Paddy Says
10 December 2016 489 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Christmas might be coming and the geese tending towards morbid obesity, but Paddy doesn’t have to wait for a whole year to deliver his Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds.

Nor does he require a chimney, a sack and a carrot offering for his imaginary herd of flight-ready reindeer.

But before we unwrap this week’s glittering prices, let’s see if one of his enhanced offers to new customers could be just the thing you need.

Arsenal to beat Stoke at The Emirates looks likelier than a white Christmas at the North Pole, so 4-1 on a Gunners win is his first present of the week.

You can get the same odds on Chelsea making it nine wins in a row when they entertain West Brom and another 4-1 offer involves a Liverpool home win against West Ham. Anfield has witnessed five Reds victories this season, while the travelling Hammers’ fans have come home happy just the once, so they’ll struggle to shut down the Klopp and Kop shop.

On the blue side of the Mersey, Everton are off to Watford for the day, and you can get 7-1 on them returning with all three points, while Man City are at 5-1 to keep champions Leicester at the wrong end of the table.

And if accumulators are where it’s at for you, there’s 16-1 on offer for Arsenal, Bournemouth and Man City all to win. The Cherries are away at Burnley.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 15

PlayerTeamOdds
SanchezARS1.44
GiroudARS1.44
CostaCHE1.50
WalcottARS1.57
IheanachoMCI1.72
ManeLIV1.83
OrigiLIV1.83
FirminoLIV1.83
HazardCHE2.10
IbrahimovicMUN2.10
BentekeCRY2.10
LukakuEVE2.10
WilsonBOU2.29
DefoeSUN2.37
LongSOT2.50
De BruyneMCI2.62
KaneTOT2.75
SigurdssonSWA2.87

There’s no need for a recount in our Captain Poll this week – Alexis Sanchez won it with a landslide. Popular vote, electroral college, proportional representation; whatever the method, the Chilean came out on top.

No surprise then that Paddy has him at 1.44 to score against Stoke. Close to 350,000 FPL managers have brought him into their sides this Gameweek, so they’re hoping for instant returns, even if the Potters have kept back-to-back clean sheets.

In a Fantasy season where midfielders have caught they eye, the forwards are now striking back. The rest of the top five most transfered-in players this week are all front men, with Harry Kane, Diego Costa, Jermain Defoe and Kelechi Iheanacho all feeling the love.

Defoe is the most generously priced of that group, rated at 2.37 to score for Sunderland at Swansea. Li’l Jermain has scored four times in his last five outings, while the Swans have shipped nine goals in a fortnight. Something’s got to give, and it’s more likely to be Bob Bradley’s defence giving Defoe a chance or three.

Paddy thinks Iheanacho will be the new Sergio Aguero for the next four matches, but if his 1.72 price isn’t rich enough for you there’s always Kevin De Bruyne at 2.62 and Yaya Toure’s 2.80 to consider as Man City travel to Leicester.

Liverpool are clear favourites to beat West Ham at Anfield (more on that below), and 1.83 shots Divock Origi, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane have all seen their ownership rise this Gameweek.

But the 1.5%-owned Andy Carroll is fit again – for now – and scored after coming on as a sub in last weekend’s mauling by Arsenal. It wouldn’t be a surprise if he did something similar on his return to Liverpool.

His price of 4.00 certainly makes him an intriguing outlier.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 15

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.72
Southampton1.90
Arsenal2.10
Liverpool2.20
Manchester City2.70
Manchester United2.75
Crystal Palace2.87
Everton3.00
Bournemouth3.00

Paddy seems convinced of a Chelsea clean sheet against West Brom, offering the shortest odds (1.72) of any team to secure a shut-out this weekend. Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the Gameweek’s most popular defensive acquisition and two others from the Blues’ rearguard are in the top ten.

But two of the top four in that list are Bournemouth boys – Nathan Ake and Steve Cook. The Cherries have a decent run up to Christmas, starting at Burnley today, which explains the Fantasy buys and makes Paddy’s 3.00 an interesting offering.

Having said that, Bournemouth have managed just the one clean sheet on the road and Burnley have only failed to score twice in eight matches at Turf Moor this campaign.

The 4.50 available on Middlesbrough to blank Southampton at St Mary’s looks a far tastier prospect.

Boro’s Ben Gibson is another in the top ten defensive buys this Gameweek, one of the side’s four back men with ownership figures at 3.0% or better.

Stopping Southampton at home looked tricky for Aitor Karanka’s men until Thursday night’s Europa League debacle in which the Saints lost both the chance to qualify for the knock-out stages and their top scorer, Charlie Austin.

Boro have kept four clean sheets this season – two at home, two away – but three of them have come in the last six Gameweeks. A demoralised Southampton missing Austin’s cutting edge could struggle to stop Middlesbrough making it five on Sunday.

489 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Plutocracy
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Play:

    a) Holebas (EVE)
    b) Joe Allen (ars)
    c) Adam Smith (bur)

    thanks...

