Spot the Differential
23 January 2026 214 comments
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It’s time to look at some more differentials as Gameweek 23 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) comes swiftly into view.

We’re only concentrating on FPL picks with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned players at Brentford, Everton and Sunderland who we think could have an impact.


KEVIN SCHADE

FPL Gameweek 18: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus + ‘DefCon’ points

  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: NFO | avl | new | ARS | BHA

Found in just 2.8% of Fantasy squads, Brentford’s Kevin Schade (£7.1m) is an in-form differential.

Since Gameweek 18, the German winger has produced as many attacking returns as starts (five). The tally could have been higher, too, having spurned the best two opportunities for Keith Andrews’ side at Stamford Bridge last week.

Schade has racked up 13 shots and four chances created over the same five-match spell.

He is also top of all FPL midfielders for expected goals (xG) in 2025/26:

Schade has been particularly prolific at the Gtech Community Stadium this season, with six goals and two assists in 10 matches.

Brentford entertain Sean Dyche’s Nottingham Forest on Sunday, colliding with a Forest rearguard that has conceded eight times in their last four away games.  

And the Bees will be looking to build on a very decent home goal tally, which is only bettered by Manchester City and Arsenal.

Above: Teams sorted by goals (home matches only) in 2025/26

With tricky fixtures against Newcastle United, Aston Villa and Arsenal to follow, Gameweek 27 may serve as the ideal entry point for Schade; however, he has already found the net against Newcastle this term. He also returned against Forest and Villa in the 2024/25 campaign.

As a result, Schade looks a very tempting option given his recent form, long-term fixture outlook and his tiny ownership.


ILIMAN NDIAYE

FPL notes: Many routes to points for van de Ven 1

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £6.2m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: LEE | bha | ful | BOU | MUN

A home match against a Leeds United team that has managed only one away clean sheet all season prompts us to consider Iliman Ndiaye (£6.2m).

Having recently triumphed in the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) with Senegal, the 25-year-old looks poised to start for Everton in Gameweek 23.

Before leaving for AFCON, Ndiaye had recorded four goals and two assists in 16 matches, mostly playing as a right winger in David Moyes’ 4-2-3-1 formation.

However, with Jack Grealish (£6.4m) potentially out for “months” with a foot stress fracture, Ndiaye should pick up more minutes off the left, where he can cut inside onto his stronger right foot, which should theoretically enhance his goal threat.

Ndiaye is third only to Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£4.9m) for expected assists (xA) among Everton players, with 2.7.

Combined with penalty duties, as well as defensive contribution (DefCon) potential, Ndiaye could be a real difference maker.

Everton entertain Leeds on Monday, who could be without Jaka Bijol (£3.9m) and Gabriel Gudmundsson (£3.8m) due to injury.

And with the fixture list kind for some time to come (they also host Burnley in Gameweek 29), the 3.3% owned midfielder looks worthy of consideration.


BRIAN BROBBEY

FPL notes: Sunderland’s home form + Brobbey “getting better game after game”

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: whu | BUR | ars | LIV | FUL

Sunderland’s Brian Brobbey (£5.5m) has emerged as a fresh budget forward option after some fine recent displays.

The Dutchman has found the net in two of his last three Premier League matches, claiming the maximum bonus on each occasion.

Benefitting from a sustained run in the starting XI, Brobbey now faces West Ham United and Burnley.

“Brian is getting better game after game; you can feel it. His teammates are really comfortable playing through him when he is in the box. When he is in the box, he is a massive threat, and he has built some strong understanding with them. Now we are seeing the best version of Brian.” – Regis Le Bris on Brian Brobbey

Notably, all 16 of Brobbey’s shots this season have arrived inside the penalty box:

Given that upcoming opponents, West Ham and Burnley, have combined for only four clean sheets this season, and are ranked 19th and 20th respectively for shots in the box conceded, Brobbey will surely get opportunities to add to his goal tally.

Priced kindly, and owned by only 0.7% of Fantasy managers, Brobbey can provide a nice solution for those in need of a forward enabler.


214 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Total bench points here?

    Dubravka (TOT)
    Alderete (whu)
    Tarkowski (LEE)

    Could swap Guiu for Kroupi (LIV) or Mane (mci) and bench boost if it looks like it could be around 20 points

    1. The Big Fella
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Who are you playing if not Tarkowski this week?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        It’s Guehi (WOL) and Rogers (new) over Tark.

        Everton seem to be better defensively away from home and Leeds scoring well at the minute

  2. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Use a FT or two, or roll?

