Spot the Differential
26 August 2022 1222 comments
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Gameweek 4 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

BRENDEN AARONSON

Auto Draft 33
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: bha | EVE | bre | NFO | mun

Brenden Aaronson (£5.5m) has made a great start at Leeds United following his summer move, scoring his first goal for the club in Gameweek 3.

Against Chelsea, the former RB Salzburg man added energy and creativity from his central attacking midfield position and was always looking to press and run in behind Thomas Tuchel’s defence. “He’s tireless. He’s relentless” were Jesse Marsch’s words when asked about Aaronson’s performance after the match.

Marsch later vowed that his team would “always attack”, which is a promising sign ahead of fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Everton (h), Brentford (a) and Nottingham Forest (h), given that Leeds are unbeaten so far this season.

Across the opening three rounds, amongst teammates, only Jack Harrison (£6.0m) has received more passes in the final third, while he has also racked up five goal attempts, three created chances and nine crosses. It’s also worth noting that he has also seen a goal taken away from him and given as an own-goal against Wolves.

Aaronson’s career numbers suggest he won’t ever be a prolific goalscorer, but there are often caveats with players at this price point, and it does feel like the US international is one of the best budget midfielders on offer right now.

MARCUS RASHFORD

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 3
  • FPL ownership: 5.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: sou | lei | ARS | cry | LEE

We’d originally included Anthony Martial (£6.9m) in this slot, only for Erik ten Hag’s Friday press conference to derail us.

As a result, we’ve turned to 5.4 per cent owned team-mate Marcus Rashford (£6.3m), who we’ve made an exception for despite sitting just over our usual differential threshold.

The 24-year-old has already suffered two price drops this season but netted his first Premier League goal of 2022/23 in an excellent display against Liverpool on Monday night.

Indeed, no player from either side racked up more goal attempts (five), shots in the box (five) or efforts on target (two) than Rashford.

United got off to a terrible start to the 2022/23 campaign and sat rock bottom following defeats to Brighton and Hove Albion and Brentford. However, there were encouraging signs in their win over Liverpool, which means they can approach Saturday’s trip to Southampton in a more positive frame of mind. Notably, the Saints’ have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League matches, extending back to last season.

There is competition for places at United, and we can’t simply forget that Cristiano Ronaldo (£10.4m) is still an option, but it does feel like Rashford can become an important player for ten Hag, who clearly has a lot of faith in him.

GONCALO GUEDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NEW | bou | SOU | liv | MCI

Goncalo Guedes (£6.0m) made a promising first Wolverhampton Wanderers start in Gameweek 3, as he went close to scoring in the first half.

The 25-year-old made some very good runs in behind Tottenham Hotspur’s defence, registering five shots – more than any other player on the pitch – and three chances created. He did fade a little as the match wore on, but that’s understandable given he is new to the league.

Guedes scored 11 La Liga goals and assisted a further six in 2021/22, his most productive season in Spanish football, and not only featured on the left coming inside onto his favoured foot but also centrally and on the right. His versatility and ability to play as a striker is appealing, then, especially with Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) still building up his fitness.

It must be said that Wolves aren’t in great form after a winless start to the campaign. Last season’s goalscoring woes, when they finished as the division’s lowest scorers outside of the relegated teams, have continued into 2022/23. However, there has been progress in each of the three games so far, with the signing of Guedes and fellow Portuguese Matheus Nunes (£5.0m) perhaps going some way to alleviate those concerns.

Guedes is a product of the Benfica academy, where he rose through the system under the watchful eye of Bruno Lage, who served as a youth at the Portuguese club. Now reunited at Molineux, the £6.0m midfielder could be a smart differential to capitalise on Wolves’ next three fixtures: Newcastle United (h), Bournemouth (a) and Southampton (h).



  1. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Keep Mount or switch to Diaz?
    If I was sure about WCing next gw then I would switch but probably I won’t WC and I think Mount vs SOU(A) can return some pts. Or will he be rotated?

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      keep this GW

  2. A girl has no name
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Guys, don't see any moves here, suggestions please -

    2FT, 0 ITB

    Ramsadale
    Robbo Trent Cancelo James
    Salah martinelli neto
    Meumbo jesus Haaland

    Bench - Ward, Andres, Bailey, Neco williams

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Robbo to perisic neto to Rashford

      1. A girl has no name
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Don't want to get rid of Robbo before Bou

        1. Mambino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          big upside to perisic anyone can score against Liverpool at the moment too - Fulham scored two against them so I wouldn't be so confident of a cleanie. Those are the moves I'd make in your position. You could burn a transfer and do moves next GW but I'd be aggressive if I were you

  3. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    a) Zinchenko
    b) Saliba

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I'm on b with my wildcard. Both good picks

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Zinchenko will be a better pick long term I think.

    3. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

  4. tom66
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Currently sitting on this WC team. GTG? Feedback greatly appreciated.

    Raya
    Cancelo - Trippier - Gabriel
    Salah - KDB - Rashford - Kulu - Rodrigo
    Jesus - Toney
    (Subs: Sanchez - Williams - Salisu - Stansfield)

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Id be so scared of missing a Haaland haul.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        He has Mo and Kevin.