    1. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      C A B in that order

      1. Plutocracy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        thank you

    2. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      C no doubt

  2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Nacho to origi done.....may the fantasy football gods have mercy on my soul

    1. Conk
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      You're going to hurt yourself with that knee

      1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        No knee jerk got nacho to see if I could get a profit...failed
        Just hope the origi punt works out

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      You mean Austin right?

    3. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Are you on WC ?

      1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Yes

  3. vickyz r3d d3vil$ !!!
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Play one out of
    A) Allen
    B) Pieters
    C) Evans

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Always the attacking player.

    2. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      A

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Allen

    4. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Don't think it really matters. They're all going to score 1 point!

    5. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      A

  4. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Couldn't decide on my captain at all so I showed my missus my options and she choose Hazard because "the blue jersey stands out and the name makes it sound risky but exciting"

    At least if he blanks I can blame her 😆

    1. Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Sound reasoning 😀

    2. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Take it you don't have Fuchs in your team then?

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        No I don't but if Hazard gets a haul she might get Fuchs in hers

      2. Jehstafari
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Hahaha

    3. Pochecinno
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I wouldn't let John Terry near your missus if I were you.

  5. Dopey44
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Would you rather:

    A - Alonso (-4)
    B - Fuchs

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      A

    2. Chinu
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Alonso

    3. Dopey44
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Cheers all, pretty unanimous

  6. Phil Dagger ⭐
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    A

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      RF to Di Canio

  7. Darth_Newdar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Looking for a differential captain... opinions on captaining Firmino or Sigurdsson? Both have great fixtures, although I'm thinking Liverpool are probably a better team to back than Swansea.

    1. Plutocracy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Like the idea of any team playing West Ham, but Origi may steal the goals?

      Swans will concede 3 probably, but Siggy will be involved if they get 1 or 2 back...

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Liverpool haven't been as fluid without Coutinho. Firmino will be out wide again where he is less effective. I'd go for Siggy but I don't think this is the week to be going for a differential

    3. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I have both and captained Firmino

      1. Darth_Newdar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks

  8. PMz
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Worried about Hojberg/Allen and my defence. Is anything worth a -4? 1.8 in the bank..

    Heaton (Pickford)

    Holebas Cedric Amat

    Hobjerg Sanchez Haz Firmino

    Kane Kelechi Costa (c)

    Subs:Allen Pieters Evans

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Wouldn't bring in a defender or 4th mid for a minus four. A clean sheet or single goal/assist will only just more than get your money back

  9. careta
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Keep getting bottomed but really need some help.

    Heaton
    Lovren Janmaat Cédric
    Gundogan Walcott Sánchez Firmino Hazard
    Costa Austin

    Pickford Amat McAuley Diomande
    0FT

    Can't buy Kane but everyone else is within budget. I'm usually conservative with taking hits but just one forward seems too little.

    Do I play Amat or take a hit to replace Austin?

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      get defoe for Austin

    2. InSaneMan-e
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Defoe/Benteke/Iheanacho/Origi for Austin?

    3. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I'd take a hit to replace Austin. I just brought in Iheanacho, but obviously several other options available.

    4. careta
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Ok so it seems to be a given that I should take a hit. Only question is to whom I guess...

  10. Excuse The Kun
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Sanchez(STK) - Siggy (SUN) - Eriksen (mun) - Firmino (WHU) - Hazard (WBA)
    Costa (WBA) - Llorente (SUN) - Anichebe (swa)

    Who to bench??

    A- Eriksen
    B- Anichebe

    Cheers

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Bench a, even with his upturn in form B is playing the worst team in the league

      1. Excuse The Kun
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Cheers VDF
        That's what I'm planning to do!

        Just wanted to make sure I'm sane

    2. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Bench Llorente. He won't get many minutes

      1. Excuse The Kun
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        I kneejerk bought him to replace Austin, also afraid about his play time

        1. TokyoRisingSun
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          Eriksen takes free kicks and corners. In a tight game like this he has a chance of doing something

          1. Excuse The Kun
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 12 months ago

            Done!
            Thx TRS

  11. Jonny Sutt
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    I'd like to bring Phil jones in but how likely is he to start all of the Xmas period games?

    1. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I chuckled at this. *wipes tear from eye*

      Thanks for that.

    2. dhamphiir
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Bailly is back and dont think Jones will get minutes

      1. Jonny Sutt
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Team line ups said jones and Baily will make up the centre half positions?

      2. Top 210 Club
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Jones and Bailey to start, rojo blind bench

        1. Jonny Sutt
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          For how long?

    3. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I wouldn't, rotation risk too great

    4. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Pretty likely.

  12. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    I know this has been asked a hundred times, but who would you bring in for Austin?

    A) Defoe
    B) Iheanacho

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Iheanacho

    2. Conk
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      How brave are you feeling?

      1. Jonny HOW SON?
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        I'm in a pretty good position overall, so might go for safety

    3. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Defoe for sure

    4. Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Origi

    5. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I just did B

    6. dhamphiir
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Short term - nacho
      Long term - Defoe

    7. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Defoe's fixtures are iffy after this week.

      Nacho may not even play as the false 9 is a real prospect.

      Where am I going with this...? Bugger only knows.

