Spot the Differential
23 May 2026 154 comments
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Gameweek 38 is when Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differentials are needed more than ever.

With that in mind, here are three low-owned picks for your consideration.


ZIAN FLEMMING

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • Fixture: Wolves (h)

Zian Flemming (£5.3m) looks like a decent differential option for Gameweek 38.

In the battle to avoid finishing bottom, Burnley host a Wolverhampton Wanderers side that have kept just one away clean sheet all season.

For that reason, the Clarets will fancy their chances of a positive result at Turf Moor, especially after a couple of improved performances under interim boss Mike Jackson, which included a point against Aston Villa and a narrow defeat to Arsenal.

Flemming is perhaps the most likely to benefit, having racked up 10 goals this season, the most of any Burnley player.

Two of those goals were scored in the reverse fixture against Wolves earlier this season.

The penalty taker has also been afforded more shots than any other teammate in his last seven matches:

That has helped Flemming score three goals in that time.

As for Wolves, their last shutout was in February, and they remain in a precarious position defensively: in their last six matches, no side has conceded more big chances than Rob Edwards’ men.

That should mean Burnley get opportunities at Turf Moor, which could play into the hands of Flemming in potentially his last game for the Clarets, given the inevitable summer transfer interest.


PHIL FODEN

  • FPL ownership: 7.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • Fixture: Aston Villa (h)

On his day, Phil Foden (£8.0m) is certainly capable of racking up a cricket score.

Indeed, despite struggling for form for much of the campaign, he’s still racked up six double-digit hauls in 2025/26.

That’s the third-most of any FPL midfielder, despite him having only made 22 starts.

Foden impressed recently, with two assists and 12 points in the 3-0 win over Crystal Palace in Double Gameweek 36.  

In his most productive performance in months, notably in a deeper-lying midfield role, Foden created a match-high five chances for his teammates.

He offers real potential on Sunday, then, and could easily haul against an Aston Villa side with very little interest in this fixture, following their midweek Europa League win and subsequent trophy parade.

So, if Pep Guardiola does turn to his old favourites for his final match, we all know what Foden is capable of.

And with the extra incentive of proving a point to Thomas Tuchel following his England World Cup squad omission, Foden fits the profile of a potentially explosive final day differential, albeit it a risky one given the lack of gametime guarentees.


CRYSENCIO SUMMERVILLE

  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • Fixture: Leeds (h)

Crysencio Summerville (£5.4m) will go into Sunday’s encounter with strong motivation and the incentive to seek out goals.

Remember, West Ham United have to win against his former club, Leeds United, to maintain any hope of avoiding the drop.

While Jarrod Bowen (£7.7m) is the obvious pick from the Hammers’ attack, Summerville could be a cheaper final-day alternative.

He has produced five goals and three assists across the season.

Notably, all five of those strikes have arrived since the turn of the year.

While Summerville has blanked in each of his last six matches, he’s recorded 10 shots and six chances created in that time.

He also showed flashes of his quality at St James’ Park in Gameweek 37, completing six of his nine attempted dribbles.

On Sunday, he’ll be up against a Leeds team that have recently added Anton Stach (£4.8m) to their growing injury list, which also includes Gabriel Gudmundsson (£3.8m), Ilia Gruev (£4.7m), Sean Longstaff (£4.8m) and Noah Okafor (£5.5m).

Pascal Struijk (£4.2m) and Jayden Bogle (£4.4m) might be unavailable, too, although they have recently returned to training.

Just 1.4% of Fantasy managers own Summerville, so with West Ham needing to win, Gameweek 38 looks a good opportunity to take a chance on him.


154 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. thetommy14
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Gyokeres, Cherki out
    Bowen, MGW in

    Worth it for a -4 hit?

    1. H Dog
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Gyok to Bowen yes
      Wait to see if cherki plays otherwise yes, maybe Szob instead of you don’t have him

      1. Johnh1995
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        How do you see if Cherki plays

        1. H Dog
          • 16 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Could be leaked tomorrow

  2. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Start two

    A: Welbeck
    B: Hinshelwood
    C: Taverneir

    Start one

    1: Hill
    2: Van Hecke

    1. CoracAld2831
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A2

  3. Johnh1995
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    I have seen posts talking about leaks of starting line ups . Where do these leaks get posted and when?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Secret whatsapp groups for content creators. Tough luck if youre not in one of them

      1. Johnh1995
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Who controls these groups and what is a content creator

        1. el polako
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Mosad.
          Content creator is person making videos about fantasy football which have nickname either starting or ending with “fpl”.

