The Pre-Match Preamble - Gameweek 38 Opinion
28 April 2018 1877 comments
Mark Mark
Share:

I’ve been shocked by the impact of the last few Gameweeks.

This period of the season, notable for the Double Gameweeks and blanks, has always troubled me. While I acknowledge that they bring the Fantasy Football season and communities to life, I’m also wary of the advantage that they present to myself and other managers who study and plan around them.

When the Triple Captain and Bench Boost chips were added to our armoury, those concerns were magnified further. Now it appears that the Free Hit has sharpened those weapons.

Quite frankly, I don’t feel that I deserve to be ranked just outside the top five thousand managers. It feels far too kind.

I set myself high standards and this season has felt like a disappointment. Memorable Gameweeks have been rare and, in the main, it feels like I’ve been treading water.

Looking back, while I avoided the pitfalls of #Kaneixt and benefited from that rather cruel twist, the Spurs striker has still done for me.

My unshakable faith in Kane’s ability to explode points and outscore Salah as a captain – particularly over a run of three double-digit scores for the Egyptian from Gameweek 26 – should have inflicted irreparable damage.

I felt it had. It seemed that a rank of around 30k was now the only realistic target, with any hope of edging into the top 10k abandoned.

But I’d played down how this period of the season can transform matters.

Three of my top four weekly scores have this season have arrived in the last four Gameweeks. The Double Gameweeks, blanks and chips have changed everything.

I’ll take some credit; there were some decent transfers and my solid preparation for Gameweek 31, allowing me to reserve the Free Hit for last weekend, was perhaps a turning point.

But may gains over these last few weeks are still surprising, with my current position feeling almost unjust as a summary of my season.

Before the chips were introduced, we would surely define a top 10k finish as an outstanding campaign. But with them, I’m wondering if we should be aiming higher.

In some of my mini-leagues, it’s a different story. Up against managers with great experience and pedigree, my rank shrinks back to mediocrity.

There are many proven FPL managers placed above me – Jay Eggersdorf, Jack Wain, Mark McGettigan (aka FPL General) – to name just three – who have, once again, experienced fantastic campaigns, pushing up into the top 1000 and beyond.

This is no accident. There is now a structure and formula used to build a strong FPL season and these guys have it cracked.

An early Wildcard and a consistent selection of the optimum captain can hopefully achieve a 10k rank by Gameweek 30. After that, the fixtures and chips can take over and help push on towards a three-digit finish.

Of course, it’s not that simple, and the achievement should still be applauded. However, I wonder if, like me, experienced FPL managers are now redefining their view of a “good” and “bad” season.

I’d be more shocked if any of that aforementioned trio of managers ever slipped to a finish outside the 100k, than if any of them won the FPL crown. Was that the case a few seasons back?

It feels like something has changed.

It seems that there is now a proven strategy for the final set of Gameweeks; it works and works well for those willing to invest time and effort.

I can’t deny that it’s been fun, but now we almost need a new ingredient to shake things up.

A Premier League winter break might do that. Early season chips would certainly change the landscape.

Something needs to disrupt the pattern of a Fantasy Premier League season before we all start getting a little too comfortable.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. SKOBassist
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Arnie or Lingard?

    1. :
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Arnie essential.

      1. SKOBassist
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Was heading that way. Done

      2. Hand of Dog
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Essential this week?

        1. :
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Yeah. City on holiday.

          1. Hand of Dog
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            They won 5-0 last week!

  2. Cok3y5murf
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Mark said he was captaining Kane just because he is going to Wembley to watch the game.

    This means he's a casual, right?

    1. FPL_Hazards
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No, just that he has a man crush on Harry

    2. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Well did you see his rank? Screams casual to me.

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        He can’t even break into the top 50 like all the other pros on here so definitely a casual

    3. STEP rOVERS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Cok being a cok

    4. Lecky Legs FC
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Same reason me picking Salah because I'm going to Anfield to watch the game doesn't make either a casual though

  3. DR0GBA
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who is more of a priority to bring in this week?

    A) Sterling
    B) Eriksen

    Eriksen would be a differential against my rival but he also has 3 city players whilst I have 0

  4. The_Adam
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Tricky one here:

    Hennessey
    Otamendi - Smalling - Lowton
    Salah - Arnie - Sane - Milivojevic - Walcott
    Kane - Jesus

    Subs: Ryan, J.Ayew, Robertson, Daniels

    Can't decide whether to bench Theo away to Hudd and start Ayew at home to Chelsea, or keep it as above...

  5. Takedog1
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Firmino starting ??

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Supposedly.

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

  6. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    What’s the deal with Ota?
    Will he play?

    1. LÖrKingMuch
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      FFS team news has him as likely to play bit hard to know

  7. davies
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    VDH or Fernandez

    1. joersherman
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      probably Fernandez for nailedness

    2. ENZO SZN™
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Fernandez out this week.

  8. ragonian
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Arnies for me, but undecided on Lingard or gud?

    1. ENZO SZN™
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Gud

  9. DJ87
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who's people playing between Vertonghen or Davies?
    Need the one that will play 90 min x 4 remaining matches for Spurs.

    1. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If that’s the criteria, Vert

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I'm going with Vert. Less attacking potential but hopefully assured starts.

