Scout Picks
12 August 2016 5416 comments
J0E J0E
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After rolling out our Scout Picks Squad on Tuesday evening, it’s now time to reveal our selections for Gameweek 1 of the 2016/17 season.

We call upon a trio of Leicester players for their trip to injury-hit Hull, whilst Southampton are also prominent in our plans as Watford roll up to St Mary’s.

As with last season, a Community Champion will be taking us on each week. The budget is currently capped at 83m, although this may be increased as the campaign progresses.

At 4.5, Burnley’s Tom Heaton is our pick of this Gameweek’s goalkeepers. With the third highest number of saves in 2014/15 – the last time Burnley were in the Premier League – we feel he has plenty of points potential this week when Swansea visit. A clean sheet also looks likely as Swansea look to adapt to life without their top scorer last term, Andre Ayew, who has moved to West Ham. Just 4.2% of FPL managers have drafted the Claretsstopper in so far.

Managerless Hull are decimated by injuries, leaving little hope of attacking returns when Leicester visit. Last season’s fifth highest point scoring defender in FPL last term, Christian Fuchs (5.5), is our pick of the Foxes’ backline thanks to his knack of picking up FPL bonus points. Last season no other defender earned more than the 12.5% owned Austrian’s tally of 25.

Promoted Middlesbrough’s team sheet is awash with strong budget options this season, with left-back and 5.4%-owned George Friend no exception. Priced at 4.5, he has a strong chance of a shut out when Stoke visit and his 2.5 interceptions per match with 2.3 tackles won last season bode well for bonus potential.

With three goals and 29 goal attempts in 2015/16, we are hoping for returns at both ends of the pitch for Southampton centre back Virgil van Djik (5.5) when Watford visit. So far 13.4% of FPL managers are also backing his broad potential for points.

Riyad Mahrez (9.5) was poised to miss out in this week’s picks after a summer where his future at Leicester had been dogged by transfer gossip. With promising signs that he is staying put for the time being, a visit to Hull looks ideal for him to continue where he left off last season. The 26.5% of FPL managers that have already drafted him in certainly don’t need reminding of a stellar 2015/16 campaign, where he finished as FPL’s top scorer with 240 points. Encouragingly, 12 of Mahrez’ 17 goals arrived away from home last term.

Our second heavy hitter in midfield is Chelsea’s Eden Hazard (10m), who we are backing to recover from a largely disastrous 2015/16 season. Three goals in pre-season and the faith of new manager Antonio Conte give us cause for optimism ahead of West Ham’s visit to Stamford Bridge. Despite a relatively small tally of just five strikes last term, he has still earned the backing of 17% of FPL managers and could give Hammers’ right-back Michail Antonio a torrid time down the flank on Monday night.

Under new manager Claude Puel, Southampton have revamped their formation to create a midfield diamond with Dusan Tadic sparkling as the most advanced player behind a front two. The 7.5 midfielder, who is owned by only 5.4% of FPL managers, is also on penalties, which further enhances his appeal when Watford come calling.

Andros Townsend (5.9% FPL ownership) excelled for Newcastle at the tail end of last season and we anticipate he will do the same again in a wide role at Alan Pardew’s Crystal Palace. Priced at 6.5 he faces a West Brom side that has struggled in pre-season, where the Baggies kept just one clean sheet in six friendlies.

Sunderland have been historically woeful away to Manchester City, shipping 12 goals n their last four Premier League visits. This presents a golden opportunity for Sergio Aguero (13.0) to add to his 102 league goals since joining City in 2011. Given his pedigree, it is no surprise the Argentine leads our Captain Poll for Gameweek 1 and is currently the most popular player in FPL, with a 41% ownership. There is a word of caution, though. While City have regularly put the Black Cats to the sword at home, Sunderland’s new manager David Moyes has a far better record. In his last four seasons with Everton he was only beaten once away to City in the league.

