Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. wolves_simmo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play Ivanovic or take a -4?

    1. Costa's Counsellor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Play him. He's going to score.

  2. Pirlø's Pen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet to Mata for -4?

    Leaves me with KDB Sanch Haz Mata Tadic for my 5 man mid.

  3. Efan Ekoku Pops
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which would you rather have?
    A) Fabregas + 4 points
    B) KDB
    C) Tadic

    Cheers

    1. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Keep Fab

    2. le flem
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      a

  4. le flem
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    anyone playing euro fantasy? how's this?

    patricio
    juanfran koscielny hector
    sigurdsson ozil perisic alli
    kane griezmann ronaldo

    4.0, 4.0, ward, kolar

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      jebus, this is not the time or place.

      1. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        probably is the place to be fair 😛

  5. Costa's Counsellor
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Start Payet or Lanzini?

    Worried about a cameo...

    1. le flem
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      lanz

    2. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Wait until the West Ham bus arrives at the Brittania and we'll know more

      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        He will prob be on the bus.

        More confusion.

        This place is going to melt down.

        Alonso mkII

    3. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Doubt he'd cameo.

  6. rossparkhill1
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet and Sturridge for either:

    Aguero & Tadic
    or
    Giroud & DeBryune

    Need most solid point option. Thanks for any replys!

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Both great options to be fair. I'd go B I think for Giroud vs Villa.

  7. Razmataz
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who do you think will score more??

    A) Townsend & Aguero

    Or

    B) Hazard & Vardy (4pt hit)

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. mojoindojo
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  8. Amjcity
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Why is payet doubtful ?????

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      have an upvote

    2. JÆKS ⭐
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      He's out they told me

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Defoe > Long -4?

        Current team;

        Mignolet

        Bellerin Smalling Cresswell

        Mahrez Sanchez Mane Hazard

        Aguero Carroll Defoe

        Subs; Robles Fuchs PVA Payet

        1. JÆKS ⭐
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Last week of the season, do it 😀

    3. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Didn't get to UCL, can't be arsed anymore 😉

  9. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Firmino + Sturridge > Tadic + Giroud for -4

    Yay or ney?

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sure

    2. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm trying to decide same - tadic or mane?

    3. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

  10. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Can only get in Aguero if I take a -8 🙁

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8f8wAXDZ9D0

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      -16 for me

  11. TheEgyptianKing
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    is Sergi Canos was on fantasy id bring him in, what a great player, at brentford was amazing and has come back form loan for liverpool

  12. BB-8
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which one?

    A. Mane/Arnie / Eriksen
    B. Long
    C. Defoe +4

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Who are your subs if Defoe doesn't play

      1. BB-8
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Sorry, these below

    2. BB-8
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lanzini to cover Payet, Pva and Iva the other two. Don't think either will play

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Take the hit then. Would wait closer to deadline if you can though for some late news.

        1. BB-8
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Cheers VS

  13. Sunkey
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Why is everyone offloading Payet?

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Didn't travel

  14. Gerci
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    De Gea (Darlow)
    Gabriel Cresswell PVA (Clyne, Simpson)
    Sanchez Firmino Payet Hazard (Noble)
    Agüero Sturridge Kane

    Used my FT to get Sanchez in. Would you take a hit to get a Saints player in (I dont think Firmino/Sturridge will play).
    Im thinking about one of those:

    A) Firmino -> Tadic
    B) Firmino -> Mané
    C) Sturridge -> Long
    D) Sturridge -> Giroud
    E) Payet -> Saints MID

    Will probably take 2 hits (means more 'FUN' today :D)

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Depends what you have to play for but i'd do A + D

      1. Gerci
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        23 points ahead in my mini league, 2nd will take two hits with a differential captain.

        So -8 would do okay for me with the right transfers.

  15. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet isn't playing today because Police have just arrested him for bricking the Man Utd bus 🙂

    1. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Stick to the day job. Comedy isn't your thing. 😉

      1. The Mandalorian
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Rudeness is definitely your thing, Great Job!!!

        1. Optimus.
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          🙂

        2. Cilly Bonnolly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Going to need a thicker skin than that on the standup circuit!

      2. Optimus.
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        🙂

  16. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Right chaps as with most need your great advice please? Have 1FT and am 12 points ahead in my £££ league. My rival has Martial so thoughts are to get him in to block my opponent and also to get Payet out. Thoughts?

