Spot the Differential
18 February 2022 1126 comments
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Double Gameweek 26 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Watford, Liverpool and Burnley, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ISMAILA SARR

Is £4.0m FPL goalkeeper Foster the new Watford number one? 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: avl + CRY | mun | ARS | sou | EVE

Ismaila Sarr (£5.7m) is back on the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) radar after featuring as a substitute against Brighton and Hove Albion last weekend.

The influential winger had only returned to training the day before, having won the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) with Senegal. However, he still managed to rack up three efforts on goal in 45 minutes, testing Robert Sanchez (£4.6m) late on, and will now look to build on that display against Aston Villa and Crystal Palace.

Sarr scored five goals in 12 Premier League appearances before a knee injury in November, and up until that point, ranked joint-third amongst all midfielders for shots in the box, with his tally of 21 only bettered by Liverpool duo Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) and Sadio Mane (£11.7m).

Watford are yet to score under Roy Hodgson, but they have a chance to put that right in the coming week, with the veteran manager suggesting Sarr has a big role to play:

“He’s a player that we are hoping, going forward, will give us something a bit extra. It was a big ask for him today, having come back from Africa, and the celebrations from Senegal after winning the cup. We sort of asked more from him than he was able to give us today. But going forward I have big expectations for him and we as a team have expectations of what we want to see from him.” – Roy Hodgson speaking after Gameweek 25

Now, having had a week of training with his team-mates, Sarr could be an excellent differential for Double Gameweek 26.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: NOR + LEE | – | WHU | bha | MUN

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has hit the ground running at Liverpool following his January move from Porto.

After a brief, but impressive, cameo against Cardiff City in the FA Cup fourth round, when he registered an assist, he was then thrust into the starting XI against Leicester City in Gameweek 24.

Ending the match with four goal attempts, two shots in the box, one big chance and nine penalty box touches, it was a solid showing from the Colombian winger, with his infield movement causing plenty of problems for the Foxes backline.

Following Sadio Mane’s AFCON return, Diaz had to settle for a place on the bench against Burnley last weekend, but after sparking the Reds into life at the San Siro in midweek, could now become an explosive differential for Double Gameweek 26.

In light of Diogo Jota’s (£8.5m) reported injury, which could keep him out for two weeks, the expectation is that Diaz will start at least one of Liverpool’s two fixtures in Double Gameweek 26 against Norwich City and Leeds United. With the possibility of minutes off the bench in the other, that could be enough to haul, given the defensive weaknesses of their opponents.

Notably, across the season, both Norwich and Leeds rank in the bottom four for chances conceded from their right-flank, the side Diaz, in all likelihood, willbe attacking.

Diaz has shone in his first three appearances for Liverpool, and now, ahead of their double-header, is an exciting FPL differential.

JAMES TARKOWSKI

  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: bha + TOT | cry + LEI | CHE | bre | SOU

James Tarkowski (£4.9m) has become one of the Premier League’s most consistent defenders in recent seasons and could be a solid FPL differential given Burnley’s forthcoming schedule, which includes back-to-back Double Gameweeks.

The Clarets started the season slowly, but have shown signs of their old defensive resilience of late, with two clean sheets against Arsenal and Watford in their last four Premier League outings. Notably, they also restricted Liverpool and Manchester United to just one goal apiece during that run.

Admittedly, the fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion and Tottenham Hotspur in Double Gameweek 26 aren’t ideal, though there is potential for a shut-out against the Seagulls, given that they have managed just 10 goals at the Amex all season.

In addition to clean sheet potential, Tarkowski also carries a bit of goal threat from set-pieces, with 14 headed attempts across the season so far. Amongst all defenders, only Joel Matip (£4.9m) and Virgil van Dijk (£6.7m) have managed more. That could be important in Double Gameweek 27, too, given how vulnerable Crystal Palace and in particular, Leicester City, have looked defending corners this season.

It’s also worth noting that Burnley have two further fixtures that still need to be rescheduled. That means they are likely to have further Double Gameweeks later in the campaign, and suggests Tarkowski could be the ideal play for those in search of a sub-£5.0m defender.

  1. Malinwa
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is Laca a good hit?

  2. pjomara
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    I don't see anyone wildcarding - is this because of Salah TC or because people have a specific GW in mind to WC?

