FPL
15 March 2023 128 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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The biggest Blank Gameweek of this season’s final months is about to begin, which usually means that a lot of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are about to activate their one Free Hit chip.

FA Cup quarter-final action has restricted Gameweek 28 to seven matches, although the surprise lower-league eliminations of Tottenham, Southampton and Leicester City ensure that it is fuller than the equivalent weekend of previous campaigns.

According to our site poll, 17.39% will use a Free Hit, with others believing the week can be navigated quite easily and are therefore saving the chip for later on.

PROS OF FREE HIT 28

  • No need for back-and-forth transfers involving the absent Erling Haaland (£12.1m), Marcus Rashford (£7.4m) and the midfielders of Brighton and Hove Albion.
  • It means you can field 11 players at a time when many won’t.
  • As a consequence of this, you can possess template names whilst also having room for enticing differentials that propel you up the rankings and mini-leagues.
  • Later usage could backfire if it focuses on Double Gameweek players, whilst several popular one-matchers haul.

CONS OF FREE HIT 28

  • The average active manager likely already has nine or ten Gameweek 28 players.
  • Similarly, assuming that the highly-owned Harry Kane (£11.7m), Kieran Trippier (£6.0m) and three Arsenal options will be selected, there’s not much upside to it.
  • It might be needed later on in the campaign, as more Blank and Double Gameweeks get finalised.

DRAFT ONE: THE SAFER OPTION

Of the £10m+ options, only Spurs duo Kane and Son Heung-min (£11.6m) will be taking part. Go down to £9.0m and there’s just the injured Raheem Sterling (£9.7m) and out-of-favour Jamie Vardy (£9.1m).

So the budget isn’t a factor here, Free Hit users are simply left with the choice of how template they’d like to be.

This option covers the template names alongside the week’s most-bought players Ben Chilwell (£5.9m), Ollie Watkins (£7.4m) and James Maddison (£8.1m).

It’s hard to have a ‘safe’ midfield as – using the top 100k sample size – only five players with over 5% ownership are playing. Arsenal trio Bukayo Saka (£8.5m), Martin Odegaard (£6.9m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m), alongside Maddison and Miguel Almiron (£5.4m).

Another popular name this week is Kai Havertz (£7.5m), playing up front at home to Everton. However, he’s slightly behind the front three of Kane, Watkins and Ivan Toney (£7.8m).

DRAFT TWO: THE DIFFERENTIAL BONANZA

By committing to Trippier, Kane and Saka before looking at the potential elsewhere, there’s a real chance for FPL managers to shoot up the rankings.

In the line-up below, these three are the only names to exceed 6% top 100k ownership for Gameweek 27.

The differences see Havertz in place of Watkins and the risk of only having two Arsenal assets. Aaron Ramsdale (£4.9m) is one of them, as it creates space for attacking full-back Matty Cash (£4.6m) to cause damage versus Bournemouth.

In midfield, Harvey Barnes (£6.7m) is instead of teammate Maddison, with last season’s joint Golden Boot winner Son hoping to build on his goal against Nottingham Forest.

Speaking of Forest, Newcastle United’s Alexander Isak (£6.6m) faces them and is an option over Toney but Almiron makes way for Aston Villa midfielder Emiliano Buendia (£5.7m).

Final Thoughts

Whether a manager prefers a safer XI, a differential one or a mixture of both, Free Hit 28 allows FPL managers to field a full team without needing to sell big-name absentees.

There’d probably be some sort of green arrow, although it might not bring an upside worthy of such a valuable chip. Especially when there are ten more Gameweeks to use it.

As is often the case, the decision depends on each manager and their unique squad situation.



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

128 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    C'mon Toney!

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Let's go!

  2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Definitely FH worthy, right? Have 1 FT.

    Ward
    Trippier White (Digne?)
    Saka Odegaard
    Toney

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah I'd definitely do that

    2. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yes ma'am

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      yezzir

    4. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yep I'd FH or WC with that

    5. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      yep

      good luck

    6. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Thank you everyone

  3. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    KING IVAN tonight

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Hopefully

  4. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Hi guys,

    Without showing what the team looks like for this BGW, this is my overall squad.

    Kepa
    Shaw - White - Trippier
    Rashford - Saka - Salah - Odegaard
    Toney - Darwin - Haaland
    ______________________________
    Raya: Mitoma: Schar: Tarkowski

    My plan this GW is to do Halaand > Kane (c) to make it 9 players

    So how does this plan sound over the coming weeks?

    Haaland > Kane this GW

    Then before GW 30:

    Salah + Darwin > Haaland + Bruno?

    Cheers guys.

  5. Zimo
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I'm hearing rumors

    1. BECKS TO THE FUTURE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Fleetwood Mac stuck on repeat?

      1. Lord.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Tell me lies

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Elvis is alive?

    3. :
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Lindsay Lohan actually (check the spelling).

      1. ididnt
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Lindsey Buckingham, surely

  6. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Beat use of 2 FTs. Have 2.5 in bank so can't do B/C together

    A. Haaland>Watkins (lose 0.6)
    B. Estup>Chilwell
    C. March>Maddy
    D. Other

    Kepa
    Trippier, Botman, Mee, Gabriel
    Saka, Martinelli
    Kane, Toney
    Raya, Estup, Rash, March, Mitoma, Haaland

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      B and D perhaps

    2. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A & B

  7. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Another factor in favour of a FH is many are fielding fewer than a starting 11 and are taking hits to get to 10.

    Barnes could be a good punt but is he fit?

    I also fancy Brentford to win at home, say 2 or 3-1.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      It says that in the article.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        If he hasn't been reading the articles, which is the only thing I do, what has he been doing?

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Playing the violin.

          1. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Crying too no doubt.

