Spot the Differential
10 February 2026 277 comments
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It’s time to look at some more differentials as Gameweek 26 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) comes swiftly into view.

These three players all have an ownership of 5% or less.


JORGEN STRAND LARSEN

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: BUR | WOL | mun | tot | LEE

While Ismaila Sarr (£6.3m) was the main headline-maker in Crystal Palace’s derby win over Brighton and Hove Albion on Sunday, it’s also important to mention the role played by Jorgen Strand Larsen (£6.1m).

The Norwegian, who played as the lone striker in Oliver Glasner’s 3-4-2-1 formation (see image below), ultimately blanked, but he led the line well, racked up three shots and probably should have scored late on, when his low strike from Daniel Munoz’s (£5.8m) cutback was saved.

Jean-Philippe Mateta (£7.5m) has, of course, been ruled out of Gameweek 26.

It opens the door for a Strand Larsen punt against Burnley, who are ranked 20th for actual and expected goals conceded (xGC) in 2025/26. Scott Parker’s side are also without a win in 16 league matches.

Furthermore, with upcoming fixtures against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, three of the current bottom five are set to visit Selhurst Park over the next five Gameweeks, before a likely blank in Gameweek 31.

Strand Larsen has obviously only just arrived at Palace, but when you consider the chances Mateta has been presented with this season, it’s clear they will play to his strengths.

“The style of play here suits me. It is intense, high pressure, winning the ball high up the pitch. We had a few chances today, and the more we train together, the more we play together, they will know my qualities and my strengths. I felt like I had a good game today but there is a lot of improvement as well, but a really good start to my journey here. I got fed a lot today and I will be in the future, so I’m looking forward to it.” – Jorgen Strand Larsen

So, while it is Sarr who has understandably attracted the most transfers in this week, having scored in back-to-back Gameweeks, it could actually be Strand Larsen who represents the strongest attacking option against the deep blocks of Burnley and Wolves.


MARTIN ZUBIMENDI

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: bre + wol | tot | CHE | bha | EVE

Martin Zubimendi (£5.3m) has quietly racked up nine attacking returns in all competitions this season.

Five goals have arrived in the Premier League, the joint-second-most of any Arsenal player:

Now admittedly, Zubimendi doesn’t shoot a lot – he’s averaging a goal attempt every 94.9 minutes in 2025/26.

He doesn’t create much either (139 minutes per chance created), but as a nailed-on, in-form £5.3m ‘doubler’, Zubimendi could be worth a look if, for example, you can’t afford Declan Rice (£7.5m).

It’s also important to mention that Zubimendi has banked defensive contribution (DefCon) points in two of his last six matches, and wasn’t far off in Gameweek 24, with three clearances, six recoveries and two tackles.

Notably, Zubimendi’s strike against Sunderland last week was his second from outside the box this season. Next up are Brentford and Wolves, who both rank in the bottom four for shots conceded from such situations.

“Zubi’s [goal] is a special one as well. He’s contributing now to the team in a way that probably we didn’t expect that much, but he really has an intuition and quality to deliver those moments in and around the box.” – Mikel Arteta on Martin Zubimendi

Beyond the ‘double’, Zubimendi can easily be benched without eating up too much of your budget, so perhaps we shouldn’t be too hasty in overlooking the Spaniard as a valid budget option this week.


TOLU AROKODARE

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: nfo + ARS | cry | AVL | LIV | bre

Another ‘doubler’, Tolu Arokodare (£5.4m) could be gambled on in Gameweek 26.

The Nigerian centre-forward has been presented with some decent chances over the last six Gameweeks, finding the net against Chelsea on Saturday, with his StatsBomb shot map from this period included below.

Tolu’s shot-to-goal conversion rate is admittedly poor this season (6.7%), so you aren’t getting a reliable finisher.

However, his minutes look relatively secure in light of Strand Larsen’s departure.

A four-point floor in Double Gameweek 26 consequently looks possible, then.

Tolu is obviously most likely to get some joy against 17th-placed Nottingham Forest on Wednesday, rather than Arsenal. Indeed, across the Tricky Trees’ last four home matches, they rank 19th for shots conceded and 16th for xGC.

Although Wolves have lost their last three games, performances have been much better under Rob Edwards this year, with favourable results against West Ham United, Everton and Newcastle United.

