Scout Notes
29 October 2026 40 comments
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There were five all-Premier-League ties in the EFL Cup fourth round on Wednesday night, so there was plenty to keep an eye on from a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) perspective.

No more so than at Anfield, where Liverpool edged past Chelsea after a penalty shootout.

Here are our Scout Notes from the match.

RESULT

ScoreGoalsAssistsLeading DefCons
Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea (6-5 pens)Gakpo pen | Rogers penvan Dijk | CaicedoFofana (16), Araujo (14), Acheampong (11)

SELECTION/ROTATION

TeamNo. of starting XI changes made from GW8Players who kept their places (mins played)Mins for other players
Liverpool7Araujo (90), Gravenberch (90), Gakpo (90), van Dijk (72)Mamardashvili (90), Gomez (90), Tsimikas (90), Nyoni (82), Ngumoha (82), McConnell (59), Koumas (59), Wirtz (31), Barcola (31), Jacquet (18), Mac Allister (8), Isak (8)
Chelsea4Penders (90), Acheampong (90), Henderson (90), Neto (90), Rogers (90), Caicedo (68), Lacroix (45)Fofana (90), Lavia (90), Gusto (68), Welbeck (68), Colwill (45), Palestra (22), Barco (22), Emegha (22)

SCOUT NOTES

  • Xabi Alonso went strong for this clash, despite the Blues’ upcoming Saturday lunchtime kick-off. One of his four changes was enforced, too, due to Cole Palmer‘s (£9.8m) suspension. Palmer is available for Gameweek 9, in case you weren’t aware already.
  • Morgan Rogers (£8.0m) and Pedro Neto (£6.6m) both got 90 minutes. In other circumstances, this may be a concern for the Gameweek ahead, but Chelsea are already down one key attacker in the form of Joao Pedro (£7.8m), and Alonso doesn’t have a wealth of alternatives waiting in the wings – especially as he doesn’t seem to trust Estevao (£6.3m). Plus, the Blues haven’t amassed the game-time that other Premier League clubs have, due to their non-involvement in Europe.
  • On the subject of Pedro, Alonso didn’t offer us any more after full-time in this game. However, Brazilian outlet ge.globo reports that the striker’s injury “will prevent him from being called up for the [national team’s] games against Japan and Singapore in November”. So, as expected, we’re looking at Gameweek 11 at the very earliest for Pedro’s return.
  • Chelsea suffered another couple of injury blows on Wednesday. Maxence Lacroix (£5.9m) limped off at the end of the first half, while Moises Caicedo (£5.3m) had “little problems”.

“Too early to tell. Probably he felt something on the hamstrings. And we need a couple of days to check what’s going to be the injury.” – Xabi Alonso on Maxence Lacroix

“Well, we have started with Pedro [Neto], with Danny [Welbeck] and with Morgan [Rogers] up front. The game had very intense moments. We knew that it was going to be physical. And after we had to deal with Moi [Caicedo], he had little problems. Malo [Gusto], as well, he had cramps. So we were a little bit forced with substitutions.” – Xabi Alonso on why he didn’t bring Estevao on

  • In the absence of Palmer and Pedro, Rogers stepped up from the spot to convert Chelsea’s first-half penalty. This was despite Danny Welbeck (£5.8m) being on the field at the time. Rogers also went on to net in the shootout.
  • This was a poor game until Rogers’ 40th-minute opener. While Liverpool can point to the fact that they had rested/were missing most of their regulars in midfield and attack, Alonso didn’t rotate nearly as much – albeit he was without Pedro and Palmer.
  • Welbeck was quiet, while Rogers had an off-night (penalties aside), making some poor decisions on the ball. He did, however, have a game-high six shots, and was the only Chelsea player to register more than one effort. He was at the heart of the Blues’ better second-half chances: a saved shot of his own from 15 yards when everyone had stopped to wait for a handball decision, and then a chance created for Marco Palestra (£5.3m), which was again repelled by Giorgi Mamardashvili (£4.8m).
  • Liverpool had the better of the second-half chances after a slumbering game sparked into life. Ronald Araujo (£5.4m) was repelled brilliantly from close range by Mike Penders (£4.4m), while Florian Wirtz (£7.2m) couldn’t turn a shot from inside the six-yard box past Levi Colwill (£4.8m). Bradley Barcola (£8.1m) also had an attempt diverted wide by Penders.
  • Wirtz made a swift return from the ankle issue that forced him off in Gameweek 8, coming on for the final half an hour.
  • Barcola also came on in the 60th minute, while Alexander Isak (£9.1m) – one of the leading potential replacements for Pedro owners – enjoyed another welcome midweek rest. The Swede only emerged for the final eight minutes, with penalties in mind.

