Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Lanzini or KDB/any other midfielder (-4)?

    1. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lanzini

  2. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is Payet news true???

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No, all lies.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Lies

      2. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Does he even have any Kids?

    1. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes, he is Luke's father.

      1. Lynxy
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

        1. You've got red on you.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Search your feelings, you know it to be true.

  3. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    No real chance that Dier will get dropped right?

  4. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Really Want to get one of Those 🙁

    A- Vardy

    B- Kane

    1. All about that Baines
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

  5. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone else in a good place(no problem fielding xi) seeing all the panic about players not starting?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Fielding 11 doesn't necessarily mean it's the best 11 you can field

      1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        At this stage I have the players I want to have.

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          This would make a thrilling novel

          1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Can't wait for the book signings...

  6. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'm chasing by 48 for 3rd place for money worth me doing a -4 hit on Payet for

    A)Hazard
    B)Tadic

    Already have Mane.

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You are chasing shadows.

      Go with A

  7. All about that Baines
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which transfer is best?

    a) Payet out , De Bruyne in
    b) Payet out , Mane in
    c) Noble out, Mane in ( Bench Mahrez vs Chelsea)

  8. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Protecting a lead and rival has Kane.

    Take the -4 hit to replace sturridge with Kane?

    1. FPL Maldini
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Depends how far your lead is?

      1. Gandalf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        17 lead, and already taken a 4 point hit to get aguero and tadic in. Firmino and payet also in team. Is sturridge certain not to start?

        1. FPL Maldini
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Maybe cover him with Kane. He's chasing golden boot

    2. Pirlø's Pen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yes considering your situation.

  9. The Sarjeant
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I have Mannone and Robles who won't play, would you take a hit?

    1. Spencer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I wouldn't bother

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No. Even if both don't play, potential downside of -2 and upside of +2 (or +3 with a save point).

    3. The Sarjeant
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers guys.

    4. Suarezista
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I would only consider it for Cech. Otherwise won't bother.

    5. Stevecat
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I have exactly the same 2. I have gambled and put de-geah in for a 4 point hit.

  10. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Gomes
    Bellerin, Kirchhoff, Clyne
    Hazard, Sanchez, Payet, Redmond
    Aguero, Martial, Defoe

    Mignolet, Lanzini, Reid, Simpson

    A) Clyne + Lanzini ---> Valencia + Mane (-4)
    B) Clyne + Lanzini + Defoe ---> Valencia + Mane + Long (-8)

    Also I could play AoA with Kirchhoff dropping to the bench.
    I have a 2 point lead, rival has Mane and Valencia, that's why I wanna block him.

    1. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Safc forums saying Kirchoff rested makes sense because of his fitness levels

  11. Springbank
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Absolutely pointless at this time...

    I spent the last 1.5hrs answering people comments instead of helping the wife doing the garden! Yet I've asked 4 times the same question but no one cares to reply.

    Payet > Mahrez for -4
    If you already had Tadic and Defoe/Coleman as first subs.

    I'm out!! See you all in August..

    *and good luck

    1. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Help your wife

      1. DeadStarComing
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        🙂 I would keep Payet in.

    2. You've got red on you.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I bet you're not out...I bet you're checking to see if anyone tells you to do Payet ---> Mahrez -4

      1. You've got red on you.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        ps I shifted Payet

    3. Godfarmer
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Think Chelsea might be on it personally so wouldn't do that for a hit
      Who's on your bench?

    4. Theatre_Of_Screams
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I definitely wouldn't do Payet to Mahrez for a hit if l had Tadic as first sub.

      1. Rich_20
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Tadic on the bench is madness. The same amount as madness as what your wife will give you for the rest of the day because of not helping in the garden. Quick get out there before it's too late...but put Tadic in the team first of course.

    5. Pirlø's Pen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      def not if Tadic is first sub, he's captain material this week!

  12. DanLFC1
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Have to -4. Who to get Long Tadic or Deeney?

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Long

  13. Sergeant Garcia
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which combo will work best:

    A) Forster + Smalling
    B) DDG + Smalling

    1. FPL ElasticO
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      b >

      What do you think about Payet situation

      1. Sergeant Garcia
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks! I think that if there is some truth in it, he won't be risked with the Euro's in sight. But I got Noble as my first sub, so I don't worry too much 🙂

  14. Sarri-ball
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If payet is confirmed out

    Would you play

    Pva/Bennett
    Or
    Ozil -4 (aoa)

    Already took 4 hit so be -8

    Chasing in mini league clear in 3rd so do I gamble with ozil

  15. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Just listening the ScoutCast. I completely agree with Mark.. Mane and Ayew ruined my season

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Hazard and Gomis did mine in. Why did I leave it so long to get Vardy and why did I not dump Hazard many gameweeks earlier from my team.

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Hazard was my error. Think I kept him right up until November or December.

