| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Raya Martin | ARS | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Alisson | LIV | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Donnarumma | MCI | C, Vs, Sus |
| Up |  Ramsdale | NEW | C |
| No Change |  Sels | NFO | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Dubravka | BUR | C, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  van Dijk | LIV | B, Vs |
| No Change |  Muñoz | CRY | A, Sus |
| No Change |  Jurriën Timber | ARS | C, Vs |
| No Change |  O’Reilly | MCI | A, Vs |
| No Change |  de Ligt | MUN | C, Vs |
| Up |  Thiaw | NEW | A |
| No Change |  Andersen | FUL | A |
| No Change |  Milenkovic | NFO | C, Vs |
| No Change |  van Hecke | BHA | B, £ |
| No Change |  Mukiele | SUN | C, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Saka | ARS | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Bruno Fernandes | MUN | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Foden | MCI | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Semenyo | BOU | C |
| Up |  Gakpo | LIV | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Minteh | BHA | A |
| Up |  Anderson | NFO | A, Vs, £ |
| No Change |  Fernández | CHE | B |
| Up |  Bruno Guimarães | NEW | B |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Haaland | MCI | B, Vs |
| No Change |  Mateta | CRY | B |
| No Change |  Thiago | BRE | A |
| No Change |  Welbeck | BHA | B |
| No Change |  Woltemade | NEW | B |
Paul Our usual post-match delve into the Gameweek data arrives this evening as we check in with some of the standout players from the previous round of fixtures.
Gameweek 31 remains a factor in our selection, with Everton and Bournemouth midfielders catching the eye.
Watford’s defence under Javi Gracia is also analysed, while Brighton’s playmaker and Leicester’s attack-minded centre-half more than merit their place under the spotlight.
Currently leading my rival by 40 points, we have similar teams and I have all my chips left, he has all but his FH. We both have 5 GW31 players each and I'm wondering in my circumstances I'm. Best off using my FH31?
It should hopefully enable me to gain 15-20 points in him, whereas he will have WCed before GW35 and would definitely be able to field 11, my FH may not be as effective against him then
Do you think your rival will use FH31?
Doesn't have it
Oh sorry, you'll be lucky to make 20 on him depending on the players.
Focus on most points and you'll beat them.
Don't worry about him. Will you get more points FH35 and make do with 31, or vice-versa?
Any truth to these Mahrez stories? Not an owner but a huge admirer of him
nope
https://twitter.com/Mahrez22
When something happens here, possibly.
I don't have Twitter, so I'm going to have to find someone else to admire on FB 🙁
What stories?
Please tell me he's injured or somthing...
Hacked facebook account, don't worry about it.
Ah ok.
Posted to his Official Facebook that he’s retiring due to medical advice
or hacked...............
...and the moon is made of cheese.....
lol. Also the Earth is flat
I've seen it now ta. Not even remotely believable but it's got collynore asking for verification lol
Most people seem to think he’s been hacked
Alonso, Aguero, Mkhitaryan or Sterling... who needs to be addressed first?
Depends on the lineup tonight.
Figured as mich
Holding ship for the evening I guess
Sell Sterling to Mahrez for -4?
Mahrez -> Ozil?
Why on earth would you sell Mahrez?
noooooo
Arrow pointing the wrong way
Fellas, would you drop Fernandez for Schindler for a hit prior to GW31?
Only if you think he scores more than 4 points.
Didn't they say BGW means -2?
😆
-4 = -2 + -2
You still lose.
It's not though is it? It's Player Score (-4) as your gain, rather than Net score (new score - old score?) (-4) gain.
So more likely to play out but if Hudd get tonked and Schindler gets 0, it's -4 not -2
Sure. To get tonked by CP at home would be a miracle tough, unless Zaha is fully fit and back.
*though
Oh yeah I don't think it's a bad move 🙂 I just don't follow the whole -2 logic! 🙂
If you spend 4 points on a player, and the player scores 3 points... Are you 1 point up or down? 😉
Fine, so you wouldn't recommend- got ya.
Haha. I have no problem with the -2 approach, but I thought it was clear that the cost is still 4 points (and you don't get 2 points for free).
I would recommend you hit the hit this week if you plan to play Schindler and bench someone who you expect to be outscored by Schindler by a point or 2. That's justifiable in my book. Otherwise, I wouldn't recommend it, no 🙂
Hello friends, any tips for my team?
Gomes Fabianski
van-Dijk Daniels Bauer Ogbonna Mariappa
Salah DeBruyne Sterling Mahrez King
Kane Firmino Wilson
2FT, 0.6m itb
Not using free hit in 31.
Evening all. Some assistance please. Have 1FT and 0.6m ITB and using Free hit in GW31. Thanks all.
Fabianski
Robertson - Alonso - Dawson
Sterling - Mhki - Salah - Walcott - Mahrez
Kane - Firmino
Tomkins - Quaner - Dunk
If you sell a retired player for a hit doesn't it only count as a -2?
Depends on pension scheme
Using FH in 31 so is this a decent punt for a hit considering that I've nothing to lose and both will have DGW34:
Salah + Wilson to Arnie + Auba(C)
Pass.