Our lack of faith in Hull’s decimated squad persuades us to triple up on the champions. With 24 goals Jamie Vardy (10.0) narrowly missed out on the Golden Boot last term and looks set to kick start another challenge for the accolade at the KC tomorrow. A goal against Manchester United in the Community Shield will have further fuelled his confidence and optimism amongst his 23.7% FPL managers. Vardy makes our XI at the expense of Zlatan Ibrahimovic (11.5), due to the Manchester United striker’s lack of Premier League pedigree and slightly less favourable fixture, away to Bournemouth.

Andre Gray (6.5) is our pick of the more reasonably-priced strikers for Gameweek 1. The Burnley forward looks primed to take advantage of Ashley Williams’ departure to Everton this week, as Swansea make their way to Turf Moor. With nine goals in pre-season Gray certainly has strong form on his side to punish the Swans.

Just missing out on a place in our XI is Crystal Palace’s surprise joint top goal scorer last term, Scott Dann (5.5). With the notoriously defensive West Brom visiting, we have strong hopes of a clean sheet as well as the possibility of attacking returns for the centre back.

Roberto Firmino (8.5), who could be fielded as a false nine away to Arsenal, also has to settle for bench-warming duties in the Picks. With two goals during Liverpool’s pre-season, we are anticipating returns as he takes on a Gunners backline decimated by injury and international fixture fatigue.

Southampton’s kind home tie with Watford ensures Shane Long remains in our thinking. The Irishman, who scored in the Saints final pre-season clash against Athletic Bilbao, is expected to lead the line along with Nathan Redmond. With 10 goals last term, Long offers a strong alternative to Gray for those looking for a reliable 6.5-priced striker.

The Community Champion

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher (we can currently only offer Amazon.com or Amazon.co.uk vouchers) and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

This week’s champion is Frankie the Gent, who already has 10 FPL campaigns under his belt.

Community XI: Hart, Shaw, Valencia, Dann, Sanchez, Nolito, Oscar, Redmond, Vardy, Kane, Long.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Littlefish92
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Best goalkeeper 5 mil or less will be main goalie ?

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Frasier Forster!

    2. TATTOOED_2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I've gone Heaton

    3. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Foster

    4. FootballGeorge
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Foster

      1. Ruffio
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Schmiecs

    5. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Schmiechel

  2. Paanmonkey
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A. Shaw
    B. Fuchs
    C. Morgan

    Which one ?

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      The chubby one

      1. Paanmonkey
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        morgan ?

        1. Pariße
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Morgan is robust, Shaw is chubby

    2. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A. long term

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Week 1 Fuchs. Longer term Shaw

  3. TATTOOED_2
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    7 of my players chosen. Trying to resist the urge to mess around again and increase that number

  4. sboj
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    no Leicester coverage and doubling up on Tots ... am I nuts? (Kane Alli)

  5. n-doggg
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A. Alli and firminho
    B. Lamela and mahrez

    I have Vardy

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      a

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        A

    2. sboj
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      i have A with Kane up front no Vardy

    3. BadgersBoys
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  6. dhamansgill
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Rate my Team

    GK VALDES/MANDANDA
    DEF WALKER/VALENCIA/STONES/WOLLSCHEID/SMITH(bor)
    MID REDMOND/HAZARD/FIRMINO/TOWNSEND/IBE
    FWD VARDY/GRAY/KUN

    1. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      CAPS

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        LOCK

    2. cheeky_ash
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Strong I'd say

    3. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Very nice, 8/10 since nothing is a 10/10 at this point.

    4. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not keen on the keepers
      Wollschied also dodgy with Butland injured
      Rest good

      1. dhamansgill
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        which keeper combo would you recommend.

  7. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    a) Hazard Sanchez Redmond Deulofeu Capoue
    b) Hazard Firmino Tadic Deulofeu Ramirez

    Strikeforce is Kun, Vardy & Gray

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  8. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Oscar or Willian?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Oscar

    2. aehii
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Oscar for central and on pens. But who knows, William for crosses and free kicks.

