Scout Notes
3 April 2025 121 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Wednesday night brought Manchester City v Leicester City and Brighton and Hove Albion v Aston Villa to Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers.

So let’s continue the Gameweek 30 Scout Notes with another round-up.

The numbers and graphics you see in this article come from our Premium Members Area. Here, you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.

NINE MARMOUSH SHOTS

Around 1.35 million FPL managers bought Omar Marmoush (£7.5m) for Gameweek 31, expecting goals at home to Leicester.

The logic was there, as his nine shots were the most of any player in a single 2024/25 match. But despite his 1.45 expected goals (xG), just one real strike took place, pouncing on a mix-up between Wout Faes (£3.9m) and Mads Hermansen (£4.4m).

Marmoush did at least reward his new owners with nine points, having claimed the maximum bonus.

FPL notes 61

Above: Marmoush’s shot map, via StatsBomb

The four-in-a-row champions settled for a 2-0 win, as Jack Grealish (£6.4m) not only made a rare start but scored his first league goal for 16 months.

Savinho (£6.2m) set up the opener to claim his 11th assist of this top-flight campaign. Yet the Brazilian is massively underachieving in terms of his own glory, being the second-biggest xG disappointment so far (-3.77).

A provider of plenty and due one himself, Savinho has a lot of differential potential.

PEP CONFIRMS HAALAND’S TIMELINE

Afterwards, Pep Guardiola spoke again on Erling Haaland‘s (£14.8m) ankle problem.

“We saw it [best] to make a treatment there, so five to six weeks.” – Pep Guardiola on Erling Haaland’s injury, assessed in Barcelona

This estimate suggests a comeback around Gameweek 36 or 37.

NORWEGIAN MAKES HIS RETURN

At least one Norwegian Man City guy could return from injury, as the 21-year-old winger Oscar Bobb (£4.7m) was applauded onto the pitch.

A highly promising pre-season was cut short by a leg break just before Gameweek 1.

He could prove to be a bargain, though it’s more likely that these final weeks will simply build his match fitness before the Club World Cup.

FODEN UNUSED + CENTRE-BACK GVARDIOL

Some managers interpreted Haaland’s absence as a reason to punt on Phil Foden (£9.2m), but last season’s second-best FPL asset was instead benched for the third time in four league games.

Furthermore, he didn’t come on as one of Pep’s four substitutions, allowing owners to call upon autosubs elsewhere.

At the back, half a million were rewarded for purchasing Josko Gvardiol (£6.1m) this week. He bagged a clean sheet, as Leicester reached 12 goalless matches from 15.

This season’s top defender for goals (five), big chances (10) and xG (4.21) had to play at centre-back but still mustered one shot.

RASHFORD UP FRONT

Meanwhile, Aston Villa loanee Marcus Rashford (£6.6m) followed his FA Cup brace with a goal at Brighton.

Within seconds of a Seagulls corner, Emiliano Martinez (£5.0m) rolled the ball to Morgan Rogers (£5.5m), who then hit a long pass that put Rashford clean through. Very clinical.

It put Villa on their way to a sixth consecutive win in all competitions, with curiosity building over where Unai Emery intends to use Rashford. This time, his centre-forward role allowed an Ollie Watkins (£8.9m) benching.

“His second match in a row as a striker, getting confidence and goals. Of course, we have to support Ollie Watkins as well. He has to try to compete with Rashford to help the team as a striker. The next step maybe we can try to do – in case we have time – is to play with both.” – Unai Emery on Marcus Rashford

“With us, we were practicing and we were open to [him] playing both positions — as a winger and as a striker. It depends on each moment. For example, today he played as a striker because on Sunday we practiced and he scored two goals. I decided to carry on with the same position he was playing, but he can play as well on the left side. It depends.” – Unai Emery on Marcus Rashford

So Emery could play them both up front. They’ve started only one league match together from a possible six, versus Liverpool in Gameweek 25, where Watkins scored.

FPL Haaland Villa

Above: Average positions from the match that both Ollie Watkins (11) and Marcus Rashford (9) started

ASENSIO + ROGERS SHINE

It was goalless at half-time but three January signings netted after the break to help Villa leapfrog Brighton in the table. The tight race for Champions League qualification is enthralling.

Constant FPL troll Rogers assisted twice to finish on 11 points. He cut the ball back for substitute Marco Asensio (£6.1m) to make it 2-0, and the Spaniard set up Donyell Malen (£5.3m) in the tenth minute of stoppage time.

“The adaptation was quick with Marco Asensio because the position he’s playing with us is really his position. Sometimes, he was not playing as number 10. But with us, it’s easy for him. Rashford is getting progressively better – more slowly. But now I think we can feel him playing with confidence and feeling good with his teammates and our idea. As a striker, his power is running behind the opponent.” – Unai Emery

It means that, despite only playing 36 minutes, Asensio is currently Gameweek 30’s top scorer with 12 points. In all competitions, he’s picked up eight goals and one assist in 10 matches.