Seems madness considering Arsenal's form alright but I have a feeling that they will bounce back v Watford.
Wenger needs to be sacked before the game for that to happen.
Fair point I guess, his body language on the bench was worrying this week. Looks more than a blip in form!
I actually feel that they will troll you badly.
Arsenal are actually just poor on the road. Not including the City game because they're unstoppable they've scored 14 goals in their last 4 epl home games and they include one vs Chelsea and one vs Liverpool
It's only a game so I might punt on Auba to come good over his next few. Three home games in a row for them now v Watford, Stoke & Soton! It doesnt get much better for a striker than that!
play 2 from:
a) Niasse
b) J.Ayew
c) Ogbonna (if fit)
Anyone else having attempted to build a gw32 wildcard team, with benchboost in mind for gw34?
A lot may will change till then, but I've come up with this mix:
DeGea (SWA mci WBA+whu)
Elliot (fodder)
Monreal (STK SOT new+lei)
Tarkowski (wba wat LEI+CHE)
Alonso (TOT WHU sot+bur)
Robertson (cry eve BOU)
Mariappa (BOU BUR hud)
Ramsey (STK SOT new+lei)
Gross (LEI HUD cry+mci)
Willian (TOT WHU sot+bur)
Mahrez (bha NEW bur+ARS)
Salah (cry eve BOU)
Vardy (bha NEW bur+ARS)
Firmino (cry eve BOU)
Kane (che stk MCI+NEW)
I plan to do Elliot->Fabianski for the dgw34, while other players like Davies, Eriksen, Son, Sane, Dilva, Bilva, Sterling, Aubameyang are under consideration.
I think my selection has potential and balance.
What do you think?
I would be getting Hazard ...somehow
nice work...
Wouldn't you rather want Hazard and Mili instead of Willian and Ramsey?
Of course I'd prefer Hazard, but if Willian keeps starting and assisting/scoring he may score even more points than Hazard. Arsenal are in terrible form and low in confidence so they can only improve. If they do, Ramsey will be part of it, so I'd prefer Willian+Ramsey.
Cheers Duffy, Ramsey can hardly stay healthy.. I think I will avoid and pick Chelsea penno guy.
Losing my mind a little over GW31 - I am currently around 70 points behind the leader but slowly gaining ground. The issue is I used my Free Hit earlier in the season but he still has his available.... I have 1FT this week but figured I would save it and do 2 for GW31.
Here's my team for GW29
Pope
Mee Otamendi Dijk
Arnautovic Milivojevic Lingard Salah
Murray Kane Agüero
Bench
Elliot Fernández Daniels obiang
Any help is greatly appreciated from you wonderful lot 🙂
Lingard clearly a suspect.
Enjoyed the Scoutcast as always but Andy doesn't seem to get to talk much. The vast majority is done by Mark and Jonty. Give the other guys more time. Anyone else feel the same?
Said this before - fine line between butting in too much and not being aggressive enough! 🙂
I thought I spoke a fair bit this evening, tried to get a point in where possible.
It's weird to sit at the pub with 4 people, and only 2 are talking. And weirder if you invited those people to the pub to discuss something in particular in the first place.
On that basis, yes.
(in reply to OP)
5*
Who was I missing out in my head? Granville, I think. Sorry Granville.
Doing a cast with Bow tomorrow?
Yup!
Odd fella that Bow guy....
Oh yeah? 🙂
Haha no just kidding, he's a nice bloke
I thought that too. Andy must have been quite frustrated as he tried a few times to come in on chat about game week 31 players but Mark and Jonty kept at it.
He has his own spin-off show if you want to hear more from Andy 😉
Not that it’s adding much but the biggest Algerian sports website is saying it’s most probably a hack.
I'll give it a miss. My laptop only has a small screen. But thanks for letting us know; I trust you! 🙂
He trained 12 hours ago apparently. Looks dodgy to me . Some people have nothing else in their lives
fab
alonso robertson hegazi
salah son mahrez wally shaq
kane(c) firmino
elliot duffy wilson ogbonna
1ft 0.3itb
Squad strong enough to roll transfer to next week for gw31?
Yeah definitely.
Do we think that Arsenal will turn things around and their assets will essential?
*be
Nope, no, na, nej, nein, non, net, nie........
I think no.1 of the last season avoided Pool assets the entire season and he was successful so perhaps you could be right. I am just wondering because their fixtures are nice and because not having a WC, I wasn't quite sure if I should be planning to get some Arsenal guys in. Wasn't sure if I should be soon getting Hazard/Mili combo or Willian/Ramsey. Thx
Fixtures are such that their worth look but it's hard to be excited by any of them at present.
Worth a look, yes, but not essential imo.
Cheers Metal
see what happens against ac milan if they win could give them a boost but for now they look shot
True, thanks NC
I can see it, their next three league games are all at home v Watford, Stoke & Soton!
Thoughts on Mbemba > Coleman for -4? have 3.8 itb
I am saving my FH chip for GW35. So far have 7 players for playing for GW31.
Courtois
VVD Alonso Fernandez
Salah(vc) Siggy Walcott Shaqiri
Kane(C) Firmino J.Ayew
Bench: Dawson Mbemba RLC Adrian
Do you think he outscores one of your defenders/attackers this week?