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Oscar as on penalties probably

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        thanks guys, but Oscar not a sure starter is he?

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          No, that's why you get Hazard

  9. aehii
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Mahrez was poor the last few games and I don't know why.

    1. RᴀᴄɪɴɢTᴏᴀᴅ
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      He's always been poor. Others have just been poorer.

      1. aehii
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Erm, always?

  10. Evans
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone else seen the FPL show ? Surely it's a hot topic !

  11. Super_Frank
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Is it worth saving 1.5 from downgrading Eriksen to Lamela?

    1. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yes. Although Alli at 8.5 > Erik and lam

  12. BB-8
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Want to break away from the template. Pick one please

    A. Sanchez Deulofeu + 1.0 mil
    B. Hazard Alli

    1. krzys
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A probably most away from template

    3. ChristoBisto
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Those are both pretty template? Guess Sanchez is less so

      1. BB-8
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Sanchez is anything but template

        1. ChristoBisto
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Really? Seen him in a few teams.

  13. the axolotl
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    had a look and couldn't see anywhere here so, ..... sample bookies clean sheet odds for this week. very difficult to predict of course;

    Hull 3/1 Leicester 5/4
    Burnley 17/10 Swansea 21/10
    Crystal Palace 11/10 West Brom 5/2
    Everton 13/5 Tottenham 15/8
    Middlesbrough 7/5 Stoke 21/10
    Southampton 5/4 Watford 7/2
    Man City 5/6 Sunderland 10/1
    Bournemouth 7/2 Man Utd 13/10
    Arsenal 12/5 Liverpool 3/1
    Chelsea 13/10 West Ham 9/2

    1. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Just out of interest is this best odds off oddschecker or PP ?

      1. the axolotl
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        pp, didn't look around tbh, but normally they are fairly consistent

    2. Van Klinkert Delarosa
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Never understand how to read this stuff.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        The smaller the number the better

        1. George Sillett
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Very wrong.

          1. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            How so?

            1. the axolotl
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              the smaller what number? that doesn't make any sense at all 🙂 unless you meant it 😉

            2. George Sillett
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              At this stage its just an odds compilers opinion. You need to formulate your opinion which may be different. After the initial odds markets are determined by the weight of money from punters in general who are mostly morons. Short odds don't necessarily mean reliability more the welt of money they have on an outcome.

              1. Ha.
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 5 months ago

                Of course bookies figures should be taken with a pinch of salt, but the question was how to interpret it.

                Generally a lower price means a greater likelihood of the outcome, which in clean sheet terms means the lower the number, the more probable it is. Yes it includes money weighting but that obviously doesn't translate to success.. but it is the underlying principle!

                1. George Sillett
                  • 10 Years
                  9 years, 5 months ago

                  Yes but you cannot reliably trust bookie markets. Percentage markets are everything. The greater the overall bookie market profit percentage the greater the uncertainty.

                  1. Ha.
                    • 10 Years
                    9 years, 5 months ago

                    Quite. But I was not advising on where to place money, merely what the number meant.

                    1. George Sillett
                      • 10 Years
                      9 years, 5 months ago

                      With respect I wouldn't rely on that either for FPL'

        2. George Sillett
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Trust me I know.

      2. the axolotl
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        bet the 2nd number, win the 1st number. the bigger the 1st number in comparison to the 2nd number, the less likely it is to happen.

    3. SADIO SANÉ
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Decimal in odds order (PP):

      Man City 1.83
      Crystal Palace 2.10
      Leicester 2.25
      Southampton 2.25
      Man Utd 2.29
      Chelsea 2.29
      Middlesbrough 2.40
      Burnley 2.70
      Tottenham 2.87
      Swansea 3.10
      Stoke 3.10
      Arsenal 3.40
      West Brom 3.50
      Everton 3.60
      Hull 4.00
      Liverpool 4.00
      Watford 4.50
      Bournemouth 4.50
      West Ham 5.50
      Sunderland 11.00

  14. TheOrangeMan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    RMT please

    Hennessy Adrian
    Valencia Stones Friend Evans Amat
    Hazard Eriksen Tadic Redmond Capoue
    Aguero Vardy Gray

    1. BadgersBoys
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Looks solid..

  15. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What's the general feeling now that Kone has asked for a transfer?

