Paddy Says
4 March 2017 931 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Time once again to open the door to Paddy’s house, wipe our feet on his mat o’welcome and wander down the corridor until we come to a room known only as ‘Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds’.

And before we take a second to reflect on why anyone – even a bookmaker – would choose such a name for a room, let’s take a look at the Enhanced Offers available to new customers signing up this weekend.

Liverpool have won just once in their last seven league matches, while this weekend’s visitors to Anfield, Arsenal, have lost two of their last three and got badly Bayerned in Munich not so long ago to boot.

So unless they stagger to a draw, somebody’s going to have to remember what victory tastes like, and Paddy’s got some major odds in both flavours.

If it’s a home win you want, then you can get 10-1 on the Reds to beat Arsenal.

And if or some reason you don’t think that’s generous enough, then even you can’t fail to be impressed by the borderline insane 16-1 you can get on the Gunners to prevail.

Back on more stable odds grounds, Chelsea are 7-1 to beat West Ham, although they’ll have to break a run of two straight away draws to do it, Manchester United are 6-1 to beat Bournemouth at Old Trafford and Man City are at the same price to win at Sunderland.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 27

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.44
IbrahimovicMUN1.61
KaneTOT1.83
CostaCHE2.00
RashfordMUN2.25
SonTOT2.37
HazardCHE2.40
MataMUN2.40
VardyLEI2.60
AlliTOT2.60
GiroudARS2.62
ToureMCI2.62
SterlingMCI2.62
SigurdssonSWA2.70
LlorenteSWA2.70
De BruyneMCI2.70


I’ve got a piece of card with Romelu Lukaku’s name on it, so congratulations to him for winning this week’s captaincy poll.

Wait.

No.

It’s Sergio Aguero. He won.

It could only be him, what with those tasty double fixtures and his nearly 300,000 new owners.

He won the poll by a landslide and Paddy’s 1.44 on him to score at Sunderland tomorrow is one of the shortest prices we’ve seen in a while.

Two of the also-rans in the poll – Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.61) and Harry Kane (1.83) – aren’t priced much more attractively, although Diego Costa at 2.00 has some merit.

He broke a three-match run without a goal against Swansea last week and faces a West Ham outfit that, while unbeaten in three, have kept just the one clean sheet in nine matches.

Interest in Costa’s team-mate Pedro is on the up – he’s in the top five for transfers-in this week after scoring in back-to-back matches. You can get a chunky 3.00 on him making it three in a row.

Even more popular than Pedro has been Southampton’s Manolo Gabbiadini who, until a late rush to acquire Aguero and Raheem Sterling, was the Gameweek’s most purchased player.

The Italian has five goals from his first three starts for the Saints and Paddy are offering 3.25 on him continuing his run away at Watford.

On the downside, will Southampton be suffering an EFL Cup hangover after coming so close to Wembley glory? On the upside, the Hornets have kept just one clean sheet since Gameweek 9.

If you’re inclining towards that downside, then Troy Deeney (four goals from his last five starts) looks generously priced at 3.60.

And if you fancy a proper punt, you can get 8.50 on West Brom’s Gareth McAuley scoring for the third week in a row when the Baggies entertain Crystal Palace.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 27

TeamOdds
Manchester United1.72
Stoke City2.10
Manchester City2.10
Chelsea2.29
Leicester City2.29
Tottenham Hotspur2.40
West Brom2.50
Swansea City2.50
Southampton2.50
Liverpool3.20


Something is rotten in the state of Bournemouth, who haven’t won since Gameweek 19 and will struggle to reverse that trend at Old Trafford today.

They have, however, only been blanked twice in that run, so it’s no surprise that Antonio Valencia is the only Man United defender to make it into the top 30 for transfers-in this week. The Red Devils’ impending Gameweek 28 blank will have much to do with that as United are the shortest-priced team (1.72) to keep a clean sheet this week.

Leicester City versus Hull City at the King Power could reap richer rewards.

The champions’ new Shakespearean age started with a bang against Liverpool, although the quality of the Merseysiders was decidedly strained.

Only Jamie Vardy has troubled the top 30 for new buys among Leicester players, but the 2.29 on them blanking Hull – without an away goal from their last three trips – suggests Paddy has faith in their defenders.

The Tigers, meanwhile, shut out both Man United and Liverpool recently, so the 4.33 you can get on them repeating the trick at Leicester looks interesting.

Fantasy interest in Hull players seems to have stalled this week, however, with precisely zero of them in the top 30 for transfers-in despite the allure of a Gameweek 28 fixture to come.

931 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. James101
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    After all the hype and build up, I've only got 4 players playing today!

    How bout you?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Snap, 4

    2. thep025
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      5

    3. James101
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Tomorrow is a big day for many on here.

    4. BROOKLYN GOONER
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Blimey, you're right. Just the four here.

      1. James101
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Red arrows today

        Then HUGE green arrows the rest of the week?

        1. BROOKLYN GOONER
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Red for me for today for sure. No Ibra, no Pool.

  2. Salah'n'Sauce
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    Sod it, I've gone against my best laid plans and general dislike of taking a hit ever....