So, for those needing to free up some cash, Tolu could present a handy solution, and with an ownership of only 0.3%, he also provides a bit of upside if he can build on his goal against Chelsea.


price change predictions
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  1. Fred the Red
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    17 days, 17 hours ago

    Worth doing Harry Wilson to Sarr this week, if it means needing to bench one of Rogers, Semenyo, or Mane?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Nope

      1. Fred the Red
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Cheers! Holding off on that transfer. Locked and loaded!

    2. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      BGW 31 might be pretty dicey for you with Semenyo, Mane and Sarr + Triple Arsenal and Haaland

      1. Fred the Red
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        For most/a lot of people I imagine? Should be able to bank 4-6 transfers before 31, plus aren't a lot of folks considering the free hit?

    3. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      noo

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      No, I’d want to start all three of them

  2. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    17 days, 17 hours ago

    Who should I start?

    A) Dubravka (cry)
    B) Roefs (LIV)

    1. PM
      • 16 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      A

      1. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Agree

  3. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    17 days, 17 hours ago

    Can someone tell me how have Bournemouth been while defending set pieces and corners?

  4. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    17 days, 17 hours ago

    Bottomed
    Isn’t option A better than option B?

    A) TC Haaland + BB in single gw
    Vs
    B) TC Gabriel + BB in dgw (where your bench would probably be single gw players anyways?)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      A

  5. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    17 days, 17 hours ago

    TC rice anyone ?

    1. Bleh
      • 9 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      I own him but he’s been inconsistent of late. Looking to get rid soon.

      1. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          His underlying numbers are still decent, just a matter of time before he starts returning soon……I hope 🙂

        • Mr. O'Connell
          • 13 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          Consistent is exactly what he has been tbf

      2. PM
        • 16 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Thought about it, but going Gabriel. VC Rice

        1. Cold Palms
          • 1 Year
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          Triple captain a player on pens in a Dgw is my theory who’s taking pens for Arsenal ? - I’m waiting

    2. Bobkat
      • 3 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Any Everton fans or anyone else in the know think Keane will be benched? I either play him or go with Hill or Mukiele to play it safe

      1. Sgt. Schultz
        • 9 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Bench Keane

      2. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Definitely Hill

      3. Mr. O'Connell
        • 13 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Switched Keane to Hill myself when I read the team news. Have a track record for getting these wrong, mind.

      4. Bobkat
        • 3 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Thanks all. Currently playing Hill

    3. Bleh
      • 9 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Start 1:

      A. Thiago - ARS (H)
      B. Mukiele - LIV (H)
      C. Wilson - MCI (A)
      D. Senesi - EVE (A)

      1. PM
        • 16 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        A

      2. theshazly
        • 2 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        D

    4. PM
      • 16 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Pick 2 to start

      1. Morgan Rogers (BHA)
      2. Wirtz (@SUN)
      3. Mateus Mane (@ NFO, ARS)

      Thanks

      1. Bleh
        • 9 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        1 and 3.

      2. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Ouch. I agree 1 and 3 but there must be better options to allow you to play 3

    5. Fred the Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Best defender to bring in this week for a long-ish hold and for who?

      Current defense: Gabriel, Guehi, Andersen, Gudmunsen, Van Hecke, keepers are Raya and Dubravka

      1. Bleh
        • 9 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Cash?

        1. Fred the Red
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          Lol do you mean Matty or ITB? 1.9 ITB but not looking to bring in a premium defender.

        2. Fred the Red
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          Lol Matty or ITB? Have 1.9 but not looking to spend more than 6.

      2. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        I really like Munoz as an option. I am struggling to make the funds work but will get there if I can

      3. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Van Hecke to Muñoz/Lacroix/Richards if you've got BGW31 covered. Cash/Hill if you haven't

        1. Fred the Red
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          Cheers, should be able to bank upto 6 transfers for that GW. Plus aren't folks planning to use FH in 31 given City and Arsenal are blanking?

    6. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      I'm hitting cabin fever possibly, but stick with me. Want to generate some funds so Semenyo to:

      A. Anderson
      B. Rayan
      C. Dango
      D. Amad
      E. None

      1. PM
        • 16 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        C or B
        Like the idea

    7. Cold Palms
      • 1 Year
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Palace defender with a Z in his name

      1. theshazly
        • 2 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Zebos

    8. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Lewis hall likely to start tonight?