Quaner likely to keep his place with Pritchard about?
I think Pritchard could be shifted to the right once Mooy is back.
Yeah that’s my thinking. Not sure Quaner is really going to pan out for me for GW31.
And what happens to VLP with Kachunga due back after next game?
Feels a close one...which one would you bench?
A. Wilson (TOT)
B. Robertson (mun)
2 of last 3 Liv Man finished 0-0
Wilson. Spurs defence away from home isn’t great and Bournemouth usually score at home.
3 CS in last 5 away and one of those was Liverpool
A, tough one
I have both and have benched both. Wilson 1st sub, Robertson 2nd sub.
thanks guys, mixed feelings, coin flip!
Have just watched the Scoutcast back and found myself shouting at the screen regarding the GW31 situation 🙂
A free hit in GW31 is almost a perfect storm, imo.
- There are brilliant non-GW31 players with great fixtures this week. As Jonty says, Eriksen(bou), Vardy(wba) and Mahrez(wba). Teams playing the FHC in GW31 have these players now.
- Losing value in Kane. None free hitters that are wildcarding in GW32 will consider selling Kane for a one week punt on King, etc. Playing your FHC avoids the loss in value and a potential hit spending the freed up funds from selling Kane.
- None free hitters taking -4's to cover likely FHC targets with less certainty of recovering those points. In other words, I'd be more confident of spending -4 on Sané in GW35 than Stanislas in GW31.
- Those preparing for GW31 have Shaqiri vs Man City, 3 x Liverpool vs Man Utd, and perhaps Wilson/King/Stanislas vs Spurs this week.
- And the biggest benefit? Getting a Coleman/Baines/Tosun/Walcott/Siggy/Van la Parre/Benteke/Zaha/Dawson for one week only!
I may be doing Wally/Siggy for two weeks though. It all depends on Sterling news. Good stuff otherwise!
Sterling trained on Monday
He's been "training" for 2 weeks now.
That's a junk 31 line up you've named
That's the entire point. They're junk if you spend free transfers getting those players, but we're not... we're getting them for one week only. We're picking a Scout Picks team for GW31 in effect.
For one week, those players could return big points. Poor teams v poor teams could easily be 0-0 (points) or 2-2 (points). No-one knows - this is why a FHC is perfect for these type of fixtures.
Plenty are WCing in GW32 and will only get them in 31.
That's probably the wisest thing. How many of those teams have Mahrez btw? Probably not many. They've been lucky imo, that Eriksen hasn't exploded in Spurs' last two.
How many sold Son because he blanked in GW31?
I still own Son and outscored your massive midfield 😛
ha, congrats! 😀
Let's also not forget that with these average 2 pointer picks that the best players (relatively speaking) have the BPS up for grabs, so good picks can also yield returns in this regard
not seen sc but for me the biggest issue with fhc31 is its dull. You can literally pick anyone and it won't stretch your budget so inevitably gonna go for the most expensive assets
How punty are you likely to be playing the FHC in GW35? Unlikely, I'd say. Those without the free hit chip will be bringing in the usual suspects and those with doubles in GW37.
If they blank in 35, they are more likely to double in 37.
Right.. and we have FT's to get those players in. No-one WC'ing in GW32 is going to be more informed. You would need to be WC'ing in GW36.
You're likely to have all the fixtures by then and will know the blanks.
Surely you can make a path from 34 to 37 seeing you don't care about 35 whereas others have to.
Let me flip it around. Who will I get for GW34 and 37 that I won't be able to bench in GW35? Who are all these players??
Let's say
Bournemouth vs Man United
Brighton vs Tottenham
Leicester vs Southampton
Chelsea vs Huddersfield
How many of those teams will you have in 34?
I plan to have 6 of those players max and sell 2 ahead of GW34, benching the other 4.
Guess you mean GW35. Obviously Kane will be one of them, who are the other likely 3 and which 2 would be sold in 35?
Ok, I'm planning on a Man Utd defender for GW34 and Leicester double up (Mahrez, Chilwell perhaps), plus I have Eriksen and Kane, and am considering Vertonghen or Sanchez. So that would be my 6 as an example, that blank in GW35.
Depending on the results in GW34 and who's continuing in the FA Cup, I'd then bench say DDG, 1 x Leicester and 2 x Spurs.
If Spurs play in GW35, then obviously this would change.
Chelsea, manu, tot players will more than likey have dgw34, bgw35.
It all depends how many from those teams you want for their dgw.
Personally, I intend to load up with them. So should other managers. You can only bench 3/4 of them in bgw35. ....unless you play the fh35
yes, precisely. I will need to compromise in GW35 to a degree.
But what happens if you pick up an injury or suspension during DGW34 and get those players back in GW36 after free hitting in GW35?
but you cant afford all the premiums in 35. Can in 31
potentially, this could be an issue, granted. It depends though... Stoke v Burnley in GW35 and the Burnley defence is comfortably under 5m.
Sanchez, Hazard don't play, maybe Kane, and Aguero likely to be rotated with Jesus so no certainty there.