“A little bit of everything. When you do the line-ups and the squads, you are not thinking, ‘In case it goes to penalties, I will leave the ones who shoot the penalties for the end.’ No, you are trying to balance the team. We are changing a lot of the players because we need to change. We did seven changes today but even in the Champions League, which are very important games, we are doing always four or five changes. Obviously, when I did the last subs – when I put Alexis [Mac Allister] and Alex [Isak] especially – it starts to be in your head, ‘OK, in case of need, they also are the best ones probably you can put.'” – Andoni Iraola on his rotation

  • With Isak on the bench and Dominik Szoboszlai (£6.7m) injured, Cody Gakpo (£7.1m) stepped up to take Liverpool’s first-half spot-kick. Again, like Rogers, he followed that up by converting his shootout penalty.
  • Gakpo led the line for the Reds, aided by the youthful trio of Lewis Koumas (£5.0m), James McConnell (£4.4m) and Rio Ngumoha (£5.7m). He didn’t get much service, in truth, with one saved effort just after his penalty representing his only other attempt. The Netherlands international has now lasted three 90 minutes in a row heading into Gameweek 9:
 injury Lacroix

Above image from our Minutes Tracker

  • Araujo was actually Liverpool’s leading shot-taker of this match, with three. Penders’ saved denied him what would have been an eye-catching third goal of 2026/27, although strangely he’s only had one shot in the Premier League. Deployed at centre-half, rather than right-back, the positional switch helped him reach the DefCon threshold.
  • Virgil van Dijk (£6.4m) came off after 72 minutes but that looked like minute management rather than anything concerning.


40 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Mozumbus
    2 hours, 23 mins ago

    Verbruggen Kinsky
    Muharemovic Hull Konsa Diop VanE
    Palmer Rogers Mbeumo Cherki Slater
    Haaland Pedro* DCL

    2FTs, 1.6 ITB

    A. Pedro to Isak, roll one FT
    B. Pedro to Jackson, roll one FT
    C. Pedro + Slater > Jackson + Manzambi
    D. C and BB, haven't used any chip yet
    E. Think something better

    1. Brosstan
      1 hour, 37 mins ago

      A

    2. banskt
      1 hour, 28 mins ago

      A.

      Also, Cherki played another 90 mins midweek.

    3. Winging it
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      7 mins ago

      A

  2. SIMBOBIANTHEIII
    1 hour, 55 mins ago

    Try and talk me out of holding JP.
    To me it just seems logical as I don't have the funds for Pedro to Isak, Jackson might be on a hit streak but we all know he's like and then I'll want to bring him back in, so that would be 2 transfers. If he's back in gw11, I'm not sure I want to spend my transfers on him.

    1. Raoul Nogues
      1 min ago

      Evanilson ?

  3. More Tragic
    1 hour, 48 mins ago

    Can't believe that clown Palmer is in the scout picks again.

    SMH

    1. x.jim.x
      1 hour, 37 mins ago

      On pens at home against the worst back 4 in the league

      1. JBG
        1 hour, 33 mins ago

        Aren't playing Palace though

        1. x.jim.x
          1 hour, 32 mins ago

          Palace actually have players in their right positions

      2. Ajax Hamsterdam
        1 hour, 33 mins ago

        Tempted to captain him actually

  4. HurtLocker
    1 hour, 29 mins ago

    Bench 2:

    A. Konsa
    B. De Cuyper
    C. Davis
    D. Gross

    P.S. Raya is starting in my squad this gw.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      1 hour, 7 mins ago

      B c

  5. Ajax Hamsterdam
    1 hour, 27 mins ago

    IF Cala is a doubt my bench players are Davies or de Cuyper.

    Shall I do Davies to Silva ?

    I had planned on MGw to tavernier so would hold transfer one more week.

    1. Funkyav
      42 mins ago

      who is davies?

      1. Holmes
        29 mins ago

        Leif davis

        1. Funkyav
          20 mins ago

          ah ok, not sure i would do that move this week

  6. TafOnTour1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 hour, 10 mins ago

    Who's the best Bournemouth defender to go with - James Hill, Truffert, or Antonio Silva?!

    1. Bobby Digital
      1 hour, 8 mins ago

      I've gone Silva due to price. Don't think there's much between them...

      1. TafOnTour1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        37 mins ago

        This is true, mate! Does Truffert seem a more attractive proposition due to his goal involvement threat, though?!

        1. Funkyav
          18 mins ago

          Defcon > Goal threat for defenders all the time now

          1. TafOnTour1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            16 mins ago

            Unfortunately mate!

          2. Raoul Nogues
            10 mins ago

            Unless Truffert comes back to last season shape

    2. Holmes
      1 hour, 6 mins ago

      Hill

      1. TafOnTour1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 mins ago

        Very tempting, I cannot lie mate!

