Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 38

Gameweek 38 offers Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

YOANE WISSA

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW38 fixture: LEE

Despite a stop-start debut season at Brentford, Yoane Wissa (£5.7m) has been one of his team’s top performers of late.

The Congolese winger joined from French side Lorient for £8.5m in August but has taken time to adjust to Thomas Frank’s approach.

Earlier in the season, he came off the bench to score in successive matches against Liverpool and West Ham United, but was then dropped after his manager said he needed to “work harder off the ball”.

However, Wissa’s performances have picked up in his two most recent outings and there are clear signs that he is finally starting to settle. Against Southampton in Gameweek 36, his strike from outside of the box was impressive, before he then created one goal and scored another at Goodison Park last weekend.  

In spite of that mixed start, Wissa is Brentford’s second-top scorer in the league this season behind Ivan Toney (£6.8m). He has seven goals, which is a very decent return considering he has only started 11 of the 37 matches. As a result, his 0.49 goals per 90 minutes ranks tenth among all Premier League players, highlighting his potential when afforded pitch time. Bryan Mbeumo (£5.2m), meanwhile, who has partnered Toney up front for much of the season, has started 33, yet has only found the net on four occasions.

An excellent 10-game run has seen Brentford leap up to 11th in the Premier League table, with a potential top-half finish on offer if they can beat Leeds United at home on the final day. Only Watford have kept fewer clean sheets than the Whites this season and while Jesse Marsch did oversee an initial defensive improvement, the fixtures have stiffened over the last four Gameweeks and the goal concessions have been flying in again.

Wissa’s place in the starting XI isn’t completely assured, especially when Frank uses a 3-5-2 formation. However, recent performances have been very good in a 4-3-3, which suggests he will be handed another opportunity to impress from the left in Gameweek 38.

EMERSON ROYAL

Emerson Royal offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season
  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW38 fixture: nor

Following the inclusion of Ryan Sessegnon (£4.3m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Emerson Royal (£4.6m).

Owned by just 2.3% of FPL managers, the wing-back has recently been handed a run of starts and stepped up in the absence of Matt Doherty (£4.5m) following his season-ending injury.

From Gameweek 31 onwards, Emerson has returned a goal, four clean sheets and two bonus across his eight appearances, producing 38 FPL points. Amongst all defenders, only Joel Matip (£5.2m), Marcos Alonso (£5.7m) and Marc Cucurella (£4.9m) have managed more, while he also ranks sixth for expected goal involvement (xGI) in that time.

The question for many is, which of Antonio Conte’s wing-backs is the better pick for Gameweek 38? In truth, they are both excellent options, but when comparing Emerson and Sessegnon’s underlying numbers since Gameweek 34, the latter has been the more creative of the pair, laying on a whopping five big chances for his team-mates. However, Royal edges the goal threat metrics, leading on goal attempts (6/3) shots in the box (5/3), efforts on target and big chances (both 2/0).

At this stage, we should point out that this is a very small sample size we are working with, but the above data is encouraging ahead of Sunday’s trip to Carrow Road. It’s also worth noting that Norwich City’s left side has been susceptible to conceding chances all season, with Dimitris Giannoulis (£4.4m) run ragged by Chiquinho (£5.5m) at Molineux last time out.

Royal has impressed for Spurs of late and now showing increased consistency, could be an effective differential for the final day.

CALLUM WILSON

Newcastle and Man City differentials to consider for Gameweek 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW38 fixture: bur

Callum Wilson (£7.1m) turned in a man-of-the-match display on his return to action in Gameweek 37 after four months out.

The former Bournemouth man played just under 90 minutes and could have scored twice, whilst also playing a crucial role in both of his side’s goals.

Offering a different dynamic to that of Chris Wood (£6.3m), Wilson bullied the Gunners’ defence and ran the channels brilliantly, ending the match with team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box and penalty box touches.