I feel like you've answered the question, "would a FH chip be good in GW31?", instead of, "would using the FH chip in GW31 be better than using it in another week?".
I agree. It would be good in GW30, 32, 33, 34, etc too 🙂
Eh? It can be good in any week, but it's going to be better when there's a group of teams that you don't want to spend FT's bringing in their players.
You've weighed up one side of the argument and claimed that it's therefore obviously the best side. Well how about the other side(s)?
The only comparison to another option I see is that you would "be more confident of spending -4 on Sané in GW35 than Stanislas in GW31". However, both hits cost -4, so both hypothetical sides have the same players with the same points deduction (= no difference).
The difference is that I can choose to NOT take a hit for Stanislas, for example, which puts me 4 points *up* on the hypothetical situation that I take a hit for Sane (minus the points that Stanislas gets in GW31: maybe around 3pts "expected").
All I hear is the other side of the argument!
What I think some are being blind to is that who is going to take a -4 for Benteke v Huddersfield?? Not many, I reckon. And that's the key. Jonty isn't going to get him... low risk managers are not going to get him... this is why the FHC has such an advantage in GW31.
In GW35, despite it actually being easier to field 11, am I going to worry about a -4 who plays?
Fielding 11 vs the optimum 11 is quite different.
by optimum, do you mean price? or form? I can plan for GW35. Anyone planning for GW31 is struggling shy of Liverpool players and Shaqiri. We'll see how they do in GW30.
GW35 Scout Picks if you like.
Your GW35 planning slows down the scoring in other GWs.
that is true - it's a compromise, but I feel a better one than compromising for GW31.
You have 2 GWs where you should score more.
After that, you'll struggle against the fresh WC teams.
The GW35 Scout Picks will be quite different to the GW34 and GW36 Scout Picks which BB34 and FH35 teams can really attack.
The optimum tactic may be to FHC in GW31 and wildcard in GW36.
I was only considering FHC GW31 vs FHC GW35 here ... no other chips considered.
Well you need to seeing many have all 4.
If I didn't have a WC left like you, I would play it differently most likely depending on fixtures.
Are you not wildcarding in GW32 then, TM?
I'd hate to see a team that prepared for GW31 then didn't WC in GW32 or 33!
32 most likely.
I've outscored you in the last 2 GWs which shouldn't be the case seeing GW31 isn't a factor for you. 😉
Yip that’s what I am doing
This is the point I've made in reply to Bad Kompany regarding GW35 free hitters being up on the deal already - the blanking teams like Spurs, Arsenal, Chelsea and Leicester haven't exploded in GW28 and 29. There's one week left to see if that balance is readdressed.
And to be fair, you have Son who has been sold by the thousand in preparation for GW31 😛
If the haul had come from Eriksen, it would be a different story!
Son was a no brainer after midweek. 😛
I was going Mahrez but changed to Arnie before price changes and regret it atm. Eriksen could easily be rested after Juve. He's a bit fragile.
Am a bit worried about rotation after Juve, tbh. Eriksen to KdB or Sané might tempt me later in the week. Let see.
Thanks for the exchange, TM, have enjoyed it. Good luck!
The other side? Everything I said compared 2 sides. Obviously, it's too confusing, sorry.
Your point is my last sentence. You are hypothetically committing to a hit for Sane, which means you are 4 points behind a manager who doesn't take a hit in GW31. If that manager also has a blank player with no fixture, you can take the points of the hypothetical player (e.g. Stanislas) back off the 4 points that you are behind. If you think Stanislas gets less than 4 points, your FH in GW31 has left you behind the alternative (to use the chip in GW35).
I'll make it as simple as possible. Both Mark and Jonty made this point in the Scoutcast btw,
Would you be more confident taking a -4 to field an extra player in GW31 or a -4 to field an extra player in GW35?
The only difference is you'll keep them afterwards unless WCing in 36 whereas GW31 hits are 1 week punts.
Giving a -4 transfer more than one week to pay it back has to be a positive thing.
For fh in 35 you can take a punt on someone who could do well that week but not other weeks(playing the fixtures). If you aren't, you won't bring them in because you'll need to keep them or if you do bring them in they'll hurt you in the following weeks
I think your WCing early has really clouded your thinking tbh.
It's still -4 regardless.
No guarantee City play in 35.
Do you disagree with Jonty then that a -4 on a GW31 player is a worse move than a -4 on a bigger pool of better players?
Please reread what Deulofail said (or what I said, whatever one you understand more) about the hits for players in the blank weeks. It seems like you either didn't read it or don't understand it
You'll be getting in a player for 35 who may not double in 37. I'll get the same player for free and someone I don't rate for 37.
You're arguing 2 things
1)
FH31: Stanislas (GW31) + Sane (GW35) -4
vs
FH35: Stanislas (GW31) -4 + Sane (GW35)
= the same
2) FH31: Stanislas (GW31) + Sane (GW35) -4
vs
FH35: Blank + Sane (GW35)
= About the same, but FH35 probably better because Stan likely to score less than 4pts.
Do you see where Bad Company and I are coming from, now?
How do you see the hits as different when you COMPARE FH in 31 vs 35?