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      55 mins ago

      Hill for me, I love a Defcon Daddy...

      1. TafOnTour1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 mins ago

        All about those double D's mate!

    4. cruzex
      48 mins ago

      antonio

      1. TafOnTour1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 mins ago

        Either him or Hill for me!

  7. GW9 Fixtures and Clean Sheet Odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    1 hour, 3 mins ago

    GW9 fixture odds can be found here:
    https://prnt.sc/0IndXIvGIA0v
    (Provided by ladbrokes.com)
    Please bet responsibly: https://www.gambleaware.org/advice/for-your-gambling/advice-to-consider-if-you-re-gambling/

    GW8 clean sheet results:
    ARS: 54% ✅
    CHE: 31% ❌
    COV: 31% ❌
    MCI: 31% ❌
    MNU: 31% ❌
    SUN: 31% ✅
    LEE: 29% ✅
    NFO: 29% ❌
    BRE: 27% ❌
    LIV: 27% ✅
    NEW: 25% ✅
    CRY: 24% ❌
    FUL: 24% ✅
    IPS: 22% ❌
    AST: 20% ❌
    HUL: 15% ❌
    BHA: 13% ❌
    BOU: 13% ✅
    TOT: 13% ✅
    EVE: 11% ❌

    Highest weekly clean sheet % odds success rate this season: 50% (up from 42.8% on the previous GW)

    GW9 clean sheet odds:
    TOT: 38%
    BOU: 32%
    ARS: 31%
    AST: 31%
    BRE: 31%
    CHE: 31%
    MCI: 31%
    SUN: 30%
    NEW: 29%
    HUL: 28%
    COV: 26%
    IPS: 26%
    LEE: 23%
    LIV: 23%
    EVE: 22%
    FUL: 20%
    NFO: 20%
    MNU: 15%
    CRY: 14%
    BHA: 13%
    (Provided by fantasyfootballpundit.com)

    GW9 clean sheet % from market odds:
    TOT: 36%
    BOU: 31%
    CHE: 30%
    SUN: 30%
    AST: 29%
    BRE: 29%
    ARS: 28%
    MCI: 27%
    NEW: 26%
    HUL: 26%
    IPS: 25%
    COV: 24%
    LIV: 23%
    EVE: 21%
    LEE: 21%
    NFO: 19%
    FUL: 18%
    MNU: 15%
    CRY: 13%
    BHA: 11%
    (Provided by fpljoe.com)

    Market odds highest weekly clean sheet % success rate this season: 62.5% (up from 57.1% on the previous GW)

    Clean sheet totals:
    Arsenal: 5*
    Brighton: 5
    Fulham: 4*
    Liverpool: 4*
    Everton: 3
    Hull: 3
    Leeds: 3*
    Manchester City: 3
    Spurs: 3*
    Brentford: 2
    Aston Villa: 2
    Bournemouth: 2*
    Newcastle: 2*
    Sunderland: 2*
    Chelsea: 1
    Coventry City: 1
    Crystal Palace: 1
    Nottingham Forest: 1

    *Team kept a clean sheet in GW8

    Same as last week, Man Utd and Ipswich have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Hope you all have a green arrow this GW especially you, yes you 🙂

    G

  8. Steavn8k
    44 mins ago

    I'm thinking of starting Davis over Bogle and De Cuyper this week. Is that mad?

    1. Bobby Digital
      39 mins ago

      Not mad at all. Davis has the better fixture...

    2. cruzex
      39 mins ago

      i have Giles, starting..

    3. Spb100
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      35 mins ago

      Doing the same

  9. cruzex
    40 mins ago

    How many points this GW? Will be over 70ptos?

    Petrovic
    Calafiori Giles MDCuyper
    Palmer Mbeumo Kudus Manzambi
    Jackson (c) Haaland Isak

    Bench: Vert Odegaard Jacquets Konsa

    Predictions for me:
    Chelsea 2 United 1
    Hull 1 Ipswich 0
    City 2 Brighton 1
    Aston Villa 3 Fulham 0
    Totenham 3 Palace 1
    Liverpool 1 Arsenal 1

    1. JBG
      17 mins ago

      At least 70 Palmer and Calafiori will be 35 of those.

      1. cruzex
        14 mins ago

        lol

        1. JBG
          12 mins ago

          Team looks good though

          1. cruzex
            1 min ago

            Jackson (c) is crazy idea?

  10. Spb100
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    36 mins ago

    Benching JP as I have already got him out and in again once this season, and want Gonzalo GONE.

    Options are
    A) Jackson + MGW
    B) Isak + Manzambi (-4)