Scout Notes
23 December 2025 197 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Monday night didn’t quite provide a Christmas cracker, as Harry Wilson (£5.8m) blanked, was booked and came off with an injury during Fulham’s 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest.

Still, a few interesting Fantasy Premier League (FPL) events took place, as Raul Jimenez (£6.3m) scored from the spot in first-half stoppage time.

WILSON INJURY UPDATE

Following three goals, four assists and 42 points in his previous four matches, 1.6 million FPL managers bought Wilson before Gameweek 17’s deadline.

However, he’s been overachieving in terms of expected goals (xG), and his season’s only big chance came in mid-September.

Sure enough, after being unable to reach Kevin‘s (£5.8m) drilled cross after 10 seconds, Wilson was restricted to one long-range shot and a mere 0.03 expected goal involvement (xGI).

FPL notes: Wilson update, did Andersen or Anderson get 'DefCon'? 1

Above: Harry Wilson’s touch heatmap v Nottingham Forest

A clean sheet point was undone by being booked for challenging Neco Williams (£4.7m). And, making things worse, being injured in that incident led to his 84th-minute withdrawal.

Marco Silva is currently optimistic about Wilson making Gameweek 18’s trip to West Ham United, though.

“Looks he’s going to be okay. I think it was a big knock there, was not something that he twisted but now it’s of course painful. But let’s see, tomorrow we have a session, we are going to assess the players from tonight & see how he’s going to recover.” – Marco Silva on Harry Wilson

SPOT-ON JIMENEZ

Meanwhile, one week after disappointing some Free Hit users in an anonymous display at Burnley, Jimenez accumulated five shots here. This included a penalty and one other big chance.

The spot kick was heavily stuttered – a bit cheeky – coming as a result of Douglas Luiz (£4.9m) bringing down Kevin.

By converting, Jimenez now joins Manchester City legend Yaya Toure in having a 100% success rate from 11 penalties. Nobody else has such a percentage from so many kicks.

THE ANDERSEN/ANDERSON ‘DEFCON’ BONANZA

FPL notes: Wilson update, did Andersen or Anderson get 'DefCon'? 3

Near-namesakes Joachim Andersen (£4.6m) and Elliot Anderson (£5.4m) faced off in a defensive contribution (DefCon) derby.

After Gameweek 16, Fulham’s centre-back was the joint-second best defender for securing DefCon points (20). Additionally, the latter was the leading midfielder (18), and ahead of all others for completed actions (207).

So were Andersen or Anderson successful tonight?

Both of them! Combined with a clean sheet, this gave Andersen seven points – heroic, considering he dislocated a finger and kept playing. But a late yellow card slightly dampened the celebrations of FPL owners. Until that moment, the Dane could have secured bonuses and a double-digit haul.

FPL notes: Wilson update, did Andersen or Anderson get 'DefCon'?

Above: The most DefCon actions, after Gameweek 17’s completion

As for Anderson – keep up – he’s reached the threshold in 10 of his last 14 appearances. Those needing a downgrade to buy someone like Hugo Ekitike (£8.8m) could do a lot worse than purchasing such consistency.

A NEW £4.0m GOALKEEPER?

Finally, a small note is that Forest’s usual first-choice stopper, Matz Sels (£4.7m), recovered from the injury that kept him out of Gameweek 16.

Yet he only made the bench, as John Victor (£4.0m) kept his place.

It’s not a given yet that Victor keeps his place, with Sels’ lack of training part of the explanation:

“John has done really well in the two games, to be fair. Matz has only had four days of training. He had a bad finger he was playing through and a groin (problem), so we have had to be careful with that. But John has earned the right for this one, that’s for sure, with two very strong performances.” – Sean Dyche, speaking ahead of kick-off


price change predictions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

197 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 8 days ago

    Raya
    VVD Senesi O’Reilly
    Wilson Cunha Foden Minteh
    Thiago Ekitike Haaland

    Dubravka VanHecke Stach Gudmundsson

    2FT, 4.0itb

    Stach >> ?? (will play over Minteh)