    RMWC...
    Ramsdale
    TAA, Tarkowski, Mee,
    Salah, Mane, ESR, Bowen, Ramsey
    Lacazette, Dennis

    Sub: Pope, Dalot, Cancelo, Broja
    1FT, 0.6itb
    (Will need -4 hit to get 11 players for GW27)

    1. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      TC, and blanks next week. Your WC team has 6 players who blank in GW27, looks like it's been done just with this DGW in mind

      1. pjomara
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        3 Burnley as they have a DGW in 27 and likely another one within a couple of GWs. Arsenal also likely another DGW in next couple, so 3 Liverpool is the only pick that is specifically for GW26 but I think it's worth it for the 2 easy games they have

    2. Millie7
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      3x Burnley defenders is a bit much. Downgrade Pope to free up some more funds.

    3. Lanley Staurel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Take a look ahead one GW

  3. manu4life99
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Cant de ide between these 2
    A) Saka Kane
    B) Laca Son

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      That's because a C is missing

      B of those two

    2. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Prefer A

  4. FF Dirtbag
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Who will get the better score this week?

    A) coutinho (WAT)
    B) Cornetto (bri, TOT)

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Cornet i feel

    2. Thewoodyhorse
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I just don't trust Burnley for any sort of returns, expect Cornet to get 2 x 2pts so the ceiling on Coutinho against a woeful Watford defence is greater imo

    3. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  5. FPLFoordy
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale*
    TAA* Cancelo Digne Coufal
    Salah* Jota* ESR* Bowen
    Dennis* Ronaldo

    Sanchez / Watkins / Livra / Bissouma

    Waiting on Jota news but assuming out the plan is:
    Ronaldo -> Laca
    Coufal -> Robertson
    Jota -> ??? up to 10.5

    all this for -4. I still have 2FH so no worry for setting up for GW 27 or 30.

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Anyone that has kept 2 transfer and is able to move 3 players this week for a -4 is going to do well. Fill that last spot with Odegaard or Saka or Cornet and you are good to go.

  6. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which one lads:

    A) Saka + Weghorst
    B) Lacazette + Cornet

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B for me.

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    3. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    4. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    5. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A.

  7. rivo4england
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on Fabinho as a differential this week? He has 3 goals in his last 4 and seems to be nailed?

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Just don't

  8. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo Ait Nouri
    Salah KDB Bowen Raphina Saka
    Weghorst Dennis

    Sa Broja Cancelo Laporte

    Would you bench boost this?

    Robbo and Ait Nouri not guaranteed to play both games

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I definitely would. I am BB'ing and I have Cancelo, Broja, Foster and 1 other on my bench.

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      People like to 'idealise' Bench boost too much and have this idea in advance that they will have 15 DGW players and will get a score of 150. When, in reality, players get injured (jota) and suspended (Dunk) right after wildcards and it can blow all of your plans up in the air. So take the BB when it presents itself. Dont let Perfect be the enemy of good.

  9. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Afternoon all

    Currently on -4pts anything else worth a hit? Got 0.8m ITB

    Ramsdale
    TAA TIERNEY Cancelo Digne
    SALAH (TC) SAKA Bruno Bowen
    EDUOARD DENNIS

    Sanchez Watkins Livramento Gray

    A) Bruno + Livra to Son + Robbo -12pts and bench a DGW Striker
    B) Free hit and go for a revamp
    C) something else
    D) GTG

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I'd say good to go

  10. Traction Engine Foot
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which one to start?

    A Antonio
    B Ramsey
    C Lamptey

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      C

  11. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    1FT 0.5ITB
    DDG
    TAA Cancelo Nouri
    Gallagher Salah(tc) KDB Ramsey
    Maupay ASM Dennis

    Foster / Pogba / Digne / Williams

    Pogba & Maupay to Saka & Broja -4 Yay or Nay???

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Maupay might break even with Broja in scoring terms but if you need the funds to do the total deal, fair enough

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        No i can do a straight swap for pogba to saka

  12. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Repost. Better option this gw?

    A. Vvd odegaard
    B. Firmino saka

    1. TopBinFC
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B easy

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I dont agree, I see A as better

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers

    3. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      C vvd +saka?