      Or potentially rotated? Thanks

    9. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Worth to get d.Rice for any of?
      A. Mbuemo
      B. Enzo
      C. Semenyo

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        I wouldn't lose any of those 3 but you really want 3 Ars players

    10. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Get Munoz Not Sarr
      A- Yaaay Munoz till end of season
      B - Naay Sarr is better sort term

      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        A

      2. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        A

      3. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Cheers

    11. Viper
      • 16 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      A. Van Dijk -> Munoz

      B. Dorgu & Bowen -> Munoz & Strand Larsen (2Fts)

      C. Roll. Play Bowen & Van Dijk

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        A

      2. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        A

        Not a fan of Bowen to SL in B but assume it's needed to generate funds, hence choosing A.

      3. PM
        • 16 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        C
        A
        Not B

      4. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        C

    12. jcr1997
      • 5 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Chasing in mini league, guessing everyone will TC Gabriel.

      Any reasons not to TC Zubimendi or Saliba?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        The main reason would be that you don't want to fall further behind

      2. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Yes: you weren't considering them as TC until you factored in what others would do

        If you found either of them to be obvious C/TC candidates, this wouldn't be the question

    13. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Locke din

      Martinez
      Gabriel Timber Munoz
      Ri(ce) Enzo Wilson Bruno
      Haaland Thiago Bowen

      Dubrav VdV Alderete King

    14. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Which 2 to start?
      A. Mane
      B. Thiago
      C. Dalot
      D. Semenyo (bench risk?)

      1. kempc23
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        A, D, C, B

        1. nico05
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          Thanks

    15. Junks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Timber C anyone??

      1. ryskal
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Yep. My finger is dangerously close to the TC button.

    16. kempc23
      • 11 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Would you do Wirtz to Sarr to attack the BUR and WOL fixtures? I have 4FTs. Wildcard used, so its booking in a transfer for 31 (1 City and 3 Arsenal currently).

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Nope. Wirtz could outscore him

    17. ryskal
      • 7 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Play 2 of:

      A. Dalot
      B. Guehi
      C. H.Wilson
      D. Thiago

      Thank you!

      1. kempc23
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Hmm, probably in that order.

        1. ryskal
          • 7 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          That would mean playing 5 Defs, with Gabriel, Timber, Munoz. Like the olden days of TAA, Robbo and Cancelo!

    18. John Colby (C)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      I’m having an absolute stinker of a season. I’m thinking of just wildcarding so I don’t have to look at the dismal squad I have. Is it wrong to wildcard this week - we don’t know who will be doubling later on in April/May.

      1. Count Olaf
        • 1 Year
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Wait in my opinion. Unless you don't have any Arsenal, then I'd consider WC.

        1. John Colby (C)
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          Thank you for replying Count Olaf. I have Gab and Rice but I’m really intrigued by the look of Palace and Rayan.

          1. Count Olaf
            • 1 Year
            17 days, 17 hours ago

            How many Free transfers do you have?

    19. DandyDon
      • 7 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      a) Mbuemo to Martinelli and Taty to Strand Larsen
      b) Taty to Gykores and Mbuemo to Dewsbury-Hall

    20. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Thinking to captain Gyokeres instead of Gabriel tbh

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        I'd probably do it if I had him. Not TC mind you. But definitely worth a punt with C. Seems to score Vs ex-Championship teams so should do it against soon-to-be-Championship Wolves

    21. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      captain Gabriel or Rice?

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Yes

    22. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      FPL not opening on the phone browser. All other sites working fine. Any help?

      1. La Roja
        • 13 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        Working fine for me. Using Nokia?

        1. SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          iPhone safari

      2. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        FPL mobile website working fine for me on Chrome

    23. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      TC Gab, all set?

      Raya
      Gab/Timber/VVD
      BrunoF/Wirtz/Enzo/Sarr
      Haaland/Ekitike/JPedro

      Dub/Potts/Heaven/Dorgu

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        I’ve gone off it but good luck to those going with it. 500% EO ARS def se is massive for you

    24. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Hypothetically what scores more:

      A) Gabriel (bre, wol)
      B) Haaland (ARS, CPA)

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        17 days, 17 hours ago

        B has a higher ceiling, A has a higher base

        1. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          17 days, 17 hours ago

          This

    25. FDMS All Starz
      • 10 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Would you do these moves regardless of gw31 blank? Will try and navigate it with FTs.

      Keane & LeFee —> Munoz & Sarr (2FTs)

      Verbruggen (Areola)
      Gabriel* Timber* Keane (VDB Andersen)
      Rice* Bruno Mbuemo Enzo (LeFee)
      Haaland* Thiago Kroupi
      (2FTs & 3.7itb)
      * = blank in gw31 (already have 4 and possible 5 if VDB is dropped)

    26. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      17 days, 17 hours ago

      Anyone else thinking Haaland (c)?