    1. Gordon
    2. Rice

    Thanks

    1. BR510
        5 months, 8 days ago

        2

    2. BR510
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Best combo for the relatively long term?
        1. Bowen and Garner
        2. Obi and Rogers
        i.e. 343 or 352

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          2

      • Punned It
        • 1 Year
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Ok, so I still don't understand this one fully, and it seems a bit more relevant with the volatile price changes this season: Say I ditch Haaland on my FH, and he rises in price in the meantime. When I get him back, has his price risen, but my team value not? Don't I still get the gains if I sell him, and if not, how is that solved? Or is it the price rises for the FH team that everyone always asks about that's confusing me?

        1. hibster
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          free hits aren't really transfers, your team reverts to exactly the same one, with same purchase price for players etc

        2. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          You get the price & TV rise, as if you'd never sold him. Any price changes on players bought for the FH have no impact on your team the following week

          1. Punned It
            • 1 Year
            5 months, 8 days ago

            That was my assumption as well. Cheers!

      • The Philosopher
        • 5 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Already done my transfers of Bruno + Guiu -> Bowen + Wilson and 1FT still itb in case of some rain. Gonna bask in the sun in the meantime.

        1. Jet5605
          • 11 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          Like the Bowen move. Not sure about Wilson long term but guess he has one good fixture left.

          1. The Philosopher
            • 5 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            Was the best under 6 mid helping me afford Bowen

      • DagheMunegu
        • 5 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        0ft 0itb

        Raya
        VVD O'Reilly Rodon
        Saka Foden Rice Minteh Cunha
        Haaland Ekitike

        Dub Gudmunsson Van Hecke Guiu

        Good to go or bench Minteh for Gud ?

        1. Jet5605
          • 11 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          Think I'd punt on Gud and hope for a 0-0. Minteh no chance of DC and very high chance of 2 points.

      • Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Interesting to see if Scout are still affiliated with expert Gianni after the porngate shambles https://x.com/FplTiggy/status/2001814581174575464

        1. The FPL Units
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          I watched that stream, seemed odd at the time!

      • Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Good to roll one FT here? Plan is to do Semenyo & BrunoG > Cunha & Potts next week releasing funds to upgrade Andersen & Senesi.

        Raya
        Timber - Chalobah - Senesi
        Foden - Semenyo - Rice - BrunoG
        Haaland - Ekitike - Woltemade

        Dubravka - Szob - Andersen - Gudmund

        1. Kingy109
          • 4 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          You are going to sell Bruno G before he plays Burnley? Is just Semenyo to Cunha possible instead?

          1. Jet5605
            • 11 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            I'm 0.5 short for that. Other option is to forget Cunha and get Rogers after he plays Arsenal. I don't see any other downgrade options and think Wolte likely to rack up points than Bruno G against the likes of BUR.

      • The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        I am 50-50 about the best move. I had KDH and Wilson in midfield. Should I:
        A) Wilson to Wirtz (could be Cunha but I don’t think they’ll do well with all the missing players) for two games and then to Rogers for the start of his run OR
        B) don’t overthink it and just do KDH to Rogers now

        1. Kingy109
          • 4 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          How many free transfers do you have? The more you have the more A is an option. Otherwise you should be trying to save them if you can hence B

          1. The Big Fella
            • 9 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            1 so it would be 1 this week and then could do KDH to somebody similarly priced and then Wirtz to Rogers in that order

      • pundit of punts
        • 13 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        GW 18 ready

        Areola
        NOR - Andersen - Van den Berg
        Saka - Palmer - Foden - Semenyo
        Haaland - Ekitike - Woltemade

        Dubravka - King - Gudmundsson - Reinildo

        Good luck all 🙂

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          Score check estimate?

          1. g40steve
            • 8 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            98

          2. mookie
            • 12 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            FPL Review thinks 56,9 with Haaland(c). 57 with Ekitike(c).

        2. Ausman
          • 2 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          39

      • tbos83
        • 5 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Cunha or Wirtz?

