Paddy Says
4 February 2017 1233 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Just like a London bus, you wait an age for one Gameweek to turn up and then another arrives three days later.

Or is that a Southern Rail service?

However tempting it might be to have a thoroughly good natter about the country’s transport infrastructure, there wouldn’t be time to detail Paddy’s latest Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds, nor the Enchanced Offers for new customers opening an account today.

Before we look at the former, the latter demand our attention, particularly when you can get 10-1 on Chelsea beating Arsenal at the Bridge.

And if those odds aren’t sufficiently monster for you, how’s about Arsenal at 18-1 to beat Chelsea?

Back on only slightly less dramatic ground, you can get 8-1 on Manchester United winning away at Leicester, while Liverpool are 7-1 to win at Hull.

We thought United beating Hull City was a midweek home banker. We were wrong. But Spurs really should be too much for Middlesbrough at White Hart Lane. If you agree, you can get 6-1 on a Tottenham win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 24

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.53
KaneTOT1.80
JesusMCI1.90
LukakuEVE2.00
BentekeCRY2.10
CostaCHE2.20
IbrahimovicMUN2.25
ManeLIV2.29
SonTOT2.37
Be BruyneMCI2.40
SterlingMCI2.40
FirminoLIV2.50
OrigiLIV2.50
AlliTOT2.50
LongSOT2.62
RashfordMUN2.70


Harry Kane (1.80) and Romelu Lukaku (2.00) are the captaincy choices of most Fantasy managers this Gameweek, but Paddy’s digging in his heels and going for Sergio Aguero (1.53) as the most likely scorer of the weekend.

Has he got Pep’s ear? Not literally, like in a box or something, but does he know something we don’t, like Gabriel Jesus definitely going back to the bench? The Brazilian is 1.90 to score, by the way, so Paddy’s bet-hedging can’t disguise one near-certainty – City will surely score at home to Swansea.

Previous captaincy daddy Zlatan Ibrahimovic (2.25) has now blanked two weeks running in the league – a barren spell he’s not experienced since his six-match drought from Gameweek 5. A trip to Leicester City offers promise, though. The Foxes have kept just the four home clean sheets, and three of those came in the first seven matches of the season.

Another sure-fire skipper of old is Alexis Sanchez. He’s scored six times in his last five away matches, but doing it at Chelsea is about as hard as it gets, which is why Paddy is offering a generous 3.50 on the FPL’s biggest points scorer to keep doing his thing.

Liverpool and clean sheets go together like Abel Hernandez and penalties, but the Uruguayan striker is 3.60 to score against the Reds. Just don’t bank on it coming from the spot.

Do you hear that unholy mix of righteous fury and hollow, ironic laughter? That’s the sound of The Hawthorns when Saido Berahino scores for Stoke at West Brom. Tony Pulis told us all that Berahino is ‘not my problem anymore’. You can get 4.00 on the striker begging to differ.

 

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 24

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.61
Man City2.00
Man United2.10
Crystal Palace2.10
Liverpool2.20
Watford2.29
Everton2.40
Southampton2.40
West Brom2.50
Chelsea2.50



Spurs might have blown the chance to claw back a bit of ground on Chelsea when they could only draw at Sunderland in midweek, but at least they kept a clean sheet.

Fantasy interest in Tottenham defenders remains high as a result – Kyle Walker is the third most popular transfer pick of the Gameweek – and it’s no surprise to see Spurs (1.61) with the lowest price for the visit of Middlesbrough.

Man City being next up at 2.00 is a surprise – they’ve managed just two shut-outs at home all season. Paddy clearly has little time for Swansea’s chances at the Etihad on Sunday, but the Swans put three past Liverpool at Anfield and have five in all from their last two away days.

Everton, with two straight home clean sheets and three from their last four in the league, look well-priced at 2.40 to continue the good work when Bournemouth come to Goodison Park. Fantasy managers agree – Seamus Coleman is second only to Gabriel Jesus for transfers-in this Gameweek, with Leighton Baines and Ashley Williams also in the top 30.

Liverpool have only blanked twice on the road all season, and the last time it happened was in Gameweek 12. That goes a long way to explaining the 6.50 you can get on a Hull clean sheet at the KCOM Stadium. As does the zero – count them, zero – home shut-outs they’ve managed this season.

But things are changing under Marco Silva, and they kept United out at Old Trafford on Wednesday…

  1. FootballFanatic365
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    week of uncertainity

    1. Big_Bear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Love it.

      Can't wait for GW28 and mayhem. I'm still wanting a 4th game (Crystal Palace v Tottenham) would be my choice.

