Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. bigbudgie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Aguero and KDB to single handedly turn Swansea over tonight. Both key players for City and Pep next year, no way they are going to let CL slip out of their grasp. And I'm a United fan. Getting KDB over Saints assets, captaining Kun over Sanchez.

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Amen. That's why I've captained Kun despite everyone else in the top 10k likely going Sanchez.

  2. crichardson
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    2 FT
    Any ideas on how to improve my mid?
    Coutinho, King, Lanzini, Firmino, Sanchez

    1. mojoindojo
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cout/Firm to Mane/Tadic

    2. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Two Liverpool players out, bring in a saints midfielder, bench King

  3. mojoindojo
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play one:
    a. Cresswell
    b. PVA
    c. Morgan

    Cheers!

    1. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd play cresswell, best chance of attacking returns

      1. mojoindojo
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        thx. Isnt PVA more likely to give attack returns

  4. Ayew Serious
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So has Payet been confirmed out? 🙂

    1. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      ayew serious?

      1. Ayew Serious
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Sorry, I've just woke up

    2. Jonesfromthere
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No

      1. Ayew Serious
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

    3. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No, but The Great GW38 Payet Panic has already been logged in the FFS Historian's Bible.

      1. Ayew Serious
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I'll be keeping anyway, I'll get 11 out 🙂

  5. Romford Pele - Don't w…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I already have Rojo. Should I double up and do Robles --> de Gea as part of a -4 hit (Payet --> Tadic/Mane)

    Or Should I just bring in Howard?

    1. mojoindojo
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      ROjo is likely out

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Why?

      2. Romford Pele - Don't w…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        ?

  6. ktongue
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Help

    A - MANE
    B - KDB

    I already have Agüreo and Tadic.

    1. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      KDB

    2. Jonesfromthere
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd go kdb

    4. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      KDB

  7. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Repost but change question for - choose 3 that will happen:

    1. Swans - City 0:0 (or just 1 goal in that game)
    2. Payet will start
    3. Villa will score
    4. Hazard brace
    5. Lukaku brace
    6. Newcastle win
    7. Pelle start, Long bench
    8. Giroud hattrick
    9. Watford high win against U21 Sunderland
    10. Sanchez blank

    I believe at least 3 of those will happen

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      2, 6 and 10 please.

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      5,6 and 8

    3. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      2
      4
      8

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        6 instead of 2.

    4. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sanchex will do well to blank if Giroud gets a hattrick

    5. The Red Devil
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      1,4,6 ideally

    6. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      3

    7. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      1,4,5 this is basically just a wishlist post now haha

  8. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    How is my final pick for the final week looking???

    DDG
    Bellerin / Gabriel / PVA
    Sanchez / Townsend / KDB / Tadic / Mane
    Kun / Carroll

  9. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    15 points behind mini-league leader but I have Sanchez Triple Captain. Today is going to be a fun day.

  10. Pedram
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Damn what happened to Payet ?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      tried an acrobatic position with his lady... pulled a muscle... will be okay for euros

      1. Pedram
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        😀

  11. JamesFG
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Coutinho ->Tadic
    B) Payet -> Tadic

    No brainer right?

  12. Ivz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    we think Payet will play?

    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No

  13. Pooodle
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which to do?

    A) Payet and Carroll -> KDB and Long

    B) Payet to Tadic (play Carroll)

  14. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Ozil or Theo? Don't have Alexis

    1. Romford Pele - Don't w…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Oz

    2. Grand Maester Juan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      will theo even start ?

  15. YORKIDDINGMEE
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning, A or B ? In a pickle.

    a - Lukaku & Gabriel
    b - Vardy & Cresswell

  16. andymck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Won't do until payet is confirmed out for sure but...

    A) Payet > Tadic
    B) Mignolet > Howard
    C) Both for a -4

    Other keeper is Robles who isn't playing

    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Unlikely you will get an official confirmation before deadline

      1. andymck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Fair enough, is the general consensus that he won't play then? Don't wanna be taking hits for nothing lol

    2. Pooodle
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      C. Maybe De gea or cech instead though

      1. andymck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Is de Gea worth it when I already have smalling? Already tripled up on Arsenal too.

  17. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Worth a hit to bring in Aguero for Carroll?
    Payet + Carroll > Lanzini and Aguero?

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I think so, yes.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers. Will mean going 4-3-3 which I am not keen on, but does give me the option of captaining Kun.

