Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Will we find out the team news before the deadline

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      At the same time as the deadline

    2. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      there's bound to be some crumbs but nothing more

  2. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Mignolet and Robles keepers.

    Would you take a hit, if it was for Cech or DDG? (Probably Cech)

    It's a good chance of 2pts vs a good chance of zero

    1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No

    2. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      god no, make a hit for an attacker

    3. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      It doesn't matter if I'm taking hits for an attacker or not. The question is mutually exclusive

      1. Gandalf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Even if both keepers don't play, taking the hit only gains 2 maybe 3 points if and only if get a clean sheet which is no guarantee. Otherwise just losing points..

    4. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Hmmm, yeah if you're not planning on getting a third Arsenal outfield player. Most likely 6 points v none

    5. Pooodle
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I would take the hit if your other keepers won't play. Could easily make 2 points extra

    6. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No, goals galore on the last day so tough to pin down the clean sheets

  3. Deevub
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any advice guys. I am 4 points behind in my FF league...It is looking increasingly likely that both Payet and Firmino wont start.

    My team is currently:

    De Gea
    Bellerin Cresswell Alderwierald
    Payet Firmino Hazard Mahrez
    Aguero Long Rashord

    Antonio is my only note worthy bench

    So what should i do? Only have 0.4 in the bank. Should i look to remove both Payet and Firmino? Or just remove one and rely on Antonio doing something??

    If so, who do i bring in??? Sanchez is too expensive unless i get rid of Hazard. Thoughts?

    1. Cordomver
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Firmino out for Tadic or Mane and keep Payet with Antonio coming off the bench.

  4. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DDG (Robles)
    Kos Gabriel Cresswell (PVA Ivanovic)
    Hazard Sanchez Lanzini Tadic (Payet)
    Aguero Lukaku Defoe

    defence benching order correct??

    1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes but I would play Payet over lanzini???

      1. LaLaLand
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        supposedly out injured mate

  5. bigbudgie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Wow there are so many trolls around today
    Anyway, a lot of people shouting great transfers, and for players are not playing it's a no brainer.
    But taking a hit for players that are nailed on and have a reasonable fixture......just no

  6. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning gents. I would appreciate some thoughts on this lot following the Payet “news”.

    a) Stick and play 4-3-3 with Creswell
    b) Payet > KDB

    Cheers and good luck for the final GW

    Darlow
    Gabriel, Smalling, Rose
    Tadic, Payet, Sánchez, Hazard
    Martial, Kane, Carroll

    (Cresswell, van Aanholt, Milner)

    1. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      For free or for a hit?
      If for -4 i'd say stick with Cresswell 4-3-3

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        For a hit mate.

        1. Springbank
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Then don't imo but only you can make that call

    2. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      If Payet to KDB is for free, then I'd say do it

  7. Springbank
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Could do with some help..

    Mignolet
    Bellerin Gabriel PVA
    Hazard Payet Tadic Sanchez KDB
    Aguero Carroll
    Subs: Darlow Defoe Coleman(inj) Simpson
    0FT

    1) Payet > Mahrez/Mane/Ramsey for -4
    2) Nothing and hope Defoe/Coleman comes in Payet's out

    Cheers

  8. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    West Ham so good defensively they feature twice in the Clean sheet odds listed above. Wouldn't mind a double Cresswell Clean sheet 😉

  9. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    benching order

    a) kos
    b) cresswell
    c) ivanovic
    d) gabriel
    e) PVA

    1. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      bench b) and c) with b) coming in if e) doesn't play

    1. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      WHAT!

      1. Fitzy.
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, needs hulking so people will be aware... 😉

        1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Nor everyone spend their lives on here lads

          1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            *not

          2. Fitzy.
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            WHAT!

            1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              🙂

  10. Tim Canterbury
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Would you take hits with Payet Migs Henn PVA Defoe Cout Lennon Lovren and for who?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You're screwed I'm afraid.

      GK > playing GK
      Cout > playing mid

    2. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You, my friend, are up s**t creek. Your paddle is made of hits.

    3. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheez that is a WC needed situation!! I would -8 at least
      Cout > Tadic
      Migs > De Gea
      Lennon > Ramsey?

  11. LaLaLand
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    ivanovic likely to start?

  12. fickle
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Rojo was not at the hotel which is why he is assumed not to be in the squad. But its happened befire with Blind and he played, so its not 100% that he's out. But probably likely

    1. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      It's a good point. Owner?

