FPL
9 September 2026 207 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Instead of using Gameweek 4 transfers on whoever has just hauled, try buying the next trend. In ‘Goals Imminent’, we look at the underlying statistics to predict which players are about to score.

That way, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers can be proactive rather than reactive.

Marc and Joe have a regular Fantasy Football Scout podcast that discusses these underachievers, using the latter’s popular data table.


GOALS IMMINENT

 

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The rest of this article below is completely free to read but requires a Fantasy Football Scout user account for access – you can get yours at no cost here

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defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

207 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Rhodes your boat
    1 month, 15 days ago

    Really struggling to land on a GK and 3rd/4th defender option on wc (see earlier post where my A-D options scored one a piece!)

    Which GK would you pick to play every week for the foreseeable? Ie which defence do you back the most

    A) Kinsky
    B) Verbruggen
    C) Trafford
    D) hornicek

    1. antis0cial
      1 month, 15 days ago

      for 4.5 I'd probably stick with Kinsky. 5 I'd be on Hornicek or maybe even Martinez, Chelsea surely must learn how to defend...!

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 15 days ago

      A def will come right.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      1 month, 15 days ago

      One factor to consider is there may be better long term defender options over GK from each team e.g. Hall/Thiaw over Hornicek, Muharemovic over Trafford etc

      1. Rhodes your boat
        1 month, 15 days ago

        Completely agree and that is what makes it so difficult

        1. Rhodes your boat
          1 month, 15 days ago

          Thinking is if I can land on a keeper I can play every week then the defenders can rotate

    4. Lukakuna
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Not bothered about the A B rotation?

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        1 month, 15 days ago

        B) C) is a better rotation imo...

  2. davewg59
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 15 days ago

    Any thoughts on Villa gk Suzuki? Possible differential?

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Well he's not a very popular option right now but the upside is not really that great

      1. davewg59
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 15 days ago

        Kelleher?

      2. Sgt Frank Drebin
        1 month, 15 days ago

        I mean he's not a bad option overall but don't think he's a super differential

    2. Tonyawesome69
      1 month, 15 days ago

      If Villa keep a CS, does Suzuki have the potential to score bonus points? It seems he could do well with BPS

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      1 month, 15 days ago

      He's great with the ball at his feet and his distribution ain't bad either...

  3. antis0cial
    1 month, 15 days ago

    A) Free Hit (hoping to hold WC to IB)
    B) Roll (4 players in Manchester derby)
    C) Make one transfer (e.g. Bruno to Palmer or Mbeumo to Rogers)

    Current Team [1 free transfer available]
    Kinsky
    Calafiori White Konsa
    BrunoF Mbeumo Szoboszlai Foden
    Haaland Pedro DCL

    Free Hit Team
    Allison
    Calafiori Konsa De Cuyper
    Palmer Rogers Gakpo Odegaard
    Haaland Isak Pedro

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 15 days ago

      I'd be tempted to roll, both Manchester teams will leak goals

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 15 days ago

      All depends on how the Manchester derby plays out. If you think it could end up being not many goals, then definitely free hit.

      1. antis0cial
        1 month, 15 days ago

        Thanks All. That's the thing, it could go either way, bookies have it odds on to me more than 2.5 goals and with their respective defences you would expect some goals

    3. Botman and Robben
      1 month, 15 days ago

      B

    4. Sgt Frank Drebin
      1 month, 15 days ago

      I'd think about C if you still have WC in hand.

      1. antis0cial
        1 month, 15 days ago

        Thanks, only chip used is TC

    5. Lukakuna
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Think its fine to roll

    6. Sho-kun
      1 month, 15 days ago

      C) with Mbeumo to Rogers

  4. TafOnTour1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 15 days ago

    How's she looking for GW4 guys?!

    Trafford (Palmer)

    Gabriel, Calafiori, Hall (Mendy, Van Ewijk)

    Odegaard, Palmer, Rogers, Tavernier, Cherki

    Haaland, Joao Pedro (Walle Egeli).

