FPL Gameweek 38: Best clean sheet odds

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Bowen	WHU	7.7m	102.7%	Very Likely
Richarlison	TOT	6.4m	82.9%	Likely
Virgil	LIV	6.0m	88.9%	Likely
Ngumoha	LIV	4.3m	99.3%	Maybe
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	98.7%	Maybe
Enzo	CHE	6.4m	82.3%	Maybe
B.Fernandes	MUN	10.4m	87.0%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	83.6%	Unlikely
Doku	MCI	6.5m	82.8%	Unlikely
Lewis-Skelly	ARS	5.0m	72.5%	Unlikely
Calvert-Lewin	LEE	5.8m	69.6%	Unlikely
Rayan	BOU	5.4m	66.3%	Unlikely
Bassey	FUL	4.4m	69.2%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	66.1%	Unlikely
Gibbs-White	NFO	7.5m	45.7%	Unlikely
Saka	ARS	10.0m	71.0%	Unlikely
Bijol	LEE	3.9m	64.4%	Unlikely
Lammens	MUN	5.1m	62.8%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	MCI	5.7m	63.7%	Unlikely
Minteh	BHA	5.5m	60.2%	Unlikely
Ødegaard	ARS	7.8m	56.8%	Unlikely
Hermansen	WHU	4.2m	54.1%	Unlikely
Flemming	BUR	5.3m	51.0%	Unlikely
M.Fernandes	WHU	5.5m	51.5%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	55.4%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	50.6%	Unlikely
Robinson	FUL	4.9m	49.6%	Unlikely
Damsgaard	BRE	5.6m	50.6%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.9m	50.8%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.5m	49.7%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	49.1%	Unlikely
Burn	NEW	5.0m	46.8%	Unlikely
Dowman	ARS	4.2m	43.9%	Unlikely
Maguire	MUN	4.4m	42.1%	Unlikely
Stach	LEE	4.8m	44.2%	Unlikely
Bruno G.	NEW	6.9m	36.4%	Unlikely
Mykolenko	EVE	4.9m	39.7%	Unlikely
Frimpong	LIV	5.7m	39.7%	Unlikely
Acheampong	CHE	3.7m	38.2%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	38.4%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Thiago	BRE	7.3m	120.8%	Very Likely
Cherki	MCI	6.6m	91.2%	Likely
Reijnders	MCI	5.0m	97.8%	Maybe
Wilson	FUL	5.9m	85.0%	Unlikely
Kilman	WHU	4.1m	94.5%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	4.9m	93.4%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	4.9m	91.2%	Unlikely
Grealish	EVE	6.3m	91.7%	Unlikely
Welbeck	BHA	6.4m	85.7%	Unlikely
Hill	BOU	4.2m	90.0%	Unlikely
Sarr	CRY	6.4m	79.6%	Unlikely
Johnstone	WOL	4.4m	87.5%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.3m	85.8%	Unlikely
Obi	MUN	4.2m	84.1%	Unlikely
Byfield	TOT	4.0m	84.4%	Unlikely
Trafford	MCI	4.5m	82.2%	Unlikely
Caicedo	CHE	5.7m	80.4%	Unlikely
Cairns	LEE	3.9m	79.0%	Unlikely
Mee	MUN	3.9m	78.5%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.8m	79.4%	Unlikely
Gyökeres	ARS	9.1m	63.4%	Unlikely
Chalobah	CHE	5.4m	77.4%	Unlikely
Woltemade	NEW	6.7m	78.6%	Unlikely
McAidoo	MCI	4.5m	75.1%	Unlikely
Amissah	FUL	3.8m	74.1%	Unlikely
Van de Ven	TOT	4.4m	74.9%	Unlikely
Struijk	LEE	4.2m	68.7%	Unlikely
Salmon	ARS	4.0m	74.5%	Unlikely
Abraham	AVL	5.7m	69.3%	Unlikely
Emenalo	CHE	4.5m	72.6%	Unlikely
Johnson	CRY	6.5m	70.4%	Unlikely
Gonzalez	WOL	4.3m	70.5%	Unlikely
Steele	BHA	4.2m	67.4%	Unlikely
Calafiori	ARS	5.6m	68.1%	Unlikely
Wirtz	LIV	8.3m	66.9%	Unlikely
Konsa	AVL	4.4m	64.4%	Unlikely
Gunn	NFO	4.0m	62.1%	Unlikely
Ebere	EVE	4.4m	62.6%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.5m	59.1%	Unlikely
Cucurella	CHE	6.1m	60.6%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	A, Vs
Up	Pickford	EVE	C, Vs
Down	Donnarumma	MCI	B
Up	Leno	FUL	B, Vs
No Change	Verbruggen	BHA	B
No Change	Darlow	LEE	C, £

Last updated: 14 May, 2026 11:11pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	A, Vs
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	B
No Change	Keane	EVE	C, Vs
Up	Bassey	FUL	B, Vs
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	B
No Change	Porro	TOT	A
No Change	Hill	BOU	B, £
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	B
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	C

Last updated: 14 May, 2026 11:18pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	B
Up	Saka	ARS	B, Vs
Down	Cherki	MCI	B, Rest
Up	Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	A, Vs, £
Down	Wilson	FUL	C, Vs
Up	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	B
No Change	Hinshelwood	BHA	A, £
Up	Fernández	CHE	C

Last updated: 14 May, 2026 11:25pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A
No Change	Thiago	BRE	C
No Change	Bowen	WHU	B
Up	Gyokeres	ARS	B, Vs
Down	Welbeck	BHA	B
No Change	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	B
No Change	João Pedro	CHE	B

Last updated: 14 May, 2026 11:30pm

Using Rate My Team (RMT) projections to assess probability, this article highlights the teams with the strongest chances of shutting out their opponents and the defences worth targeting in Gameweek 38.

READ MORE: Bowen, Thiago, Arsenal players: Buy, keep or sell in Gameweek 38?
READ MORE: FPL Gameweek 38 team news: Thursday’s live injury updates

GAMEWEEK 38 CLEAN SHEET PROJECTIONS

Note: Percentages are from our Rate My Team (RMT) points projections

SUMMARY

Even after securing the Premier League title in Gameweek 37, Arsenal still sit comfortably at the top of the clean-sheet projections. The Gunners are the only side with more than a 40% chance of a shutout this week. However, with rotation expected against Crystal Palace, FPL managers should still approach their assets with some caution.

Another team with little left to play for is Manchester City, whose title tilt is over. This is also Pep Guardiola’s final Premier League match in charge, which makes predicting his line-up extremely difficult ahead of their clash with Europa League winners Aston Villa.

Tottenham Hotspur head into the final day hoping to avoid relegation. Despite winning just two home matches all season, Spurs still rank as the only other side above a 30% clean sheet projection this week. Nerves are certain to be high as they host an unpredictable Everton side.

Three clubs then sit level on a 29% clean sheet projection. Chelsea face Sunderland in a match where both sides are still chasing European qualification. Liverpool welcome Brentford, with both clubs also fighting for specific European positions heading into next season. Meanwhile, West Ham United must win to keep their survival hopes alive against a Leeds United side already safe from relegation.

One club that many managers may be surprised to see among the top projected defences is Burnley. They’ve posted some of the worst underlying defensive numbers in the league this season. However, a favourable fixture against bottom-side Wolverhampton Wanderers, the division’s lowest scorers, could still provide them with a strong opportunity to keep a clean sheet.

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