        Haaland won't be capped by the majority. This is where Haaland is obsolete when he also owns Jesus.

        1. Weak Become Heros
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          This is true. I fancy Kevs mins over Haaland.

          Fancy a look over my situation below FF? Cheers

  5. Bilbao Baggins
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Morning guys. Has anyone else had issues accessing the members area in the last 24 hours? I can log in an leave comments etc but cant access the members tools. My subscription renewed on Thursdsy and seem to have lost access since then (using an android phone). Cheers

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Have you tried switching to the old version of members' area?

      1. Bilbao Baggins
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah. Not sure what's going on. I'll try on the laptop. Cheers

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I've been on the old one all along & its working fine for me. Someone mentioned yesterday that the new player comparison tool wasnt working / taking ages to load though

  6. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    When is Laoprte due back?

    1. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Late September early October Pep has said in interview.

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thank you mate.

    2. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      GW10

  7. DARE TO BISCAN
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Currently on a wildcard, wondering who to have of TAA & Cancelo.

    TAA, Trippier, Saliba, Perisic, Neco

    Think I'd rather have Cancelo and put the 0.5 towards Neco > Dunk. Or, for Perisic > James, if/when the time comes.

    Seems weird not having Trent

    a) Trent
    b) Cancelo & 0.5

    1. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Any particular reasoning?

    2. Thanos
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B. Provides similar attacking potential and 0.5 savings which can come in handy later on

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks, Thanos

    3. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A - Cancelo playing in a less prolific position so far this season

  8. Fantasyfreaks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A. Diaz
    Or
    B. Kulu

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Any particular reason? I'm considering one of the two on a WC

        1. Weak Become Heros
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          xMins mate

          1. DARE TO BISCAN
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Ta

  9. dansully3
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Kane capt anyone? I have Salah, Jesus and the elf man too!

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No keep to Salah or Jesus

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I've a feeling Kane has huge damage incoming and taking advantage of most not having my front 3, captaining him could be golden.

  10. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Got to make a decision in the next 10 mins on wildcard before I drop off.

    Please let me know what you would go for and any comments would be much appreciated. Thanks all.

    Team A (343)
    Sanchez
    TAA Trips Perisic Saliba Neco
    Salah Gundo Martinelli Rodrigo Andreas
    Haaland Toney Jesus

    Team B (442) - 1.5itb
    Sanchez
    Walker Perisic Trips Saliba Neco
    Salah KDB Rodrigo Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Jesus

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B - I like the Salah KDB combo

      1. Podorsky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Me too

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Team A

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      With team A you can always do Haaland out to Kane or lower and then Gundo to KDB.

      Plus you have Trent.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Front 3 is the way to go!

        1. Mambino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          well it seems to be the current trend

      2. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks mate, yes I like the flexibility it also allows. Banking on the Toney and Gundo picks!

        Good luck!

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Same there!

    4. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I like A, but no City defence.

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Could do Saliba to Walker?

    5. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Your lack of Kane/ Son will be costly but you can't have them all. Personally I'd love to have Kdb in my team. The man's simply the best in his position and won't become a rotation risk either.

  11. Jdpz
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    a) Gundogan
    b) Foden

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    4. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    5. Thanos
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    6. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

  12. Thanos
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who to captain for my Salah-less team:

    1. KDB
    2. Haaland
    3. Jesus

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      3

  13. No Kane No Gain
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Are Dasilva’s underlying stats that bad?!

    Can’t decide between playing him or Andreas but I’ve seen a lot of comments about his stats being bad!

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      The popular pick on here is Andreas and everyone will have him. In that case I would go for Dasilva.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Haven't looked into his stats that closely but I imagine people are referring to his goals coming from very low xG shots (being a little lucky)

    3. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      All 4.5 mids' stats are generally bad, it's just that Dasilva is overrated. Andreas created a good number of chances and took a few shots last week.

    4. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      As Clough once said, statistics are like miniskirts, they're nice to look at but hide the important stuff.

  14. Fat Frank
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Save and GTG?

    Ward
    Trent | Cancelo | Saliba
    (S)alah | Martinelli | Aaronson | Dasilva
    Kane | Haaland | Jesus

    Iversen | Neco | Andreas | Patterson

    0.2ITB

    Thanks

    1. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Similar team. Your gk situation is poor. Andreas probably should start ahead of Silva too. Go on Kane, I have him captain. That's my front 3. Plenty goals there hopefully

  15. Donny_Rover
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    2FT, 0 ITB.

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo James Dias Cancelo
    Salah Martinelli Gordon
    Jesus Haaland
    Da Silva Andreas Archer

    Is it worth a one week punt for someone in for Gordon? Will most likely look to downgrade the defence soon and bring in Zaha or Gundo but no move springs to mind this week.

  16. Puntillimon
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Just started watching all or nothing. Ramsdale’s dad’s hilarious
    Gained respect for Arteta - not an easy patch to go through, thought he emerged better after it

  17. Kikofraeuropa
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Mendy (Ward)
    Cancelo, Trent, Robertson, James (Williams)
    Salah, Martinelli, Rodrigo, Neto (Andreas)
    Kane, Jesus (Phlange)

    I have 2 FT
    A. Neto --> Gross
    B. Williams, Neto --> Trippier & Silva