    8. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Defoe

    9. Plutocracy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Iheanacho

    10. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I have Defoe, but I'd probably punt on origi over kelechi

    11. drughi
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      If I were in a good seat now I'd probably have went for defoe but bad rank has forced me to gamble

    12. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Thanks everyone

  13. Chinu
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Start Pieters or Nyom?

  14. vickyz r3d d3vil$ !!!
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Swans doing a resolute defending, deeney getting his 100th one, allen nicks one, sterling coming off the bench to score a winner...

  15. matpower_
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    To start/bench today, Holebas or Walker?

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      start walker

    2. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Start walker all day long.

  16. Lecky Legs FC
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    How's my squad looking this GW GTG?

    Pickford
    Cedric Holebas McAuley
    Can Hazard (VC) Mane Sanchez (C)
    Costa Iheanacho Kane

    Subs:Grant,Williams,De Roon & Love

    1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Lovely

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Cheers mate

  17. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    PANIC STATIONS!!!!!

    Who would you start, guys, .... and why?

    1) Brunt (che)
    2) Ake (bur)
    3) Amat (SUN)

    Thanks!

    1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Amat.

      Because I think he'll get more points.

    2. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Ake. Chance for CS. And could get attacking points/baps as well

    3. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      2 easily

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Why easily?

    4. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Brunt - playing in midfield, on set pieces, always a chance of attacking returns.

    5. skeyrd
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Ake

  18. Can’t beat em so&hell…
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    I've already taken a -4. This lot is good enough to go right?

    Got 2.3 if needed....

    Foster/pick
    Walker/stones/holebas/pieters/Amat
    Sanchez/firmino/Wally/Redmond/fletcher
    Kane/Costa/ineacho

    Feels like it needs more Chelsea...?

  19. drughi
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Can't the fpl gods for once threat me good. Walcott hattrick and sanchez blank, thanks

    1. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Gods don't like pple who pray against others. Let sanchez score a goal at least 😉
      Not that i have either player

      1. drughi
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        All i asked for last week was that walcott somewhat matched sanchez. The gods gave sanchez 23 points and walcott 3 points. Fpl gods can be harsh

        1. The Fantastic Mr Fox
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          Yep. As an Ozil owner, i don't have much hope

  20. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Start one from Holebas or Amat?

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Holebas

    2. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      holebas

    3. drughi
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I have the same question, amat feels more likely for CS but holebas more attacking

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        I don't see a cs for Amat at all tbh

    4. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Holebas

  21. Scotch Jock
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Haven't a clue - play Holebas (EVE), Gundogan (lei) or Barrow (SUN)?

    1. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Barrow

      1. Scotch Jock
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Ta

  22. afcbbbb
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Ihenacho or Origi?

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I just brought in Ihenacho

    2. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Think theres a good case for Anichibe over those two.People may be looking at his price and thinking he wont deliver but he is showing good form.

  23. WVA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    A. Defoe and Can
    B. Anichebe and Firmino
    Both for a -8

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      B

      ideally Defoe plus Firmino

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Can't afford that 🙁

    2. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      B

  24. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Pieters to Alonso for a hit? Think it will save a future hit anyway so might as well pull the trigger this week. What say you!!

    1. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Go for it. I can only see his price rising further in the future

    2. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Yeh

    3. WVA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Yep

    4. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Do it. Heard a lot of opinions about how the ship on Alonso has sailed. Disagree with thise. Ive had him for 5 gw now. Hes inly going to keepnon delivering

  25. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Play Vertonghen or Kone?

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Vert

  26. Dasher0303
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Play Allen(ars) or Hojberg(MID)?

    Hojbjerg more likely to start, but has much less attacking threat, although he might get a clean sheet point. Allen has much harder fixture and might not start but is much more attacking. Or should I play Amat(SUN) over both of them??

    1. PMz
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Same dilemma. I'm playing Hojberg.

  27. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Still can't decide between Sanchez and Hazard! Some reason I have a feeling Sanchez won't score well today, don't know why! I know everyone in my league will captain him though!

    Got a 26point lead so do I go safe with Sanchez or go risky with Hazard?

    1. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Ive just changed from Hazard to Sanchez.Either are good picks but my reasoning is that I have three Chelsea players so if they do well ill get good points from that fixture. Also theres been a bit needle between Arsenal and Stoke recently so I think Wenger will be up for it. Could be totally wrong though!

    2. Poor mans Pep
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Really a toss of a coin. Have been changing back and forth 10 times but decided to stick to my initial instinct and go Hazard. Risky though as most people will go Alexis.

    3. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Haz

  28. Davidinho
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Firming captain locked in. After seeing Sanchez rip West Ham apart I can see Liverpool doing the same.

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Sanchez ripped West ham from right side , where mane is playing

  29. Pointless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Who's the best third striker option out of Callum Wilson, Llorente or Carroll please?

    1. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      A

    2. dhamphiir
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Caroll if he get minutes

    3. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I'm very tempted with a punt on Carroll next week - likely to get fewer minutes than the other two though.

  30. Toure The Route
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    A) Smith-Lovren with Anichebe on the bench OR
    B) play All out attack and bench one of Smith or Lovren?

    Thanks!