Spot the Differential
27 December 2021 2463 comments
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Gameweek 20 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Everton and Manchester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ODSONNE EDOUARD

ARS/CRY
  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NOR | WHU | bha | LIV | nor

Summer signing Odsonne Edouard (£6.3m) has had a mixed start to his Crystal Palace career, producing three goals and two assists across his 15 Premier League appearances.

However, with two games against rock-bottom Norwich City in the next five, plus an away trip to Watford that still needs to be rearranged, perhaps as early as Gameweek 21 or 22, he certainly has the potential to kick-on.

The 23-year-old has had to be patient at times this season, and hasn’t always played in his natural centre-forward position, but with Christian Benteke (£6.3m) absent on Boxing Day, plus Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) suspended for Gameweek 20, his chances of a start through the middle on Tuesday certainly looks promising. It’s also worth noting that Zaha, plus Jordan Ayew (£5.8m), will in all likelihood depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) soon, which in turn should create further opportunities for him to play.

Edouard is currently averaging a fairly modest 2.24 shots per 90 minutes at Palace, but there is assist potential, too, as he often arrives in between the lines, looking to combine with those around him, especially box-to-box midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m) and Palace’s wide players.

With a crucial run of games coming up, Edouard can make a real impact, with a home tie against Norwich handing him the perfect opportunity to get his confidence up.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NEW | BHA | nor | AVL | new

After almost four months on the sidelines, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was set to return for Everton’s game against Burnley on Boxing Day, only for it to be called off due to a Covid outbreak in the Toffees’ camp.

As a result, a move for the England international ahead of Gameweek 20 certainly carries some risk, with his level of fitness also in question, but due to the calibre of player, we think it’s worth offering an early heads up that he is back on the FPL radar.

The England international started the 2021/22 campaign in excellent form, scoring in each of the opening three Gameweeks, before suffering an unfortunate toe injury. During that time, he recorded 7.7 points per match, whilst producing 11 shots in the box and an expected goals (xG) total of 3.13, which remains a team-leading figure for Rafa Benitez’s side.

Now, with the striker set to be involved in the next league game against Newcastle United, he could be an effective differential for those willing to move early, knowing that Everton also have a kind run of fixtures to follow, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Norwich City and Aston Villa before the end of January.

Benitez urged caution when discussing Calvert-Lewin’s return recently, but given his side’s current problems, they may have little choice but to throw him in from the start in Gameweek 20.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

FPL Gameweek 17 round-up: Tuesday review, injury news and the things we learned
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £11.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bre | ars | CHE | sou | BRE

It feels strange to include a player like Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) in this section of our coverage, but having only recently recovered from Covid, the Belgian comes into Gameweek 20 sitting in just 4.1% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Since his return to Manchester City’s starting XI earlier this month, De Bruyne has netted three goals in his three starts, including a whopping 16-point haul against Leeds United in Gameweek 17. During that time, amongst all midfielders, he has posted league-leading totals for shots, efforts on target and created chances, highlighting his potential to both score and assist.

Rotation, just like it is for all City assets, is of course a concern, especially given his premium price tag. However, having been withdrawn on 70 minutes against Leicester City – Bernardo Silva (£7.6m) and Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), meanwhile, both featured for the full 90 – he will now be pushing for another start against newly-promoted Brentford on Wednesday.

Key to his appeal is that fixture, too, after the Bees’ were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Brighton and Hove Albion on Boxing Day. As a result, they have now shipped 15 goals across their last eight Premier League matches, which suggests Pep Guardiola’s attacking players will be handed plenty of opportunities to get amongst the goals.

De Bruyne has had a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injury and Covid, but is now getting back up to speed, and could be an effective differential pick in Gameweek 20 and beyond.

  1. abaalan
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    (Ramsdale, Foster)
    Livra, Rudiger, Cancelo, Taa, Lowton
    Jota(c), Bernardo, Bowen (Saka, Raphinha)
    Jesus, Kane (Watkins)

    10 players, 1FT, 1.7 ITB.

    Keeper change make most sense? Or replace Raph too for a hit?

    1. Oooo Matron
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you're happy to go Salah less, but I'd be keen to shift Raphina. Not huge amount of options though with Arsenal off.

    2. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Leave your keeper and play with ten. Raph to maybe Gallagher/Gray (though the Everton v Newcastle game could easily not happen)

  2. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    No keeper
    TAA James Alonso Cancelo
    Salah(c) Jota Bowen Foden
    King
    (Foster, Ramsdale, Livra, Brownhill, Laca, Watkins)

    a) Foster & Laca > Sanchez & Antonio
    b) Laca & Watkins > Kane & Broja (play with no keeper)
    c) Ramsdale, Laca & Watkins > Lloris, Kane & Broja (-4)

    1. Oooo Matron
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I like B. Keeper is low upside, but C if you can be bothered.

  3. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Good evening. Best cheap GK with upcoming DGW?

