Spot the Differential
18 March 2022 813 comments
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Blank Gameweek 30 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: lei | che | WHU | wat | TOT

Christian Eriksen (£5.5m) has been instrumental in Brentford’s recent wins over Norwich City and Burnley.

The Dane joined the Bees on a six-month deal after his release by Inter Milan and made his first appearance as a substitute last month.

He has since played the full 90 minutes in successive victories, producing the assist for Ivan Toney’s (£6.6m) opener in the 2-0 win over the Clarets last weekend, before he later provided the pass that led to the forward being fouled for his injury-time spot kick.

Brentford’s improved form has coincided with Thomas Frank’s decision to move from a 3-5-2 to a more attacking 4-3-3 formation, with the creativity of Eriksen in a deeper midfield role key, where he can set the rhythm of his team’s attacks. Already an important part of their approach, the playmaker has amassed 80 opposition-half touches in his last two matches, at least 11 more than any team-mate.

Eriksen has produced three shots and created a modest three chances in his 218 minutes of pitch-time so far, but his dead-ball prowess is a key factor behind his appeal this week, given opponents Leicester City’s tendency to concede from set-plays, which has been apparent all year. The scheduling of the match also favours the visitors: the Foxes were in France on Thursday evening before facing the Bees on Sunday, so Frank’s side may fancy their chances at the King Power.

Brentford’s performances of late suggests they are building some momentum, and as Eriksen settles into his new surroundings, he could be a smart budget differential for our Fantasy teams.

JONNY CASTRO OTTO

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: LEE | AVL | new | MCI (tbc) | bur

Following last weekend’s win at Goodison Park, Wolverhampton Wanderers have now produced successive victories and clean sheets, which has coincided with the return of Jonny Castro Otto (£4.5m) from injury.

And one of the biggest positives from those displays have been the performances of the Spaniard, who ranks joint-third and fifth among defenders for chances created and final-third touches in that time.

Additionally, only Leander Dendoncker (£4.7m) and Raul Jimenez (£7.6m) took up a more advanced role last time out.

Due to injuries to Nelson Semedo (£4.8m) and Ki-Jana Hoever (£3.9m), Bruno Lage doesn’t currently have an experienced alternative to Jonny at right wing-back, with Chiquinho (£5.5m) stepping in during the closing stages of the Watford win, which would seemingly ensure his place in the starting XI for Blank Gameweek 30 at least.

Now, Wolves face Leeds United on Friday and are looking to make it three wins on the spin. There are appealing fixtures to follow, too, with matches against Aston Villa, Newcastle United and Burnley in the next five.

Heading into Blank Gameweek 30, it looks like Jonny will be one of the first names on Lage’s team sheet, and could be a nice differential pick for FPL managers on the lookout for a budget defender.

YOURI TIELEMANS

Tielemans a FPL differential for Gameweek 21 and beyond 2
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: BRE | mun | CRY | new + eve | AVL

Belgium international Youri Tielemans (£6.4m) has developed into one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the Premier League since his move to Leicester City.

Across his 19 league starts in 2021/22, he has produced six goals and two assists, averaging 4.7 points per match.

Notably, he has also posted team-leading totals for chances created and expected assists (xA), while his all-round ability lends itself to bonus points, with only eight midfielders bettering his tally of 13 across the season.

The injury situation at Leicester certainly isn’t ideal, but in the absence of Jamie Vardy (£10.3m), it may give Tielemans’ prospects a further boost, as it’s highly likely he will be on penalty-taking duties this weekend.

Despite suffering back-to-back defeats against Arsenal and Rennes, Brendan Rodgers’ side had previously won four in a row, and now have an appealing run which includes home matches against Brentford and Crystal Palace, before a confirmed Double Gameweek 33 which involves trips to Newcastle United and Everton. They also have two outstanding fixtures that still need to be accommodated somewhere during the run-in.

Tielemans has been a crucial player for a while now, and having been handed a breather at the Emirates last weekend, should be raring to go in Blank Gameweek 30.

813 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. mdm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Adams to Toney worth a hit?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Don't want to keep him for gw33?

      1. mdm
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Not sure. No fixture now and Toney also has good fixture in 33

  2. Dan D
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Free Hit - Good to go ?

    sa
    Regulion Thomas ( or pereira - not sure about his min ) Saiss
    Saka Barnes Son Maddisson
    Kane Lacazete Jimenes

    Bench
    Meslier Coutinho Tierney Cash

    1. Rantallion
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      All good, I'd gamble on Pereira.

  3. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Current FH, any changes? Really can't decide between 5 Midfielders or playing 433.(I have loads of extra cash so might aswell make a strong bench right?)

    Sa
    Pereira - Tierney - Jonny
    Maddison - Son - Kulu - Saka
    Jimi - Laca - Kane (c)

    Raya - Coutinho - Cash - Amartey

    1. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Looks good to me. Personally I'd play Cout over Jimi, but could go either way.

  4. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sensible FH or suicidal?? I'm chasing if it makes any difference.


    Reguilón, Saïss, Coady
    Coutinho, Son, Maddison, Barnes
    Kane, Lacazette, Toney

    Subs: Martínez, Saka, White, Thomas

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dont understand how that is suicidal, its more or less the same as most FH teams...

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Triple Wolves defense is high risk / high potential. If you are happy to take the risk, its a good call in my opinion. However, I am doubtful about the minutes of Leicester mids.

