Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 36

Double Gameweek 36 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Everton and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: TOT + avl | sou | WOL

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has slotted into Liverpool’s setup with ease following his January move from Porto.

The 25-year-old has been directly involved in five league goals across 10 appearances – scoring three and assisting two – and his performance against Villarreal in the Champions League semi-final summed up his season: he came on at half-time but was still the man of the match.

As a result of those displays, it now feels like Diaz is part of Jurgen Klopp’s strongest XI.

That certainly doesn’t guarantee two starts in Double Gameweek 36, especially given the timing of next weekend’s FA Cup final, but 110-120 minutes across both matches could be enough to haul. His impact as a substitute is also worth noting: already this season, he has returned against Everton and Villarreal from the bench.

Since his arrival on Merseyside, Diaz is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) is the only member of the Liverpool squad who averages a higher rate, while his 3.82 expected goals (xG) is another encouraging statistic.  

As for Liverpool, they are undefeated in 15 Premier League outings – netting 36 goals in the process – as they chase down a historic quadruple. And while the defensive data for Gameweek 36 opponents Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa suggests neither will roll over, matchups against Emerson Royal (£4.5m) and an advanced Matty Cash (£5.3m) does feel appealing for the Reds’ left-winger.

Diaz is an intriguing differential for the run-in, and could be an explosive option for those willing to gamble on his minutes.

YERRY MINA

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Yerry Mina (£4.9m) was back in the Everton starting XI in Gameweek 35 after he was rested for the defeat to Liverpool the previous weekend.

The Colombian international has only recently returned from a long-term quad issue and is being carefully managed, but has now had a clear week of training before making the trip to Leicester City on Sunday.

In his two outings since his return to fitness, it’s no coincidence the Toffees are unbeaten, with his presence in defence shoring up a backline that has struggled so often this season.

“With Yerry, I’m delighted he’s come back into the fray in terms of his fitness. You can see that leadership, presence and personality he brings. He is a big leader for us. It was great to see him play like that.” – Frank Lampard on Yerry Mina

Mina’s goal threat was a key part of his appeal when Everton spent £28m on him, having scored three headed goals for Colombia during their 2018 World Cup campaign. And it’s that potential from set-pieces that could be key in Double Gameweek 36, with opponents Leicester and Watford both susceptible to conceding chances from dead-ball situations.

Everton’s away form is a concern as they get set for two games on the road, but confidence is on the up following their 1-0 win over Chelsea, which moved them back within two points of Burnley and Leeds United, having played a game fewer.

Mina looks like an ideal gamble for the run-in, and could be set to put his threat inside the box to good use in Double Gameweek 36.

RIYAD MAHREZ

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 24 and beyond
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NEW + wol | whu | AVL

Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) has been in excellent goalscoring form for Manchester City this season.

The Algerian is the club’s overall top scorer with 24 goals in all competitions – next in the list is Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) with 15 – and clearly gives Pep Guardiola’s side something unique in attack.

Notably, only Salah can trump Mahrez’s 0.87 expected goal involvement (xGI) per minutes in 2021/22, whilst penalties are another nice route to points if City are handed a spot-kick.

NameGoalsStartsGoals per 90Mins-per-goalTotal shots
Mahrez11130.71127.157
De Bruyne11210.5317063
Sterling10210.46193.953

Riyad Mahrez has scored 11 goals in 13 Premier League starts in 2021/22

Of course, the above doesn’t necessarily mean Mahrez will start both matches in Double Gameweek 36, but like Diaz, it does feel like he has now worked his way into the best XI, which should ensure plenty of minutes during the run-in.

Man City now face Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers knowing they can’t slip up in the title race, which offers huge potential for their assets to haul in Double Gameweek 36 and beyond.

A move for any City midfielder this week certainly carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed minutes, which makes him such an exciting differential for the remainder of the season.

697 Comments Post a Comment
  1. toystory2wasok
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    should i be upgrading bernado silva to someone else? not seen him mentioned much this GW. is the general consensus that he's clapped from CL and due a rest?

    he's my only city attack, but swapping him for foden, mahrez, or (indirectly) jesus seems a bit sideways.

    1. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Less that he’s due a rest and more that he just doesn’t feel a good option even if he plays 180 imo. If you could swap him to Mahrez for free I would. I don’t think it’s sideways at all

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Think the general consensus is that when playing alongside KDB his role isn't great for FPL, that's why most got rid a while ago

  2. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    I think Reece James ceiling too high to get rid, even in just wolves could be a 15 pointer

    1. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Yep

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Absolutely

  3. M2.0
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Looking for some pore opinions please. Chasing a ML rival who has Schmeichal:

    a) Sa > Schmeichal (-4)
    b) Sa > Pickford (-4)
    c) Keep Sa

    1. M2.0
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      more*

    2. Breaking FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      If you're chasing then there's no use getting Schmeical in as well. Only a few gameweeks left so you'll need to take a risk. Would probably just keep Sa tbh, over getting Pickford for a hit.

      You never know, Sa could easily pick up a few save points and maybe some bonus

      1. M2.0
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Good advice, thanks

  4. grennans2
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Play James or Gordon?

  5. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Do you guys expect KDB to outscore Son by 4 points in dgw36?