  4. Moose™
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Early thoughts?

    Ramsdale* (Sanchez)

    TAA Cancelo James (White* Livra)

    Salah Bilva Jota Foden (Brownhill)

    Lacazette* Watkins* Dennis

    2 FT & 1.2 ITB

    Foden Bilva Laca > Bowen Son Antonio

    A. Yay
    B. Nay

    1. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’m in an almost similar situation (see below). I don’t like taking two Man City out when they are in such good form.

      How about Laca + Bilva -> Son + King/Broja?

      1. Moose™
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Good idea!

  5. Herger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Utd fans calling for Rangnick out - who’re you wanting to replace him?

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Real fans aren't calling for him out.

      1. waldo666
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        This.

      2. Paqueta Rice
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Exactly

      3. Powers106
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Am I the only one that misread that and wondered why Real fans would even care? lol

    2. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe Ole Gunnar Solskjear - he knows the club very well and has experience in the PL. Would be a good interim coach imho.

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bruce In

  6. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If u wanted to keep Ramsdale longterm but need a keeper for this wk(and beyond with all this covid upheaval) who would u get ?

    1. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Join the ‘no keeper’ brigade and hope foster’s rehab keeps ahead of schedule

      1. Dave’s Rubber Digne R…
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I’m debating this as have Ramsdale and Steele. Given no Arsenal fixture it’ll cost me -4 to get one in.

        Will probably look at upgrading Steele to a Sanchez or Bachmann for the DGW where it might actually return on the hit required.

    2. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same situation. Because I hate trapping money in a 2nd playing GK, I thinking of getting Bachmann and hoping for some magic next GW + BB22

      1. Utopsis
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Or Foster as above

  7. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    It's crazy how many people who transferred Salah out for hits are now considering transferring him back in for hits.

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Out for free and in back for free is what I'm considering.

    2. putana
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      not that crazy as is was worth to do salah -> son now back to salah for a non paliyng player

      1. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        And then sell him again when he goes for Afcon?

        1. FPLMACKEM
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Exactly. So many transfers.

    3. FPL Theorist
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not as crazy as people FHing and thinking they can guess the Pep roulette right.

      1. FPLMACKEM
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I think it's just been a crazy few game weeks in general.

  8. Well you know, Triffic
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How many more times will i invest in premium forwards and say never again, but then buy them after a few weeks.

    1. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same with me too lol.

  9. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any Leic fans on here reckon there's a chance your 'Pool game gets cancelled? Just wondering how close to the 13+1 your squad is...

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Doubt it.

  10. ResultatFar
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lacazette + Raphinha + Watkins potential transfers out.

    Who to get in?

    I have 1 ft and 0.5 itb and the only current option I like is Antonio. Would be find to take a hit instead of playing Livra, if the two coming in are better.

    De Gea
    TAA - James - Cancelo
    Raphinha* - Bowen - Salah - Jota - Foden
    Laca* - Watkins* - King
    (Steele - Livra - Williams)

    1. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would keep Watkins tbh. If I sold him, I would like to get him back

    2. ResultatFar
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Laca + Raphinha -> Antonio + Gray (-4) a good option?

  11. Lanley Staurel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So Salah as captain is now a differential if you are near the top 10k given it appears only 24% own him now.

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gulp

    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      About 25% FH'd him out too.

      Many will panic buy back, he'll be over 100% EO.

      1. Lanley Staurel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        That would mean they would need to probs transfer out Son to bring Salah back in. Not sure that will happen across the board given Son has Saints.

    3. Dexters Laboratory
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Santa Claus crashed FPL servers .. He knew I was making a HUGE mistake

  12. putana
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    which si the better move, 2 free transfers:

    A) son -> salah

    B) bernardo + jesus -> salah and (bench broja)

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  13. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Kane, Lukaku or Antonio for the next few GWs?

    1. Dexters Laboratory
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I feel Antonio could be the safest .. Kane the biggest punt. Afraid to put so much of my budget into a Spurs team that I don't 100% trust yet

      1. Lanley Staurel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Agree. Watford have only just started to train after weeks out.

    2. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Antonio

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Antonio

  14. dshv
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale Foster
    Taa Cancelo James Reguilon Livra
    Son Foden Esr Gallagher Jota
    Ronaldo Watkins Davis

    2ft.. 2.5mil

    1. Esr to Bowen
    2. Foster to who
    3. Ramsdale to ddg?
    4. Bring back Salah?
    5. Davis and Foster to Bachman and king

    Tell me what to do ?

  15. Dexters Laboratory
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Sanchez & Regulion
    B) DDG & Dier
    C) Lloris & Dalot
    D) DDG & Dalot

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ez B

  16. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Was going to go with CR7 and Wilson, thank god I didn’t make any early transfers…. Instead:

    Watkins, Laca, ramsdale > Kane, Antonio, DDG for -8

    1. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I woule keep Watkins tbh

  17. JJO
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How many did transfer Ronaldo in those last minutes before deadline and left him on bench and luckily captained someone else 🙂 ?