    2 FTs, 0.5 in the bank

    Pope
    Gabriel, Timber, Chalobah
    Rogers, Wilson, Saka, Foden
    Haaland, Raul, Ekitike

    Subs: Dub, Senesi, Rodon, King

    1. The Tonberry
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      The team's fine this week. You'll be in a stronger position with 3FT next week to bring in the players with a good fixture swing

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Solid. Hold.

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Cheers! Feels a bit restless regarding non performers, but will fix next week with 3 FTs, fingers crossed for this week

  3. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    I have seen a few posts doubting whether Foden starts - why do we think he won’t start? I was debating keeping him this week versus wolves and then selling next week

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Nonexistent form, recent early subs when Pep was chasing (I think), improving options elsewhere like Semenyo and Cherki

      1. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        All three can play but yeah, poor form recently won't be in his favour. Cheers mate!

    2. Jstap94
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Feels like a def sell next week for Bruno. Hard this week as the fixture is so good, I do think he will get a rest

      1. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        This is exactly my plan - just need to find the extra money now (will have 2 FTs though).

    3. PogChamp
      • 14 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      There is history with Pep which suggests that even the smallest drop in form means the bench. I think in the past he tends to give him a few 70 minute games before dropping him.

      1. The Big Fella
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Not looking good for England in the summer as Bellingham isn't doing great this season either........

    4. MJF
        4 months, 20 days ago

        There's always a chance with Pep and he's been in poor form. I am leaning towards keeping this week in large part because I want 2FTs next week, and he will come off the bench anyway which may suit him v tired.

        1. The Big Fella
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 20 days ago

          Yeah I will have 2 FTs next week too - intend to bring in Bruno for him and use the other to find the 0.5m I am short

      • Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        He should start because he didn’t play the full 90 in Europe.

    5. Von Lipwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Does anyone know if Gudmunson will play this GW?

    6. MetallicaJack93
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Bottomed

      Correct to bench O'Reilly?

      Pickford
      Gab Timber Guehi
      Bruno Semenyo Rice Rogers
      Haaland Watkins Thiago
      Dub O'Reilly Dorgu Miley

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Yeah, since he's at risk of not starting

    7. Jstap94
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Will Haaland get a rest? I think unlikely this week but def at risk going forward.

      And if he does get a rest, will he come off the bench?

      1. Better off with a pin and a…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        It's not impossible. Marmoush is back, Semenyo available and rested midweek. If he doesn't start I would think he's likely to come off the bench, yes - unless they are well ahead and cruising maybe.

    8. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Eddie Howe on Bruno G:

      "We hope it is not serious; extent of the injury is still unknown, he was reasonably positive after the game, he is the guy that will never rule anything out, we are going to give him every chance for this weekend. We will try and make the right decision with Bruno; he is a pivotal player."

      https://x.com/i/status/2014632196326174786

      1. JBG
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Isn't Howe notorious for lying about or underestimating injuries?

      2. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        As expected. Useless tit 🙄

      3. Gudjohnsen
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        so hold or get rid?

        1. SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          4 months, 20 days ago

          Get rid

      4. MJF
          4 months, 20 days ago

          What is the point of these pressers.

          1. JBG
            • 8 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Wish the PL did like the NFL does, think it's NFL at least, where they have to just say straight out if the player is injured is going to play. No mystery messages or maybes or sh*te like that.

            1. JBG
              • 8 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Or is going*

      5. jeffa79
        • 12 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Pick 3 from:

        A) Cash
        B) Tarkowski
        C) Lacroix
        D) Andersen
        E) Kerkez

        I have Alisson as my keeper.

      6. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        I doubt that BrunoG makes it

        This is just hope

        Eddie Howe. #NUFC

        Team news...

        On Guimaraes, who limped off against PSV on Wednesday night.

        'I think with Bruno, we hope it is not serious. The extent of the injury is unknown. Speaking to him again, he is a guy we never rule out, so we will give him every chance this weekend. We will see...'

        'We will always try to make the right decision. To protect the long-term. We will try to do that, Bruno. He is a match-winner and an inspiration, so we need him.'

        https://x.com/i/status/2014632862989848672

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          4 months, 20 days ago

          It’s not hope, it’s lies. How can they not know the extent of the injury yet?

        2. Pep Roulette
          • 8 Years
          4 months, 20 days ago

          I think he'll definitely feature tomorrow. Could be off the bench. But he'll make the squad.

          1. The Big Fella
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            He may choose to use the same players he did in the CL as they did so well and expect that it will build momentum and give his star player a rest

          2. Amartey Partey
            • 6 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            It doesn’t make sense to put him on as a sub if he’s injured. Wouldn’t he just start if he’s able to play?