    Lukaku, eriksen and holgate out for aguero (TC), sterling and stones for -8. Can't look past the city players combining for around 50 points all in. Hope I'm right.

    1. Differentiator
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Stones?!? With Kolarov and Kompany on the horizon.....

      1. Differentiator
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        If he plays both games, then I'm a hamburger

    2. James101
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Hits are fun

  3. nalas
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    Crouch in for Lukaku, Coutinho or Alli or not?

    1. thisisdiz
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Not

  4. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    I have Heaton & Jaku. Is it worth doing Heaton > Grant for a hit this week?

    1. Frank Koscielny
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      No. Stoke have bad upcoming fixtures, so you will basically have to take into account the transfer back to another gk. The dgw doesn't make up for it if you ask me. Besides, heaton is a season keeper

  5. Sweetpea
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    Eriksen to Sterling -4?

    Already have Kun and Sane.

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Did Eriksen to Sane for a -4 so a yes from me

    2. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      no

      1. Frank Koscielny
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        No

  6. RapidViper
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    Heaton (Pickford)
    Coleman Holebas Brunt (Koscielny, Ake)
    Sterling Phillips Siggy Pedro (Stanislas)
    Ibra Lukaku Costa

    GTG or take a -8 hit to get Aguero?

    1. FPL_DON
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      kun

  7. Aubaaaaa
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    Did I get this right?

    Heaton
    Alonso Coleman Brunt
    Mane Alli Sterling Siggy
    Aguero (c) Ibra Crouch

    Pickford Phillips Baines Maguire

    1. Punter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      I might play Baines over Coleman in case of a penalty.. He still takes pens right?
      Otherwise yeah looking good

      1. Aubaaaaa
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Hm I hope so. Haven't seen Everton taking penalty for the last 3 or 4 games. Good point you got there.

        1. Punter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          You're right, Coleman has been more consistent I just don't like him for a clean sheet.. He has been getting assists though. Could be a coin toss

          1. Pea Soup
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 9 months ago

            Coleman has been a much better pick than Baines for a long time now

  8. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 months ago

    Joe Allen in for Snodgrass for a hit..?
    Yes or No- Worried Snodgrass misses out.

    1. AA33
        8 years, 9 months ago

        No

    2. ArseneAllTheWay
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Help guys, can't find where to get aguero in

      Grant (Jaku)

      Walker, Baines, Pieters (Yosh, McAuley)
      Alli, Sanchez, Siggy, Snod, Phillips
      Ibra, Lukaku (Defoe)

      Get rid of ibra and....

      Alli, Baines?

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Alli Sterling Ibra Kun

      2. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        How much in the bank?

        1. ArseneAllTheWay
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Big fat 0, would need to downgrade by 1,3 to afford kun. Worth doing a -8?

      3. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Sanchez and Lukaku to Sterling and Kun fit a -4

    3. Lecky Legs FC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Reasons to get KDB in for Hazard go....

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        None

      2. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        He's got 2 games

    4. AusBest11
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Reid or chambers to stones for -8 hit? Got aguero and sterling in this week.

    5. Pep says
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      The fake posts is ridiculous. I know it can't be stopped but people are taking the p ss. Go annoy your mother something, you're not wanted around these parts

      1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Well said

      2. A.T
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Fake posts?

      3. stilicho
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        I've given fair warning on it now, any more reposts of that twitter and there will be bans

        1. Differentiator
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Imagine if it turns out to be true :O

        2. Pep says
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Good stuff. I know ye are looking out for it, and I know ye can't stop it. My statement was solely to the culprits.

          Ps. When I grow, I want to be a moderator

      4. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Fake news

    6. Ange Ball
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 months ago

      Lads do we it don't we triple cap Aguero today? This will probably determine if I do or don't win my league this season.

      1. James101
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Donit

      2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        It's an instinct call. Ignore all the hot air on here. Today is a great opportunity but sanchez could offer a better one. That's the truth of the matter. I've taken TC off Kun just to see how I feel . It may go back on I don't know

        1. Fred54
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Lol same here.

          Although my flip flopping before the deadline is well documented...

          1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 9 months ago

            Ha mine too

            How's it feeling? I'm just not sure at all.

      3. AA33
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Do Aguero TC

      4. Bleach †
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        So who's going TC Agüero 😎

        1. Punter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Yep

        2. Lecky Legs FC
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Right here 🙂

        3. THFC4LIFE
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Yep

        4. Viper
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Me

        5. James101
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Yep

        6. thep025
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          I am

      5. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Question:

        I captain Aguero and vice captain KDB.

        Aguero plays against Sunderland but doesn't play against Stoke.

        Do I get captain points off Aguero against Sunderland and captain points off KDB against Stoke?

        1. Demí
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          No

          1. FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 9 months ago

            Dang it. Thanks guys.

        2. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Nope

        3. Differentiator
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          no

        4. Hobolicious
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Only points from Agüero (or whoever you captain and he gets minutes in either of the games) either way.

      6. Connor's Calling
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Just read the community article on triple captain options. Very much worth a skim if people are struggling.

