Captain Sensible
10 November 2022 196 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are faced with a final and very crucial captaincy decision before the FIFA World Cup mid-season recess with the now familiar heavyweight tête-à-tête between Erling Haaland (£12.2m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) topping the bill.

Meanwhile, alternative options from Manchester City, Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal provide the undercard support in the Gameweek 16 captaincy conundrum. 

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 GMT deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Erling Haaland dominates the captain poll, with just under two-thirds of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered even a quarter of that, with Mohamed Salah currently in second place on 13%.

Kevin De Bruyne (£12.6m) occupies third place with just over 6% of the vote, followed by Joao Cancelo (£7.4m) and Harry Kane (£11.6m). 

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

MOHAMED SALAH/DARWIN NUNEZ

Mohamed Salah proved that class is permanent when notching a ruthless double in Liverpool’s 2-1 win over Tottenham Hotspur, producing a 15-point haul to reward a loyal army of armband backers. 

Salah was at his clinical best registering three goal attempts, all of which were on target, with Liverpool’s Egyptian producing the fourth-best non-penalty expected goals tally (NPxG, 0.67) in Gameweek 15. 

Over the last six matches, Salah places in the top division’s five for shots (24), shots inside the box (18) and shots on target (11). 

Notably, Salah ranks second-best over that same period for non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 3.16), bettered by only Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Mohamed Salah places second for non-penalty expected goals (NPxG) over the last six matches, with 3.16

Darwin Nunez’s direct mentality and free-shooting nature were a constant menace for Spurs with the Uruguyuan dovetailing beautifully with Salah, to provide the assist for the Egyptian’s opener. 

Nunez registered four goal attempts in Gameweek 15, of which three came inside the box, marking the former Benfica striker’s card as a “shoot-on-sight” throw-back – and potentially Fantasy gold. 

Despite limitations on Nunez’s game-time reducing his clip, over the last six matches, the marksman places in the division’s top six for shots (21) and shots on target (nine). 

Analysing the Uruguyan using the metric minutes per non-penalty expected goals (NPxG) gives us an insight into Nunez’s truly explosive potential – his rate of 159.2 minutes was only marginally topped by Erling Haaland (154.1 minutes). 

Liverpool host Southampton in Gameweek 16 with the Saints recently parting company with Ralph Hassenhuttl after nearly four years in charge with the club sitting precariously in the Premier League bottom three.  

Southampton have registered a solitary clean sheet this season – away to fellow relegation strugglers Bournemouth – and place in the bottom four over the last six matches for shots conceded (92) and shots inside the box against (62). 

Furthermore, flank weakness is a concern for the Saints, placing in the bottom three for crosses conceded from their right flank (66), and chances conceded from both the right (31) and centre (26). 

ERLING HAALAND/KEVIN DE BRUYNE



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

196 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. HellasLEAF
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Projected minutes for:

    Mitro -
    Wilson -

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      90
      50

    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I thought Mitro was 90% out

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        There's a tweet from Ben Dinnery using very questionable Serbian reports. I don't believe that. We will probably know tomorrow from Marco Silva.

        https://www.twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/1590656275012001793?

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          I find it hard to believe that the injury they report wasn't picked up by xrays or a scan after the last international break when he first injured his foot.

          1. Casual Player
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Feet are very hard to diagnose the exact injury and there's so many variables around tiny bones, ligaments, muscles, nerves, blood flow etc.

    3. putana
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      mitro is supposedly out

    4. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      0
      90

  2. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Will Garnacho start against Fulham?

  3. putana
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    assuming alvarez doesnt start would you make these moves:

    alvarez + zaha -> rashford + martial (-4)

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No, I wouldn't. Just upgrade Zaha to Rashford or Trossard.

      Alvarez will play 20-30 mins even if benched.

    2. krawiecus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No, Álvarez to Solanke

      1. Boberella
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        This

  4. JAYPEE
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Justin to White for a -4?

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      No. White hasn’t got a very high ceiling for a one off -4. Try castagne if you want the -4 to pay off immediately at that price range

  5. No Kane No Gain
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Considered getting Perisic as my FT as a one week punt, but now I’m looking at a United player after that second half today…

    Shaw or Martial Or garnacho are in the budget. Who gets more points this gameweek?!

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I am looking at Garnacho, which allows me to buy Kane (otherwise Darwin, who I don't trust).

      1. No Kane No Gain
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Do you think garnacho outscores perisic this week?!

        Darwin could be explosive this week, Kane tired and has the World Cup to think about 1 week away

  6. BS03
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    hi guys best mid up to 9m?

    A) foden/city mid
    B) kulu
    C) zaha
    D) other

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I’ve taken a punt on kulu cor this week

      1. Boberella
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Maddy would be my next pick (assuming you have Saka)

  7. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Better pick from each for one gw only?

    A. Foden
    B. Darwin

    1. Saliba
    2. Perisic

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B2

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B1

  8. it lies in the proles
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Exact money for Wilson to Darwin, go or no go?