    Will Sunderland continue to pick him regardless?

    1. kalmoffit
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Think they will, he's plainly better than any of their other defenders.

  16. Unbelievable Jeff!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Please help...
    A) vardy
    B) ibra

    I prefer ibra long term but that hull fixture! Been changing all week!

    1. Swan - Villa Proud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'm going Ibra; easy to downgrade if needed.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I have Vardy with 1.5 m in bank

    3. Silva’s Left Nut
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I went Vardy+1.5m itb and can switch back whenever I want

  17. Swan - Villa Proud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Once last pol. WHich front 8 do you like better

    A)
    Hazard, Tadic, Firmino, Deulofeu, Capoue
    Kun, Ibra, Gray

    B)
    Sanchez, Hazard, Firmino, Deulofeu, Redmond
    Kun, Carroll, Gray

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

      1. cheese XL
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        A

    2. mr gruber
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B!
      Its my midfield and I like it.
      (I have musa with aguero)

      I think Sanchez is worth having over Ibra

      Good luck!

  18. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A. Tadic / Ayew
    B Alli / Redmond

    Cheers

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

  19. RohanVaswani
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A) Hazzard firmino Redmond

    Or

    B) Mahrez Oscar Tadic

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    4. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    5. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  20. Fragzurp
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Alli / Eriksen / Lamela

    which is best?

    1. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Hard to call. Alli or Lamela and depends if you can make the extra 1.5 for Lamela count else where

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Alli @ 8.5, Lamela @ 7.0

  21. n-doggg
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    I have Vardy

    A. Mahrez and capoue
    B. Alli and feg
    C. Alli and Ramirez

  22. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    1) Townsend
    2) Redmond
    3) deulofue

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      2
      1
      3

    2. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      That's the correct order

  23. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Happy with my team after reading the picks!

    Heaton
    Shaw Stones Keane
    Mkhi Eriksen Firmino Townsend
    Long Aguero(c) Gray

    Foster Dawson Fletcher Amat

    3.0 ITB

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure about Keane, a bit pricey

      1. shirtless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Goal incoming tmrw!

  24. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Okay, crunch time: which is the best option?

    A) Courtois, Evans, Walker, Eriksen Carroll

    B) Foster, Friend, Amat, Deulofeu, Kane

    C) Foster, Friend, Amat, Ayew, Vardy

    Rest of the team:
    Jaku
    Valencia Williams Stones
    Hazard Tadic Firmino Capoue
    Agüero Gray

    1. Fragzurp
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

    2. WALOR
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

  25. @FPLStrategist
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Best of luck everyone...

    Two choices, all opinions please...

    A) Tadic and Townsend

    OR

    B) Firminho and Redmond

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. mr gruber
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

  26. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What do you think guys about my team ?

    Foster
    Valencia, Friend, Stones
    Hazard, Tadic, Deloufeu, Firmino
    Aguero, Ibrahimovic, Grey

    Sub: Jakupovic, Amat, Djilabobodji, Capoue

  27. dirtypino
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A martial
    B mahrez (have vardy)
    C firmino

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. sboj
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      c

  28. Mmm mmm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Guys I need your help. Hazard in my team is bogging down my midfield, including Redmond in ahead of Tadic, who I thin could explode. What are your thoughts - is Haz essential??

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      no he's not

  29. temo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A Firmino + 4.5 playing mid
    B Tadic + 5.5 playing mid

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A but you need tadic as well

    2. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B - so many good 5.5s out there v ummmm, capoue?

    3. faver
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      from those two i would pick firmino

  30. Gascoigne8
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A. Bojan

    B. Redmond

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B