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2 November 2022 243 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are in unfamiliar mid-season territory, as each and every one of us only has to think of the short term.

Unlimited transfers are handed to FPL bosses over the World Cup break, effectively creating a ‘third’ Wildcard for 2022/23.

So we’re only looking at Gameweeks 15 and 16 when it comes to transfer targets ahead of this Saturday’s deadline.

Above: How our Season Ticker looks when clubs are sorted by fixture difficulty over the next two Gameweeks

We’ll be looking at a few teams with the better-looking fixture couplets over the coming days, then, starting with Brighton and Hove Albion.

READ MORE: What Lateriser said about Man Utd assets ahead of Gameweek 14

BRIGHTON UNDER DE ZERBI

Roberto De Zerbi came to the helm at the Amex before Gameweek 9, so we’ve got a nice six-match sample to draw from when we look at Albion under new management.

Here we study the Seagulls’ underlying attacking and defensive numbers to see how they fare compared to other Premier League clubs over their last half-dozen fixtures.

TotalRank v other clubs
Shots877th
Shots on target33=5th
Shots in the box624th
Big chances16=3rd
Expected goals (xG)8.629th

Under De Zerbi, Brighton have encouragingly been top-half material for all the key attacking metrics listed above.

It’s a continuation of the sorts of figures they were churning out under Graham Potter but when we look at who the Seagulls have faced since the September international break, the above ranks are all the more impressive:

Brighton were bottom of our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty over this period, facing all of last season’s top four as well as a Brentford side who have lost only once on home soil this season.

In all six matches did Albion register at least one ‘big chance’, with nine of them arriving across the Liverpool and Chelsea games.

Actual goal output has veered wildly from the typically profligate (54 shots were registered without success in Gameweeks 10-12) to the prolific (three goals from six attempts against Liverpool), with Chelsea giving their hosts a helping hand last weekend with two own-goals.

TotalRank v other clubs
Shots conceded584th
Shots on target conceded236th
Shots in the box conceded434th
Big chances conceded13=13th
Expected goals conceded (xGC)6.846th

It’s been equally impressive at the other end of the pitch, despite just one clean sheet being registered under De Zerbi.

To be sixth for xGC having faced the four sides in the Champions League is excellent, with Manchester City’s modest 1.63 xG in Gameweek 13 the most that the Seagulls have allowed under De Zerbi.

FPL TRANSFER TARGETS



243 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Best move?

    A) Zaha + Mitrovic —> Rashford + Wilson (-4)
    B) Zaha —> Rashford (FT)
    C) Zaha —> Trossard (FT)
    D) Zaha —> Almiron (FT)
    E) Save FT (Keep Zaha + Mitrovic)

    Cheers!

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C for me.
      B/D close second

      No hit though. Mitro is a machine. He'll find a way to score probably.

  2. RogDog_jimmy
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Looks like Foden starting in UCL and KDB on the bench.
    I'm very strongly leaning toward Salah+Foden > KDB+Trossard for 2ft now.

    1. Samsonite
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      All of the other attackers sans Bilva are also starting so I don’t think we can really say it hurts his chances at the weekend

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Completely agree on whether Foden plays.
        It's more about KDB rest than Foden starting for me.

        1. Samsonite
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Getting rid of KDB for the blank has been painful, and I’m envious of your two frees to be able to get him in. He’s gonna put on another show v FUL

    2. blauriecon
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Exactly what I did.

  3. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    If Haaland/Saka are ok then what would you do here?

    Guaita
    Andersen/Trippier/Cresswell
    Saka/Salah/Foden/Zaha
    Toney/Haaland/DCL

    Ward/Williams/Andreas/White
    1ft 0.0itb

    a)Salah+Toney->Kdb+Wilson(-4)
    b)Toney->Scamacca
    c)Salah+Toney->Rashford+Kane/Wilson
    d)Salah+Toney+Andersen->Rashford+Cancelo+Wilson(-8)
    e)something else

    1. Fintroy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      e) Foden out.....unless you want yet another 1 point cameo off the bench.

    2. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I am ok with a cameo from Foden.He could still return some points against Fulham.

  4. Fintroy
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    If Foden starts tonight, time to transfer out....as Pep won't start him (yet again) at the weekend......

    1. Tinfoil Deathstar
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Don’t think it’s anywhere near that straightforward

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      don't agree with this at all

      we've long learned that minutes in one game seem to have very little relationship to minutes in the next game.

      1. Fintroy
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Surely better to pick a player who is 90-100% certain to start. You and I know both know Pep is capable of anything....and Foden's minutes have no guarantee whatsoever....

        1. Freshy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Agree
          Except when MC is playing Fulham at home Bep isnt going to want to grind out a win

    3. Warbling Wendy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Pep madness cannot be guessed

  5. donbagino
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Best replacement for Toney? I already own Wilson, Saka, Martinelli.
    a) DCL
    b) Jesus (triple Arsenal)
    c) ???

  6. fivetothree
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Anything I need to do here?

    Pickford
    Cancelo, Trippier, VVD
    Saka, Foden, Martinelli, Almiron
    Kane, Haaland (C), Darwin

    Subs
    Begovic, Dier, Andreas, Neco

    If Haaland and Saka are out then hopefully Dier and Andreas can do something.