Spot the Differential
15 May 2026 405 comments
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Our Gameweek 37 differentials column puts the spotlight on three low-owned players.

This time, we’ve selected assets from Everton, Brentford and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.

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BETO

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SUN | tot

A favourable home fixture against Sunderland has seen us plump for Everton forward Beto (£5.0m) as our headline differential.

Crucially, the Toffees can still finish as high as sixth, and need to win in order to maintain their hopes of European qualification.

Beto has found the net six times in his last eight matches, the most of any forward from Gameweek 28 onwards.

In that time, he has received eight Opta ‘big chances’, and averaged a shot every 31.9 minutes:

Beto’s appeal is further boosted by the fact that Sunderland are third-bottom for StatsBomb expected goals conceded (xGC) in away matches across 2025/26.

The forward could get some joy from crosses into the box, too.

That’s because Regis Le Bris’ men are 18th for headed chances conceded in the last six matches.

While many Fantasy managers are looking to Everton teammate Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.3m) this week, the fifth-most transferred-in player, Beto is going under the radar and could be worth a gamble.


KEANE LEWIS-POTTER

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: CRY | liv

Brentford play host to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 37, so Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) could be worth a punt.

The 25-year-old has impressed for Keith Andrews’ side recently, getting forward at every opportunity from left-back.

Indeed, since returning to the Brentford starting XI in Gameweek 30, he’s supplied two assists in seven matches.

In that time, he ranks second among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI), having received 14 passes in the opposition penalty box.

Above: Defenders sorted by passes received in the opposition penalty box (Pen) in Gameweeks 30-36

Clean sheets are the bread and butter for Fantasy defenders, however, and Brentford have four of those since the start of March, the second-most of any team behind Arsenal.

The goalscoring form of Palace is far from prolific, too, having failed to find the net in each of their last two away matches, with Europe very much the focus for the remainder of the campaign.

Like Everton and a few other clubs, Brentford are locked in a battle for sixth, which may even be enough for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Lewis-Potter, who comes with obvious attacking upside, could subsequently prove a canny acquisition.


HARVEY BARNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: WHU | ful

Following an impressive substitute appearance at the City Ground last week, Harvey Barnes (£6.1m) presents an intriguing differential option.

The winger scored in the 74th minute and has now netted in consecutive Gameweeks, bringing his total for the season to 16 goals across all competitions

His underlying numbers further illustrate his impact.

Barnes is averaging a shot every 35.9 minutes in 2025/26, the fastest rate of any Newcastle player.

On home turf, it’s even better (27.8 minutes per shot).

With Anthony Gordon (£7.3m) seemingly out of the picture, Barnes looks like he’s in the frame to start in Gameweek 37.

Speaking last week, Eddie Howe said:

“He is such a good player and he has goals in him. He has done well for us historically, off the bench. He has done well when he’s started too and he’s an outstanding player. He took his goal well and that gives Harvey a great chance to start the next game.” – Eddie Howe on Harvey Barnes

Barnes’ match-up with West Ham United on Sunday looks favourable.

Instead of merely relying on a draw, the Hammers will likely try to come out and beat Newcastle, so Barnes, who has an ownership of just 1.1%, could have a field day if the match becomes more dynamic.

A favourable fixture follows, too, with a trip to Fulham on the final day.

It all bodes well for Barnes, whose pace and goal threat could cause plenty of problems for both opponents.

There’s an obvious risk involved with Newcastle stocked with wide options, but Barnes could hold the upper hand given his recent output.

At least we know that when Barnes gets on the pitch, he’s more than capable of finding the net, as shown in Gameweeks 35 and 36.


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405 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Udogie-style
    • 2 Years
    7 hours, 19 mins ago

    Why is Keane over Tarkowski the popular decision?

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 15 mins ago

      Cheap, same stats roughly

  2. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 hours, 16 mins ago

    2ft

    Raya
    Gab O'Reilly MUNOZ
    Saka Bruno Cherki KDH Gross
    Haaland Welbeck

    B. Dcl, VanHecke, Struijk

    A) Munoz > Keane (bench Van Hecke)
    B) A+ Welbeck > Thiago
    C) Save, play Munoz/VanHecke and Welbeck

  3. GC123
    • 4 Years
    7 hours, 14 mins ago

    Hi guys. Start Welbeck over Mainoo? Mainoo has been ticking over lately

    1. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      7 hours, 4 mins ago

      Start Welbeck

      1. GC123
        • 4 Years
        7 hours, 2 mins ago

        Thanks ball

  4. Donny_Rover
    • 10 Years
    7 hours, 9 mins ago

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel Saliba O’Reilly
    Bruno Garner Dango Cherki
    Gyokeres (c) Haaland Thiago

    Darlow Rogers Virgil Canvot

    Good to go?

  5. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 hours, 5 mins ago

    Differential captain needed
    Behind in ML and nothing to lose.

    Captain:

    A) Ndiaye
    B) Saka
    C) Haaland
    D) Bruno F
    E) Tarkowski

    ML rival has B, C, D in his team.

  6. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 hours, 4 mins ago

    Gabriel and Bruno more secured minutes than the other captain candidates (Saka, Haaland, Gyokeres, Trossard, etc.)?

  7. jamesuk
    • 4 Years
    7 hours, 2 mins ago

    guys what do you think of the team
    Darlow
    Guehi - Senesi - Gabriel
    Saka (C) - Semenyo - Bruno - Wilson
    Pedro - Wellbeck Haaland

    Only 0.3 in the bank
    Considering Haaland to Gyokeres any thoughts?
    Want at least 2 transfers for GW38 in case Arse have won the league and we get loads of rotation

  8. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 hours, 48 mins ago

    Trossard BrunoG or KDH/Ndiaye?

    1. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      6 hours, 46 mins ago

      KDH or Trossard

  9. Pegboy
    • 15 Years
    6 hours, 46 mins ago

    For this week only, choose one of the following:

    Hinshelwood (lee)
    Bruno G (WHM)
    Barnes (WHM)
    Casimero (NFO)
    Szob (avl)
    Ndiyae (SUN)

  10. Drop Dead Tsimikas
    • 14 Years
    3 hours, 56 mins ago

    Virgil has been next to useless, especially at his price point. The schadenfreude when Bournemouth qualifies for CL over Liverpool is going to be off the charts.