      7. MJF
          4 months, 20 days ago

          You reckon rolling's the right move here?

          Roefs
          Gab Timber Mukiele
          Saka Foden Rogers Enzo
          Haaland Ekitike Thiago

          Dub | KDH* Thiaw Dorgu

          0.0 ITB!

          1. JBG
            • 8 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Yup, unless you get any Foden benching news

            1. MJF
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Cheers.

          2. YoungPretender
            • 11 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Cunha > Ndiaye?

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • 9 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Yes

            2. JBG
              • 8 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Do it

          3. Pep Roulette
            • 8 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Looks like Bruno G is set to feature against Villa. Could start or come off the bench.

            Start one?

            A. Bruno vs AVL(H)
            B. Garner vs LEE(H)

            1. Ze_Austin
              • 7 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Must be new to Howe's pressers

            2. Sun God Nika
              • 5 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Is it guaranteed though

            3. The Big Fella
              • 9 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              I am not as convinced about that as you are. I am debating selling him still.

            4. The Knights Template
              • 12 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              C’mon fam! What’re you talking about!

            5. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Based on what? The only information we have is that he has an injury.

          4. Sun God Nika
            • 5 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            I need help lads do i keep my 5 city players until next week just hit the button now
            Got Haaland, Cherki, Semen, Guehi, OReilly

            but tempted to rid Cherki for Enzo or Schade this week (but it means i have to also get rid of oreilly at the same time as i rather have guehi)

            my remaining def is Gabriel, Senesi, Mukiele

            1. Ze_Austin
              • 7 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              It's the one GW to keep them for

              1. Sun God Nika
                • 5 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Yeah you think all will start though, cherki feels like he could be a benched player , i know pep roulette is a thing but still

            2. The Big Fella
              • 9 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Definitely keep for this week. Could be gold if this is the week they find their form again.

          5. Bobby Crush
            • 11 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Who would you prioritise getting in for the medium term:

            A) Chalobah
            B) Tarko
            C) An Other

            Would be for Keane or Senesi

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • 9 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              A

              1. Bobby Crush
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Thanks!

            2. Bobby Crush
              • 11 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              When do we expect Braitwathe back?

          6. Letsgo!
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            I think hall still got chance start this week?

            1. Bobby Crush
              • 11 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              I think, but could get some 15-20
              Min rest imo.

          7. ViperStripes
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Would love to bring in Enzo ahead of their good run, but would be for a hit:

            Sanchez
            Timber, Gab, Mukiele
            Szo, Xhaka, BrunoF, Rogers
            Ekitike, DCL, Haaland

            Dub, Cunha, Dorgu, Esteve
            3.4m itb

            So up for consideration this week (-4) or next for free is 1 of.....
            a) Szo > Enzo
            b) Cunha > Saka/Rice

          8. yakirh
            • 10 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Who to start and who should be 1st bench?

            BrunoG
            Cherki
            VVD

            1. ViperStripes
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Cherki, BrunoG

          9. cuppatea78
            • 13 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Is selling Bruno G for Enzo worth a -4?

            My bench options are:
            Collins v NFO (H), Thiaw v AVL (H), Mane v MCI (A).

            My other midfielders are:
            Palmer, Bruno F, Rice, Wilson

            1. ViperStripes
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Play Mane - city do tend to concede even when they win.

            2. Sir Michael Taker
              • 11 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Great fixture for Collins. Forest fail to score a lot and they concede from set plays a lot. Get him off your bench asap

          10. Jokesy87
            • 11 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            A) O'reilly and Saka -> Semenyo and Gabriel?
            B) O'reilly, Saka, Keane -> Semenyo, Gabriel, Dorgu
            C) O'reilly, Saka, Keane, Foden -> Semenyo, Gabriel, Dorgu, Bruno
            D) Hold

            I have 4 FT so no points impact for any of the above

            Current team:
            Raya
            Mukiele VDV O'Reilly
            Foden Saka Rice Wilson
            Haaland Ekitike Pedro
            Subs: Andersen, Xhaka, Keane, Dubravka

            Chasing in my cash league - so looking to make some moves!

          11. The Philosopher
            • 5 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            What to do with O'Reilly the fker?