  2. Deus
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Ibra -> Kun for a hit?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      i'd be tempted

      1. Somalion
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Based on Kun's awesome returns (1 goal in 4) or City's scintillating form when he's benched?

    2. A.T
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      No

    3. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      No

    4. Hotdogs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      no

  3. R Whites
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Skipper?

    - alli, ibra or Costa??

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Costa

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      none of those personally, any other choices?

      1. R Whites
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        No Kane or Romelu. So those three or hazard stand out...

    3. Big_Bear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      All out of those 3.

    4. kUwe Inc.
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Alli - vs tight defence
      Ibra - not in form?
      Costa - tough game

      Imo, ibra is less risky

    5. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Ibra

    6. AA33
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Ibrahimovic

      • R Whites
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers all - ibra settled.

    7. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Lukaku (C) or Kane (C) ?
      Convincing Reason also Please...

      1. Big_Bear
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Lukaku - I have a "gut" feeling.

      2. Flynniesta
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Kane. I just flipped a coin for you

      3. FPL Footy Show Pod
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        KAKU - My Captain
        Home v Bournemouth conceded 13 in last 5
        Lukaku 3 goals and 1 assist in last 5

        KANE
        Boro conceded only 4 in 5.
        Kane 3 goals (all in 1 game)

      4. kUwe Inc.
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Lukaku..bou is free-falling now.
        Kane vs tight defence, but playing home.

      5. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks All
        Lukaku It Is 😀

        1. FPL Footy Show Pod
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          We were right Klopps!

    8. Mesh
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Costa to Lukaku
      Yes or No?

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        100% no

      2. A.T
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Yay

      3. John Nerdelbaum
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        i've cooled on the idea

      4. Big_Bear
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        No. Lukaku as well but hold Costa for today.

    9. Hotdogs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Who would you bench this week

      A. Holebas (BUR)
      B. Brunt (STK)
      C. Baines (BOU)
      D. Walker (MID)

      1. Stokelona
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        A or b

      2. STONEROSES
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Toss a coin, really. But if pushed A

      3. John Nerdelbaum
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        holly

      4. Big_Bear
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        I've had a similar choice and Holebas is my 3rd sub. Holebas defiantly.

      5. HammersFan
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        A easy

      6. A.T
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        A

      7. Still Unsure
          8 years, 10 months ago

          A

        • The Man Pastore
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          b

        • AA33
            8 years, 10 months ago

            B

        • Karan_G14
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Lukaku & Benteke in my team. This is going to be fun hopefully, could end in tears!

        • Tshelby
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          With Jones out I will have these defenders still to play:

          Baines, Brunt, Mee ( Yoshida)

          Do I need to use my FT to replace Jones?

          1. Stokelona
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Depends if you want the flexibility of the double free transfer next week

            1. Stokelona
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              The defenders you've got all have good fixtures

          2. STONEROSES
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Jones not out for long. Play baines brunt & Yoshida

          3. Old Wulfrunian
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Start Yoshida

        • Fat Frank
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Good morning you beauts!! My second FPL YouTube video will be out soon.

          In the meanwhile, is this GTG?

          Grant,
          Valencia, Holgate, Alonso
          Hazard, Stanislas, Firmino, Phillips, Sanchez
          Aguero, Kane (C)

          Jak, Barnes, Nyom, Amat

          0FT, 0ITB. Captain and bench right?

          Thanks!

          1. STONEROSES
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Yup, G2G!

            1. Fat Frank
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Thanks StoneRoses

          2. SuperMario
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            What's the page KK?
            Your good to go

            1. Fat Frank
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Here is last week's Supermario:

              https://youtu.be/F8KVSUVM0B4

              It's far too long so this week so I'm editing and trimming this week. Thank you.

            2. Fat Frank
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              I'm very late with episode 2, but here it is:

              https://youtu.be/vLcyIO_R23s

          3. The Man Pastore
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            G2G, i would be tempted to captain Kun though 🙂

            1. Fat Frank
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              I am too, just worried about minutes. Thanks though! Do you think Kun will start?

          4. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Nice team. I'd be turning Stanislas into Baines.

            1. Fat Frank
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Thanks Dingo, got a poor rank though, it's never too late I suppose. Interesting...I have been thinking if going 4-4-2

              1. Fat Frank
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                *of

        • Rhodes your boat
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Do ibra to kaku today or wait and do ibra and jones to kaku and walker next week)

          1. corderz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Why would you drop ibra today?