        1. Jonesfromthere
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Def the best captain option in my opinion, even if not chasing.

          1. Art Vandelay
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Not chasing - 60+ lead in ML and OR 155

            1. Jonesfromthere
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              Even so 😉

  18. PMz
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet + Defoe > Tadic + Kane (-4)? Team:

    Robles (Darlow)

    Bellerin Gabriel Smalling

    Payet Hazard Sanchez Townsend

    Defoe Carroll Aguero (c)

    Subs: Lanzini, PvA, Sakho

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

      Kane good choice

  19. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Think I might just go on a mad one in an attempt to win ml ML (26 points behind)

    Rival is going to go Sanchez (C) as a safety move. I may bring in Tadic and KDB (-4) and go with Kun (C)

    Sure why not 🙂

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You call that a mad one?

      I'm 20 points behind my rival in my ML so I brought in Mane (c) and Walcott for a hit 😀

      1. Bøwstring The Carp
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Both could be mad enough to work 😀

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          😀

    2. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      absolutely... KDB and CKun for the win...

  20. Heels_Over_Head
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    if i offered a million dollars to all 30 original posts on the next page of comments if they could get through the whole page without a single mention of payet... it wouldn't happen

    1. Andy1
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd be up for being involved in that challenge. I'm feeling a bit skint at the moment.

    2. The Red Devil
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      For a million dollars? Yes sir I'll do it!

  21. wikidwhite
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    De Gea - (Darlow)

    Van Dijk - Bellerin - Cathcart - (Moreno - Fuchs)

    Sanchez (C) - Hazard - Payet - Tadic (Vc) (Townsend)

    Aguero - Giroud - Martial

    Have 0.4 itb, top 200k. Any advice appreciated! Thanks.

  22. ZLNR
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Schmeichel
    Alderweireld Kirchhoff Cresswell
    Payet* Hazard Sánchez Mahrez
    Lukaku Defoe* Martial

    Subs: Robles Coutinho* Chester Fosu-Mensah

    I've starred the doubtfuls, worth taking a hit for coutinho- Tadic?

    10 points ahead in fun ML
    99 points ahead in cash ML

  23. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I still regret not getting in Walcott for a hit on final day of last season. Don't want any regrets this year.

    But who should I replace with kelechi?

    A) deeney
    B) carroll

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Neither, but if you really want to Carroll.

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I didn't so I decided to bring Walcott in for a hit this time 😎

      1. Stats Don\'t Lie
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Can't, already have triple arsenal 🙁

  24. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    How is my final pick for the final week looking??? for -8 hit worth finalizing this.
    What do you think guys, need some last minute help, wanna finish on a high

    DDG
    Bellerin / Gabriel / PVA
    Sanchez / Townsend / KDB / Tadic / Mane
    Kun / Carroll

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Looks good to me, maybe identical to my team ( also on a -8 🙂 )

  25. Runaway
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Giroud playing may limit Sanchez points, Arsenal is not well motivated, City have to win, you are chasing 12 pt. so you should Kun (C)
    B) Come on it's Villa, both of them can brace at least. City game may be stressful and low scoring, look for those 12 pts elwewhere and Sanchez (C)

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A all day

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      About A, you didn't see last weekend's game. Or WBA game.

  26. Elijah's Wood
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Manone/Robles owner. My FT will be Payet out for one of the Soton boys, is it worth taking a hit to bring in a GK just in case?

    A) Mane + Forster
    B) Tadic + Cech

    1. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah pretty confident it will be Howard and Pickford for EVE/SUN so -2 already.

    2. ☆Khaz
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No hit for a gk, very unpredictable CS rate, and low points potential.

  27. Springbank
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet > Mahrez for -4 anyone???
    (already use my Ft for Tadic)

    or hope either Defoe or Coleman comes in to cover?

  28. Baby Cuties
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Mane is basically certain to start, right?

    If so, I cant quite see the overwhelming preference for Tadic over him

    1. Fergietime
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Mane only played 64 minutes last week, if that bothers u.

      1. Baby Cuties
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Ok, yeah makes a difference i guess

        cheers

  29. hardrock1
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Just saw a tweet saying that Sky Sports has Adrian as the only player out for WHU. WTF?

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Payet isn't confirmed out by the club. Pretty obvious isn't it.

  30. Bantchester United
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Quick one lads - a) tadic b) mane
    Chasing mini league.