Sure, better quality of player in 35. GW37 makes them a sell most likely as a SGW player. RMT will score better in 35 on average but you need to factor in 36/37/38 whereas GW32 WCers don't have to keep them. If you were WCing in 36, your theory would be stronger.
This assumes that I need to take a -4 for GW35?
For GW31, you either field less than 11 or you take a -4. I shouldn't have that dilemma in GW35.
Must have a weak GW34 side if you can easily field 11.
Sorry Bad Kompany, I understand it. I've replied to Deulofeu a little further down.
I think you need to take a closer look at the doubles in GW34.
^ reply to TS
This was exactly what I was trying to say. Cheers for writing it so much clearer Deulofail
Yes, you repeatedly wanted to compare a hit for Stanislas in GW31 to a hit for Sane in a future GW.
Sigh. You can patronise as much as possible, but you aren't understanding the problem I am pointing out in that question.
Either way, you're taking one hit. In both hypothetical routes (FH31 or FH35) you are 4pts down, and utilising the same players the same hypothetical players.
Otherwise you choose not to take a hit in one of the hypothetical routes, and then compare (which is another thing I did in the above 2 replies).
I'm not going to repeat myself. I don't care which authority made what point. Comfort doesn't come into the maths. Take care
There is no difference between taking a -4 for Sane vs taking a -4 for Stanislas as you will only be losing 4 points to those who are using fh since they will get them for free. But obviously you have the option of not doing the -4. If neither manager takes the -4 it comes down to Sane vs Stanislas and I feel that Sane would win. Also what do you think the expected points is for Stanislas? If it is less than 4(which I think it probably is), then if you don't take the hit for him and the other manager does, you'll be making up ground if he scores under 4 by using fh in 35 instead of 31
This is what I'm trying to say, and I think we've pretty much used the same words. 🙂
This also applies to Deloufeu.
Jonty presented some analysis by Ragabolly that predicts the FHC will only return an additional 11 points (or thereabouts) in GW31 compared with 'regular' teams. So, with that in mind, cautious managers are not going to take a hit to bring in a GW31 player.
If GW31 had, say, Man City vs West Brom instead of Huddersfield vs Crystal Palace, the FHC would be LESS favourable because free hitters will only gain 4 points on someone who takes a hit to get Sané.
Yes, Stanislas is more likely to return 2 points than not, but free hitters get to buy the ticket with ZERO risk and no transfer hits. If you don't play your FHC and don't get Stanislas, then you have less than 11 players and will lose out in that way.
It's a -2 ticket if you want to call it free otherwise. You can play short or take a -4 and cover a FH rival.
You said that Stanislas is more than likely to get only 2 points. Now there is a chance that he'll get more so let's just say his predicted return is 3. So you gain 3 points for each extra player you have. Let's say that most only have 9 players so you have 2 extra players, so you'll get 6 more points. But in 35 let's say you have only 9 players so you take 2 hits to get to 11 because the players then are more important to get. Then we will gain 8 points on you, which is more than you gained on the week you used fh, giving us an advantage in points.
I will certainly have 11 in GW35. There are more teams playing.
Fewer teams will have 11 playing in GW31.
Free hitters pick those 11 players after all information is in so the benefit is not just GW31 but these GW's 29 and 30 too.
I'd be happy to compare my GW29+30+31+34+35 score with free hitters in GW35.
I feel like comparing a bunch of scores between the 2 times people fh will definately be beneficial. But I think gws after 35 will need to be compared because not all of the people that you bring in in 35 will have a double in 37
Again you've only looked at GW31 in isolation. How does that help you?
I already know that FHC-users will outscore non-FHC-users who have blanking players or who take hits. Don't you?
@TS
Sorry missed this, Deulofeu.
I don't see GW35 as much of a concern as we'll have players from big teams to pick from that also have a double in GW34. I'll certainly be aiming for 11 in GW35 where as I wouldn't be in GW31 without the FHC.
Now include DGW37 🙂
Just gotta ask you a simple question TS:
If you had 9 in 31 would you take hits to get 11?
How about the same for 35?
Like Andy, I would take hits for 11, but I'd feel pretty dirty in doing so!
I don't play on taking any hits for GW35 as enough decent teams play, but I would consider a -8 if injuries/rotation hit.
How about in 31(if you weren't using fh)? And if you wouldn't why is that?
I wouldn't want to plan for GW31... I think we all agree that GW31 contains less double-digit players than those we'll see in GW31. That makes it more difficult to hit the jackpot (if there is indeed one) in GW31 compared with using FT's to bring in the jackpot for GW35.
It's this uncertainty and randomness of the 4 games in GW31 which makes the FHC ideal.
A FHC team in GW31 will be more different to a non-FHC in GW31 than FHC teams in GW35 compared with non free hitters.
...and the reason why it will be so different is because of the number of poor picks it'll have
are they still considered poor in a week when only those 'poor' players are playing?