            1. Bale11
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Leave him for 1 more week

            2. ViperStripes
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              I switched to Dorgu to release cash. 4.2m defender who plays OOP even if only for acouple of weeks seemed like a good option to me, will usually be my 2nd bench player

          12. SpaceCadet
            • 12 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Better option this gw?

            a. diouf
            b. mukiele -4
            c. tark -4

            1. Bale11
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              A

          13. boc610
            • 14 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Eddie Howe speaks fluent 'Linkedin' at his pressers, he really should have a translator with him at all times

          14. Bale11
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Any news on Palmer as I’m leaning towards a but which option sounds best?
            A) Saka, Rutter and Foden out for Semenyo, Wilson and Palmer
            B) Saka, Rutter and Foden out for Bruno, Enzo and Semenyo
            C) Saka and Rutter out for Bruno and Enzo

          15. RedJive79
            • 6 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Would you roll this?

            Pickford
            Gabriel / Guehi / O'Reilly
            Wilson / Rogers / Rice / Saka/
            Haaland / Thiago / Ekitike

            1. Bale11
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Yep

          16. Scotty Dog
            • 7 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Teams in a mess, Bruno G, Cherki, Saka doubts to start and only mukiele and rodon as bench cover, 0 transfers remaining. Considering this early wc:-

            Sanchez Dubravka
            Gabriel Tarkowski Guehi Chalobah Mukiele
            Saka Rice BrunoF Semenyo Ndiaye
            Haaland Mane Kroupi

            1.7m itb to allow future moves such as Saka to Palmer, Semenyo to Enzo/Mbeumo, Tarkowski to Timber.

            Im assuming any transfers already made this gw week will be cancelled and carried over?

            Any thoughts appreciated.

            1. ViperStripes
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              I'm playing Mukiele

            2. boc610
              • 14 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              you really think saka doesnt start against united?

            3. Scotty Dog
              • 7 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              I'm not confident after he played 90 in the champs league, recent benching in prem and the home fixture for Arsenal. Certainly theres a chance he comes off bench as an impact sub imo.

            4. MJF
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Saka off the bench for 20 is probably not that bad, I am not too bothered and keeping for this week but intend to fire him into the sun next week.

            5. Ajax Hamsterdam
              • 11 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Is ndiaye definitely starting v Leeds ?

              1. ViperStripes
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Let me just consult my tunnel into the managers head

              2. JBG
                • 8 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Most likely, unless Moyes says otherwise

              3. Jet5605
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                With Grealish out I'd be very confident about that unless we hear otherwise

              4. Sir Michael Taker
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Grealish injury probably helps the situation?

            6. Jet5605
              • 11 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              2FT and 0.8 ITB. Main concern is a weak bench (Dorgu 1st sub) if BrunoG is out. If he's out should I do:

              A - Cunha to Ndiaye
              B - Roll and play Dorgu off the bench if BrunoG is out

              Pickford
              Gabriel - Timber - Andersen
              Foden - BrunoG - Rice - Szob
              Haaland - Ekitike - DCL

              Dubravka - Dorgu - Cunha - Guddy

            7. Cloudvalley
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Verbruggen
                Chalobah, Gab, Timb
                Palmer, Enzo, Rogers, BrunoF, Rice
                Haaland, Thiago
                (Dub, Kroupi, Frimpong, Gudmundsson)

                Gut feeling Kroupi will haul and take penalties onwards.
                Bench who for Kroupi or bench Kroupi?

                1. golfboy
                  • 8 Years
                  4 months, 20 days ago

                  If you think he'll haul then possibly bench BrunoF vs Arsenal

                2. Sir Michael Taker
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 20 days ago

                  Hes a tough one to own. Minutes have continued to be not great (fine for his price I guess) and that has to be factored into any pen share which is uncertain anyway. If he gets them he just probably isnt on the pitch for a third of most games

                3. Tonyawesome69
                  • 7 Years
                  4 months, 20 days ago

                  what's your gut feeling on Roger's this weekend? Thurs away to Turkey then away to Newcastle on Sunday

                  1. Cloudvalley
                      4 months, 20 days ago

                      Rogers is a machine with high xgi, I wouldn't bench him

                4. golfboy
                  • 8 Years
                  4 months, 20 days ago

                  I think there's a high chance Foden gets benched this weekend and Bruno G doesn't play, do you think it's worth using 1FT to switch Foden to Semenyo? Or rely on the bench and roll it?

                  Raya
                  Tark Gabriel Guehi
                  Saka Wilson Wirtz Foden BrunoG
                  Thiago Haaland

                  Dub. Raul VDV Rodon

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 7 Years
                    4 months, 20 days ago

                    use your bench

                5. basilfawlty
                  • 4 Years
                  4 months, 20 days ago

                  Anything to change here?

                  Raya
                  Gabriel Andersen Tarkowski
                  Rogers Wilson Foden Rice
                  Haaland Ekitike Thiago

                  Dubravka Chalobah Miley Dorgu 1 FT 2.7 ITB