        1. Gizzachance
          • 11 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          Cunha

          1. My heart goes Salalalalah
            • 9 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            Will Cunha and MUN be good for FPL with no Bruno?

            1. Gizzachance
              • 11 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              Who knows, good fixtures though, maybe on pens?

              Wirtz goid fixtures, more expensive, hardly a return

              Unsure on Cunha with players out, wait a week

              1. The Big Fella
                • 9 Years
                5 months, 8 days ago

                Cunha and Wirtz same price

      • Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Play
        A minteh
        B Stach
        C Andersen
        D Thiaw

      • mookie
        • 12 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Green arrow all over the board except the FFS Dead Zone league. What have you been cooking here at nights?

      • Gazzpfc
        • 9 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Views please

        1 Saka to Rice and Wilson to Cunha
        2 Semenyo to Cunha means keeping Saka and Wilson

        ???

        1. Pep's Money Laundry
          • 10 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          3. Save FT's and keep Saka, Wilson & Semenyo

      • Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Quick captain poll

        A - Haaland (nfo)
        B - Ekitike (WOL)

      • mr_jones
        • 7 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        are we still going for rogers, even if the next two fixtures are though?

        1. mookie
          • 12 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          Not part of any "we" in any form or shape, but no, I'm most certainly not.

        2. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          He blanks twice and people start selling him. I am not getting him.

          1. mr_jones
            • 7 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            i wouldnt also think about him, if i didnt need a bruno replacement..

      • Redalert
        • 15 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Morning All. 4 FT. Any changes? Thanks
        Sánchez,
        Timber,Chalobah, O'Reilly,
        Rice, Rogers,Foden,Cunha
        Haaland(v), Ekitike (c),Calvert-Lewin

        Dúbravka,Semenyo, Gudmundsson,Alderete

      • Joyce1998
        • 10 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        A- Cunha
        Or
        B- Gordon

        1. Chinese_person
          • 14 Years
          5 months, 8 days ago

          A.

          Gordon's minutes aren't great with Barnes/Elanga lurking and he might even get the odd benching during the busy period. Cunha should be nailed.

      • g40steve
        • 8 Years
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Morning,

        A, Play Petrovic or Dubravka - change keeper?

        B, Are defenders correct, should Guehi be playing?

        C Got FT worth getting another mid or defender?

        Petrovic
        Timber O’Reilly Chalobah
        Foden HWilson Semenyo Rice
        C Haaland Ekitike DCL

        Dubravka Guehi Senesi #Fernandes

        3.1

        1. BR510
            5 months, 8 days ago

            Dub

            Maybe Guehi over Chalobah

            Team looks good roll

            1. Redalert
              • 15 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              Thank you.

            2. g40steve
              • 8 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              Tnx

        2. BR510
            5 months, 8 days ago

            1. KDH to Rogers now
            2. Hold KDH and reassess when new option emerges
            3. KDH to Wirtz for 2 weeks and then Rogers after that (extra FT)

            1. Chinese_person
              • 14 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              Probably 3 if you don't mind the transfer.

            2. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              I like 3 mate!!

          • Drizzle
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            Any info at all yet on KDH? Been ages and no update.

            1. mr_jones
              • 7 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              i sold him, because i want to BB. probably hes back and scores a brace against burnley

            2. FPL Virgin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              See below. 1pm today.

              1. Drizzle
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                5 months, 8 days ago

                Cheers!

          • FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            5 months, 8 days ago

            Just filling in while Neale has a lie in after the scout Christmas party.

            Today, we've got 12 Premier League managers speaking to the media ahead of their Christmas games.

            09:00 - Liverpool/Slot
            09:00 - Brighton/Hurzeler
            09:30 - Newcastle/Howe
            10:30 - Nottingham Forest/Dyche
            13:00 - Burnley/Parker
            13:00 - Bournemouth/Iraola
            13:00 - Wolves/Edwards
            13:30 - Everton/Moyes
            13:30 - West Ham/Nuno
            14:00 - Brentford/Andrews
            14:00 - Tottenham/Frank
            14:45 - Leeds/Farke

            1. mookie
              • 12 Years
              5 months, 8 days ago

              Cheers!

