Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Mane is fit to play right?

    Binging him in for a -4 one final troll. He's been a nightmare for me this season, owned at all the wrong times.

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      fit but Koeman but so are Jrod and Austin, not sure its worth a hit

      1. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        good typing

    2. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes he's fit

    3. LaLaLand
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      fit

  2. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Cedric or Martina to start for Southampton?

    1. LaLaLand
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      martina

    2. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      There's no way of knowing for sure.

    3. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cedric tends to play in this type of game, although Martina is the better defender.

  3. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Ultimate Question. Start which 3 from Aguero, Giroud, Ighalo, Kane and Lukaku

    1. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Aguero, Giroud, Kane

    2. LaLaLand
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      aguero giroud lukaku

  4. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    are ivanovic and willian fit to play?

    1. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      http://www.chelseafc.com/news/latest-news/2016/05/willian--final-flourish.html?extcmp=SOCIA_TW_ENG_ARTICLES

      Sounds like he's up for the game so hopefully. No real indication on either though to be fair.

  5. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Gomes
    Cresswell-Smalling-Bellerin
    Tadic-Payet*-Sanchez-Hazard
    Carroll-Lukaku-Augero

    (Darlow-Iwobi-Simpson-Pva*)

    0FT ; 0.5ITB

    A) Payet => Arnie
    B) Payet => Eriksen/Lamela
    C) Carroll=>Long (play iwobi)

    1. LaLaLand
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      a

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Why would you consider getting rid of payet? His last game of the season and West Ham need a result, he's the first man on my team sheet.....

  6. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Quick vote up please: Sturridge > ??? (has to be one of these 3)

    A) Kane
    B) Martial
    C) Long

    1. Snapes on a Plane
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Long

    2. LaLaLand
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      martial

    3. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    4. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Long if no other saints cover

    5. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks all

  7. kiralytom
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    hi i need advice, can't decide

    5 points behind the first place in the league

    DDG
    Rose , Fosu-Men (will he start?) , Creswell
    Tadic , Iwobi , Sanches (C) , Lanzini , Payet
    Kun , Martila

    sub: Hart , Sturridge, van Aanholt, Simpson

    IS it worth to make a trade for -4 (already 5 point behind the leader)

    One of this?
    A: Bellerin in
    or
    B: Sturridge-> Giroud
    C: Sturridge-> Kane

    The leaders team was in previous round:
    Mignolet, DDG
    Bains, Smalling, Aanholt, Cresswell, Moreno
    Payet, KDB, Redmond, Coutinho, Hazard
    Deeney, MArtial, Defoe

    Somehow i want to overtake on him. But the gap is so small and don't know is it worth a risk to start-9 instead of -5 with this team/option i have.

    1. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B same transfer here

      1. kiralytom
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        this is my prior transfer if i'll make it BUT than who should i bench, my guess is Lanzini

        and would Fous-Men start?

  8. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DDG (Robles)
    Kos Gabriel Cresswell (PVA Ivanovic)
    Hazard Sanchez Lanzini Tadic (Payet)
    Aguero Lukaku Defoe

    defence benching order correct? sold willian for tadic thinking he was out

    1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Why bench payet over lanzini? Payet a better player......

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Payet supposedly not playing

  9. TheFootballHub
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    whats the likely hood that walcott gets a start?

  10. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Worth Carrol > Aguero for a hit?

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yes

    2. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd say yes. If Kun explodes it could damage you

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        It means downgrading Hazard

        Should I go for it?

        1. TheFootballHub
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          no find someone else to downgrade, remember its the last week so it doesn't matter if you have someone 3.9mill on your bench

  11. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    bench order

    a) kos
    b)ivanovic
    c)cresswell
    d)PVA
    e)gabriel

  12. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Do I risk keeping a non playing keeper or use a FT For -4?

    Currently own Mignolet & Robles

    1. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Doubt you will get the -4 back this week. Not much chance of a clean sheet anywhere

      1. Numb
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        It's effectively a -2 etc etc

      2. HamezMace
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I'd say Arsenal, and United have a good chance

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Robles is out for sure, Migs might play as Ward is injured

  13. Suarezista
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who do you think will scord more ?

    A) Defoe and Lanzini
    B) Aguero and Lanzini -4
    C) Defoe and Ozil -4 (Lanzini on the bench if Defoe doesn't play)

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd like to have Kun.

