Spot the Differential
18 December 2025 363 comments
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Our Gameweek 17 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


RAYAN CHERKI

Buy, keep, sell? Transfer trends ahead of Gameweek 17 4

  • FPL ownership: 5.8%
  • Price: £6.5m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: WHU | nfo | sun | CHE | BHA

Flourishing as a differential, Rayan Cherki (£6.5m) looks like a great option for Saturday’s home encounter with West Ham United.

The Frenchman, who sits just over our usual differential threshold of 5%, has produced seven assists in as many Gameweeks, totalling 40 points.

He’s also chipped in with goals against Borussia Dortmund and Brentford in cup competitions since the start of November.    

Discussing his Carabao Cup strike earlier this week, Pep Guardiola said:

“Close to the 18-yard box of the opponent he is an exceptional player. It was a fantastic goal, a blind guy, a blind woman can realise, it is not necessary to be a journalist or a manager to realise he is a fantastic, fantastic player. I saw it many times with Phil [Foden] this type of goal, with Kevin [De Bruyne] before, so I am happy that it opened the game.” – Pep Guardiola on Rayan Cherki

The only drawback was the fact that Cherki was substituted off after an hour due to fatigue. However, his early withdrawal does at least hint at another start in Gameweek 17.

Meanwhile, Cherki’s underlying numbers over the last seven Gameweeks further highlight his role as Manchester City’s creator-in-chief.

No teammate has produced more expected assists (xA) over that period, while only Nico Gonzalez (£5.9m) and Phil Foden (£8.8m) have amassed more touches in the opponent’s half.

Saturday’s match at the Etihad Stadium could be very profitable for the City attack. West Ham have failed to keep a clean sheet under Nuno Espirito Santo, conceding at least two goals in seven out of their 11 matches.

City also benefit from a decent upcoming schedule, with clashes against Nottingham Forest and Sunderland to come.  

Setting us back only £6.5m, Cherki is a hugely enticing differential option and could represent the ideal punt, particularly with positional rivals Doku, Omar Marmoush (£8.3m) and Oscar Bobb (£5.1m) unavailable.


MATHEUS NUNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: WHU | nfo | sun | CHE | BHA

Another option for Manchester City is Matheus Nunes (£5.3m), who has now started his side’s last 11 Premier League matches.

During that run, he’s delivered one goal and four assists, with all but one of those attacking returns arriving at the Etihad Stadium.

Nunes has also created six chances over the last six Gameweeks, more than any other City defender.

Furthermore, no defensive option at the club can beat him for successful crosses, final-third touches or defensive contributions (DefCon) in that timeframe.

“Matheus is growing all the time. He can be an incredible full-back. He is adapting and the cross is really good and that is Erling’s [Haaland] strength.” – Pep Guardiola on Matheus Nunes in Gameweek 16

Nunes was benched in midweek, which should ensure he features against West Ham in Gameweek 17.

Crucially, the Hammers will be without both first-choice full-backs on Saturday, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£4.2m) and El Hadji Malick Diouf (£4.1m) away at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON).

They also have a vulnerability down their left flank that Nunes could potentially exploit. Indeed, West Ham have conceded more key passes down that side of the pitch than any other club in 2025/26.

Above: West Ham’s chances created conceded map (assists in green) in 2025/26

Admittedly, it’s teammate Nico O’Reilly (£5.3m) who carries the superior box threat.

However, Nunes has the platform to deliver assists and clean sheets, with Pep Guardiola’s side only conceding six times in their eight home matches thus far.


MARCUS TAVERNIER

Goals + assists imminent! Who is 'due' in FPL Gameweek 17? 2

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: BUR | bre | che | ARS | TOT

A home fixture against a Burnley side that has failed to keep a clean sheet away from home this season prompts us to consider Marcus Tavernier (£5.5m).

The 26-year-old has produced 46 points in his last nine matches for Bournemouth, a decent return for a £5.5m midfielder.

It included a standout performance in Gameweek 16, when he scored and assisted at Old Trafford.

Tavernier has created 23 chances this season, the most of any Bournemouth player, while he is second only to Antoine Semenyo (£7.5m) among teammates for shots and Opta-defined ‘big chances’, with 31 and five respectively.

He will consequently fancy his chances this weekend, particularly with Burnley’s flaky defence in town.

Scott Parker’s side have conceded 23 goals on the road in 2025/26, the joint-most of any team. They are also bottom for expected goals conceded (xGC).

That will offer encouragement to a Bournemouth outfit that have generally performed well at the Vitality Stadium in this season, winning four, drawing three and suffering only one defeat in eight home matches.

