much

  4. Ten Hag of Bud
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Major bench headache for next GW

    Haaland, De Bruyne (Everton H). Wilson, Isak, Almiron (Leeds A, Brighton H). Mac Allister (Arsenal A, Newcastle A). Salah (Leicester A). Rashford (Wolves H).

    So who do I bench? Thinking Mac but he plays twice. Needing that all out attack chip!

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Possibly Rashford, MacA or Almiron...

      It's flip a coin territory...

    2. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Almiron. Mac on pens and more minutes.

    3. Kingy109
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Treble Toon attack is unusual!

      1. Ten Hag of Bud
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Definitely unusual! Had no toon all season, wildcarded... Dropped Kane, TAA, VvD lol so a totally normal wildcard for me!

    4. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Rashford

    5. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Almiron

    6. Ten Hag of Bud
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Might end up just moving Almiron and a fodder defender for a hit. Serves me right for last minute wildcard tinkering!

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        See after today mate. Its just my opinion. If he becomes a starter again over Murphy then I would play him

    7. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Maybe Miggy as he'll share minutes with Murphy. Would expect them to start one and be a sub in the other.

    8. shamele
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Almiron

  5. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    For the run-in?

    A) Grealish, Greenwood (no benching headache play March)
    B) Alveraz, March (and a benching headache)

  6. PartyTime
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Martinelli huge haul today please

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Interesting to see Arsenal predictors divided between Trossard and Martinelli starting today

      https://twitter.com/Jumpthewave/status/1654499337710206976?t=D6GGJOjxOASHMW259FcJvA&s=19

  7. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    So is Phil Jones genuinely injured season after season or is he just milking his United contract

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      The last part

    2. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Blokes on 75k a month and has made 6 just league appearances over the past 4 seasons.

      Only in football..

      1. Goodfeathers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        *just 6

      2. Oscy23
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        only at man utd

        *fixed this for you

        1. Goodfeathers
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Haha. I almost wrote that to be honest.

      3. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        £75k a month

        Or a week?

        1. Goodfeathers
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          *week

      4. BECKS TO THE FUTURE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        He’s only made six league appearances in four seasons?!?

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      He's doing what anyone would do. He's got a contract and due to injuries he's been unable to play or secure a transfer away.

    4. Always a Red Devil
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      love united hate glaziers

      1. Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Not a fan of windows?

        1. Always a Red Devil
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          ?

  8. MHG
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Better move?
    A) Zinc to TAA
    or
    B) Saka to Bruno

  9. andre_c
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Any ideas for this team here? Really tight on cash as have Haaland + Salah + KDB and also TAA and Robbo. Looking to bring in 2 Newcastle and don't mind going for some differentials. Also don't really want to drop any city players before double.

    Steele
    TAA - Robbo - Dias - Lindelof
    KDB - Salah - Rashford - March - Mitoma
    Haaland

    Iverson - Bueno - Greenwood - Taylor

    2FT - $0.1ITB

    Also have a very weak bench.

    Thanks

    1. Firminooooo
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      You need money to upgrade bench players. I would sell Salah with no DGW to Fernandez. Gives you ca 3.7m. Upgrade Greenwood to Isak/Wilson and captain. Pray no Newcastle CS.

  10. Mr Man
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Does anyone have any news on Brennan Johnson? Last time I heard he was out but there could be a slim chance he plays

  11. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Who to bench next GW?

    A- TAA
    B- Mahrez

    Other starting players are:
    Botman Trippier Shaw
    Rashford Mitoma March Salah
    Haaland Isak

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Probably Mahrez. TAA is in brilliant form currently and his underlying stats are incredible since Klopp’s tactical switch in April.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      This is going to be a disaster!

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah am afraid so.
        I an leaning towards benching Mahrez

    3. F_Ivanovic
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Neither. You obviously bench Shaw.

      1. F_Ivanovic
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Review has Shaw at 4, TAA at 4.5 and Mahrez at 3.6 currently (but that's with 51 xmins).. likely Mahrez starts though which makes him ahead of Shaw. If a lot of predictors think otherwise then you can bench him over Shaw.