      1. Suarezista
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers mate, you are on a great helping form today btw 😀

        1. VS10_
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Helping everyone to finish below me 😀

          1. Suarezista
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            😆

    2. MagnetBPS
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Kun is essential

  14. Skipdipper
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    This is hurting my head...

    Payet - keep or not, is he confirmed out?

    Rojo - where's that come from?

    Pva - not playing?

    My defence I wasn't concerned about as sakho sits on bench and I have cresswell ready to come in for pva but this rojo news means I need to change defence for a hit 🙁

  15. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Firstly, if West Ham wanted to troll Stoke surely they would have started the Payet rumors earlier so it would upset Stoke's training. Coming out with it yesterday won't make a difference on such short notice as Stoke would have prepared to play a West Ham side that featured Payet anyway. So whether he starts last minute or not, Stoke have trained to face a side with Payet in it, giving no advantage to West Ham whatsoever if they decide to play him last minute.

    It's quite simple. If he's with the team when the bus arrives at the Brittania he's most likely going to play. I don't see why Bilic would bench him given the enormity of the match and what is at stake. If he's fit enough to be on the bench, he's fit enough to start. Otherwise he's out.

    Just a matter of waiting and seeing now.

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sounds like he didn't travel with the rest of the team yesterday as he had to stay for assessment etc. Probably a decision today

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      One of the west ham fan websites said he had been absent due to one of his children being ill, but should still play.

      We won't know until too late. I'm keeping, just have a solid bench!

  16. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Start 2 of

    A)Payet
    B) Defoe
    C) Lanzini

    1. Runaway
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      start A and B, probably C will be autsubbed for one of them

  17. Numb
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    R.Martin > Any defender (apart from Bellerin but could double up) -4

    Otherwise Martin would probably end up playing for me

    Or stick?

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd stick.

      He's good for a goal, and a clean sheet for Norwich given Everton's current status isn't all that unrealistic

      1. Numb
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

  18. MagnetBPS
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Good team? Need a hit??

    DDG
    Bellerin Smalling Gabriel
    Hazard Sanchez Payet Townsend Tadic
    Aguero Defoe(Caroll)

    1. Maarrrr17
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      your bench?

  19. jurgenklopp.8
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Payet > KDB
    B) Carroll > Deeney

    can't do both.

    1. fickle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  20. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who else has Sanchez TC this week?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      o/

  21. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If Rashford doesn't score today he's straight out of my team

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ruthless

    2. fickle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Do it early before the price changes

    3. MagnetBPS
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      The season is over 🙂

      1. TheEgyptianKing
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        (sarcasm)

    4. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      too right 🙂

  22. fickle
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any news on Rojo? I heard he didn't travel? What a shambles, I also have pva, payet, defoe and firmino

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Not in the squad. CBJ set to start as LB.

      1. bigbudgie
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        yeah, fair play to anyone who kept CBJ on the bench all this time after punting on him in 34

  23. The Man Pastore
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is Rojo out today?

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yep according to MEN

    2. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Who's plays instead?

  24. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    wtf, why did david gold say doubtful and not out?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      See above

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        thanks

    2. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Because it's possible he isnt?

  25. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Captaining Kun over Sanchez madness??

    1. jurgenklopp.8
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      not if chasing

  26. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Out of interest what is the gmt deadline for the Euro FF game?, debating if I'll play or not

  27. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which one to start from PVA, Cresswell and Simspon?

    1. Runaway
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      cresswell

  28. Runaway
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    12 point behind in my ml and the leader brought in Tadic for Cout (I mean %99,9 because his money ITB increased by 1,4 last night).
    I should punt on Mane, right?

    1. jurgenklopp.8
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yes

  29. Fergietime
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I havent seen Fosuh Mensahs injury mentioned on here, and hes not flagged on the fpl site.

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      He is not in the matchday squad.

      1. Fergietime
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        tks

    2. MFC86
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd like to know this as well, will be play if fit ?

      1. Fergietime
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        He said on FB "Working very hard to recover ‪#‎rehab‬"
        Doesnt look like it.

  30. TheEgyptianKing
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Would you rather
    a) Play TOWNSEND
    b) -4 FOR KDB or ANYONE ELSE

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      This is taking out payet*

    2. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Depends on your mini league situation I'd say. If you're chasing then B could pay off, maybe Mane or Tadic. If you're leading A is probably safer.

      1. TheEgyptianKing
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Im chasing and i have already got Tadic, risky to double on south or safe KDB knowing swansea have to win