Yup. The only teams I can see that have a decent chance at keeping a cs are Pool and Bournemouth. You'll have to get 2 other defenders who will only get you 2 points each. Stanislas is another example as you said he will likely only get 2 points. You could probably name some others as well and also most teams willl have about 8. Some players will score well obviously but all of them will most likely be owned by most teams. In other words the differentials in 35 are a lot better than those in 31
One thing I'm happy to concede is that free hitters in GW35 are already up on the deal. In the past couple of weeks, Leicester have had STK, BOU; Spurs have had cpl, HUD and Arsenal have had bha.
Of those teams, only Mahrez and Son have returned big points. The key to the FHC on GW31 is getting points from these teams that don't play in GW31 while everyone else avoids.
GW30 is the last chance. Ideally, I need Spurs to blow Bournemouth away, Leicester to thrash West Brom and Liverpool to blank vs Man Utd 😉
Wouldn't say that we're up yet, you've just not gotten as many points as you've thought. I actually decided to get Mahrez but avoided Spurs other than Kane due to not having spots/funds in midfield and rotation worries defensively. Both strategies obviously have their pros and cons and there's nothing that we can do anymore but wait and see which one prevails. But there is one thing that I think that you've been missing about not using fh in 35 is that the players that you get in the weeks surrounding 35 may not be optimal. I'd be happy to compare who got more points in specific weeks between the two strategies. Good luck to you for the rest of the season mate.
It's so difficult to compare. What I do know is that Mark who is a fantastic FPL player, has brought in Walcott and Hegazi in the past couple of weeks and is considering Schindler this week. How do we measure the impact of that vs transfers for blanking teams with good fixtures? If those fixtures don't return big points - and they haven't for Vardy, Eriksen, Alli, Hazard, Sanchez, Mkhitaryan etc. then how much is that luck and how much is it down to the right approach?
I do wish you well with your strategy. Despite my replies, I'm not fixed on one approach ruling them all, I just wanted to readdress the discussion balance that a FHC in GW31 isn't all about that one week.
Good luck, mate.
Non GW31FH'er with KanErikSon here 🙂 your plan is doomed 😆
I doubt anyone with value to lose Kane will sell him next week. Apart from Firmino there's very little. Maybe Wilson, King or even Benteke but nobody's playing 3 up front, I might only have 1 striker. Also, it's not like they'll need the funds, with keeping Kane, DDG, Otamendi and Vardy benched i'll still have £2-3m itb
Shaqiri's been a great acquisition for the past several weeks. Same can be said for having 3 Pool players they've already justified their places in squads regardless of GW31
Walcott and Everton in general is the only turd in the punchbowl for the past few weeks in terms of 31 preparation.
The point being is, who's going to bring in Shaqiri this week, or King? There isn't a nice run of games leading up to GW31 where non-free hitters can hedge their bets. Granted, Shaqiri has already repaid the faith for those who bought him earlier.
How many teams are stuck with Quaner, Kenny, Depoitre etc. and having to use FT's to now get someone who plays? The more choice in GW35 means this is less of a problem.
This is where a strong bench comes in. I can bench Shaqiri, Wilson and VVD this week if I take the hit now to get Baines, Theo and Mounie (to spread the cost of the hit over 2 GWs). I'm just weighing up whether it's worth it or not.
Perhaps you're right considering most people's situations (which are situations they put themselves in, I might add), but it's only 1 GW with less than optimal fixtures at this point. It's too late to switch tack if you already planned not to use FHC in GW31 (unless you planned to only have 4-7 players(ish), or take lots of hits anyway).
That's exactly why those planning ahead bought into Liverpool and Stoke (and unfortunately Everton) assets a while ago. I've had Shaqiri for 6 weeks and he's exceeded expectation.
Getting players like the 3 you just mentioned was never a good idea anyway. It's poor execution of the FH35 strategy not the strategy itself.
Also this. I only have Shaqiri from that list, and that was originally begrudgingly. The only GW31 defenders I bought were VVD and Coleman (purposefully leaving the budget options till last as luxury toppings to my GW31 team if I have the transfers, rather than the basis of my team). I think many who have Depoitre or Kenny have merely kept them rather than bought them.
You've just contradicted yourself. Bringing in Shaqiri was good planning but getting Bournemouth or Everton players was poor strategy?? The only difference was that Shiqiri paid off with hindsight and the others haven't.
I'd like to see how many teams are carrying GW31 players that are now not first choice - like Niasse, Kenny, etc. Those moves never made sense to me except as a one week punt.
The interesting thing about this first season's FHC strategy is that the fixtures of the GW31 players were great in the lead up to the BGW. As much as you can use hindsight now (the only way of assessing if something has "paid of"), Niasse really was a good option for his price, and a risk that could have paid off regardless of the BGW. The same is true of many other options. I didn't go for Walcott or Deulofeu myself, but they were screaming to be bought, regardless of GW31. The list goes on...
I think Niasse was a perfect GW31 blinkered transfer. What about J.Ayew? Also the likes of Murray and Barnes ignored in the same price bracket despite consistent returns - all because they don't play in GW31.
You're writing narratives that didn't exist back then. Murray has done well in hindsight, but there were concerns about his returns back then, and even more about his nailedness. J. Ayew played for Swansea, who have not been impressive until recently, plus we weren't sure how the arrival of his brother would affect his playing time, nor the return of Boney and Abraham. It was harder to predict their returns. People buying Niasse were probably more blinkered by the new manager and big team effect. Besides, he was the cheapest option with the best fixtures.