            1. Rhodes your boat
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Kaku vs Bournemouth could really go either way so split between them

          2. Stokelona
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Depends whether you think Ibra will outscore Kaku

          3. The Man Pastore
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            surely not today

        • BigBrickDigger
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Start-
          Antonio sot
          or
          Valencia lei

          1. Still Unsure
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Tough one, probably Antonio

            • Big_Bear
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Antonio

            • Squashed
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Anto

            • A.T
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Tony O

            • Flynniesta
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Antonio Valencia

            • The Man Pastore
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Antonio

            • Deus
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Antonio

            • BigBrickDigger
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Cheers guys

          2. Still Unsure
              8 years, 10 months ago

              GTG?

              Heaton
              Alonso, Walker, Baines
              Sanchez, Alli, Phillips, Siggy
              Ibra, Defoe Lukaku (c)

              4m, McAuley, de Roon, Amat

              1. SuperMario
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                I'd play McAuley

                1. Still Unsure
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Ahead of who?

                    1. The Man Pastore
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      keep it as it is, g2g

                2. Squashed
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Gtg

              2. Melvin Udall
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Play Holgate or Alonso? CS potential Im thinking.
                Y
                N
                Thanks

                1. Still Unsure
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Alonso all day long

                    1. Melvin Udall
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Even with Alono vs Arsenal and Everton in good form against a ropey Bournemouth at home?

                  • Squashed
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Alonso but sanchez is good away form expect ars to lose 2-1

                2. Goodricke
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Bench McAuley, Alonso, Lovren or Williams?

                  1. Lecky Legs FC
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Lovren

                  2. Thiga
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Lovren the weakest link there

                  3. Flynniesta
                    • 11 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Lovren

                  4. Big_Bear
                    • 11 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Lovren

                  5. AA33
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      McAuley

                  6. Thiga
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Should I ship Ozil this week? If so, who for?

                    Heaton
                    Alonso Coleman Brunt
                    KDB Ozil Lallana Phillips
                    Ibra Kane Tekkers

                    0.0 ITB

                    1. Farke in hell
                      • 8 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      I prefer Firmino for this week but tough fixtures ahead. He played a fairly good game against chelsea.

                    2. AA33
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Alli?

                    3. FPLEL
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Pieters, Holebas or Fletcher (aoa)?

                      1. Big_Bear
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Holebas or Peters dead heat.

                      2. Stokelona
                        • 9 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Holebas

                    4. Cocky Spaniel Alves
                      • 14 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      A) Cech > Foster
                      B) Rose > Brunt

                      The defense as is:
                      Cech Pickford
                      Alonso Coleman Rose Lovren Pieters

                      1. SuperMario
                        • 16 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        A

                      2. Squashed
                        • 9 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Brunt

                    5. DR0GBA
                      • 8 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Would you rather swap Rondon in from the bench with any of these players?

                      Heaton
                      Coleman, McAuley, PVA, Baines
                      Antonio, Sanchez, Eriksen, Alli
                      Lukaku, Costa

                      A) Keep Rondon on bench
                      B) Swap Rondon w/ ????

                      1. Pasqualinho
                        • 16 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        It'll be one of the cheaper 2 defenders, if anything. When in doubt always bench the defender - But maybe in this instance I would stick with what you have.

                      2. Squashed
                        • 9 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Leave him as first sub

                    6. BigManBakar
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 12 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Sold Aguero. For Lukaku. Tired of second guessing Pep week in, week out. Alli (c). Good luck all 🙂

                      1. SuperMario
                        • 16 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Wow considered this but I'm gonna captain him lol

                      2. The Blackadder
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        I think Aguero will start today, so ballsy move, best of luck

                      3. The Bandit
                        • 15 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        As an owner of Lukaku and Alli but not Aguero I wish you luck but fear you have been a bit premature.

                      4. The Man Pastore
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Kun hattrick incoming

                    7. Farke in hell
                      • 8 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Final team: Comments Please

                      Grant
                      Walker, Cahill, Azpi, aanholt
                      Sanchez, De bruyne(C), eriksen, stanislas
                      Costa, kane

                      1. The Blackadder
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 13 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Nice, very nice

                      2. Thiga
                        • 9 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        G2G. I don't have the balls to captain KDB 🙁 Currently on Kane
                        All the best!