“Immense performance when you consider how long he’s been out and the type of injury it was. To deliver that on his first game back, I can’t say enough positive words about that performance. You see behind the scenes how he’s conducted himself and how hard he’s worked and it doesn’t surprise me because I’ve seen it times before in previous years but you have to back it with the performance.” – Eddie Howe on Callum Wilson

Wilson has missed a large chunk of the 2021/22 season but despite his lengthy absence, is still Newcastle’s top scorer this season with six goals. It’s also worth noting that he has found the net at a rate of a goal almost every other game since moving to Tyneside, with an impressive 18 in 38 starts.

Now, he will be hoping to add to that tally and end his season on a high when Eddie Howe’s side travel to Burnley on Sunday. The Clarets are fighting for their lives near the bottom of the table, but have allowed 11 goals in their last six home matches, whilst also conceding the fourth-most chances from the centre of the pitch under Mike Jackson, an area Wilson thrives in.

And Newcastle are in very good form, too. In fact, only Liverpool, Manchester City and Spurs have taken more points since the turn of the year.

Wilson is a real difference-maker for Newcastle, and could be a decent mid-price punt for those willing to take a gamble in Gameweek 38.

Who are the best FPL captain options for Gameweek 32?
756 Comments Post a Comment
  1. kid_a19862
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Upgrade White to James or Ramsey to Maddison? (The other one will be first sub)

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Madds

    2. dwain100
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Maddison

  2. Cojones of Destiny
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Possible No show for below two players who'd you lose:
    a. Jota
    b. Mahrez
    c. Lose both for a hit

    1. buzzkill
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Spend the points and get nailed starters for 38. Can't afford risks if there's rumours of no shows

  3. Malinwa
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Would you do this move: Havertz > Mount (-4) ?

    1. Kante Touch This
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      No, Hav will play on Sunday

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        How certain are we about this?

        1. Kante Touch This
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 10 months ago

          He came on yesterday for a run about, Lukaku was poor as usual, I'm not certain but I'd bet on it

  4. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Start one-

    A Richa
    B Davies

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A

  5. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Who to play?

    1. Richa
    2. Pukki

    A) Schmeichel
    B) Ramsdale

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      1A

  6. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Leading by ~40 points, probably doing Salah to Son (c), would you say I win the ML ?

    Ederson
    TAA/Robo/Cancelo/Alonso
    Salah/KDB/Mount/Saka/Kulu
    Pukki

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yes, providing he has 6-7 similar picks and not a chip

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        It is my:
        Ederson, Cancelo, Robo, Alonso, KDB, Mount, Pukki

        to his:
        Pope, Matip, Laporte, Foden, Maddison, Jesus, Werner/Toney

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 7 Years
          1 year, 10 months ago

          Quite different then. I’d expect a win with 40 more but he does have a small chance, 5-10%

    2. JT11fc
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Easy win, unless Villa and Wolves score and Son smashes it

    3. Atimis
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Cheers guys and good luck!

  7. Tsssst
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Jota, Ings, Coutinho > Mount, Jesus, Bowen -8 worth a dabble?

  8. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    On FH

    A. Robbo, Eriksen, Gelhardt(bench)
    B. Matip, Maddison, Barnes(bench)

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B.

    2. Atimis
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      50/50 imo

  9. JT11fc
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    FH team gtg? 0.itb

    Sanchez
    James Sessegnon Matip
    Son Diaz Mane Mount Wissa
    Vardy Kane

    3.9 Amartey Kelly 4.4

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Interesting team. 7 different players 🙂

      1. JT11fc
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Im loving the options haha

    2. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      No City

      1. JT11fc
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Their mids stuffed me this season haha and the last time I was doing well too, I expect them to concede aswell

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Looks strong. Sanchez a bit random. Also Wissa / Eriksen must be close call?

      1. JT11fc
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Sanchez for budget reasons, only really gone Wissa for more goal threat

    4. Shayben
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      kinda like it

  10. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Great picks Tom! Really think Wilson will bang at least 1

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      And Toney 2

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Not as sure and he’s not much of a differential

      2. Klaren
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Toney better choice than Wilson. Burnley will park the bus.