That's enough from me. Good luck convincing others 🙂
I think you're arguing for arguing sakes. Niasse was bought because he was cheap and had a GW31 fixture. It was just massively premature.
Ironically, I've bought J Ayew this week, for J Rodriguez. Can't recall if I bought JRod for GW31 but I'm definitely not keeping him!
What he's saying is that even without a game in 31, Niasse would have still been a good pick and a bunch would have still gotten him
Whats your planned starting 11 in GW31 with the FH?
Same as most on here for -4 😛
I can guarantee that it won't be 🙂
Congrats on beating most by 12 points in 31 then 🙂
Might only be 6 😉
I was being nice for once 🙂
I actually haven't planned a GW31 team other than 3 Liverpool. I won't have to think about it until GW30 is done and dusted. I'm still playing the fixtures and form as per normal gameweeks.
I agree with Salter's choice of FH31 and with most of his arguments.
But at the same time I feel that it's too late now for the FH31 and FH35 parties to keep shouting at each other. Most serious players will have made up their mind one or two weeks ago, so now we should focus less on choice of strategy and more on the optimal execution of each.
Agreed. Absolutely zero point playing the FHC in GW31 if you've been preparing for the last few gameweeks.
+1. The only thing we can do now is see what one ends up doing better
Not completely true.
I have just 4 GW31'ers, and 3FT's
I have a choice - spend 2FT on GW30/32 targets and FH31
Or spend 3FT and a hit or two acquiring 8 or 9 GW31'ers.
Not fully committed either way but leaning toward the latter.
I think everybody's team is different. For example I decided to WC early (4 or 5 Gws ago) and made my decision to FH in 31. This allowed me to punt on a strong midfield of Hazard, Mahrez, Eriksen and the failed Sanchez. It also allowed me to punt on the likes of Ayew & Maguire with mixed results.
Funnily enough I still managed to have 5 BGW players in Wilson, Mariappa, Quaner, Salah & Robertson at the moment.
Strangely feeling sheepish about using FH in 31 now with no wildcard! Would I be better using it in 35 or even in one of the doubles, I'm not sure! Second thoughts and all that 😉
You make some great points, but those that have otherwise decided their chip route are quite entrenched 😉
Cheers Hot Dogs 🙂
The "casuals" will play their FHC when they see next week's fixtures, so it's bound to pay off, and everyone here will blame the chips for helping casuals lol.
You make too many easy assumptions, just to help your own flawed argument. Those who fit in the box you make of nonfhc31will not be a threat to you, but there are many others out there.
I have Kane. I will not sell Kane. I will sell Aguero.
I will not take -4. I get 10 players without hits.
Liverpool might beat MUN, and Shaqiri goes on the bench. How is that a problem.
Eve will get points vs brighton. Why is it better to have tosun, coleman etc just for 31 of that happens.
You remind me of conspiracy fanatics or flat earthers who pick and choose flawed arguments that fits in their black and white twisted reality. Let's see who gets more points in gw30-38 when the season is over.
"my flawed argument"? Wow 🙂
The points I listed were those raised on the Scoutcast. There are further positives just as there are a bunch of negatives too. If you have a WC that you intend to play in GW32 then it makes little sense to free hit in GW31, but you could...
The reply mechanism on this website means that following peoples' replies can get a little tricky, and to be honest, I wasn't expecting such ferocious opposition! I certainly won't be beating myself up if the free hit in GW31 is a disaster... to each their own, as they say 🙂
The key positives for me are:
- I get to field 11 in GW31 with no hits taken
- I get to load up on DGW34 players now
- I get to take advantage of blank GW31 teams' fixtures now, so Spurs, Leicester (and Arsenal if they ever sort their act out)
- I don't spend FT's on GW31 teams.
In an ideal world, the players for blanking GW31 teams would all be returning points now while the likes of Man
.. the likes of VVD, Robertson, Mane, Firmino, Shaqiri, Walcott, Wilson, Pickford etc. would all blank. GW30 will be interesting.
The reply system is as flawed as your argument 😉
😯 😉
What about the best players someone playing FH in 35 could get though?
Playing it then should allow you to have 3 Liverpool against an all but relegated West Brom team (you dont want Pool players in 34 as they wont have a double)
Also, hopefully should allow you to get in the right 3 Man City players at home against Swansea. This is assuming Spurs beat them in the FA Cup quarters as they hopefully should. Otherwise, you have Spurs playing Brighton in GW35.
CL Semis are a few days after this so City who will probably be there will rotate, those playing FH in 35 should have an idea who will play the league game and be able to pick them.
Other good fixtures to target in 35 would be Arsenal vs West Ham at home and Chelsea vs Hudds at home if they go out to Leicester, without having to worry about how many of those to pick in your WC squad for 34. For example, I dont want to have to pick 3 Arsenal just so I have them for 35 as well.
So if I FH in 35, I could potentially pick a team only from Liverpool, City/ Spurs, Arsenal and maybe Chelsea all having plum fixtures.