    Darlow
    Gabriel - Bellerin - Cresswell
    Mahrez - Haz - Sanchez - Payet
    Sturridge - Carroll - Aguero(C)

    (Robles - PVA - Simpson - Loft Cheek)

    A) Sturridge + Payet > Martial or Kane + Tadic -4

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sturridge --> Kane definitely.

      A -4 leaves you just 8 points ahead :/

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I know but if Payet doesnt play then i'll have to rely on PVA and Simpson

        1. Amsterhammer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Simpson is not playing because he had a court ordered curfew for assaulting his gf I read.

          http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/12/danny-simpson-tries-to-use-leicesters-title-success-to-have-puni/

          1. HearMeRoar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Says nothing about him not playing.

        2. HearMeRoar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          2 points from Simpson and no hit is potentially 4 points better off than Tadic.

          Tadic would need to score or assist with BPS to make it worth while :/

  17. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play Carroll or Iwobi?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      carrollina

  18. Gimli son of Gloin
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Lukaku (c)
    Hold me

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Brave.

      Hatty incoming

    2. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Have you actually watched him play over the last six weeks?

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        The troll lives for the last day. If there is ever a game to own him it's this one.

      2. Gimli son of Gloin
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Not once. Last week, just winging it

        1. boredjames
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          He is seriously struggling to get anything on target. Looks totally shot for the season.
          But you never know with him, especially with Martinez gone and against demotivated Norwich. I still wouldn't captain though

    3. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      silly...wait, that could work

  19. SuperMario
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet and Carroll/ Defoe --->

    A. tadic & Martial
    B. Mane & Long/ Deeney

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Payet --> Mane/Tadic and leave it there I reckon.

      Don't really want hits in the last weekend of the season and Carroll should play and Defoe still stands a chance.

      1. SuperMario
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Very solid point. Thanks sir.

  20. HearMeRoar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Sounds like a man who expects to play today? Chelsea fans want to pass their verdict?

    http://www.chelseafc.com/news/latest-news/2016/05/willian--final-flourish.html?extcmp=SOCIA_TW_ENG_ARTICLES

  21. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who will get more points today?

    Smalling or A.Valencia?

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Valencia, from a Mike owner.

  22. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Payet & Coutinho --> Ozil & Mane
    B) Payet & Coutinho --> Ozil & Tadic
    C) Payet & Coutinho --> KDB & Tadic
    D) Coutinho --> Mane/Tadic, play Defoe, cover is PvA and Payet

    1. karvs155
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      D if leading, C if chasing

  23. karvs155
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Firmino->
    A) Tadic
    B) KDB

    have aggy, no soton cover

  24. whatsgoingon
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Situation: 20 points behind in mini league, FT used.
    My team:
    Mignolet (Robles)
    Gabriel Bellerin Lovren (Simpson Delaney)
    Lanzini Sanchez Townsend Tadic (Payet)
    Carroll Kane Aguero

    Which moves worth -4 hit?
    A) Townsend to Mane
    B) Carroll to Vardy
    C) Carroll to Long

    Really need your valuable comments, thank you.

    1. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  25. Skipdipper
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So is rojo now out?!

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yes.

  26. fab
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play Iwobi or take a hit to replace Payet?

    1. Snapes on a Plane
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sell payet

    2. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Iwobi v Villa is a fantastic option. Dont waste 4 points

      1. fab
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        yeah that's what i'm thinking.
        cheers

  27. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    GTG 🙂

    Darlow
    Bellerin, Smalling, Koscielny
    Sanchez (C), Hazard,Tadic, Payet
    Aguero, Carroll, Rashford

    Bench Robles, Townsend,Lovren,Delaney

  28. supersham
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Im confused and very very hungover. Whats going on why is everyone ditching payet?

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Some of you gravless can't even read a couple pages 🙂

      1. P-daddy
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        From your responses it seems that you have a "patience threshold" of exactly 5 minutes..

        1. P-daddy
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

  29. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DDG (Robles)
    Kos Gabriel Cresswell (PVA Ivanovic)
    Hazard Sanchez Lanzini Tadic (Payet)
    Aguero Lukaku Defoe

    defence benching order correct? sold willian for tadic