I am 0.98 behind the average. 🙁

Could be my week to bow out depending on how tomorrow goes..

All seem low 😮

Living on the edge..12 with 5 down..ozil C to go though..most likely be the end if he blanks..

This season has been a particularly crazy season though. Leicester were bottom of the league this time last season, now they're top. Similarly Chelsea were supreme last season and were almost in the relegation zone at one point. From an FPL perspective, that's pure luck.

Would you not consider this premier league season to be a bit unusual though, I mean, just look at the points table. I think its been a very unpredictable season when it comes to results. This must have an impact on FPL

The methods behind my transfers haven't changed since the start of last season, where I finished in the top 4000. I'm now at 1.3 million.

Of course it's more skill and knowledge than luck, but almost every logical move has failed for me. There's just been an unprecedented level of unpredictability this season.

FPL is 73% skill 27% luck.

I've done the calculations 😉

I never know how to answer these posts. Just about everybody that comes on here posts a good team week in and week out. Some work out and some don't, but they are nearly all picked with a good knowledge of football and the FPL game. It either works out or it doesn't.

If somebody runs off and picks Gareth Barry the week he scores a brace then they are lucky...if (c) Vardy hits the post then it doesn't mean he was a bad pick, it just means he hit the post.

You can only pick a good team and hope it works out.

This season is the start of what I think will no longer be out of the ordinary. Even more so next season when the league becomes even more competitive and the mid table teams can splash out 20-30 mil without blinking.

Goodbye traditional top four dominance.

FPL is a lot of luck and some managers will be luckier than others, but by making methodical and thoughtful decisions you can minimize the margin of luck that effects you.

Good managers should finish in the top 1% beyond that its largely luck.

Lovely. Didn't see the hulk coming. Hope it's clear this is not a rant, just a conversation starter.

I think the new chips have considerably increased the luck element, and in my opinion the game would be better without them.

Many of the early leaders got lucky by loading up on Man City players and triple captaining Yaya for 16*3 in GW1.

Others might have got even luckier by triple captaining Wijnaldum for 25*3 in GW9.

Many of us will play our triple captain chips at a more logical time but might score far less from them.

FPL isn't a skill game. If it is a skill game, at best it's a test of your ability to acquire information and then make logical decisions based on that information.

But when you have sites like this one providing you with as much information as you'd ever need, and then you have the RMT tool and sites like FFFix telling you how to apply that information logically, add to that the price rise sites telling you when to make your transfers in order to maximize your team value.. and so on.. well, I'm not sure where that leaves much room for personal "skill".

You simply have an information advantage over the 3.6 million players who don't use any of that stuff. The fact that some of them get above us more informed players is only because there are 3.6million of them, that's a lot of random combinations of teams.

It also doesn't help that FPL has an auto-select feature which picks players algorithmically to ensure a balance team rather. This is the reason so many players had such a great start by the way, the FPL autoselect algorithm was spot on.

I mostly agree with you, but I don't think that's true this season, we have had far too many unpredictable results, recently everyone went lukaku captain against West Bromwich Albion, usually that should fetch you points, but Everton blanked, that's due to WBA doing well, but also tad unlucky that WBA picked up that particular day
Everyone of us aims to finish top 10k or 1k, we all try and put our best teams, but some weekends, just won't go for us, luck is definitely involved a lot, because eventually, we are trying to predict the results & scorers, which will always have a fair share of luck involved

I agree with this, ej. People who says it's luck aren't usually doing very well or don't understand

Why is everyone talking about luck as if it were an actual thing? There is no such thing as luck. You can be fortuitous after making informed decisions (however off the cuff they seem at the time) but there is no magical essence floating around it the universe that makes things happen or not happen! You may as well say that God is on Leicester's side or something. The reason anyone is where they are in the fantasy league is because of decisions they made. Sometimes they come off and sometimes they don't. But don't confuse this with sprinkling pixie dust on your team before a game week...

Especially true of captain decisions.

I knew Barkley was a risk, but I had a pop anyway. Fully expect a slide down the rankings this week as a result.

Then again, I captained Firmino and got 28 points a few back, which sent me on a roll of good results.

You take the rough with the smooth.

I think in general I agree, and some very interesting replies. My view is that the skill/luck element is a bit like playing poker, in a single hand or set of hands a good player can be beaten by anyone if their luck is in, but over an extended session the good player should prevail.

I know I've made some risky moves to try and jump the ranks (not quite gone all in yet!)

I agreed I made some mistakes but also did last 2 seasons and still was around 10k in both and languishing aroung 300k now...Its not luck but chaos as new TV deals has made premier league clubs like Stoke richer than top spanish clubs like Sevilla and all teams in top 10 have great quality of squads...Till last season there used to be trends but this year apart from Leicester nothing is a trend not even Arsenal and Mancity! Its too random now to pick up ranks...

Bang on. I agree 100%