Pro Pundits

Should we be concerned about high ‘Effective Ownership’ in FPL?

Ex-FPL winner Simon March: How to avoid getting carried away with your GW1 picks

It might be hard to believe but the majority of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers go about their lives having never heard of Effective Ownership let alone having allowed it to influence their decision-making (or their sleep). Inside the hardcore FPL community, however, Effective Ownership gets a lot of airtime. But should it? Is the importance of Effective Ownership exaggerated? Or is it in fact the secret to gaining an edge over less serious rivals? Those questions, and more, will be the focus of this article.

What is Effective Ownership?

Who are the best FPL captain options for Gameweek 5?

Each player in FPL has an absolute ownership percentage based on how many FPL managers own them. Effective Ownership is a calculation that factors in this number, the number of managers who actually started the player and how many of these captained or triple-captained the player. Unlike absolute ownership, Effective Ownership only really exists after a Gameweek has begun.

The significance of Effective Ownership (EO) can be fairly complicated but, to simplify, if your player has an EO of less than 100%, the points they score have a chance of improving your rank. If their EO is over 100% the points they score may decrease your rank unless you captain them. If their EO is 200% or above, you will only benefit from the points the player scores if you have tripled-captained them. Between each of these brackets are gradients that will influence how much or how little the player scoring will affect your rank.

A consequence of high EO is that managers see players like Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) nearing 200% EO and conclude, not without reason, that it effectively neutralises their captain score; Salah could score a hat-trick and the impact it would have on their rank would be fairly minimal at best.

Some managers have gone on to conclude that captaining a high EO player is a waste and that the only advantage comes from captaining a lesser-owned ‘differential’ player. Others maintain that it is too dangerous to captain anybody other than the high EO player. Like most things in FPL, neither perspective is entirely wrong, but neither is entirely correct either.

Differential Captains

Who are the best FPL captain options for Gameweek 9? 4

Since it’s been discussed many times before, I won’t get into the merits of differential captains too much here, but it is fairly logical that a successful low-EO captain will have a better impact on rank, assuming that they outscore the higher EO captain choices. That last bit, of course, is the crucial point. The benefit of captaining a low-EO player who hauls is only really meaningful if they outscore the high EO captains.

On the other hand, the negative impact of not captaining a high-EO player if your low-EO captain blanks or underperforms them can be huge. This is where the EO-anxiety we see a lot in the FPL community comes from and, if you game it out, the risk-adjusted payoff of a differential captain will almost never be big enough to justify the risk when a high-EO captain exists – unless your circumstances are desperate.

Does High EO Neutralise Captaincy?

The question therefore is; if it is too dangerous to avoid a high-EO captain, does high EO neutralise captaincy? To an extent, it definitely does but maybe not as absolutely as we believe.

Firstly, we need to acknowledge that EO varies depending on where you are ranked. The overall EO of a player might not be reflective of the EO of a player among the managers ranked near you (or in your mini-leagues) and, as a result, the benefit (or detriment) to you of a high EO player scoring might be different to the overall average.

Secondly, even if a player is approaching 200% EO, there will still likely be people ranked above you who either do not own or have not captained the player and, while these numbers might not show up much in terms of rank change in a single Gameweek, they will accrue to a significant level over multiple Gameweeks if your high EO captain consistently outperforms their selection.

Furthermore, while it might sound counterintuitive, rank change is not the only measure of success in FPL. You can obviously outscore another manager without overtaking them in a single Gameweek but you will then be in a better position to overtake them the next Gameweek. This effect is very apparent when you look at your mini-leagues but tends to get forgotten in the more impersonal overall rankings. Of course, there is equally a lot of value in outscoring the people chasing you.

Finally, it is worth bearing in mind that ownership and Effective Ownership are finite, zero-sum elements of FPL. A high-EO captain means that other players will have lower EO than they might otherwise have had if the captaincy was spread about more. With all the focus on captaincy, it’s easy to forget about the impact of a high score from a non-captained player but the potential impact of such a score increases the lower their EO (and this comes at a lower risk than betting against a high-EO captain), so there is good reason to embrace high EO-captains given the opportunities it creates elsewhere.

Conclusion

Who are the best FPL captain options for Gameweek 9? 1

In my view, the focus on Effective Ownership as a negative within the FPL community is a bit misleading. While it can be useful to avoid high-EO or even bet against it if you’re in a situation where you need to make up ground fast, at most stages of the season the ends won’t justify the means. This is not to say that a high-risk strategy is inherently worse than a low-risk strategy, it just means that it is high risk, and this is quantifiable.

