Captain Sensible
10 March 2023 489 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are once again seeing “double” as four teams – Brighton & Hove Albion, Brentford, Crystal Palace, and Southampton – play twice in Double Gameweek 27. 

In an open captaincy week, Ivan Toney (£7.8m) and a trio of Brighton assets assume the role of chief protagonists, with alternative options from Palace, Southampton, and a quartet of single fixture heavyweights providing the supporting cast in this edition of the armband argument.

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, the Rate My Team (RMT) points projections and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 GMT deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

The captain poll has a distinctly Double Gameweek feel, with Brentford’s Ivan Toney topping the charts for the first time this season, backed by a mite over four-tenths of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

Providing stiff competition is Brighton’s wing-wizard Kaoru Mitoma (£5.5m) who sits currently in second place, backed by just over one in four of our users. 

Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) occupies third place with 6.41% of the vote, followed by Erling Haaland (£12.2m) and Alexis Mac Allister (£5.4m) further back. 

DOUBLE GAMEWEEK CANDIDATES

IVAN TONEY

Ivan Toney converted from the penalty spot against Fulham on Monday night – his 15th goal of the season – to continue a prolific campaign for the Bees talisman. 

Toney is the third-highest scoring forward in Fantasy – with his tally sitting at 130 points for 2022/23 – and places in the top six for attacking returns (18) this season. 

Notably, Toney has received 26 big chances this season, a total that only Erling Haaland (40) can better. 

However, over the last six matches, Toney’s underlying numbers have underwhelmed, ranking joint-seventh best for goal attempts (19), with his seven shots on target bettered by ten other players. 

In those half-dozen matches, Toney ranks ninth-best in the division for non-penalty involvement (NPxGI, 3.28), a tally bettered by two immediate captaincy rivals – Alexis Mac Allister and Solly March. 

However, set pieces heighten Toney’s appeal, with the penalty supremo converting his 10th Premier League career spot-kick against the Cottagers.

Toney has also registered the most set-piece attempts (23) for Thomas Frank’s side and highlighted his free-kick potential when smashing the woodwork in the 35th minute against Fulham. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Ivan Toney places second for big chances received (26) this term – a tally bettered by only Erling Haaland (40)

Brentford travel to face an Everton side winless in three Premier League matches, following their initial “new manager bounce” under Sean Dyche. Despite two clean sheets over the last six matches, the Toffees still rank sixth worst for expected goals conceded (xGC, 9.21) over the period. 

Southampton host Thomas Frank’s side in the second fixture of Double Gameweek 27, with the Saints buoyant since the appointment of new manager Ruben Selles. 

The Spaniard has led Southampton to consecutive Premier League wins – over Leicester City and Chelsea – registering two clean sheets in the process. 

However, the Saints have been poor defensively ranking sixth worst for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 9.9) over the last six matches.

KAORU MITOMA/SOLLY MARCH/ALEXIS MAC ALLISTER



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

489 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Hi friends, sorry in advance due to the template-ness of it all - but just wonder if my bench choices are g2g? This is a WC team so if you think i'm missing anyone please let me know!

    Raya (Ward)
    Trip / Estu / Henry (Chilwell / Zinc)
    Saka / Mitoma / Rash / Salah (Ode*)
    Toney (c) / Haaland / Watkins

    thank you!

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Only change would be Steele instead of ward

      Ward is a terrible pick now

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Why?

        1. Robe Wan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Why is he not a terrible pick?

          1. Utopsis
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Didn't you get taught not to answer a question with a question?

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Kane for Salah but it is a personal choice.

      Like man City salah and haaland don't score so well on the road but I will be bringing in Salah gw32 ready for the dgw 34

      1. The Mantis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I've had Kane all season, I hope I got the best out of him. Going with Salah now due to momentum, Liverpool going for top 4 just looks like more attacking returns than any Spurs atm

    3. tuvok
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      As RW says, I would have Steele over Ward (and play him this week, Brighton are better at the back & have a home game). I like the rest though. I'm thinking to go more aggressive on Brighton and have MacAllister as well as Mitoma (which rules Steele out for me) but it creates more headaches for the blank next week

      1. The Mantis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Interesting, is Steele a valid pick then? I must have missed this, what about Sanchez?

        I'll likely bring in another Brighton in 2/3 weeks I think

        1. Robe Wan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Sanch has been dropped

      2. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        With 3 Brighton and Rashford, are you playing 10 next week or doing a hokey cokey.

    4. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'd go Kane over Salah. Salah has two very tough away games and the blank. I think Bruno and even Maddo are possibly better options than Salah in gw29. Makes a lot more sense imo

  2. Millie7
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Pinnock or Henry??

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Toss a coin

    2. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      There will be very little between them I reckon. I prefer Pinnock for goal threat.

  3. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    DRAFTE LEAGUE question:

    Trossard out for:

    A) Gross
    B) Jensen
    C) Norgaard
    D) Leave Trossard

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      D

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A

  4. YoungPretender
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Start 1;
    A) Odegaard
    B) Watkins
    C) Maddison
    D) Zinchenko

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Maddison.

