Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. CC22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is it worth Firmino and Defoe out for Giroud and Tadic for -4? Or alternatively just Firmino out for Tadic for free?

    I'm currently basically level going into this week in one of my cash leagues (I'm leading by 1 point)...but I have Payet, Defoe and Firmino all as doubts, plus Sakho definitely not playing.

    1. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Same transfers here, I've done Tadic and waiting on Payet then will go Giroud if he doesn't play. Giroud form v poor though this season.

      1. CC22
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Just realised I can't even get Giroud in due to three Arsenal already. May do Defoe to Long potentially.

        1. The Mandalorian
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Long or Mane seem good options

  2. JamesFG
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DDG (Darlow)
    PvA Bellerin Gabriel (Delaney Simpson)
    Sanchez Payet Tadic Hazard (Lanzini)
    Defoe Aguero Carroll

    A) Payet out for a hit
    B) Defoe out for a hit
    C) Stick

    1. CC22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      After I do Firmino to Tadic for free we will have basically the exact same team. Your Darlow and PvA vs my Robles and Sakho the only differences.

      As above, I'm strongly considering Defoe out for Giroud for a hit.

      1. CC22
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        ...just realised I can't even bring Giroud in due to three Arsenal. Defoe to Long perhaps?

        1. JamesFG
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Haha you beat me to it. Not sure I like long for a hit either really but I'll have a think

        2. Lynxy
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Giroud is a troll. Long is better anyway.

      2. JamesFG
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I've already got 3 Arsenal unfortunately. Not sure I'm comfortable hitting someone like Deeney into my team

  3. CamTheMan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Mane in for Coutinho? Thinking coutinho might not play

  4. SirStevieG
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet Payet Payet Payet Payet
    Payet Payet Payet Payet Payet
    Payet Payet Payet Payet Payet

    1. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      But which of the 15 Payets is captain?

  5. Eden Azzzar
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any one else kunless for today?

    1. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yep

    2. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      o/

    3. Daaf
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah for now. I am unsure whether to transfer him in.

    4. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Trouble ahead if you are, he has 8 goals in his last 6 premier league starts

  6. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    David Gold said Payet was a doubt in a previous tweet this season and he never played.

  7. Theatre_Of_Screams
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is Defoe to Long for a hit worth it? Talk about Defoe not starting.

  8. faver
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If im United fan but im about 90% convinced that they wont play in CL league, should I stay away from City players, when my brain tells me to buy but heart yells no? I mean bringing KDB in

    1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Head over heart in ff and don't take it too bad...you not deserved top 4 now way

  9. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is Townsend an appropriate sub for Payet?

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yep. He's mine at least 🙂

    2. Pedram
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Well he's in the Scout picks

    3. Eden Azzzar
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Same

  10. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Start Lingard over Defoe?

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      nope

    2. Straitpizza187
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Defoe should come on at least.

  11. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play PVA?
    Or
    Aoa and play Townsend?

  12. Arvin-ation
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Think its Tadic over Mane for me.

    He's the Saint's chief creator and actually, his goal threat isn't too bad compared to Mane.

    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/my-stats-tables/view/5984/

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ramsey or Mane?

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Mane (c)

  13. Cheeseoid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Taking an unexpected punt. Sturridge to Iheanacho just for the hell of it.

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I like. And wanna do the same but should I lose deeney or Carroll?

      1. Cheeseoid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Carroll. Lose the guy least likely to play imo

  14. Tronity
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who scores more:
    A) Tadic
    B) Lanzini +4

    1. faver
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      b

  15. Mr Alex
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Will clichy start?

  16. jackofhearts
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    10p behind, rival with Sanchez. Me:

    Payet, Mahrez, Coutinho, Kahzi
    Sturridge, Lukaku, Kane

    Which is wiser?

    a) Coutinho, Sturridge -> Agüero, Iwobi
    b) Coutinho, Sturridge -> Giroud, Tadic

    Thanksss!

  17. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Just checking the dealine in 1 hour before deadline so still time no?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Deadline is not in 1 hour. It's 1 hour before kick off

    2. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yeah 3hrs 8 minutes

  18. Eden Azzzar
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I've just realized Randolph is in goal for Whu not sure I wanna play cresswell now

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I don't have other option. PVA and Morgan are other options

  19. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    West Ham United coped without Payet when he was last injured, albeit with a raft of draws rather than victories, however we were informed early this morning that Payet may well still make the trip to Stoke and that his absence was due to the fact that one of his sons was unwell and that he had needed to be at home to help out.

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Whaaaaaaaaatttt!!!!! I am waiting the team sheets?!!!!

        1. Perthite
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          (Dramatic music) dum dum dum

    2. Hobolicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Where is this from?

  20. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Gomes
    Bellerin gabs Rose
    Sanchez(c) haz Payet Mahrez Tadic
    Kun ighalo

    Subs Carroll Cresswell fuchs

    A stick
    B Payet to Arnie -4
    C Payet to Mane -4
    D Cresswell to VVD -4
    E Carroll to Long -4

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      C

  21. Adds04
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I herd in the week that Danny Simpson won't play this week because of some legal thing to do with his assault was I dreaming?

    1. LouieM97
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      His Curfew was lifted

    2. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      It's ok the solicitors are closed on Sunday he'll play.

    3. Adds04
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Great the way it's going I will need him to play thanks

  22. cutch
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    ----------- Robles (Darlow)
    Gabriel, Bellerin, Cresswell (PVA, Delaney)
    Firmino, Payet, Mahrez, Alexis (c) (Townsend)
    ------- Kane, Aguero, Carroll

    1FT, 1.2 ITB

    Doing Firmino -> Tadic

    Leading by 35, one of my two rivals has Valencia and Vardy, the other one Smalling and Martial

    A) Do nothing
    B) Robles -> De Gea (to cover my rivals Man Utd defense) (-4)
    C) Carroll -> Martial/Vardy (to cover my rivals forward) (-4)
    D) B + C (-8)
    E) Payet -> Mane (-4)

    Suggestions? Thanks in advance.

  23. Eden Azzzar
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Games start at 3 right

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yep - deadline is 2pm for FF

      1. Eden Azzzar
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cool thanks

    2. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yep

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Right

  24. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Decisions - Sturridge > ???? (has to be one of these 2)

    A) Martial - rival who is 12 points behind me has him
    B) Kane - Vying for top goalscorer

  25. LouieM97
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Milner --> Mirallas or Ayew for a -4?
    Sadly needed with the Payet news

  26. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    need reports if a yellow lamborghini is travelling down the M6

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lambooorgiiiiniiiiiii!!!!!

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Reports coming it that it was caught speeding.

      Fortunately, the officer has Payet in his team so let him go.

  27. Shrimpy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Do we see lineups before lockout?

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Weeeeeeel maybe

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      nope unless you want to risk a fake teamsheet

  28. Sergeant Garcia
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who to play:

    A) PvA (wat)
    B) Fuchs (che)

  29. Springbank
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I started GW1 with Mahrez, I think it's only fair he rewards me today!!

    Payet > Mahrez for -4
    defoe/coleman first sub...

    Shall I??

  30. The Man Pastore
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Everything in order?

    Darlow
    Kosc l Gabriel l Cresswell
    Sanchez l Hazard l Tadic l Lanzini
    Defoe l Aguero(C) l Martial

    Bench: Robles l Dann l Payet l Rojo

    Would you do Payet -> Eriksen or Mane for -4pts?

    1. Eden Azzzar
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd keep looks fine