Rank is ultimately as much about not being overtaken as it is about overtaking others so scoring points will always be beneficial in FPL, whether they have an immediate positive impact on your rank or not. While some will see a high-EO captain as neutralising that element of the game, it does put more emphasis on the rest of your squad which, many will agree, is a more multifarious test of FPL skill than picking the right captain each week.

In conclusion, an awareness of Effective Ownership in FPL is valuable and, more often than not, embracing it and looking for opportunities elsewhere in your squad is likely to be the sensible play. Trying to subvert EO with differential captains for the sake of it is unlikely to be a viable long-term strategy but it can still be a valuable move if you need to take some risks or if you are confident that your differential captain will outscore a high-EO player. In this scenario, you can very much take advantage of the risk-aversion that a highly-owned player can generate among FPL managers generally.

341 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Irons.

  2. Jimmy Boy
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ronaldo or Vardy, which one to get rid of this GW? Indirectly for Mane via 2FT. I plan to WC GW14. I know this seems obvious on fixture alone but Vardy has been useless for me lately.

    1. Podge
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’d hold tbh

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ronaldo on current Chelsea defensive form.
      No Chilwell might help the Ronaldo case.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Difficult to predict the shape of LEI at the moment and missing Tielemans is massive for them. I would lose Vardy

    4. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If it's WC14, then the one facing an elite defence surely has to go for GW13 instead

      Ronaldo, for me

  3. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I keep getting red arrows... please HELP!

    I have 1FT and 0.4 itb

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, Duffy
    Gallagher, Salah (c), Saka, Foden,
    Ronaldo, Antonio, Wilson

    Bench: Foster, Livramento, Manquillo, Allan

    A. Livra + Antonio --> James + King for -4
    B. Any other suggestions? I'm willing to take a hit

    Please help

    1. Podge
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A looks ok

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Moves look fine. Why Livramento over Duffy?

    3. tangtastic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A looks good but can you get rid of Duffy instead?

  4. Nice to Finally Michu
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Worth wildcarding from

    Sanchez (Bachmann)
    Chilwell White Semedo (Veltman Amartey)
    Salah Fernandes Jota Gundogan (Tella)
    Antonio Jimenez Toney

    to

    Sanchez (Carson)
    TAA James Alonso Reguilon (Johnson)
    Salah Jota Foden Gallagher (Gilmour)
    Vardy Jimenez (Gelhardt)

    ? Cheers all and Happy Thanksgiving to fellow statesiders

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yes, there is enough changes to the main 11 to warrant a WC imo

      1. Nice to Finally Michu
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Appreciate the response - do you think its a decent enough team that I'm WCing to?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          WC team is ok.
          1. If sticking with Sanchez then switch the Carson to Steele so you have the Brighton GK double-up
          2. I like the defence and midfield
          3. Not a huge fan of the strikers. Jimenez next 2 is decent. Probably could do a bit better than Vardy and Gelhardt

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Good spot by @the12thman with no Cancelo. Downgrade Vardy for funds

          2. Nice to Finally Michu
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Appreciate these tips. I think I'll try and stretch to Steele.. Understandable about the strikers. Am now considering rotating one of Pukki and Dennis up top with a possibly wild team of

            Sanchez (Steele)
            TAA Cancelo James Alonso Reguilon
            Salah Son Jota Foden (Gilmour)
            Pukki (Dennis Gelhardt)

            1. Nice to Finally Michu
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 4 months ago

              I'd plump for King over Dennis if I can find the 0.3

    2. Nice to Finally Michu
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Could also have Kane and Pukki over Jimi and Vardy

    3. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No Cancelo?

      1. Nice to Finally Michu
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Could do Jimi > Pukki and Reguilon > Cancelo. Is Cancelo worth 1.5 more than Reguilon or 1.0 more than Alonso?

        1. The 12th Man
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Vardy for me is on borrowed time. I’d downgrade him and fit Cancelo in.
          Alonso or Reguilon, Hmm. I don’t know. Guess it’s personal taste. City’s upcoming fixtures though are hard to ignore.