  11. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Anything worth a hit? Feel free to fire your own question 🙂

    Pickford
    TAA Cancelo Alonso Matip
    Son KDB Madi Saka
    Nketiah Rich
    (Foster, Gordon, Soyuncu, Dennis)

    1. The White Pele
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Rich to Toney

  12. The White Pele
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    best 4.6 defender? (not Sessegnon).

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Bavies

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Jansson

      1. The White Pele
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        better than Henry?

        1. Holmes
          • 10 Years
          1 year, 10 months ago

          set-piece threat helps. Henry good from open play.

          1. The White Pele
            • 6 Years
            1 year, 10 months ago

            cheers

    3. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Royal

    4. balint84
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      White or Davies

    5. The White Pele
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      thanks all

  13. balint84
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Holgate to
    A) Sessigno
    B) Dier
    C) Matip (have Robbo)
    D) James (have Alonso)

    1. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A

    2. balint84
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Davies or White

    3. rilo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A

  14. tokara
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    My FH Team
    541

    Schmeichel
    Sess // Robbo // Alonso // James // Lap
    Erik // Barnes // Diaz // Son // KDB
    Kane

    Any comments?

    1. TopBinFC
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Similar to mine, I have Mount instead of Diaz. And Saka instead of Barnes

      1. tokara
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Going 451 too?

    2. madmafc
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I suggest

      Maddison/Mount for Diaz/Eriksen if you have the funds

      Play 4-5-1

  15. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    So it has come down to this. Would you prefer:

    A) Toney, Mane, Sessgnon
    B) Trent, Luis Diaz, Rudiger

    1. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Thanks both, will be close

    4. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Both look decent but slight preference for B mate

    5. Karan14
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

  16. Mane Mane Mane
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Do we reckon both Vardy and Lukaku start this weekend?

    1. zon
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Neither imo

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Vardy, yes
      Luka, not sure

    3. rilo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Lukaku yes IMO
      Vardy, probably yes but who knows

  17. pingissimus
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Reducing my hit average in the last 10 weeks to a disappointing 7.6 I arrive at this -4

    Pope
    Rudiger Alonso Cancelo
    Zaha Son Maddison Mount Cornet
    Kane Rich

    Pickford Andersen Mateta Cash

    A. Play Pickford?
    B. Nowt to play for. Get Wilson or Toney for Rich?

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Play Pope and B. Get Wilson if you want to have some fun.

      1. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Ty

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      nope. pope.
      keep richarlison. arsenal leaking goals. could be a goal fest.

  18. Fit_to_drop
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    How did Vardy perform last night? Worth signing on FH alongside Kane?

    1. rilo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yes, but imo he might not start

      1. Fit_to_drop
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        I dont want risky non starters so thats him out so. Might just go with Toney as Everton could be on holudays and dont want to risk Richarlison

  19. balint84
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Why is Sessegnon more popular in FPL than Davies?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      price. position.

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Looked threatening in recent games and is almost playing as a left winger. Crossing a lot.

    3. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      One is a marauding LWB getting in the box at every opportunity, the other is a CB.

  20. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Differential McCappo?

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Mount? Kane(slight diff)? Mane? Diaz? or even CR

    2. rilo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      CR7, Mount, James

  21. rilo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Hi,

    Jota -> Mount (I have Diaz) and Weghorst -> Toney for -4 ?

  22. TopBinFC
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Horrible GW, dropped from 60k to 115k.

    What are the chances Salah plays this week?

    Current FH draft,
    Dubraka,
    Cancelo, James, Guehi, Matip
    Mount, KDB, Son, Eriksen, Maddison,
    Kane (c)

    Any changes, going without Salah could be a killer?

    1. rilo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I play without Salah for like 5 GW and it is not that bad. But You need Liverpol cover like Diaz

      1. TopBinFC
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        For who? Will need to downgrade alot

  23. focaccia
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Currently 2nd in my league and up for throwing caution to the wind. Have 1 free transfer and nothing in the bank. Would seriously appreciate any advice :

    Ramsdale

    Cancelo - White - Alonso - TAA

    Saka - KDB - Salah - Kulu

    Jesus - Richarlison

    (Dubravka - Holgate - Dewsbury-Hall - Gelhart)

    My 2 main rivals teams as follows:

    A.
    Schmeichel
    Cancelo / Matip / Laporte / Alonso
    Salah / Havertz / KDB / Mount
    Richarlison / Nketiah
    (Foster / Pukki / Cash / Dewsbury Hall)

    B.
    Ramsdale
    Cancelo / James / TAA / Cash
    Saka / Kulu / Salah / Mount / KDB
    Nketiah
    (Dubravka / Joao Pedro / Broja / Holgate)

  24. Grande Tubarão
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Martin Atkinson in charge of Man Utd vs Palace makes Zaha very tempting. He despises Utd

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Time to pick De Gea then

      1. Holmes
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        now that you have posted this, I'm actually tempted.