So, with an ownership of only 2.2%, Tavernier can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.


363 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Skout
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Any changes recommended? 3 FTs, 0.3itb

    Petrovic
    Timber O’Reilly Thiaw
    Bruno Cunha Foden Saka
    Haaland Thiago Woltemade

    Dubravka King Rodon Reinildo

    1. John "Stumpy" Pep…
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Rodon first sub

  2. The Hunt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Will Slim Schade be up front for Brentford if Thiago's out?

  3. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Embarrassing dive by Uche

  4. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
    • 14 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Any changes here?

    1 FT / 0 ITB

    Donarumma - (Dubravka)
    Senesi - Guehi - Saliba - (Cash - Esteve)
    Semenyo - Saka - Bruno F - Foden - (KDH)
    Haaland - Thiago - DCL

  5. DavidKent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    How do we feel about Merino’s minutes over the next 6 or so games?

    1. Drizzle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Very unreliable

      1. DavidKent
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Thanks!

  6. Drizzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    I see Palace's rotation plan is going well....

    1. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Timing 🙂

      1. Drizzle
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Exactly, it is going well.

        1. Hughes Your Daddy
          • 13 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          😉

    2. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      But yes it has been far too much rotation overall for my nerves, although Drakes-Thomas at 16 years of age looks to have a bright future for us. So assured on the ball.

  7. BusbySwede
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Having some injury crisis in defense with both Munoz and Burn, who would you replace them with? My other 3 is Timber, O'Reilly and Esteve with 2FT and 0.6 itb

    Maybe Virgil and Chalobah? Van Hecke, Van den Berg?

    1. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      If not already maxed out on Arsenal Hincapie seems a solid choice. Then probably a toss up between the ones you've mentioned.

  8. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Question for my Draft FPL team, who would you rather have in the medium term?

    a) Mitoma (SUN, ars, whu, BUR)
    b) Schade (wol, BOU, TOT, eve)

    1. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Schade

    2. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      B

  9. Salalalalah
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Is Robinson (FUL) nailed as a defender? Only played 90 min last week but if i remember last season, he was a good attacking defender. Anything changed this season?

    1. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Don't believe so, should be nailed

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Yes, but his minutes might be managed because he's just come back.

    3. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Mucho gracias!

    4. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Defcon. Does he get them?

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        He gave some nice crosses, but I doubt they and his future assists are enough when others get 2 extra pts in almost every game.

  10. Ëð
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    G2G? 2FT, £1.3m ITB. Will look to shift Thiago/Mateta for Ekitike next week.

    Henderson
    Timber, Hincapie, Virgil
    Foden, Bruno F, Rice, Enzo
    Haaland, Thiago, Mateta

    Dubravka, Reijnders, Esteve, Gudmundsson

    1. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Enzo maybe the only worry but looks good otherwise

  11. kempc23
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Would you do Wolte-nada and Enz0 to Ekitike and Wilson for free? 2FT.

    1. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Yep

  12. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Is Justin Devenny essential?

  13. Teddy10
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Who scores more A or B?

    A) Kluivert and Thiago
    B) Tavernier and Ekitike

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      B

    2. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      B

  14. janlu0
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Any changes recommended? 3 FTs, 0 itb

    Raya
    Thiaw Senesi Guehi
    Minteh Bruno Foden Rice Saka
    Haaland Thiago

    Dubravka James Cash Guiu

  15. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Keep Senesi one more week for Burnley? Or move to A O’reilly or B Matheus N. (exact funds)? Thanks!

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Matheus is going to rise in price tonight but O'Reilly not yet. Burnley has been scoring surprisingly often. However, Senesi defcon points are not certain in this game. I think I would be tempted to sell. Coin toss to which one.

  16. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    WE FEAST!!!

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      We certainly do! What a result

  17. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Dub alison
    Clyne richards cala oriely mukiele
    Saka rice foden neto king
    Haland tiago ekitke

    Which ? 2 fts

    Neto to semenyo ? Y or N

  18. DavidKent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    What do we think about Dewsbury Hall? He’s at a useful price point for me, particularly if I’m running with three expensive forwards.

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I don't know how long he is out. Selling to cheaper players is a possibility, change formation and by Keane for example. E Le Fee is 4.9 I think. For how long you can bench him?

      1. DavidKent
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Is basically be rotating him, Thiago and Wilson, so I’d buy him and bench him for this GW anyway.

        I’d prefer Cherki, but can’t afford him.