EMERY TO KEEP ROTATING

However, what holds him back from being an essential FPL purchase is Villa’s rotation. Asensio has started just four of those 10, which makes the rate of attacking returns phenomenal, but there’s no game time reliability.

“Now, we are playing on Saturday and maybe we will have options and opportunities to show, to change some players on the field that didn’t play today. It’s because some players with two matches in a row playing in three days, maybe it’s not enough time to rest.” – Unai Emery

The victory at Brighton simply showcased Emery’s good squad depth, making it hard to predict his Gameweek 32 line-up at last-placed Southampton because it sits between both Champions League legs against Paris Saint-Germain. It’s not ideal if you’re planning to Bench Boost at that time.

It’s the same in defence, as centre-back Pau Torres (£4.2m) made his first start since December’s injury. So we don’t even know if Ezri Konsa (£4.4m) or Axel Disasi (£4.2m) will face the Saints.

At least they’ve collected a second successive clean sheet, though – a Simon Adingra (£5.1m) equaliser was ruled out due to Kaoru Mitoma‘s (£6.5m) handball.

FPL team previews – Liverpool: Best players, predicted XI + more

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

121 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Reddonkeyham 42
    • 11 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Anyone know if there is a black box stream this week?

    1. djman102
      • 16 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      I believe they said they wouldn't be able to do another one this week.

  2. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Best def up to 4.5m for dgw33? Wanbaska, neco, mazz or other?

    1. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Is Konsa 4.5?

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Yeh but any chance of c/s v NEW & city?

        1. Gubby-Allen
          • 4 Years
          8 months, 6 days ago

          No less than the other three. I could see a 1-0 v Newcastle easily given it will go a long towards CL qualification. There are barely any CB picks at any price that don't come with huge flaws.

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            8 months, 6 days ago

            Cheers will get konsa

    2. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Konsa

    3. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Villa finally look very good. TBH nobody looks capable of a clean sheet but could see Villa winning 1-0 and possibly even keeping Man City out on their last couple of games.

      Lewis Skelly would probably have done his hamstring by then Arsenal are down to the bare seven left backs.

      It's so hard as both could have been tanked 8-0 in the CL by then and the other two keeping players back for the cup.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Guess always get 2 points appearance points

  3. FPL Sanky
    • 2 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Please Palmer don't do anything today

  4. Haul or Nothing
    • 6 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Thoughts on these please

    A:
    TC32 Isak
    BB33 Pope (avl) Milenkovic (tot) Livra (avl) Isak (avl)

    B:
    BB32 Raya (BRE) Saliba (BRE) Milenkovic (EVE) Bruno (new)
    TC33 Marmoush

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Prefer B

      1. Haul or Nothing
        • 6 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Yeh me too

    2. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      BB with 4 DGW rather than two.

      1. Haul or Nothing
        • 6 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        I won’t have more than 11 dgw players either way so these would be the benches

  5. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    TC33?

    A. Saka vs IPS(A) & CRY(H)
    B. Marmoush vs EVE(A) & AVL(H)

    1. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Saka. Marmoush was dreadful last night.,

    2. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Saka now but far too too far away now.

      Beating or losing to Real and if CL is confirmed for next season could alter it.

  6. Mario Balofail
    • 11 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Dear Cole.
    Now is the time. I have benched Salah and I need to justify this sensational (or insane?) move. I know you can do it but I also know you are not perfect and many say your form has faded. I still believe in you as my captain choice despite all the noise.
    I wish you good luck.

    Best regards,
    mario balofail

  7. rokka222
    • 2 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    I know Foden is a bad FPL asset, but I couldn't watch the game. What is the explanation for why he didn't play a minute? Pep rotation? He plays versus United? However shite he is right now, he is still Phil Foden and its crazy he can't get minutes.

  8. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    How's this WC please
    Raya aerola
    Timber burn munoz konate konsa
    Salah saka mbeumo Murphy sarr
    Isak mateta marmoush
    Gw32 mbeumo to rogers
    Gw33 burn to gvardiol

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 months, 6 days ago

      Personally I don’t like to book a transfer for the week after a wc. Look at half the wc30ers!

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        8 months, 6 days ago

        Agree just want to.keep mbeumo for gw31 and don't fancy gvardiol v mu

  9. Viper
    • 15 Years
    8 months, 6 days ago

    Think I'm leaning towards Potter on AM.

    -Lowest odds of those with th a table bonus fixture

    - Unbeaten in last 5 vs. Bournemouth including a win & draw this season.

    -Bournemouth 5 without a win.

    I've blocked myself from Howe with treble Newcastle