                        1. The Man Pastore
                          • 11 Years
                          8 years, 10 months ago

                          KDB is the best captain choice for me this week. I wish i had him

                      3. Big_Bear
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Love the captain choice. Bold but I think 20 plus points coming your way (from De Bruyne (c) )

                      4. The Man Pastore
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        What is your bench? Not sure i would double up on Chelsea defence this week...

                        1. Farke in hell
                          • 8 Years
                          8 years, 10 months ago

                          dont remember the last time arsenal scored at stamford. Besides I have had these two defenders since GW10. My bench is anonymous players De Roon, jonathan, browning

                    8. The Blackadder
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 13 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Need some help guys, would you play Williams ahead of A.Valencia today or drop Pedro (have Hazard) and play both defenders? Other defenders are Brunt, Walker.

                      1. Big_Bear
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Play Williams

                      2. The Man Pastore
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Play Valencia

                    9. Aiden6375
                      • 9 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      GTG? Captain?

                      Heaton
                      Pieters, Cahill, Lovren
                      Sanchez, sterling, phillips, Alli
                      Costa, Kane (c), Defoe

                      1. The Man Pastore
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        it looks ok to me, what is your bench?

                    10. AndyCook
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Play Alonso at home to Arsenal or Siggurdson away to City?

                        1. Big_Bear
                          • 11 Years
                          8 years, 10 months ago

                          Siggy 100%.

                        2. nkhoughton
                          • 10 Years
                          8 years, 10 months ago

                          Both? But probably siggy

                          1. AndyCook
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              I've got Walker, Coleman and Baines already in.

                          2. The Man Pastore
                            • 11 Years
                            8 years, 10 months ago

                            Siggy

                          3. Squashed
                            • 9 Years
                            8 years, 10 months ago

                            Alonso good chance he did score or assit but chance of no cs

                          4. AndyCook
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Cheers all

                          5. Shakshuka
                            • 13 Years
                            8 years, 10 months ago

                            1 FT and 3.2 banked. Good to save?

                            Heaton
                            Alonso Nyom Coleman
                            Sanchez Eriksen Cabaye Phillips
                            Kaku (C) Zlatan (VC) Defoe

                            Robinson De Roon Ake Rose*

                            Cheers and good luck!

                          6. Lecky Legs FC
                            • 9 Years
                            8 years, 10 months ago

                            One last vote before i finalise my squad Costa or Ibra as (C) this GW?

                            1. nkhoughton
                              • 10 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Of the 2 ibra

                            2. FPLEL
                              • 11 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Ibra

                            3. Big_Bear
                              • 11 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Costa but have you got anyone better?

                              1. Lecky Legs FC
                                • 9 Years
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                Ali,Hazard & Sanchez other options.

                          7. nkhoughton
                            • 10 Years
                            8 years, 10 months ago

                            Is anyone else going to captain firmino this week? Or shall I play it safe with Eriksen / Alli as I'm leading

                            I think firmino will do well

                            1. Stokelona
                              • 9 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Liverpool are going under the radar, I think firmino could be a smart play

                            2. AndyCook
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                Firmino is no more risky than the Spurs boys, midfielders always higher risk unless it's Sanchez in my opinion. Still have you watched Hull lately? They are no whipping boys

                                1. nkhoughton
                                  • 10 Years
                                  8 years, 10 months ago

                                  Neither are Middlesbrough but pool still the highest scoring team if I had kane I'd captain him but don't

                            3. OptimusBlack
                              • 12 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Sanchez > KDB

                              A- Yaaaaaaay Why Not 🙂

                              B- Naaaaay Bad Move :/

                              1. nkhoughton
                                • 10 Years
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                Long term b short a

                              2. Aiden6375
                                • 9 Years
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                A

                              3. OptimusBlack
                                • 12 Years
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                Yes I mean Short Term

                              4. Dot Polka Dot
                                • 10 Years
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                B. Considered both with a cheapie 3rd striker? For me it might be Crouch instead of Lukaku...

                            4. Porkchops Johnson
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 12 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Start one:
                              A) Heaton
                              B) Grant

                              1. Squashed
                                • 9 Years
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                A

                            5. Dot Polka Dot
                              • 10 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Play Holgate or Koscielny?

                              Foster
                              Baines McAuley XXX
                              Antonio Phillip Sanchez Eriksen
                              Kane Costa Lukaku
                              (Jaku, Capoue, Amat)

                              1. Big_Bear
                                • 11 Years
                                8 years, 10 months ago

                                Kos - not convinced on Holgate might make a cameo when Everton are 2-0 up.

                            6. FISSH
                              • 12 Years
                              8 years, 10 months ago

                              Ibra > Lukaku?