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thank you.reduced mins would be disastrous, but them the alternatives if Saka etc seemed to obvious from a chasing standpoint.

  5. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Worth taking a hit for Broja -> Toney to field 10?

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Only if you like the idea of Toney long term.

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Not sure if I do. Playing with Kane and Gelhardt with 5 mids, dont see much value in strikers.

    2. Rantallion
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Not worth it, you'll just want rid of of Toney next GW.

      1. frenchfries
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, think i have changed my mind

  6. jimmy.floyd
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Reguilon or Doherty on FH??

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Reg

    2. Teddy10
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Reg

  7. AnfieldLad
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who do I ditch for Barnes?

    A) Gordon
    B) Raphinha

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Gordon surely?

  8. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is Bowen to Barnes worth a FT, if I already have 9 players for the GW?

    If I roll the transfer I can do James and Havertz in for a hit next GW

    1. Rantallion
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'd prioritise the Chelsea lads next week. 9 is plenty.

  9. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Raph to Madds for free or risk it and save the FT?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      why are people transferring out raph

      1. sirmorbach
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Covid rumours

    2. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Raph is supposedly fine to play, I'd roll

      1. sirmorbach
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Much appreciated!

  10. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    TAA and Broja > Coady and Lacazette(-4) ?

    Trent selling price is 8.3m and so I don't lose much, and can get him in when he's fit, even if that's for Watford

  11. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    1ft. 0.1 itb. Gtg?

    Dont want lose anyone from bench really, maybe TAA of there was better info on his availability for gw31.

    Rams
    Saiss Kilman
    Saka Kulu Ramsey Raph
    Jimmy Kane

    B: Salah Robbo Taa Rudi

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B: also Broja

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Would like to get rid of Broja but dont have money for anyone interesting.

  12. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I got 9 players here with FT, is it worth taking a -4 anywhere?

    Ramdsale (Dubravka)
    Coady, Doherty (Cancelo, TAA, Holgate)
    Kulu, Ramsey, Saka, Raphinha (Salah)
    Kane, Jimenez (Broja)

    1.0m itb

  13. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best LEI defender to bring in this week?

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Soyuncu nailed, Pereira higher ceiling. None for long term.

  14. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Current FH team:

    Sa
    Jonny | Reguilon | Pereira
    Coutinho | Saka | Son | Maddison
    Kane (c) | Toney | Jimenez
    (Raya | Eriksen | Tierney | Cash)

    Any advice? Not sure about Maddison yet. Could play Eriksen or switch to Martinelli / Tielemans

  15. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    To field 10 players, one free transfer:

    A) Livra -> Wolves/Lei defender
    B) Broja -> Toney

  16. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who goes out?

    A) Broja
    B) Weg

    1. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B got a double double

    3. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Weg goes out; higher price same returns as Broja.

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Two doubles in the next 3 though.

        1. Mr. O'Connell
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          More reason to sell him

          1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Hahaha. Not making the mistake of captaining him.

  17. Sal8
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Whats more likely?

    1. Toney goal
    2. Lei clean sheet

    1. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1

    2. Lallana_
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Same odds

    3. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Leicester clean sheet 31.7%
      Toney to score 31.5%

      I have made these up by the way and I probably have helped!

      1. BeWater
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        *Haven't

  18. NotsoSpursy
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I need to shift a premium defender but who?? At some point no doubt I will want them back

    A) TAA
    B) Rudiger

  19. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pick one combo:

    A: Jonny/Eriksen
    B: Coady/Toney

    1. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      b

  20. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is it worth getting in another striker to the below? I'm on 9 players for this week and kind of leaning towards rolling as think it would be powerful to have 2 FT's going into next week and knowing how the FA cup has played out?

    Ramsdale
    Kilman / White / Doherty
    Kulusevski / Coutinho / Raphinha / Saka
    Kane

    Dubravka / TAA / Rudiger / Salah / Wood / Broja

    £2.3m ITB

  21. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Will hwang start ? Cheers

  22. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Gonna have to log off for a bit & might miss deadline, is this G2G or any changes?

    Sa
    Pereira - Tierney - Jonny
    Maddison - Son - Kulu - Saka
    Jimi - Laca - Kane (c)

    Raya - Coutinho - Cash - Amartey

  23. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pereira or Saiss?

    Toney or Nacho worth a hit while selling Broja?

  24. Crazy RedDevil
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Should I transfer salah to Maddison or Barnes for a hit? I've 9 players atm

    1. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Maddison scored last game vs brentford, barnes more shots lately

  25. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Maddison or Barnes?

    Fofana is not option?

  26. winchester
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    evening lads! what move should be done? have 1ft and 2.4m itb. fh&bb left

    ramsdale
    white doherty
    saka raph ramsey
    jimenez kane(c)

    (dubravka taa rudiger targett mount salah broja)

    a) mount -> kulu or maddison/barnes ?
    b) broja -> toney
    c) targett -> coady
    d) save.

    1. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  27. Drexl Spivey
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Free Hitters, who are your insurance policies this week?

    In other words, who are you playing because you're frightened not to?

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Only Kane.

  28. ArseneAllTheWay
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A) Willock + Broja > Douglas Luiz + Toney (-4)....

    B) Willock > Eriksen

  29. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Next week would you rather sell Broja or Adams for Weg?

  30. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Start one from each please?

    A) Sa
    B) Ramsdale

    1) Saka
    2) Toney

    3) Barnes
    4) Maddison

    1. Rantallion
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A
      1
      3