              12 times - "The players have 2 days off, we'll see when they come back"

              1. The Big Fella
                • 9 Years
                5 months, 8 days ago

                😆 so this

          • BR510
              5 months, 8 days ago

              Would you prefer to own Bowen or Rogers I.e 343 or 352

              1. FPL Virgin
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                5 months, 8 days ago

                Rogers. I prefer the team challenging for the title.

                1. BR510
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    True that. Cheers

              2. FCSB
                • 10 Years
                5 months, 8 days ago

                For the next few weeks:

                1. Gordon
                2. Rice

                ??

                1. The FPL Units
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  5 months, 8 days ago

                  Gordon, Rice is a long term keep.

                  1. FCSB
                    • 10 Years
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    So both haha

                2. Chinese_person
                  • 14 Years
                  5 months, 8 days ago

                  Rice

              3. Atimis
                • 9 Years
                5 months, 8 days ago

                Upgrade one of HWilson or Thiago next week? 2.1ITB

                Dub
                Timber/VVD/OReilly
                Saka/Foden/Cunha/HWilson
                Haaland/Ekitike/Thiago

                Verb/Rodon/Potts/Hartman

                1. BR510
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    Wilson to Rice maybe. Or Thiago to Obi and Potts to Rice and maybe then Wilson to rogers

                    1. Atimis
                      • 9 Years
                      5 months, 8 days ago

                      Gordon, Rice and Rogers on my list of HWilson replacements, mostly tempted by Gordon. Hopping Thiago will come good at least for next 2...

                2. EL tridente
                  • 8 Years
                  5 months, 8 days ago

                  Thiago to Bowen or Keep?

                  1. Chinese_person
                    • 14 Years
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    do it

                3. GW18 fixtures and clean sheet odds
                  G-Whizz
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 8 Years
                  5 months, 8 days ago

                  GW18 fixture odds can be found here:
                  https://prnt.sc/H-uEfsX9lqE4
                  (Provided by williamhill.com)

                  GW17 clean sheet results:
                  MCI: 48% ✅
                  ARS: 47% ✅
                  BOU: 43% ❌
                  BHA: 41% ✅
                  BRE: 35% ✅
                  FUL: 34% ✅
                  CRY: 31% ❌
                  LEE: 31% ❌
                  AST: 29% ❌
                  LIV: 29% ❌
                  NFO: 26% ❌
                  CHE: 25% ❌
                  NEW: 24% ❌
                  WOL: 24% ❌
                  EVE: 20% ❌
                  MNU: 20% ❌
                  TOT: 20% ❌
                  SUN: 17% ✅
                  BUR: 14% ❌
                  WHU: 10% ❌

                  Highest weekly clean sheet % odds success rate this season: 52.9% (up from 50% on the previous GW)

                  GW18 clean sheet odds:
                  LIV: 51%
                  ARS: 44%
                  EVE: 40%
                  MCI: 38%
                  CHE: 34%
                  CRY: 34%
                  SUN: 32%
                  LEE: 30%
                  BRE: 29%
                  FUL: 27%
                  WHU: 26%
                  BUR: 24%
                  MNU: 24%
                  TOT: 24%
                  BOU: 23%
                  NEW: 22%
                  AST: 18%
                  NFO: 15%
                  BHA: 13%
                  WOL: 10%
                  (Provided by fantasyfootballpundit.com)

                  GW18 clean sheet % from market odds:
                  LIV: 45%
                  ARS: 42%
                  EVE: 38%
                  MCI: 34%
                  CRY: 33%
                  SUN: 32%
                  CHE: 31%
                  LEE: 30%
                  BRE: 25%
                  FUL: 25%
                  BUR: 24%
                  WHU: 24%
                  MNU: 23%
                  TOT: 23%
                  BOU: 20%
                  NEW: 20%
                  AST: 17%
                  NFO: 14%
                  BHA: 12%
                  WOL: 7%
                  (Provided by pinnacle.com)