          1. Nice to Finally Michu
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            understood about vardy, hopefully an opening comes for nacho or daka soon
            Might try and squeeze all of them in tbf

    4. Grand Thibauto
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Did you make that team in GW1

  5. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on taking a -4 to do Antonio to King this GW. This would leave 2.8ITB to do Duffy to Alonso or Mbeumo to Jota next GW.

    0FT 0.6ITB
    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James
    Salah Foden Raphinha Mbeumo
    Kane Toney Antonio
    (Foster Duffy Livramento Brownhill)

  6. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Reguilon or Alonso?

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso imo

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso. Spurs can't defend atm... And Alonso is an FPL monster playing for an elite defence, as shown earlier this season already

      Wait for Chilwell news first, of course

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Well, Chilwell news is here

        It's Marcus Alonsooooooo

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I can't see Spurs keeping a CS anytime soon. Reguilon mins could be an issue with Sessegnon

    4. MikeS
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      The real question is rudigier or Alonso

  7. Ze_Austin
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Love this article. Echoes my thoughts, so maybe that's why

    Keep going strong, Simon. Thanks 🙂

  8. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ronaldo > Kane?

    Guaita
    TAA,James,Cancelo
    Salah, Raphinha,ESR,Gallagher
    Ronaldo,Vardy,Toney

    Gunn,White,Gilmour,Livramento 1FT 0.1m itb

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I vehemently refuse

      Roll FT. Vardy + White to Jesus + Alonso is possible for free next GW

      1. The 12th Man
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Maybe. I’d rather keep White over Livramento though.
        Not fussed on Jesus.

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Benteke?

          1. The 12th Man
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            He has crossed my mind.
            Actually considering Aubamayang as well.

  9. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Chilwell injury looking like ACL, such a shame

    1. MikeS
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Who will play instead, Alonso?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Alonso - but suspect Azpi the I’ll come in on occasion and even Saul and Pulisic are other options there

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yup. Suspected that once I saw him walking/limping

      The knee structure stays - you can probably walk if you bear the pain, but you can't do much else... For months... As a poorly vascularised ligament heals naturally

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Was at the game and it didn’t look good, wonder if we’ll try and sign someone or recall one of Emerson or Maatsen

  10. Chilwell update...
    Rainer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    UPDATE: Ben Chilwell set to miss at least the rest of the year with suspected ACL damage. Chelsea prepared to delay a final decision on whether he can play again this season until the New Year. Story and details here: #cfc

    https://twitter.com/Matt_Law_DT/status/1463560244081086469?t=7XIBZsRWsdxn86FuKESCqg&s=19

    Hopefully not season over.

    1. MikeS
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso in then, surely?

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Will Tuchel trust such a bad defender vs Uniteds second best creative player?

        Azpi might be needed to stop Sancho.

        1. MikeS
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Hmm maybe rudigier is a better transfer then

          1. Rainer
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            I really want Alonso to be a sure thing but have doubts 🙁

            1. Karan14
              • 7 Years
              2 years, 4 months ago

              Alonso has played every game at LB Chilwell has been missing for under Tuchel.

              1. Make United Great Again
                • 11 Years
                2 years, 4 months ago

                Just transferred him in 🙂

                The upside is too good to ignore as seen previously this season.

        2. Qaiss
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          He trusted him against Salah tbf

          1. Ze_Austin
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            ...and Man City, even

            Although that was the beginning of the end then

          2. Rainer
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Alonso is back on! 😀

        3. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Tuchel started Alonso in the Liverpool game GW3 which ended 1-1. Don't think he will have any issues up against an out of form Sancho

        4. bench boost for every gamew…
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Huh.. Alonso is not my cup of tea, As he is bad defender but he handled Saka well so Sancho, who is not even close to that level wont be that much trouble. Rudiger will take the dish if Alonso gives him the soap

          1. Dthinger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            this system doesn't really ask the wing-backs to do any real defending. I think he'll be fine.

            1. noquarternt
              • 8 Years
              2 years, 4 months ago

              Think this is it. He’s always been more of a striker than defender anyway.

          2. aflickering
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            i know he's not started well for utd but come on now, sancho is a significantly better footballer than saka. arguably the second best/most proven u22 player in the world after haaland, certainly top 5.

    2. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gutted for Chilwell. Was playing brilliantly after a tough mental health period. Hopefully his rehab goes well and he can pick up some fitness/form to be in the World Cup squad next winter

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Marcus Goalonso welcome 🙂

    4. Flair
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso in soon.

  11. SHOWSTOPPERRR
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Guys
    A) rudi to James free this week and Antonio vardy to kane pukki -4 next week?
    B) Save this week and reasses and do the moves next week.

