Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Mike82
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Someone help,
    DDG
    Vertonghen
    Jesus
    Vardy
    Lingard
    Gundagon

    What to do with this lot

    1. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Depends on what the rest of your team looks like. DDG won't play and Gundogan rotation risk

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lingard to Zaha if there's enough money.

    3. Back on the horse
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      swap out DDG and use the cash to upgrade Lingard

  2. aborg
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Looking at the below link, there truly might not be any place for Vertonghen today: !!

    https://www.football.london/tottenham-hotspur-fc/fixtures-results/spurs-leicester-team-news-foyth-14646134

    What do you guys think? I have Vert together with my rival, so this might be an advantage to players like us who can act on such news appropriately !

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Could easily rest Toby or Sanchez tho

      1. Big Sum
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah. Toby needs a rest from resting

        1. aborg
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          My team is already strectched out as it is with all my bench players 100% not playing. So for me it might be worth the risk to take a hit for another defender and keep him first sub just in case Vert does not play. what you think ?

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I hate poch

      1. Back on the horse
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        i heard you love Poch. Maybe I heard it wrong 😉

    3. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      With no guarantee of CSs, I would just keep and roll instead of taking hits....

    4. Bissisine
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      What about Bavies? Start?

      1. aborg
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Davies is always a question mark. I would not risk getting him in if you don't already own him.

    5. TwoTon Ted
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I’ve taken a -8 ,TAA, Adrian & Salah for DDG Dilva & Chilwell to ensure I have full bench as I am sure Smalling will be rested, I fear for Son & Alonso also. If they all play I’ll look a fool!

    6. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Good for Vardy owners

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    GTG ?

    No hits this week I think, want to secure top 10k.

    Ryan
    Tark/Lowton/Vert/VVD
    Salah(c)/Sterling/Son/Arnie
    Kane/Vardy

    DDG/Gross/Morgan/Barnes

    1. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Looks solid

  4. MGD
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Lowton - Start
    Cedric - 1st on bench
    Morgan - 2nd on bench

    Correct? Maybe Morgan ahead of Cedric

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If Poch rotates prob morgan ahead of Cedric

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Morgan last on the bench. Let him rot there

      1. MGD
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Haha I feel you... but City will probably score more than Spurs

  5. Down with this sort of thin…
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any good sources for Spurs lineup? Anyone reckon Walker-Peters starts?

    Thanks!

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A good possibility

      1. Down with this sort of thin…
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah, saw that. Was wondering whether there was any more recent news. Trippier spotted limping or something...

      2. Guigui
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Where do Foyth play ?
        Davies at risk ?

  6. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Sane or arnie captain?

    1. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sane

    2. Down with this sort of thin…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sane, although more risk of not starting than Arnie. Prob both start though.

  7. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I feel like this team needs a few transfers due to rest from united’s team etc...

    As it stands;

    (DDG)Ryan
    Alonso • Smalling • Lowton
    Salah, Pogba, Willian, Mahrez, King
    Kane • Jesus
    -
    Subs: Morgan, Dunk, Barnes
    -

    I have 1FT what would you guys suggest as priority? (Happy to take a hit)
    (I still have TC chip available)

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Smalling to a Liv defender

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Smalling to Trent.
        Then Mahrez to Sterling?

    2. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Smalling -> TAA, Robbo
      Willian -> Zaha, Arnie

      Don't know if Pogba is playing?

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Who’s most likely to play out of pog and willian

  8. Afghanistanislas
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Which of these would you do:
    A) Cedric > Cresswell
    B) DDG and Gudmundsson > Adrian and Zaha (-4)
    C) Alli and Gudmundsson > Arnautovic and Zaha (-4)

    Ryan
    Lowton vdH Vertonghen
    Salah Sterling Alli Gudmundsson
    Kane Jesus Ayew

    DDG Cedric Hojbjerg Morgan

  9. FPL_Sponge
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Play a) Gudmundsson (BOU) or b) Milijoevic (WBA)

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Mili on set pieces

      1. FPL_Sponge
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        So is Gudmundsson

        1. Mike82
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Ha true

          1. Mike82
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Mili on pens

        2. HamezMace
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Assume he means pens.
          I’d say Mili too

  10. Runaway
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Which option will score more?

    A) Ryan + Milivojevic
    B) Adrian + Willian
    C) Adrian + Zaha - 4

    1. nevins84
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Probably B

  11. Visionaries
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    My choices are basically,

    A King > Mccarthur
    B Ddg & Barnes > Krul & Rash -4 (play fab)
    C Ddg, Eriksen & Barnes > Krul, Arnie & Firm -8 (play fab)

  12. Carcetti
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Guys,

    A) Pogba Out for Zaha + Vardy Out for Lacazette (-8)

    Chasing a 20-point lead. Lead by 9 points from 3rd.