  12. Mr Man
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Also feels like the whole world and its dog has Mitoma but I accidentally benched him

    1. Firminooooo
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I dont. Went March and Mac Allister on my WC in GW26. Its a nightmare watching the Brighton games knowing a Mitoma return kills my OR. But not worth a hit to fix.

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A few in my MLs did it too (although a few getting him in for Grealish). I'm still considering moving to March but he had a very good game against Everton last time out

    3. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Haven't owned that guy ever. Always a lot of behind sofa time when I see him playing. Just incredible dribbler. Need March to put his best this gw.

  13. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Score predictions for tonight’s games?

    Fancy a goal fest at St. James' Park.

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I have a bad feeling about this one. NUFC to win 2-0 if Gabriel is out.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I've heard that Gabriel is part of the squad today at least.

      2. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Gabriel is with the squad

    2. Mirror Man
        2 years, 9 months ago

        2-6
        1-7

      • Touré De Force
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Arsenal should take this one, maybe 1-0 or 2-0. 0-0 draw also possible.

      • Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        3/4-1 to Newcastle

        Unsure on WHU-MU, I saw a suggestion midweek a bit before the City game that a few higher-ups wanted Moyes to rest a few players in that game and v ManUtd to focus on EL, and suddenly players like Rice, Aguerd and Soucek are out with a mysterious illness/bug. Feel like they may have too much focus on that so might be 0-1

      • Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Score draw. I'm surprised most pundits seem to be expecting a Newcastle win. Arsenal (and Villa) are the best team I've seen play through the Newcastle high press this season. Definitely expect goals in this one.

      • SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        1-3
        1-0

      • Always a Red Devil
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        2-0 to newcastle and 4-1 to utd

    3. cigan
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Gotta say I quite like my team for next week. Got 2 FT so thinking about just doing Watkins > Wilson (or even Martinelli > Joelinton) and saving the other to maximize the last double

      Might also play Raya over Steele to avoid double Brighton def. as fixtures don't look that appealing even with the double

      Steele
      Trippier Estupinan Trent
      Salah Rashford Grealish Martinelli March
      Haaland Isak
      (Raya Shaw Watkins Castagne)

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Fair play, Watkins to Wilson and who do you bench?

        Grealish or Martenelli?

        1. cigan
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Probably Martinelli, unless Grealish doesn't look like starting

    4. Gazzpfc
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Play one

      City Alvarez Haaland Stones
      Utd DDG Bruno Rashford
      Brighton Estupinian March Mitoma
      Others Wilson Trent Salah Raya Moreno

      Like it?

    5. JohnnyCroat
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Raya to Steele or Raya to Pope? Already have double Jongleurs defence, so adverse to a triple-up.

      Not selling Kepa since he has a double in 37.

      1. Bottleandahalf
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Have you seen Kepa's DGW?

        1. JohnnyCroat
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Whats your point? I should sell a player with two games because they're tough? There are no easy games at this point in the season.

          1. Bottleandahalf
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Exactly that yeah

            1. JohnnyCroat
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 9 months ago

              Marvellous insight. Should have gone into management.

    6. F_Ivanovic
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      TAA captain this week paid off albeit could have been so much more if Darwin could actully finish.

      Next punt might be ignoring Trippier next week. Not owned him once post WC and everyone has him.. feel like going Schar instead might be the play. Whoever I get I'm only going to play this week anyway.

      1. JohnnyCroat
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I'm playing Schär over Trippier this GW for what it's worth. But as I own both they're both definitely starting in 36.

    7. Jrot94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’m finding it hard to bench either Shaw or TAA for estu next week, even with his (poor match up) double? See most of you prioritizing the double, anyone else benching estu?

      1. F_Ivanovic
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Review has Estupinan just ahead by 0.3 but the xmins are pretty generous. And models can be a little slow on updated tactics to where TAA should maybe be a little higher. So basically there's not a lot in it and gambling on TAA over Brighton defence might be worth the risk.

    8. bigbadbony
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Who to bench

      One from
      A. Watkins
      B. Eze
      C. De bruyne
      D. Martinelli

      Two from
      1. Ake
      2. Henry
      3. Moreno
      4. Zinchenko