    B will allow you to monitor kaku also.

    1. HonestBlatter
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  12. MikeS
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best chillwell replacement for those of us who have James?

    A. Rudigier
    B. Alonso

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. fricky_
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  13. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Rudiger, Chilwell to R.James, Alonso for -4?

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Wouldn't lose Rudiger coming into this period.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Na keep Rudiger

    3. HonestBlatter
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Point-wise yes so yes

    4. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      The only one injured is Chilwell. So Chilwell to James & keep Rudi. Why take a hit when not necessary?

  14. The Parrot
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Why is Jota yellow flagged?

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      knocked his knee last game - was talk after the game he would be evaluated

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Sore knee.

      Flag should come off this evening, if no new issues.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      There was an open training session yesterday before UCL game and Jota was involved with the team

      1. The Parrot
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Ok so should be fine. Cheers all

  15. RogDog_jimmy
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Did we all decide whether it's better to do

    a/ Chilwell > James
    b/ Chilwell > Alonso

    I can't be bothered figuring it out.

    Thanks!

    1. griffzinho
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      To James 100%..

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      James 1000%

    3. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Think if you can get James just get him.

    4. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yup easy James but it depends if you can use that 0.5m difference to improve your team elsewhere

    5. HonestBlatter
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      a

    6. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      thanks all! felt that was the right answer.

      could do

      Chilwell > James & Duffy > Alonso
      for a -4 if i get really frisky....maybe give it a week

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Exact moves I'm looking at but prioritising James first then Alonso next GW

  16. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is Dias with Cancelo a viable option or rather double up with Chelsea defence?

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Absolutely.

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      i thought it was when i wildcarded in gw7 - oops.
      may well be now - but think the Chelsea attacking upside is too much to go with Dias over them.

    3. The Parrot
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Don't think Dias to James is urgent. But essentially James and Cancelo are considered OOP, similar to Dallas last year

  17. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Chilly’s unfortunate injury fills that James size hole in my team, easy route.

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      0.1 short of doing it this gw.

  18. Teror
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Mbuemo > Gallagher (-4) ?

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not for a hit

    2. Pino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ne

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Nope

  19. fricky_
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench Raphinha, Vardy or Reguilon?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Wow what's the rest of the team like?!

      1. fricky_
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Sanchez - Steele
        Cancelo - TAA - James
        Salah - Gallagher - Foden
        Benteke - Jimenez
        Duffy - Allan

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Probably Reguilon, Gallagher and Benteke for that last bench spot. I cant' see Spurs keeping a CS so you need Reguilon to get an attacking return and Gerrard will have tightened the Villa team so could be a close game. Maybe bench Gallagher. Most likely playing with Mili which isn't ideal for Gallagher from an FPL perspective

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not Vardy!

      Burnley should score vs that Spurs backline, could get ugly at set pieces.

      1. fricky_
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah, I just think Leeds could struggle at Brighton

  20. The Train Driver
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Not seen Ajax rasta away kit before, really cool!

  21. chonks
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    with chilwell hurt

    will chalobah get time in epl games?

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Doesn't really impact Chalobah unless Azpi starts getting serious minutes at LWB leaving RCB more open for Chalobah.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Chilwell injury doesn't directly affect Chalobah's playing time at RCB. He is competing with Christensen and Azpi

  22. tabby98
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What to do here guys?

    Guaita, Foster
    TAA, Rudiger, Cancelo, Veltman, Tsimikas
    Salah, Havertz, Gallagher, Raphinha, Sissoko
    Kane, Antonio, Toney

    1FT
    £0.1m ITB

    Really wanna get James in but also feel the need to replace Havertz

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Havertz ➡ ESR

  23. Eightball
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Chillwell to Alonso (-4)

    My bench is currently A.Armstrong - Livramento - Brownhill

  24. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    With Chilwell looking likely to be out long term. Best replacement is?

    A James
    B Alonso

    1. sandman58
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      How do u know it's long term?

      1. Eightball
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Newspapers saying its likely to be ACL and Chelsea have said he won't be back until at least the new year which is a lot of gameweeks. If it's ACL then probably most of the season.