  16. Effe
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    West Ham appear twice in the clean sheet odds with different odds. Must be a mistake.

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No, it must be accurate...

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Looking forward to my Double Cresswell Cleansheet 😉

  17. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Got PVA, Defoe, Firmino & Payet.
    Are any of these playing today or do I have to take a hit to get someone in?

    1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      All four out it looks like tho I'm still not convinced on Defoe

    2. Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      PVA and Defoe are out

      1. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        FFS got Rojo as well and now it seems he's not playing

  18. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I've seen the Sunderland forums and would still be surprised if defoe doesn't play. Doesn't really make sense he's played well kept Sunderland up and will be mad keen to score to get in the enter land squad

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Defoe is still fighting for Euros, I think that PVA is a bigger risk.

      1. Straitpizza187
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Don't think Defoe is going regardless. Could score 6 today and it wouldn't matter.

    2. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Just to be clear a couple of people on the forum have posted the same team for today and it's all fringe players no Defoe pva etc

  19. England's Number 1
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Two starting queries...

    Cresswell or Fuchs?
    Morgan or Iwobi?

    1. Straitpizza187
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cresswell and Iwobi

      1. Your Mum's Athletic
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        this

    2. Theatre_Of_Screams
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cresswell and Iwobi

      Chelsea seldom don't score at home

      Iwobi is a midfielder at home to Villa

      1. England's Number 1
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers.

    3. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cresswell and Morgan. Hope for goals 😉

      1. Backup Dancer
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Sorry iwobi clearly over Morgan actually.

  20. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Sanchez or Kun for captain?
    Home comfort vs golden boot chasing
    Mid v Str
    Villa H v Swans A

    Tricky pick this week

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Villa will get trashed so Sanchez for me

  21. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone playing a Lei defender?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Third on bench, but potentially

    2. Theatre_Of_Screams
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No. 3rd sub for me.

  22. Your Mum's Athletic
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Morning all, I saw late last night that Rojo was out???

    1. Moss
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Didn't travel with the squad

      1. Your Mum's Athletic
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        got a source Moss? cheers

        1. Moss
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Check my recent post from last night

    2. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      He is out, yes. From LvG.

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      What nightclub was he spotted out in? Who was he with? Details please!!!

    4. Your Mum's Athletic
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      thanks guys, couldn't see it on the tweets, bit hazy this morning. giggity

  23. Foreside
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Bench Defoe or Carroll? or play AOA and bench Gabriel?

    1. Theatre_Of_Screams
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Bench Defoe. Play Gabriel.

  24. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If you are leading your ML by 35pts with BB is it reckless to take -8 to ensure you have at least 13 players in which to play your BB with

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. FPL Maldini
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Go half way- just take a -4 hit

      1. goodday there mate
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        i BB last week and wish i took more hits - go for it

    2. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      mate i took a -24 hit in dgw and got 204 points

  25. Cantonascollar7
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'm currently second in ML and 41 points adrift from top spot! I've still got AOA chip to play...

    My team

    Robles Darlow Bellerin Sakho Smalling Kirchoff Simpson KDB Sanchez Payet Fabregss Milner Defoe Carroll Aguero

    0.7 mill in the bank.

    Top spot rival in ML has:
    Schmeichel Robles Simpson Gabriel Rojo Kirchoff lovren Coutinho Sanchez Payet king Hazard
    Carroll martial Defoe

    1ft

    Should I do....

    A) Milner and Defoe to Tadic and Long and play AOA - 4 and play Smalling Bellerin at the back.

    OR

    B) Milner to Tadic and play 3 at the back.

    Plus it looks like Payet is out now?

    And captain Aguero/Tadic over Sanchez as he doesn't have him?
    Long shot trying to catch him, but worth a shot.
    Any help would be much appreciated!
    Thanks

  26. Pacer.
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Everton are going to guilt-hammer Norwich at home today. 8 goals in that for the fans and Lukaku with the ultimate troll 2015/16 signature

  27. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Which would you do?

    A) Play Creswell

    B) Get Dier (cover my rival)

  28. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Bortwick Jackson starting for 3.7? Seems like dream scenario. Also Defoe on the bench likely???

  29. liiusions
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any help would be appreciated as I'm in work till 2 and I'm still very undecided!!pick one to bench:
    A) Defoe
    B) Carroll
    C) mahrez

    They may come in for Payet anyway

    1. Theatre_Of_Screams
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      By all accounts, Defoe seems the most likely to not start, so l would go with him.

  30. goodday there mate
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DDG (Mannone)
    PVA Bell Toby (Cress Moreno)
    Sanchez* Haz Payet Cout (iwobi)
    Kun Rash Carroll

    only 6pts lead in my ML .. 1FT 1.4 cash. Any obvious moves? _________ TC sanchez or kun? _________ GTG?