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Me! Unfortunately I had Cancelo(C) so just gained 3 pts

      1. JJO
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        3 points is 3 points 🙂

    2. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Here. Laca(C) hangover from previous week. Still had KDB, Son and Reguilon on the bench though

      1. JJO
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just saw your team
        Unlucky but you lost only 5-6 points
        Could have been much worse

        1. Utopsis
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Exactly - could've been a bloodbath, esp. with KDB scoring within 5mins. I've certainly learnt my lesson.

  18. Lord of Ings
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale
    Taa Laporte James cancelo
    Foden Bowen jota
    Kane Toney Antonio
    Foster Williams Raphinha* saka*
    0.8M ITB,FT used.
    Ramsdale to DDG or Lloris?
    Tempted to go for Lloris rn.

  19. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How is the G.O.A.T? On the track for over 30 goals this season? When is he going to start scoring all those goals? I will need him in my team by then.

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sorry, just a very poor quality jab at the people who were arguing with me at the start of the season that Ronaldo is absolutely essential. Not that he is very poor option in FPL. Still considering getting him in for the next fixture.

      1. Tinmen
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I’m a United fan. Although i love Ronaldo, Messi is the best that has ever lived

    2. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I agree, Messi won't hit 30 goals.

  20. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lacazette>Kane(c), ESR>Gilmour for a -4? Would give me a bench player (Gilmour)…..

    Other option is replacing Ramsdale

  21. OO
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What server crash? I brought in Ronaldo on a free hit and then benched him for Lamptey on purpose

  22. George James
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of mount and Bilva rests midweek?

    1. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Greater than 50

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Mount will play
      He’s too important to be rested
      Silva I’m not sure of.

  23. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need to decide tonight as offline most of tomorrow.....what would you do here please? I'm struggling...

    (Ramsdale foster)
    Taa James alonso cancelo (livra)
    Jota Foden bilva bowen (esr)
    Ronaldo king (laca)

    A.....Ronaldo esr and ramsdale to salah broja and ddg / lloris - 8

    B....Laca bilva and ramsdale to son broja and ddg / lloris - 8

    C.....one of the above but no keeper - 4

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keep ronaldo for one more game, get a playing keeper to keep for long term.
      Lloris?

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        B with lloris?

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          The issue with Lloris is that he is expensive. It blocks you from having Son, Kane and Reguilon for example. I prefer Reg over him, Son looks like a must and Kane a good option.

  24. FPL Alaska
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who are the 2 best Man City mids to have? Currently have B. Silva and Foden and considering shipping 1 of them this week to another Man City mid.

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling or KDB

      1. fantasist
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I reckon Guardiola has taught Foden his lesson and he will play next game as part of rotation

        1. Utopsis
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          This - think he's out of the doghouse after that cameo. Plus, with Mahrez off to AFCON he needs him.

          1. FPL Alaska
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Ya I was thinking the same about Foden. I feel like Silva had dropped off since KDB came back, so wondering if I should do Silva to either KDB or Sterling?

            1. Utopsis
              • 6 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              If you have 11 (even better, 12) and literally nothing else to use your transfer for, do KDB. I fell like Sterling is as likely to get a rest as Bilva, so don't like that move.

              But I wouldn't remove Bilva if you're struggling for 11 - I'm actually considering getting Foden for ESR, as well as keeping Bilva (for this GW only).

    2. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same got Bilva n Foden. I get rid Bilva for Son tho

  25. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    DDG (Bach)
    Alonso Cancelo Livra Amartey TAA
    Silva Foden Son Jota (ESR)
    Broja (Laca, Watkins)

    1FT, 2.5ITB

    A) Get Salah back
    B) Laca/Watkins to Antonio/Maupay/other
    C) Amartey to Dalot
    D) ESR to Bowen/Gray/Maddison/Gallagher
    E) Alonso & Laca to Johnson & Ronaldo (-4)
    F) Other

  26. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale* Foster*
    James Rudiger TAA Cancelo Johnson*
    Salah Son Bernardo Foden ESR*
    Laca* Gelhardt* Broja

    Avoid -4? If so;

    A) ESR -> Lucas Moura
    B) Laca -> Antonio

    1. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B but just

      1. MIGHTY JOE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers.

  27. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Em Royal worth a look at or play safe with dier?

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Worth a look for sure, should be pretty nailed as well seeing as all the other options are awful

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Does he have any competition for the right wing spot?

    2. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Royal more attacking threat

  28. fantasist
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would've accepted the 4pts from Ronaldo as captain but he couldn't even deliver that.
    Don't rely on any Utd players this season, whoever they play!

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Im inclined to agree!

  29. Moose™
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone considering Maupay?

  30. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone reloading on Ronaldo (c)

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      keeping one more week

    2. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Loading

    3. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yep.