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Nah man would have been ideal. Short of funds

  13. Littlebitwizardoföz
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Play Lamptey or Tsimi to Tierney (-4)?

  14. Leeds-Utd
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Jota >Mane leave me with -8pts?
    Worth it or leave.
    I will get Webster Home to Burnley if Jota doesn't play

    1. melvinmbabazi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      worth it

  15. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on what to do this week? Only Have 1 FH and i plan to use it in GW30
    2ft 3.3 itb

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo Dalot Dawson
    (TC)Salah *Jota Bowen
    CR7 Dennis King

    DDG *Gray Livra D.Luiz

    Thanks

  16. HD7
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    De Gea
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Keane
    Salah Foden Bowen Saka
    Ronaldo King

    Steer Ramsey Livra Scarlett

    26 De Gea Keane to Ramsdale Tierney (-4)

    27 FH
    28 Ronaldo to Lukaku

    Think I wont need to play a WC before GW 31?
    Only thing is that this team is very dependent on 3 teams. Even though City Liverpool. I am a United fan, so it will be hard to hope Arsenal get those cleanies...

  17. NotsoSpursy
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Robo or Virgil?

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Virgil for the DGW, Robbo for the season

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      VVD for this gameweek, Robbo long term

    3. Lanley Staurel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I reckon Tsimikas will play one of those 2 games and Robbo will be benched.

    4. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      VVD because i reckon Robo will only play the one game

    5. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Thanks

  18. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Either of these worth a -4?

    (A) Laporte --> Robertson
    (B) Brandon Williams --> Saiss

  19. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Any changes I could make here to improve guys?

    Sa
    TAA White VVD
    Salah Saka Bowen Son Couthino
    Jimi Laca

  20. abaalan
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Points prediction:
    Watkins (H Wat)
    Weghorst (A Bur, H Tot)

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Watkins 2, Weghorst 8

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2
      4

    3. Rassi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1
      6

    4. JBG
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2 and 3

    5. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1
      7

    6. abaalan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Haha noone fancies Watkins against Watford...

    7. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      0 (benched)
      8

  21. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    West Ham V Newcastle score predictions?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      3-1.

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      2-1

  22. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you bench Ramsey, Antonio or Edouard or Dennis?

    1. trick9
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Antonio.

  23. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A) Kane -4 (mci, bur, lee)
    B) Ronaldo (lee, WAT)

    Wildcard in GW28 so games after are irrelevant. Got to be Kane right? Ronaldo has a risk of not playing one of his games

  24. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Best moves out of these? 1ft, 0.3m itb. All chips intact.

    a. bruno jota > mane saka -4
    b. antonio jota > firmino saka -4
    c. jota johnson > vvd odegaard -4
    d. Jota > saka

    LLORIS
    TAA cancelo TIERNEY
    SALAH bruno JOTA bowen
    KING DENNIS Antonio

    foster gray digne johnson

    1. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks

  25. toystory2wasok
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPQh1FrbOc0

    live feed of planes trying to land at heathrow in this mad storm, complete with alan partridge/football type commentary. MUST WATCH!

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Fortumately no matches tonight, so storm won’t stop PL

      1. toystory2wasok
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        forget PL, i'm all in on BIG JET TV now

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Very good.

      He's going round!

      He's going viral, live at the end of runway 2 at Heathrow Airport!

      1. toystory2wasok
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        but can he do it on a sunny day in orlando?

    3. Deulofail
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Enjoying this thanks

    4. toystory2wasok
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      class this, from a glider fan

  26. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone fancy JWP?

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Next GW maybe.

  27. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Start...

    A. Digne
    B. Gallagher

    1. veedub1989
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not much in it TBH, Gallagher only has a single GW of course.

      Who scores more over one game? I tend to go with the attacking player so it's B.

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah its a close one! Thanks

    2. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  28. veedub1989
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you start Cancelo and Dias?

    Current line up:

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo, TAA, Tierney
    Saka, Salah (TC), Bowen, Coutinho
    Jimmy, Edouard, Watkins

    Sanchez, Dias, Cucurella, Dias

    1. Rassi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Probably would bench Watkins as Villa fans seem to think he will not start.

  29. HEY JUDE
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Saka or Odergard?

    1. unclesbasement
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      saka

    2. JBG
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Saka

    3. Pompel
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Saka, but Ødegaard not bad choice if you need the £

  30. unclesbasement
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who gets more points in the next two gameweeks:
    a)Fernandes
    b)Zaha

    1. veedub1989
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Rassi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Bruno