      2. FPLMACKEM
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Matt law on Twitter.

  25. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) White/Foden to Cancelo/Gallagher worth -4?

    B) Rudiger to Cancelo for free?

    Sanchez Steele
    TAA, James, Rudiger, White, Livra
    Salah, Jota, Foden, Raphina, Sissoko
    Kane, Jimenez, Broja

    1.2 in the bank

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not a huge fan of those moves

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        But starting to doubt Foden is worth 8 mill (no attacking returns last 3 GWs) vs Gallagher 2 g 2 a last 3 GWs)

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I can see why people are looking to lose him but look at City's upcoming fixtures and with Grealish close to being available, I think he will play LW and push Foden back to F9.

  26. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    #LFC v Porto:

    Alisson, Williams Matip Konate Tsimikas, Morton Thiago Ox, Salah Minamino Mane

    Klopp been told to chase that ~€2.5m for winning!

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Jota injured or rested?

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Jota on bench?

    3. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Spion Kop deleted tweet so maybe not 😮

  27. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best budget defender for the next 4 gws?

  28. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is benching Antonio (mcity) for Josh King (leic) stupid? King has good stats and in good form, Antonio is the opposite, but did score in both games against City last season.

  29. GW13 Fixture and clean sheet odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    GW13 fixture odds can be found here:
    http://prntscr.com/20oi35f
    (Provided by Betbrain)

    GW12 clean sheets:
    MCI: 54% ✅
    MNU: 40% ❌
    CHE: 39% ✅
    LIV: 36% ✅
    TOT: 36% ❌
    SOU: 35% ❌
    AVL: 33% ✅
    CRY: 32% ❌
    BUR: 31% ❌
    WHU: 31% ❌
    NEW: 29% ❌
    BHA: 28% ❌
    BRE: 28% ❌
    WOL: 27% ✅
    NOR: 23% ❌
    LEI: 20% ❌
    LEE: 18% ❌
    WAT: 14%❌
    ARS: 12% ❌
    EVE: 9% ❌

    GW13 clean sheet odds:
    MCI: 45%
    CHE: 42%
    LIV: 42%
    ARS: 41%
    WOL: 38%
    LEI: 37%
    BRE: 36%
    TOT: 35%
    CRY: 34%
    BHA: 33%
    EVE: 27%
    NOR: 27%
    AVL: 25%
    BUR: 22%
    LEE: 22%
    MNU: 18%
    WAT: 16%
    NEW: 13%
    WHU: 11%
    SOU: 10%
    (Provided by Betbrain)

    Clean sheet totals:
    Chelsea: 8 (+1)
    Manchester City: 8 (+1)
    Liverpool: 7 (+1)
    Arsenal: 5
    Southampton: 5
    Aston Villa: 4 (+1)
    Brighton: 4
    Crystal Palace: 4
    Tottenham: 4
    Brentford: 3
    Everton: 3
    West Ham: 3
    Manchester Utd: 2
    Norwich: 2
    Wolves: 2
    Burnley: 1
    Leeds: 1
    Leicester City: 1

    Finally a green arrow for me last week YAY! 😆

    Hope everyone had a good week too, catch you next week...

    G

    1. tangtastic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Surprised to see Chelsea (MUN) + City (WHU) having better odds than Liverpool (SOU)

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        The Chelsea one didn't surprise me tbh considering the state of the opposition they'll be facing, but the City one definitely got an eyebrow raised as (I maybe biased) I don't think West Ham are that bad. Could be the Bookies are just looking at the City machine and thinking they're unstoppable right now?

        1. tangtastic
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          You're definitely biased!

          But I do agree. They must know something we dont

    2. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      cheers

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        You're welcome mate, I'll get GW14 up this evening...

    3. Haa-lala-land
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Leicester's odds of a cleanie against an in form Watford are much too high

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Sorry only just seen this, and yes, looks like you were right in your thinking! I'm just happy Vardy has at last done something for me!!!

  30. tangtastic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Great article.

    I've been targeting differential captains since gw10. Most managers are risk adverse, and I see opportunity in knowing what my competitors are doing.

    I'm leading my MLs and have a great rank, but as long as I have a player who I believe has a reasonable chance of outscoring Salah, I will be captaining them. I know the risks but FPL is more fun that way.

    I went James gw11, Cancelo gw12. This week I'm going TAA. If I think a premium defender has a good chance of a cleanie, I think its worth the risk.