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      No

    2. Brehmeren
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Yes

      1. CRAZY TRAIN
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        lol

    3. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Yes

    4. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      yes

    5. CONNERS
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      It's not out of the question that Gundo plays one of the games in KDB's place.

  6. Breaking FPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Worth taking White out for a hit on bench boost? Seems like he may start against Leeds but there's a chance he doesn't and then it's Spurs away.

    Only have 4.8m to spend though, noone seems worth it at that price

  7. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    If you had White, Robbo, Richa who are all doubts. Would you still BB?

    1. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Yeah, given the alternatives at this stage of the season. Also I’m very confident Richa plays both, and that Robbo plays at least one (which is better than most players playing 2 anyway), and pretty confident White plays both too actually

  8. AD2110
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    What to do with Ben White? Keep or sell? Can’t judge whether he’ll play or not for the double

    1. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      depends on your priorities / other urgent transfers. I'm keeping

    2. Shearer & Sutton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Sell -> Laporte/Dias -4

  9. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Thought on this -8?

    Werner, Ramsey, Robbo -> Nketiah, Mahrez, VVD

  10. SH1M1
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Would you do a -8 for,

    OUT
    Ramsey & Kane
    IN
    KDB & N’Ketiah

  11. Claudio555
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Kane+Martinelli > Nketiah+KDB?

    1. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I’ve done this but with Kulu instead of Martinelli and for a hit so going to have to say yes

  12. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Is Gunn to Foster worth a - 4? Foster probably just has to play both to make it not a hit right? Assuming Gunn wont play

  13. 1314
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Mane > KDB for a hit and captain KDB ?

  14. Andrew
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    A. Saka and Kane
    B. KDB and Richarlison

    1. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I’d really want Saka but B I guess

    2. CRAZY TRAIN
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B for this gw

    3. XX SMICER XX
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      B

  15. ididnt
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Thoughts on this FH draft? Main concern is no Son:

    Schmeichel

    Alonso - TAA - Matip - Dias

    Salah(c) - KdB - Saka - Mahrez - Kulu

    Pukki

    Mina/fodder

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      Nice. I would want Cancelo & Richarlison on FH

      1. Tambling5
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Presumably can't be afforded.

      2. ididnt
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 11 months ago

        Richarlison is flagged?

  16. XX SMICER XX
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Hi all - who should I bench?

    Pick one to bench:
    A. Tarkowski (VIL)
    B. Barnes (EVE/NOR)
    C. Weghorst (VIL)

  17. No Kane No Gain
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Best defender 5m or below?! Selling Schar for -4 and cannot afford to go over the budget.

    I only have odegaard as arsenal cover so was thinking Tomiyasu. Is anyone else out there worth a look at?!

    Cheers

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I cant believe I'm saying this, but after watching their last couple games, I would rather have an Everton defender than Arsenal currently. But if you don't trust their away form, maybe Palace? Or need a doubler, I quite like Sessegnon - he really threatened an attacking return v Leicester

  18. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    help choose (1FT)

    A weghorst to richarlison
    B foster/pope to pickpford
    C martinali to foden/jota (i have saka too)
    D any two of them for -4

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      ill try again later 🙂

  19. Tambling5
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    What are the views on a potential Vardy haul, with second home game against Norwich? 40 points behind in mini league, but have advantage of a secon free hit to be played in GW38

  20. chaser123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Dias or Richarlison?

  21. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Hey fam! Save FT & GTG? Will FH in GW38 as I'll have 2 FTs for GW37. (0.2 ITB)

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Alonso
    Salah(C) Sterling Mount Saka Gordon
    Nketiah

    Sa Weghorst Broja Schar

  22. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Do we expect Mahrez to start Cities last 4 games??

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      I'll guess 3 starts

  23. BantasyFootball
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Hey all -- defending a 20 point ML lead, don't have Son while my rival does.

    Worth doing Dier+ Broja > Holgate + Nketiah? Removing Dier opens up a Spurs slot for me to bring Son in for GW38 (will use FH in GW37).

  24. toystory2wasok
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    i need a bilva-ectomy

    A) bilva, robbo, mount > alonso, KDB, gordon (-4)

    B) bilva, robbo > mahrez, alonso

    C) bilva, weghorst > gordon, jesus

    1. toystory2wasok
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      bilvasectomy?

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      C

  25. Keane There Dunne That
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    1) Foden and Cancelo
    OR
    2) Mahrez and Diaz

    Which is better ?

    1. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 11 months ago

      2 looks more fun and more explosive

  26. EWH2020
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    On a BB.

    Worth doing Weggy to Dennis/Pukki for -4?

  27. sandman58
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Best mid for 7.9 or less?
    To do GW36 & GW38
    Free hitting GW37

  28. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    Matip or Ruben Dias for the remainder?

  29. jdogg
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    White and kdh

    To

    Matip and gordon for-4?x

  30. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 11 months ago

    2 FT 0.1 ITB. Will use BB. What should I do here?

    Pope* Dub
    TAA James Alonso Cash Schar*
    Salah Saka Kulu Havertz Ramsey
    Kane Pukki Broja*

    A. Kane + Havertz + Ramsey > KDB + Richa + Gordon for -4
    B. Kane + Havertz + Ramsey + Broja > KDB + Richa + Gordon + Nketiah for -8
    C. Don't lose Kane