Compared to 31 where everyone has 3 Liverpool players irrespective of FH, so the pool to pick from is far narrower.
That's my thinking at least.
You lose those Man City / Spurs players after the free hit chip, so will you not want them back for subsequent weeks?
The Liverpool run-in is an interesting one as they have decent fixtures until the end but no doubles. They're freely scoring goals too so I wouldn't have a problem keeping 2 or 3 Liverpool players even with a BB.
I can see the pros and cons of both approaches. I just made an early decision that I wouldn't get 11 out for GW31 using FT's - I didn't want to spend them that way, so the FHC is ideal for avoiding that.
I am working towards 31 and have none of those players referred to! I will have 10 players in. I scored 74 points this week. You can manage 31 and save your free hit card, no problem. Don’t agree with the analysis.
Could you link your team, please? To have 10 GW31 players and score 74 points this week is amazing!
I think GW31 FHC'ers will be hoping for a Liverpool blank vs Man Utd this weekend 😉
Completely agree with this. With bigger teams playing in GW35 we'll have a lot of them in our teams already and won't need to plan or take as many hits. That's the main thing people are missing.
The big thing I think you are missing is navigating 34 to 35 and 37.
If you have 11 in 35 then you are likely only going to have 4 gw37 players in your team plus one player you bring in for 35 who has a double in 37 (committing a transfer for a double player rather than going for the optimal point scorer of the week). You could potentially carry a transfer and make this 6 gw37 players in 35 with 2 more free transfers, giving you a maximum of 8 double gw37 players and Liverpool away to Chelsea in 37 too.
I see your arguments but 35 is the only way to go if you want to maximise your points imo as you are going to get more games from bigger players who are likely to score higher.
I really think not having the wc complicates things a lot more though as nobody wants those legacy 31 players stinking up their team to for long.
It all depends how you're set up now and in my opinion its way too late to be worrying that you've got 3 Liverpool v United or Bournemouth players v Spurs.
Managers decided their pathways with it all weeks ago!
116 points... Thank you, Mané, Firmino, Stanislas, Tosun, PvA and most of all, Salah 😀
Price Changes - 7th March 2018
🔺 D.Silva (8.0), Son (8.1)
🔻 Stones (5.3), Hugill (5.2)
Cheers, couple of Citeh surprises.
Cheers TM !!!
Was Silva even close?
Didn't look as don't bother with early transfers now if I can help it.
59.6 0n fplstats
Thanks Son
+2 🙂
GET IN MY SON!
Cheers
RP. Any thoughts on this team folks? Thinking of getting rid of lingard and masuaku for gw 31 players. Maybe Schindler and Pritchard if he’s fit? Any suggestions appreciated.
Ddg
Alonso vvd mariappa
Salah Alli shaqiri la parra
Kane Firmino Vardy
Joel lingard fracis masuaku
Do you really want 2 Hud mids?
I really don’t, but not seeing too many good options out there. Any suggestions bud?
I'd just chill out til Friday. You could get an injury tonight.
You could even save and go crazy next GW.
Seems like you have 7 atm so in a decent spot.
Waiting till Friday for sure. No rush. Saving could be an option as well, but defence this gw looks dire.
You'd want an instant gain if getting a new defender or saving works better.
Which is why Schindler is tempting with a couple of good home fixtures coming up.
First sub defender:
Mariappa(ars)
Or,
Francis(TOT)
Form says Mariappa 🙂
And fixture!
yep
Fixture says wenger☺️Haha
Are we being fooled by the fixtures in regards to Huddersfield defenders?
Yes
Yes imo. They're not as easy as they seem
M getting schindler anyway
Am I crazy of getting Mili for GW31?
Depends if you have WC, lots of BGW players, the replacement etc.
No, he will be my fifth going forward.
I'd keep depending on who your blank mids are. No WC means you need to keep the better mids though.
Hi guys.
Fell to 70 points behind ML leader.
Was thinking
Ibe ➡ Sane
Kenny ➡ Schindler -4 this week.
Will be playing 352 so will need to bench either
A) Shaqiri
B) Walcott
C) Wilson
C
De Gea Myhill
Alonso VVD Ogbonna Dunk Bardsley
Salah Mahrez Sterling Walcott King
Kane Firmino Wilson
2 fts and nothing itb.
Bardsley -> Francis look good if Sterling looks likely to play and no other injuries pop up
Best option out of these?
A. Dawson
B. Schindler
C. Bauer
D. Ake
D imo. Then C not far behind. Then B and A
B double home games
So, my ML Leader is 27 points ahead of me, he's been leading out league since about gameweek 5/6 mid september ish, hes been ridiculously consistent! He was leading by as much as 80, but ive clawed it down to below 30. Now he's brought in Walcott and shaqiri in the last 2 weeks and im confident he is not going to use his FH.
He doesnt own Firmino, is it worth using my FH to gain on him yet again? I could bring in Mane so Mane and Firmino would be 2 differentials for me.
If he's a decent player, he will get the Poolers in 31.
Yeah but i know he's already got triple Liverpool, VVD Ox and Salah! Unless he tears his team apart he'll struggle to bring them in!
Fair enough, no brainer in that case.