          1. dan slo
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            I thought it was Tusk

  4. Ian Davis
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Any Man City defender most likely to start?

    1. CoracAld2831
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Seeing talk about Stones and Dias

      But surely O'Reilly will?

      Guehi less likely apparently.

  5. CoracAld2831
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Sorry if posted already:

    Regarding World Cup 2030: UEFA announces a new major-minor split Qualification format for 2030 World Cup in Spain & Portugal
    https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/articles/cjdpjxgklyeo

  6. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Pick one from each.

    A. Szobo
    B. Mgw

    1. Bowen
    2. Richarlison

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A2

  7. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    I've been considering Summerville, but his stats aren't great.

    Does he pass the eye test?

    Is Taty the way to go?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      West Ham are dire. The only game they put up a fight in the last 3 was Arsenal. They should have had the same must win mentality in all those games but are simply too bad.

      Don't understand the rush for west ham players

  8. windowview
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Bowen or Richarlinson?

    1. H Dog
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Bowen

      1. Johnh1995
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        You said Cherki info could be leaked tomorrow. Where to look please

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Here

          1. Johnh1995
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            Where do the leaks stem from

            1. The Knights Template
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 18 days ago

              I’m sorry, I wasn’t prepared for follow-up questioning!

              1. Twisted Saltergater
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 17 Years
                1 month, 18 days ago

                😆

              2. Johnh1995
                • 3 Years
                1 month, 17 days ago

                Unfortunately your one word answer was not very informative and I was simply trying to understand you

            2. z13
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 18 days ago

              Trusted twitter accounts. I don't know the usernames but if there is a trusted source that comes out with a leak everyone will be onto it, FPL twitter reddit and this page will all have it as well as lazyfpl

  9. simong1
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Raya
    Gabriel - NOR - Diouf
    Bruno (c) - Semenyo - Trossard - MGW
    Welbeck - Haaland - Thiago

    Dubravka - Hill - Wilson - Andersen

    Leading my ML by a measly 1 point so feel like my final FT is crucial! 1FT, 2.2ITB.

    A) Wilson > Szobosli & bench Trossard

    B Andersen > Mavropanos & bench Trossard or Diouf

    C) Other option??

    1. Johnh1995
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      I think your problems lie with the situation that Raya, Gabriel and Haaland might not even start

  10. jeffa79
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Drop 2 from:

    A) Hill
    B) Tarkowski
    C) Diouf
    D) Diop
    E) De Cuyper

    1. jeffa79
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      *as in bench

  11. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Tomorrow at the same time as we fret over fake team news from dubious sources, I would like to take this opportunity to say……………. I’m high.

  12. Maddi Son
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Would everybody agree that Trossard has a better chance of starting than Saka? I think it's highly likely they're both dropped and it will be a front 3 of Martinelli, Jesus & Madueke, but transferring out the wrong one could be costly. It feels wrong getting rid of Saka when both of my rivals have him, but I just don't see a world where he plays a single minute.

    1. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      I'm expecting neither start and same front 3 as you mentioned

  13. jeffa79
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Pope or Sanchez?

  14. Joyce1998
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Guehi>> Porro?

  15. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Just watched Salah: Farewell to the King. Impossible not to bring Salah in for Saka and captain now.

    As a twist of fate, if I lose Joao Pedro, I have 4.2m remaining… and that leaves Mane 😀

    1. Maddi Son
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      That's definitely meant to be haha.

      I'm very very tempted by him myself. Surely in the rare event that Slot makes the ultimate ego move by dropping him, the fans wouldn't let the game start.

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        I think there’ll be a riot if he doesn’t start. I’m joking ofc but why get on the wrong side of the fans from the off?

        If my mini league was closer, I’d play it safer with Bowen and Haaland(c) but I’m 70 pts ahead.

        1. Maddi Son
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          I know you said you're joking but I think there would be a riot.