    2. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      There was something posted yesterday with the United squad both Rojo and TFM do not feature

  13. Heels_Over_Head
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Seeking:

    Newman-cini
    Borghino007
    Ellipsis
    Jaffalicioius!
    Moosie The Staggie
    Gazpilicueta
    John Terry's Dog (a dog like no other)

    Please report to the Knocks & Niggles commissioner's office

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Like herding cats!

      1. Heels_Over_Head
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        It is... but trying to get ahead of the curve for next season (especially with the move to China this summer). Three divisions is a little overwhelming... won't expand for a few years.

  14. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is it worth doing these changes?? What do you guys think???

    a) Mignolet >>> Forster
    b) Milner >>> Tadic
    c) Payet >>> Ayew

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      a) don't think so
      b) probably
      c) not ayew... don't think swans are starting their good players today

    2. FPL ElasticO
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      This will how it look after the changes

      Forster
      Bellerin / Gabriel / PVA
      KDB / Sanchez(C) / Tadic / Ayew / Twonsend
      Kun / Carroll

  15. LewanGOALski
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet out?

    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      See above

  16. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Would you start Lingard over Defoe?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Try again next page

    2. Biancazzurri
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      no. if you must, play Defoe. if he won't start, Lingard will come in.

  17. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Final shout out before I pull the trigger. Best payet replacement? Budget 9.3m. Cheers

    Ozil Sanchez fabregas mane payet
    Kun Carroll deeney

  18. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I believe at least 3 of those will happen:
    1. Swans - City 0:0 (or just 1 goal in that game)
    2. Payet will start
    3. Villa will score
    4. Hazard brace
    5. Lukaku brace
    6. Newcastle win
    7. Pelle start, Long bench
    8. Giroud hattrick
    9. Watford high win against U21 Sunderland

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Really need you to replace the Giroud hattrick with Sanchez getting 5 goals instead

    2. Suarezista
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I would love 3 4 8 and 9 to happen.

    3. HearMeRoar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Predictions: 1, 5 and 8

      (hoping for 2, 4 and 7)

  19. ZLNR
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Coutinho expected to play?

    I'm intending to take a hit for either Payet/Coutinho --> Mané/Tadic

    1. Pooodle
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Coutinho definitely won't play - he only plays alternate games at the minute and played midweek

      1. ZLNR
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks mate

  20. TheFootballHub
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    =with 20pts to catch up is it wise to take a -4 to bring in sanchez

  21. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Chasing a 40 point league.

    Is it worth doing Payet -> Tadic (-4) or play Mahrez (che).

    1. Mind över Mata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      *lead

      1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Play Mahrez, I'm bringing him in for Payet

    2. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      play mahrez... don't put yourself further back for a punt

      1. Mind över Mata
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

  22. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is payet not playing today?

    Only ask because I'm seeing lods of teams benching him and playing lanzini instead?

    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      See above post from hammers forum

    2. Biancazzurri
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      @davidgold
      Getting ready to leave for Stoke, tough place to go but winnable. Dimitri Payet doubtful. Good luck. dg

  23. Tronity
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet > Tadic -4 or start Lanzini? Protecting a 19 point ML lead.

    1. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      hold.

  24. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which is the better 4 point hit to take?
    Sturridge to Kane
    Payet to Mané

    Protecting a lead and got firmino and darmian also so may just equate to a 2 point hit

  25. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Playing Payet

    So A or B?

    A) play Iwobi with Carroll 1st sub
    Or
    B) play Carroll with Iwobi 1st sub

    Thanks

  26. blind faith
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Play Mahrez
    B) Payet to Mane c or -4 (already have Tadic)
    C) Keep Payet and hope he plays

    1. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Why would you not play mahrez? He's due

      1. blind faith
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Because this season shows due doesn't win form...

    2. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A, could get loads today

  27. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I have defoe , firmino and 0ft.
    A) take a hit on firmino
    B) take a hit on defoe
    C) leave it as it is and hope one of them plays ( I have townsend too who I initially intended to bench)

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      a

  28. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Costa > Aguero
    Sturridge > Giroud
    Coutinho > Tadic
    Huth > Gabriel

    2nd in my mini league, 18 points behind, he has done 2 transfers (minus 4). Hasn't got aguero giroud tadic or gabriel

  29. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Before it gets manic on here, good luck to everyone!

    Should pop on during the games, but if not I'll be on this evening to announce the results of the Yes/ No challenge 🙂

    1. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers bow, good luck to you too

    2. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Good luck to you!
      I'm still undecided on my team and might take a last minute hit Payet > Mahrez!!