    3. Tshelby
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Vert then

    4. Powers106
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Finally I went with Vert as I don't want to waste a hit next week if it looks like Bavies to be rotated (maybe Rose will come in or whatever)

  10. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    there’s talk on reddit of dilva not starting tomorrow

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah you said.

      1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        when?

    2. Jairzinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks

  11. bertie
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Please help!

    Hi Guys. Left it a bit late for my WC this week.

    Fabs.DDG/
    Otemendi/Van der Hoon/Chilwell/Smalling/Van Dijk
    Salah/Eriksen/Son/kenedy/D Silva/
    J Ayew/Jesus/Austin

    Question is.

    Do I swap Kane for Jesus, Salah, for Sterling, and Van Dijk for Cedric today, or leave it until next week for a -8.

    Playing catch up in my league.

    Any late advice would be appreciated.

  12. Feloh
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    lol @ mark I'd be over the moon if I were to achieve a 99,999 rank this season.

  13. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Pick 3 to play this GW pls?

    a. Willian

    b. Son

    c. Milli

    d. D.Silva

    Salah is my other mid 🙂

    cheers

    1. Railwayman
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Son, Silva, Mili maybe

  14. joersherman
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Bottomed! Best 4.4m defender for the double guys?

    A) VDH (bou SOU)
    B) Chilwell (WHU ARS) - also got Morgan
    C) Dummett (wat tot)

  15. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Austin expextwd to start. Has Hughes said anything about it?

  16. Jimmers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Start Rashford or Gross?

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Gross

  17. Raf
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Hi guys,

    Currently have this team.

    Pope

    Christensen Lowton otamendi

    Son Salah Mahrez izquierdo

    Kane Barnes lukaku

    lossl Kenny ogbonna milo

    Where would u guys start? Was thinking lukaku to Jesus this week....... then 3 changes for the double. But no idea who to bring in....help.

    A.Lukaku to Jesus
    B.Mahrez to Sterling?
    C.Both

    1. Andy'81
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I'd prefer Mahrez to Sterling as I fancy Lukaku against a rotating Arsenal team.

      1. Raf
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers

  18. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Alonso owners... you holding or what? how confident are you of his playing both games next week?

    1. FPL DONKEY
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      OUT OUT OUT

    2. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Im holding. Will sell if we know he wont start next week.

    3. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Holding and making a decision next week

    4. FPL DONKEY
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      In all seriousness, I'm getting rid this week (or next) to fund some upgrades up top

    5. DJ87
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Most expensive 2-pointers you get if he plays.

    6. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Just took him out. Too expensive and not certain to play both

    7. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers guys. I will hold for now as I have an okay defence as it is.

      SMALLING - LOWTON - MORGAN

      will re-evaluate next week

  19. FPL DONKEY
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Alonso has to go. I'm sick of the sight of him 🙂

    1) Alonso -> Bavies
    2) Alonso -> Smalling

    1. DJ87
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      1

      1. FPL DONKEY
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers 🙂

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      He’s only out for one more game.

      1. FPL DONKEY
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        It's not just hatred.. could do with the cash also

  20. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Bugger it I'm benching willian for guddmundsson

    1. DanLFC1
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      i think i am too, but only cos im not sure wilian starts...

  21. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Hello all. I guess better to stick to these guys and not take a hit?

    De Gea
    Vertonghen, Lowton, Morgan
    Sanchez, Willian, Sterling, Gross
    Barnes, Kane, Vardy

    Subs: Ryan --- Milivojevic, Femenia, Alonso --- 0 FT, 0.7 ITB

  22. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Alonso > Cedric or save?

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Id be tempted

    2. squits
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I did this. Saints have kept a few cleanies recently and have some nice fixtures for more...plus he's cheap for his output potential

  23. BEARDLESS GUY
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Should I get JWP lingard? For DGW

    1. BEARDLESS GUY
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Or*

    2. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      JWP but check the team news section if he’s nailed

      1. BEARDLESS GUY
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks buddy

  24. Railwayman
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Mahrez and Lukaku out for Jesus and Salah for a hit. No brainer right, can't risk going without Salah another week...

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Go for it mate

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lukaku will haul. I can feel it.

    3. Sánchez
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Why not? Your top 1k without him all season if that linked team is yours

      1. Jairzinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        That team has him in until week 33.

      2. Railwayman
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah, I ahad him for all the games untill BOU home.

  25. alastair
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Interesting preamble. I always think the most illuminating comment on fantasy football was made by Tom Fenley the season he was world number one when he said that he was amazed as to how many mistakes you could make and still win overall. We sometimes forget that other people make lots of mistakes as well - the key is to stay calm

    1. Scoring freely
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Don't tell me what to do.

  26. Yordan Letchkov
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Play Morgan or Duffy?

  27. doublyG
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I was going to do Mahrez -> Sterling for a hit.

    But is it worth instead not doing it. And doing Salah -> Sterling next week

    and then getting Salah back in for 38?

  28. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I think the chips are great and the fact we can ALL choose when we want to play them is part of the game. Those who put the time in to plan should get the rewards.
    Ya can't spoon feed everyone.

  29. davies
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Next week...

    A) Salah
    B) Sane -4

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      See how Sané does this GW.

  30. Feloh
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    any new developing stories FPL related that I need to k ow of before the deadline?