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Looks good imho. Not sure about Cherki's minutes but I guess he should start most games.

    2. Lukakuna
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Like it

  5. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
    1 month, 15 days ago

    Rogers, Cherki or Foden on WC? Already have Palmer, JP and Haaland

    1. Botman and Robben
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Rogers for me

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 15 days ago

      None of them

    3. Lukakuna
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Think the city players are too risky minutes wise

    4. antis0cial
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Of the three probably Rogers but not sure on 3 Chelsea attack every game, maybe consider Odegaard

      1. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
        1 month, 15 days ago

        Already have him, mid is:
        Palmer/Odegaard/Gakpo/Gomez /7.8 Budget

  6. Botman and Robben
    1 month, 15 days ago

    This good enough for next GW? Will WC after IB.

    Kinsky
    Calafiori N.Williams Hall
    Fernandes Gakpo Cherki Szoboszlai
    Haaland DCL Pedro

    Dubravka Hughes Shaw Diop

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Yes

    2. Lukakuna
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Looks fine, maybe Cherki to Rogers could be worth it

      1. Botman and Robben
        1 month, 15 days ago

        Yeah but no more FTs.

        1. Lukakuna
          1 month, 15 days ago

          Then locked in 🙂

    3. antis0cial
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Yeah it's fine, maybe Cherki to Rogers if you want more Chelsea coverage

  7. Lukakuna
    1 month, 15 days ago

    Rate my WC on 10? Bench too expensive?

    Verbruggen
    Calafiori Konsa De Cuyper
    Palmer Saka Rogers Gross
    Haaland Joao Wissa

    4.0 / Dewsbury-H Muharemovic Egan

    1. LWB
      1 month, 15 days ago

      All looks good. Bench fine, gives you options for tough fixtures e.g. next week with BRI v ARS

    2. Jaws
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Saka + Wissa to Odegaard + Isak must be doable?

  8. The Knights Template
    1 month, 15 days ago

    Haaland/Bruno > Isak/Palmer?

    1. Lukakuna
      1 month, 15 days ago

      How much ITB is that?

      1. The Knights Template
        1 month, 15 days ago

        9.4m

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Not a fan of losing Bruno

      1. The Knights Template
        1 month, 15 days ago

        We have to be brave!

      2. Sho-kun
        1 month, 15 days ago

        especially he's going to play against Ful next

    3. CoracAld2831
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Not a fan of losing Haaland or Bruno.

      But as something that has to be done Bruno probably has to go.

  9. boc610
    1 month, 15 days ago

    wow people seem to be really writing off Hull on here after zero conceded. wouldn't suprise me if the man u derby had more goals both those defences look poor (city should have conceded at least four more goals in terms of Xg)

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Did you have a look at Hull's xGC?

  10. Sho-kun
    1 month, 15 days ago

    A) Tzolis + Maguire > Rogers + Mendy
    B) Maguire > Hall
    C) Tzolis > Gross
    D) Other suggestions

    2 FT

    Kinsky/Dub
    Calafiori/White/Maguire/Thomas/Diop
    Szobo/Bruno/Cherki/Tzolis/I.Sangaré
    Haaland/JP/DCL

    1. boc610
      1 month, 15 days ago

      why dont you (and seemingly loads of others )suddenly not like Tzolis? i cant think of a better wide man in the league right now in terms of his football brain and actual end product.

      1. Sho-kun
        1 month, 15 days ago

        I don't think he's nailed 100%

        1. boc610
          1 month, 15 days ago

          i really dont think so, arteta loves him.

  11. CoracAld2831
    1 month, 15 days ago

    Maybe the right thing is just go with 1 Chelsea player and just roll to 4.

  12. el polako
    1 month, 15 days ago

    That photo of Igor Thiago is triggering me.
    What a waste of a spot and 8m he has been for me this season.

    1. Haa-lala-land
      1 month, 15 days ago

      Its certainly tough to stay patient, with Isak and Pedro right there. We know what happens if we sell too. Immediate haul.

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