        I’d end up with:

        Timber, Californi, Cash, (Anderson), (Rodon)

        Saka, Fernandes, Foden, Dewsbury-Hall, Wilson

        Haaland, Thiago, Ekitike.

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Certainly you don't buy real injury doubt(?) That's far too risky during this period. Muscular injuries have also reoccurrence risk.

  19. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Mateta is useless 🙂 Glad I sold him and glad that he couldn't score today against The Mighty Kuopio with 10 me 😉

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      With 10 men... Glasner isn't happy, 2 extra games. His face was worth seeing.

  20. Hutchiniho
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Team looks great but doesn’t feel right somehow???

    Raya/Dub
    Vvd,Timber,Chalobah,Nunes,Rodon
    Saka, Foden, Bruno Gruno, Andersen
    H, Tiago , Guiu

    0.7itb

  21. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    first on bench?

    kroupi jnr or chalobah?

    I have thiago and chalobah

    cheer

    1. BR510
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Kroupi

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          cheers. yep he is a bit more exciting isnt he? could even score in a sub appareance

    2. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      C'mon KuPS! Through to playoff stage in conference league

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        We feast with Shefki little above^

    3. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Any views on best keeper to bring in? Looking to raise some funds by downgrading raya.

      Sanchez at 4.9m looks good. Thanks

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        I have had ONE cs all season from my keepers so defo not going to answer this one

        1. BR510
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Same here! Roefs or Verbruggen

            1. BR510
                2 months, 11 days ago

                Sanchez for GW22 -->

                1. Flynny
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Verbruggen an option

                  Not sure on roefs with Sunderland and afcon. Thanks

        2. Qaiss
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Did Andrews have a presser today and mention Thiago?

          1. Captain Mal
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 11 days ago

            “I don’t know yet, is the honest answer around exactly how they are. They’ve been with medics today, we’ll see how they are going into the game on Saturday.” – Keith Andrews on Igor Thiago and Jordan Henderson

            1. Qaiss
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Damn, doesn't sound good

              Thanks

        3. Vjm6891
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I still have the TC chip. I'm guessing Haaland this week vs West Ham at Home is the best option for use?

          I do have Bench Boost, and I wanted to play it before the Christmas rotation but I'll just have to use it in the few weeks after

          1. BR510
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Yep I'm on Haaland TC this week although ST's vs WHU haven't tended to do as well as CAM's (Foden). Bit of food for thoguh

          2. BR510
              2 months, 11 days ago

              @1912 FA CUP winners, I think I might have cracked it! Trying to find a way to get Bowen, Bruno and Cunha in by GW20

              GW17: Pope and Woltemade to Ekitike and Verburggen
              GW18: Thiago and Rice to Bruno and Guiu
              GW19: Roll
              GW20: Ekitike to Bowen
              Leaves me with this for GW20:

              Verbruggen Dub
              Timber Thiaw Richards Andersen Rodon
              Saka Bruno Cunha Foden KDH
              Haaland Bowen

              1.6 itb and 2FT. Cheers all and sorry for the long post!

            • marcus2704
              • 15 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Trying to squeeze .4M from somewhere, a way I can do that is to swap out Timber for Saliba, do you feel that is a significant downgrade or not?

            • Count Olaf
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 11 days ago

              I want to sell Woltemade, but can't find a replacement.
              I can't afford Ekitike (and I worry a bit about his minutes). I have Haaland and Thiago. Can't downgrade to Guiu because I plan BB18. Is there any player that I'm missing?

              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                bowen!

                1. Count Olaf
                  • 1 Year
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Good pick, thanks. Is it the right time to buy him though before playing M. City?
                  Maybe keep Woltemade for one more and reconsider? Newcastle have some injured defenders so the game could open up?

                  1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                    • 11 Years
                    2 months, 11 days ago

                    maybe. wissa is back fit though.

                    1. Count Olaf
                      • 1 Year
                      2 months, 11 days ago

                      Good point, thanks again. I think I'll risk it though. I don't think Wissa starts a second game so soon and I don't believe Bowen will do well against M. City.

            • Skout
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              King and Woltemade to Semenyo and 4.7m FWD (Guiu or Kroupi)? 3 FTs, 0.3itb

              Petrovic
              Timber O’Reilly Thiaw
              Bruno Cunha Foden Saka
              Haaland Thiago Woltemade

              Dubravka Rodon Reinildo King

              1. Bobby Digital
                • 8 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                Guiu

            • the dom 1
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Just noticed Thiago has been flagged for a knock?

              Should be okay for the WOL game, though?

              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                that my friend, we don't know...