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Normally best to go with the attacker from the best team in these situations

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Wouldn't go Watkins

  5. The Iceman
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    On WC.

    Raya
    Trippier | Estupiñán | Mee
    Rashford | Salah | Mitoma (C) | Mac Allister | Saka
    Toney | Kane (can stretch to Haaland with exact funds ITB)

    Bench: (Kepa | Watkins | Zinchenko | Chilwell)

    Any changes you would recommend? Bench order correct?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      G2G

    2. Prinzhorn
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Great team, looks splendid.

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      With 3 Brighton and Rashford, are you playing 10 next week or doing a hokey cokey.

      Great WC BTW

      1. The Iceman
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thank you both! I'll probably do a transfer to get to 11 players then swap back to a doubler for GW 29 🙂

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks.

          2FT over international break but not pulling up any trees this year

    4. Ducko
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Concider next GW, there is blank fixtures Brighton M.city Liv…

  6. Our Tiny Windows
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I just feel like whoever I pick out of the DGW players will be the wrong one, so I’m sticking with Salah.

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Definitely keep Salah for this week.

      1. Our Tiny Windows
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Oh I meant captain choice.

        1. The Iceman
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Ah, I get you. Personally going with one of the doublers but a Salah haul would be lovely as he's still a decent differential in my ML.

    2. DandyDon
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I have been on Salah all week but am now wavering to Rashford as owning Salah is a differential enough probably. Rashford at home has been so consitant although saints new form is a concern. like you say double players could easily blank or get one score perhaps.

  7. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Hi guys.

    Would you bring in macCallister for Martinelli this week or roll and wait for GW30. and play 10 GW28.

    Might do Ferguson for Kane by then and bring in Salah GW32 for DGW34.

    Sorry I digress for this week

    A. Roll
    B. Macallister for Martinelli
    C. Risk Ferguson for Haaland
    1FT 0.1m ITB

    Team
    Raya (DDG)
    Henry. Estupinian, Tripper (Botman, White)
    Maddison, Saka. Mitoma, Martinelli, Rashford
    Toney, Haaland, Kane.

    Cheers

    Russ

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I would recommend A or B.

      Your team looks great for this week though so saving a transfer might be ideal to give you some more room to manoeuvre in the next couple weeks.

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. I would like Chilwell gw28 and 29

        No fh32 as I was hacked gw15. So it has to come into my thinking the amount of transfers.

        Last week was thinking gw29. Bruno and Ferguson for Haaland and Martinelli for a 2FT or a -4

  8. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    So is brighton and brenford games gonna be cancelled?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Nah

    2. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I would say there is a risk

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Sunshine today in Leeds

    3. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Nope I don’t think so. Glorious sunshine in Leeds n snow disappearing but it is -8 overnight. Should be fine imo

  9. mranonymous
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    WC27. Haaland to come back in 30. Any changes necessary?

    Raya / De Gea

    Trippier / Chilwell / Estupinan / Henry / Botman

    Salah / Saka / Rash / Mitoma / Macillister

    Kane / Toney / Watkins

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Who you dropping to the bench next week, playing with 10 men, or doing a hocky cokey?

      1. mranonymous
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Very strong bench this week.....DDG-Watkins-Chilly-Botman

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Next week you have only 10 men mate. Rashford. Mac. Mitoma and Estu can't all be on the bench

          Are you selling one to bring back or rolling transfer next week?

          1. Mr. O'Connell
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            10 is good for next week imo

            1. Crunchie
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 years, 9 months ago

              Thanks

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Great WC BTW

      1. mranonymous
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks... Hope to avoid issues before BB29

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Me too. WC very similar last week. Not that it did me any good. Played Maddison over mitoma as well

    3. Edalock
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Haaland for who? Kane?
      Who are you benching in GW30 (with Mitoma, Mac and Estu away at Spurs)

      Also Botman away to Bre

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Spurs aren't great but probably Estu

  10. Strudders
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Should I use the FT or just stick with:

    Raya
    Estupinan/Mee/Tripper
    Rashford/March/Mitoma/Saka
    Toney/Haaland/Kane

    Kepa/Zinchenko/Shaw/Odegaard

  11. DARE TO BISCAN
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    60% of the time, Mitoma is accurate every time

  12. Elc1992
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    So need some advice

    Currently going:
    Raya
    Mee Estupian Trippier
    Mitoma MacAllister Rashford Saka
    Toney Haaland Kane

    My subs are:
    Ward Odegaard Botman Saliba

    Im currently unsure whether I want to play Odegaard (replace Saka), or take someone off for Botman hoping for that Newcastle clean sheet...

    Any advice is appreciated

  13. Fpl_Sammo
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I think I'm going captain Toney.Thoughts?

  14. Richm
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    McAllister(have mitoma) for mahrez or save ft?
    Only have 7 for next week and no fh or wildcard.
    Thanks

  15. Evil Joe
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Should I transfer Kane for Toney?