    Also I'm triple capping Salah.

  13. Bissisine
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Something new on Son, Bavies? Who do we think will start in that Spurs team. No leaks?

    1. FPL_Sponge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Want to know about Son as well

  14. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    play -

    A) Long
    B) Laporte .

  15. Essrick
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Anything worth a -4?

    DDG
    Christensen, PVA, Lowton
    Salah (C), Sterling, Arnie, Gross
    Kane, Jesus, Ayew

    Ryan Cook Long Morgan

  16. Patch
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who was the guy that kept saying "That Tweet"...David Silva being the latest rumour?

    1. bertie
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      What tweet is D Silva not playing?

  17. Yozzer
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Captain

    Auba or Sterling. Mmm

    1. Totalfootball
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Auba

    2. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sterling for me, own both as well

    3. Back on the horse
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sterling

    4. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks Fellas

  18. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A martial and ayew
    B zaha and rashford

  19. Tmel
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    a) Ryan & Gross +4
    b) Romero & Zaha

  20. Weilong7
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    My Team:
    DDG McCarthy
    3.9 Smalling Morgan Lowton Simpson
    Salah Sterling Willian Arnie Lingard
    Kane Jesus Quaner

    His Team:
    DDG Hamer
    Smalling Davies Laporte Dummett Chilwell
    Sterling Eriksen Pogba Salah Kante
    Vardy Jesus Perez

    0 ITB 1 FT
    7 points behind in ML

    Suggestions?
    Smalling to VVD or Robertson?
    Willian to Ramsey?
    DDG to Lloris or Karius?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      All your suggestions are right tbh

  21. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Salah C ??

    1. Waynoo
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      boring

  22. nevins84
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Which of these in for a -4 would yield best....

    A) Rashford
    B) Ramsey
    C) Mata
    D) Lanzinni

    1. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Who are you looking at bringing Rashford in for?

      1. nevins84
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Perez

        1. HamezMace
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          That gets my vote then

  23. MrZ
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    1. Play jesus
    2. Jesus --> laca/auba (-4)
    3. Jesus --> firminho (-4)

    Only 7 points leading my ML...

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Wouldn’t swap him for a hit

      1. MrZ
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yea that's what I'm thinking of too... Thanks m8

  24. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Mark like you've never seen him before. 😯

    https://mobile.twitter.com/OfficialFPL/status/995616463192055809

    #ProductionValues

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      2 hours till pen down time

    2. Numb
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Truly the "Statto" of our generation.

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Have we just seen the secret sauce formula to the goals imminent table?

      2. Yozzer
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Haha statto was a legend. No body did fantasy football show better than Skinner and Badiel. I bet a lot don't even know what I'm on about

  25. Udo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I'm loosing it, what would you do to this team if chasing 14.
    Fab (DDG)
    Vert, Masuaku, Naughten (Morgen, Dummett)
    Salah, Sane,Sterling, Son, Lingard
    Kane, Jesus (Ayew)

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Captain sterling

    2. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If you have a FT i would do son to arnautovic

      Captain someone who your rival doesn't have

    3. Udo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks lads.

  26. RAMZES666
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who scores more?

    a) Mustafi, Son, Lingard, TAA
    b) Cresswell, Eriksen, Zaha, J.Ayew

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

  27. HD7
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    G2G ? Right order of starters and bench?

    Ryan
    Vertongen Mawson Lowton
    Son Sterling Gudm Zaha
    Kane(C) Jesus Auba

    Subs: DDG, Mustafi, Tark, AKing

  28. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who has the edge here?

    15 points +
    Ryan
    TAA Chambers Vertonghen Tarkowski
    Hazard Sane Salah
    Kane(C) Jesus Ayew

    VS

    Ederson
    Tomkins Naughton Mustafi
    Arnautovic Zaha Salah Sane
    Kane(C) Auba Firmino....

  29. Ruud van Kane
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Help!
    Loris or Hennessey
    Davies or Mawson

  30. Sky Blue Sun
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    a) Gundogan > Mili
    Or
    b) Barnes > Ings