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Go

  9. Rex Lapis
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A. Wilson to Darwin
    or
    B. Foden to Trossard?

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A, much more upside and foden may well start

  10. fish&chips
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who scores more assuming haaland starts and alvarez benched:

    A) Haaland (c), salah, trippier, Bailey
    B) salah (c), Jesus, martial, perisic

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Is Martial an option now? That would put me off B - I will never trust his fitness.

      1. fish&chips
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yes I'm actually not sure myself and definitely the weak link. Actually that spot can be any forward up to 7m or any midfielder up to 5.5m but no one really stands out. Probably just play it safe and bring in haaland but I don't particularly like getting rid of Jesus. No other option though without taking a hit

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  11. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play Solanke or Wilson

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Wait for news on Wilson (and even if fot he prob won’t play 90), but solanke should do well this week.

    2. GunnersQ
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Solanke

    3. putana
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      i always play the better player but up to you

    4. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Rather than waste my FT I shipped Mitro to Solanke to save £0.1 and give me a bench question.

  12. GunnersQ
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Play Eze (NOT AWAY) over Castagne (WHU AWAY)

    Suggestions please?

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Eze.

      1. GunnersQ
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        What about Mitro > Solanke (-4)

        1. Boberella
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          As well as starting Eze?

  13. sulldaddy
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Sell Foden and Mitro
    Buy Darwin and Rashford
    For a -4

    What do you think?
    My other option is Mitro to Firmino for free

    1. putana
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      if foden starts i would keep. could do mitro to firmino or martial

      1. sulldaddy
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. I generally like to avoid hits. But tempted to get Darwin

  14. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Name the Prem player with the highest fantasy points per game.
    Hes a mid

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Dendoncker?

      1. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Reiss Nelson - GW 14 vs NFO
        1 game appearance
        65 min played
        19 points

        1. Freshy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Makes Haaland a slacker

  15. Waltomade
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Got 2 FTs. Please help me choose 1

    1)Nunez+Mitoma
    2)Rashford+Martial
    3)Foden+Solanke

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1

    2. Casual Player
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'd go 1.

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1

  16. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Guaita
    Cancelo Trippier Neco (kilman, emerson)
    Salah Zaha Saka Bowen (andreas)
    Haaland (C) Mitrovic Wilson

    0.0 1FT, any ideas? Kind clueless

    Thinking Mitro to Solanke

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Kilman to Webster/Estupinan and Nico to 2nd bench

  17. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier Perisic
    Salah Bilva Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Mitrovic Wilson

    Iversen Andreas Guehi Neco

    1FT, 2.5itb

    1. Mitrovic >> Darwin Nunez
    2. Bilva >> Saka
    3. Bilva >> Foden

    Thanks!

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      1

  18. Ne0
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which of these is the best move?
    A) Mitrovic -> Jesus
    B) Mitrovic -> Firmino
    C) Mitrovic -> Wilson
    D) Mitrovic -> Martial
    E) Neco -> Perisic
    F) Neco -> Garbriel

    The team is:
    Pope
    Cancelo, Trippier, Dunk
    KDB, Saka, Martinelli, Rashford
    Haaland, Nunez, Mitro
    Iversen; Andreas, Guehi, Neco

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      F

    2. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going with D. 60 mins last night with no knocks. I just needed Martial fit, and he's in vs Fulham

  19. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    1 week punt:

    Darwin or Firmino ?

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Darwin

  20. CoracAld2831
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Best route to Haaland with this team for a hit?

    Guaita
    Trippier-Webster-Cancelo
    Zaha-De Bruyne-Salah-Martinelli
    Wilson-Mitrovic-Alvarez

    Ward-Andreas-Andersen-N.Williams

    First transfer:

    A: Salah
    B: De Bruyne
    C: No transfers

    Second transfer:

    A: Saka
    B: Kulusevski
    C: Trossard
    D: Rashford
    E: Other?

    My initial thought was Mitrovic, De Bruyne to Haaland, Saka.
    But i am still in thinking about it.

  21. klopptimusprime
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who does better

    a) Firmino + Kulu
    b) Kane + Andreas

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

  22. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Better one week option here-

    A Play andreas
    B Darwin -4, Andreas first sub

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  23. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Any chance the worst FPL pick of the season gets a start this weekend?

  24. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Dream England XI

    Pickford
    Trippier, Stones, White, Shaw
    Rice, Bellingham
    Saka, Maddison, Foden
    Kane

    Probable England XI (zzzz)

    Pickford
    Trent, Walker, Maguire, Stones, Shaw
    Rice, Bellingham, Mount
    Kane, Sterling

  25. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Start
    A) Wilson
    B) Andreas

  26. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Start:
    A) Wilson
    B) Andreas

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Sorry for double post!

  27. Top Bin
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 29 days ago

    Swap De Bruyne for Salah?

    Thoughts please?