      2. z13
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 18 days ago

        took a -4 to bring and captain him for haaland. Season was over anyway.

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 17 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          One last time.

          That’s the spirit.

  16. Fifa las vegas
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Am I right with benching here, I’ve rotated Arsenal and City players in and out every which way, have a FT to use too.

    Darlow
    O’Reilly, VVD, Hill
    Bruno(C), Szobo, Cherki, KDH
    Haaland, Thiago, Pedro

    Kelleher, Saka, Gabriel, Mukiele

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Pedro to Bowen?

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Maybe, but not mad about the Bowen fuss much at all

  17. Maddi Son
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    I'm bored and I've got 2 hours to kiII, so lets each make 3 predictions for the final gameweek tomorrow. Nothing super obvious like "Man City beat Villa" because that just ruins the fun... but it doesn't have to be crazy specific either. (You know what I mean) I'll start:

    1) Soucek scores the winner for West Ham tomorrow
    2) Foden gets a brace.
    3) Gary Neville says "12 to 18 months" at some point in his commentary tomorrow.

    1. H Dog
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      1) Jamie Carragher refers to Robertson as Robbo multiple times
      2) The League one playoff final will be a better game than any premier league game
      3) de Zerbi does his hamstring running down the line to celebrate a goal before it’s disallowed

      1. Maddi Son
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

    2. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      1) West Ham and Spurs both lose
      2) Burnley - Wolves is a nil-nil bore draw when everyone is expecting goals
      3) All of Tuchel's spurned trio to score (MGW, Foden, Palmer)

      1. Maddi Son
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        If I was still a compulsive gambler, I would be all over your number 3 prediction. That's defo happening.

    3. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Both Spurs and West Ham win

    4. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Tottenham lose
      Salah winks to the bench after scoring
      Foden scores

    5. z13
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 17 days ago

      1) Salah to score a brace.
      2) KDH last minute winner to send Spurs down.
      3) Odegaard will drop the trophy at the trophy lift.

  18. Take On The Scout Picks
    TopMarx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    If you are wondering what to do with an extra day before the deadline and fancy taking on the Scout Picks in a one-off head-to-head match, get in touch!

    Select 11 players (no subs) to go up against the Scout Picks and see if you can beat their starting XI.

    The Community Member who beats the Scout Picks by the biggest margin receives a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Moderators and Contributors League for 2026/27.

    Email me at will@fantasyfootballscout.co.uk with the subject heading “Community Picks”. Please include your FFS username and FPL Team ID.

    You have a budget of £83m and, aside from no subs, standard FPL rules apply - you need to use a normal FPL formation with a limit of three players from a team. And remember to pick a captain and a vice-captain.

    The target to beat remains 16 points thanks to TLF's (Two Left Feet) triumph in Gameweek 11. Five other managers have beaten the Scouts this season, they are circusmonkey, Holmes, Mr Hindsight, Prophet, and Hairy Potter, while Boleyn Boy secured a draw in Gameweek 22 - Congratulations all.

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Okay, time to beat Scout picks again!

    2. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Looking forward to hearing how this concluded TM !

  19. OffsidePenalty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Protecting lead by 8 pts with 1 ft.

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel NOR Senesi Hill
    KDH Bruno Saka Cherki
    Welbeck Haaland
    (Darlow, Okafor, JP, Van Hecke)

    A) just 1 ft. to copy rival of (Hill to)Saliba, (Okafor to)Groß, (Welbeck/JP to)DCL or (Welbeck/JP to)Thiago.
    B) -4 to copy rival as above.
    C) Welbeck/JP to Bowen
    D) Van Hecke to Porro
    E) Okafor to Szoboszlai
    F) Van Hecke to VVD

  20. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    If you want to go Burnley player, surely Anthony is a better pick than Fleming?

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      I thought so too, but they have faced each other once and those results and stats tell different story. I don't know why and what happened though.

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Sample size 1 doesn't tell a story.

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Absolutely correct. However sometimes some players do well against certain teams or oppsition. Some defenders have been able to do well even against Haaland, but very few.

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Flemming braced from xGI .73
        and Anthony managed to get only 0.1 xGI

  21. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Which one to start?

    A) Cherki
    B) KDH

  22. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    HULL