        Think it's persuaded me to TC Kun

        1. Viper
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Link? Can't see it

      7. goodday there mate
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        is it worth getting a stoke defender / goalkeeper for -12?

        1. Gargamel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          I reckon you should be able to get one of those for -4

        2. Demí
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          No. Only for a -16

          1. goodday there mate
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 9 months ago

            excellent suggestion

        3. Big Hippo
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          No. Could easily get 0 points vs Citeh

      8. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Any Phillips news?

        1. Syd.
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Has an outside of bring fit

      9. Gargamel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        So.. which City defender do we think is most likely to start both games? Is it John Stones?

        1. Differentiator
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          None are worth the risk. Not convinced any of them will play both

        2. Syd.
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Tough one to call

          Kompany & Kolarov being fit adds to the reason to avoid any of them

        3. Ógie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Stones i guess

        4. BROOKLYN GOONER
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Stones could easily play 180 minutes...and easily come away with 3 total points for his trouble. And then have a blank, then Liverpool, then Arsenal, then Chelsea. No, thank you.

      10. Punter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Heaton
        Walker - Brunt - Naughton
        Sterling - Firmino - Zaha - Eriksen
        Lukaku - Kun (TC) - Costa

        Jaku - King - Coleman - Kone

        GTG? Bench OK?

        Good luck fellow TCers

      11. UnitednationsXI
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        holebas >> stones worth a hit?

        Grant -- Heaton
        Valencia Mcauly Holebas -- Coleman robertson
        mane barkley sterling philiips -- fletcher
        Kaku Kun Ibra

        already taken 1 hit...so this would be 2nd hit...i should atleast breakeven by doing holebas >> stones (-4)...only downside is that holebas has some good fixtures between gw30-33 which works out well for rotation with my other defenders

      12. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Hey guys, thinking ahead to next week, I have 8 players for GW28 which isn't too bad.

        Should I use my FT to do Amat > Hull defender (Roberston?) to give me 9 or save the transfer with one eye on the next DGW? Basically is a Hull defender a good long term replacement for Amat?

        Heaton - Pickford
        Pieters - Coleman - Brunt - McAuley - Amat
        Siggie - Sanchez - King - Phillips - Eriksen
        Kun - Lukaku - Carroll

        1. Gargamel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          I think that's a good transfer to do, long term.

          1. Jet5605
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 9 months ago

            Thanks.

            Do you think Robertson is the best bet at 4.3 or maybe one of the new defenders brought signed in January?

            I see Rannochia got an assist in GW24 but he costs 4.5

            1. Gargamel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 9 months ago

              I think Robertson is your best bet. He's in good form imo.

              1. Jet5605
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 9 months ago

                Thanks. I realise things can change but I'm aiming to do the following over the next few weeks

                Amat > Robertson
                Aguero > Kane
                Carroll > Gabbiadini
                Save
                Pieters & King > Yoshida/Stephens & Pedro

                1. Gargamel
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 9 months ago

                  Seems good on paper, but as you say these things change quickly 🙂

                  1. Jet5605
                    • 11 Years
                    8 years, 9 months ago

                    On second thoughts I might do Pieters > Robertson next week and keep Amat as bench fodder. Stoke don't play on GW28 and it would free up 0.5. Plus I'd get a DGW out of Pieters before ditching him as Stoke are leaking goals.

      13. OneDennisBergkamp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Opinions... I have Heaton & Jaku. Is it worth doing Heaton > Grant for a hit this week?

        1. Buck The Trent
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          I would

      14. Trae44
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        I want to triple captain Kun but surely he doesn't start 3 games in 7 days? (Huddersfield now Sunderland and Stoke)

        1. Punter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Ssshhh

          1. Punter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 9 months ago

            Good logic but they need to win and score goals. The guys a professional athlete surely he's good to go after 3 days rest

          2. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 9 months ago

            Change you name

        2. Speédy
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          He will start

        3. tokara
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          he was sub out early

        4. Smurf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Don't captain him then.

          No one on here can tell you any more as we don't know what he will play as much as you don't.

        5. Syd.
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          He will be rested against Boro

      15. Shack
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        If Phillips does not play then I only have 10 players, so would you do Amat to Naughton/Olson for a hit? Will likely not have that position active next week if I don't do it. Cheers!!

        1. tokara
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          jus do it

          wat i learnt over last two seasons is anyone with hamstring...sell them asap

        2. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          yes

        3. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          I would

      16. AusBest11
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Is it worth -8 hit for chambers or Reid to stones?

        1. lespaul
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Is only -4

      17. zizoo10
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        so many TCing aguero. why not sterling?

        1. Hobolicious
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Higher ceiling on Agüero.

        2. FPLtfs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Nostalgia 😉

      18. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Start Coleman (tot) or Yoshida (wat) ?

        1. Viper
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Colemab

      19. Viper
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Is there a dgwk in the sky game too?

      20. Kane Train
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 months ago

        Anyone think Aguero will start both games?

        1. Viper
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          Lots of people clearly 🙂

          Me being one

        2. FPLtfs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 months ago

          yeah, won't play 90 + 90 imo, but will play enough to score well