                  Market odds highest weekly clean sheet % success rate this season: 57.8% (up from 55.5% on the previous GW)

                  Clean sheet totals:
                  Arsenal: 9*
                  Chelsea: 8
                  Man City: 8*
                  Crystal Palace: 7
                  Aston Villa: 5
                  Everton: 6
                  Newcastle: 6
                  Sunderland: 6*
                  Bournemouth: 5
                  Liverpool: 5
                  Spurs: 5
                  Brighton: 4*
                  Fulham: 4*
                  Nottingham Forest: 3
                  Brentford: 3*
                  Burnley: 2
                  Leeds: 2
                  Man Utd: 1
                  West Ham: 1

                  * team kept a clean sheet in GW17

                  Have a really great Christmas and I hope Santa's in the mood for dishing out those green arrows 🙂

                  G

                  1. g40steve
                    • 8 Years
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    Cheers, best article 😉

                    1. G-Whizz
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • Has Moderation Rights
                      • 8 Years
                      5 months, 8 days ago

                      LMAO 😆

                  2. mookie
                    • 12 Years
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    Cheers G! Happy Holidays to you too!

                    1. G-Whizz
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • Has Moderation Rights
                      • 8 Years
                      5 months, 8 days ago

                      Thanks Mookie! Have a good'un!!! 🙂

                  3. nanxun
                    • 4 Years
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    Thx, G-Whizz.

                    Bringing in Keane, but for whom?
                    A) Richards, who'd start only start GW19 (home FUL) and GW21 (away AVL)
                    B) Andersen, who'd only start GW21 (away CHE)

                    Looking only at fixtures, no-brainer = keep Richards and do Andersen > Keane.

                    On the other hand, will CRY be totally gassed due to extra mid-week fixture?
                    Tue 12/23 (8 pm tonight; 2 day rest since GW18) at ARS
                    Sun 12/28 (4:30 pm; 4 days) home TOT
                    Thu 1/1 (5:30 pm; 3 days) home FUL
                    Sun 1/4 (3:00 pm; 2 days) away NEW
                    Wed 1/7 (7:30 pm; 2 days) away AVL

                    Andersen has:
                    Sat 12/27 (3:00 pm; 4 days since GW18) away WHU
                    Thu 1/1 (5:30 pm; 4 days) at CRY
                    Sun 1/4 (3:00 pm; 2 days) away LIV
                    Wed 1/7 (7:30 pm; 2 days) home CHE

                    Any thoughts?

                    I'm leaning towards keeping Andersen.

                    TIA

                    1. G-Whizz
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • Has Moderation Rights
                      • 8 Years
                      5 months, 8 days ago

                      I'm leaning with you, but have you tried posting this on the boards?

                      You probably get a better answer than mine 😆

                      1. nanxun
                        • 4 Years
                        5 months, 8 days ago

                        Thx for the confirmation bias! 😉

                        I'll post to the regular boards and see if anyone else chimes in.

                4. AppleDunk
                  • 12 Years
                  5 months, 8 days ago

                  A. Ekitike
                  B. Bowen
                  C. Thiago

                  Which forward to drop?

                5. BR510
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    1. Bowen and Miley
                    2. Obi and Rogers/Gordon

                  • Tinmen
                    • 12 Years
                    5 months, 8 days ago

                    Folks. How is Kudus as an option?

                    Only have 6.7 to spend and looking a differential.
                    Mount perhaps? Though I don’t think it would be worth the stick

                    1. BR510
                        5 months, 8 days ago

                        Mount for sure. Or just go to Anderson and upgrade. Mount will score in the next 4

                    2. Ronnies
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      5 months, 8 days ago

                      Best option;

                      A) Play Thiago
                      B) Thiagho to Ekitike (-4)

                      Can get Ekitike in GW19 for free.

                      Cheers.