        1. Grande Tubarão
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          1 year, 10 months ago

          By De Gea? Theye’re bound to get penalties, I guess it’s just a case of which De Gea turns up

          1. Holmes
            • 10 Years
            1 year, 10 months ago

            Yep, De Gea. Zaha being bad at penalties helps

            1. Grande Tubarão
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              1 year, 10 months ago

              Yeah, true. Maybe it’s actually a negative for him

    2. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Palace may well put out quite an experimental side with a couple of youth team players. It's bold but of course but Ronaldo is a fascinating call if you have funds and FT. Can certainly see something close to a 3-3 as I assume United will be open too and have had a couple of weeks to prepare and not 48 hours.

      1. Grande Tubarão
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Yeah, maybe they get penalties, go ahead and it feeds right into Ronaldo’s hands. He always plays better when angry too so if Atkinson is unjust maybe Ronaldo’s the play

  25. StellaMan
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Any tweaks to this free hit team?

    2nd in ML but whole top 7 is very tight.

    Free hit team - 3-5-2 formation
    Fab (Foster)
    James, Alonso, TTA (Tsi/Davies)
    Bowen, Maddison, KDB, Son (c), Erikson
    Kane, Toney (Geldhart)

    Best keeper? Mount and Diaz on a shortlist

  26. TanN
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Schmeichel
    Trent Matip Cancelo
    Saka Kulu Son (C) Mount (VC) KDB
    Richarlison Mateta

    Foster Cash Broja Williams

    2.2m itb, 1FT, no chips

    Thoughts on this:

    Cash --> James (C) - for free
    Kulu --> Maddison - for a -4

    1. StellaMan
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Go for James and keep captain on Son

      1. TanN
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Thanks Stellaman

        I thought James might haul vs Watford quite likely for a CS so almost guaranteed 12 points if captained prior to assists/goals/bonuses.

        Son could get another 3 pointer or could explode vs norwich and a hattrick etc could happen...I think i might switch to Son (C) and james (VC)

    2. FTH
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Cash - James for free is enough

  27. _Ninja_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Salah/Mateta to Eriksen/Kane worth -4? bench Cout

    Dubravka
    James TAA Laporte
    Salah Son Saka Mount Coutinho
    Jesus Nketiah

    Schmeichel Mateta KWP Doherty

    1. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yes 4 sure

  28. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Isit only me without son or kane other than just dier.
    Not sure if it will kill my rank. Am at 17k OR now

    1. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I’m not too far behind you and also planning on going Spur-less

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Niceee . I am planning to do watkins and jota to mount and toney for -4

  29. focaccia
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Pick one:

    A. Salah + Saka > Son + Diaz

    B. Salah + Richarlison > Kane + Maddison

    C. Salah + Holgate / White > Son + James

    1. TanN
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      C, B, A

      I would get rid of White and have Holgate first on bench (team dependent).

      Can't see Diaz hauling vs Wolves who wil have learnt there lesson from the KDB masterclass...

      Maddison potentially a good pick but southampton never easy

      1. focaccia
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        This is my team - would appreciate thoughts!

        Ramsdale

        Cancelo - White - Alonso - TAA

        Saka - KDB - Salah - Kulu

        Jesus - Richarlison

        (Dubravka - Holgate - Dewsbury-Hall - Gelhart)

  30. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Good afternoon everyone!! Most fruitful option for this gameweek????

    A- Vardy and Mount or Diaz
    B- Kane and Barnes
    C- Mané and Toney or Wilson

    Cheers everyone!!!