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'm not on FH this week but definitely prefer the idea of using it this week over the last blank, think there are some decent fixtures to attack there

  8. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Rumours of Toney yc

  9. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    March to score a no-goal today.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I think he won’t get a brace.

      1. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Neigh

    2. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      He'll score with a deflected shot and it will be given as an own goal.

  10. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Twitter saying a 19 year old in goal for Palace tonight.

    No senior goalkeeper for Crystal Palace tonight vs Brighton. Guaita has picked up a hamstring injury, and Johnstone is still out too.

    Source: Athletic

    1. Scalper
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Guita owners mudded

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Big advantage Brighton attacking players?

    2. :
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Fwiw, the Brighton owner's horse won the Champion Chase at Cheltenham today so his luck's in.

      The English Haaland starts with one sole purpose...rough up the spotty youth with the goalkeepers jersey on and let the skillful chaps do some serious damage.

  11. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    This is worth a -4 right? Means I can field 11 for 28.

    Salah > Madders
    Estup > Chilwell

    1. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Don't tell me that Estupinan is out .....?

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Meaning?…

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Apologies, I htought that you were talking GW29 ... I must be tired.

      1. Kodap
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        All good, had me a little confused!

  12. Dollyems15
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Away to replace Haaland with Havertz for next 2 game weeks, that gives me 11 players for gw28, is it worth replacing mee or mings for Chilwell for - 4? If so who would I be better to remove out of mings and mee?

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      cant see any CS in 29 for Mings/Mee tbh. Mings cheaper and better 28 fiture so maybe keep him?

    2. Dollyems15
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yeh was leaning that way as also have raya, just wasn't sure if it's worth - 4, I guess in the long run it should hopefully work out

  13. popey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    with FT's most will be in a similar boat for 32 blank though you would expect also able to field an ok 9/10 fairly easily

    Have WC for 33 and can deadend into 32 so think I'll use my FH this week

    Ward,
    Mee, Trip, White
    Marti
    Kane, Toney
    (DDG, Estup, Mitoma, Mac A, Rash,Salah, Zanka)

    A) field 9 for -4
    B) FH

  14. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    didnt realise mendy had returned to training, no chance he gets kepa's spot back, right?

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      It’s Kepa’s spot to lose. Only if he messes up few games

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No chance right now, nope

  15. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I've already accepted another Toney (C) fail tonight.

    1. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Me too. 🙁
      While there's hope .......

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'm hearing he is going to miss his first penalty and get sent off. Worth a bet.

    3. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Non-owner. He’s going big tonight

  16. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Please start Evan Ferguson 🙂

    1. Zimo
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Well he won't now

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I put a smiley though

        1. Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          That might help.

    2. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      God dammit.

      1. Zimo
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        All your fault

      2. Zimo
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Nah but he usually scores when he comes on from the bench so you're good

        1. TheTinman
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Yes it just makes it even sweeter

  17. :
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Solly bang in form after scoring at the weekend and he loves a haul against Palace.

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Exactly. Some of us owners not seeing the bigger picture with March. Yes, we are owed points from the weekend, but good to see him hit form at just the right time.

    2. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I believe that he's only scored once against Palace in the PL.

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        That's about 20% of his career goals tho tbf

  18. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Is Irish Haaland is one the bench?

  19. M2.0
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Would you bring in a Leicester mid if you have two Brentford defenders? Seems like you can’t win

  20. Definitely not sleeping
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    1 ft and 4.3 itb

    Neco > Chilly
    And
    Gakpo > Almirion/Maddy/Enzo/Buendia/Gibbs-White

    These are my choices at present. Worth doing both for a -4 to field 9?

    And if both, best Gakpo replacement?

  21. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    19 year old Whitworth in goal for palace, come on MaCAllister (c)

    1. Babit1967
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Mitoma(C) and Mac here, hopefully a couple goals each

    2. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Come on Walt Whitworth!

      1. Firminooooo
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Walt Whitman

        I celebrate myself, and sing myself,
        And what I assume you shall assume,
        For every atom belonging to me as good belongs to you.
        I loafe and invite my soul,
        I lean and loafe at my ease observing a spear of summer grass.

        My tongue, every atom of my blood, form’d from this soil, this air,
        Born here of parents born here from parents the same, and their parents the same,
        I, now thirty-seven years old in perfect health begin,
        Hoping to cease not till death …

        1. _Make
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          That's pretty good for a 19yo footballer

  22. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Chilwell worth a hit over Henry for the next 2 gw?

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Considering the same move, I also have Estu but don't want to get rid of him really.

  23. wakenbagel
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Is there anyone else who initially planned for BB29 with wildcard and now starting to think might be better to save the chip? Might have better players and fixtures in the bench for the doubles at the end of the season

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      the thing with BB is that we often take extra hits to accomodate players, so the net gain isn't as much as it seems - any stage where you have a strong bench with no hits for just that gameweek, is a good week to use it

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Have to be wary of games towards the end of the season, some teams will still have something to play for while others will have nothing and may be "on the beach". Those that achieve their targets early enough may well see a lot of rotation to give players on the fringes or youngsters a chance so players that are usually nailed might not be

    3. I Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      What has changed?

  24. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Which should be a priority? Can’t have both

    Chilwell
    Maddison

    1. _Make
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Chilly

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      IF Maddison had someone able to finish he should’ve hauled several assists.

    3. Peter FTW
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Chillison

  25. el polako
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Any points scored by Solly March tonight will be awarded to English wunderkind Delle Alli just to give him a moral boost.

  26. Pieters 4 Wood
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Only reason I am playing FH is to secure 3x manager of the month in 3 different mini leagues (small reward). Before today's games holding 20, 20 and 4p lead those leagues and if I can keep the lead will be great. If I fail, my bad. In overall it may have some negative impact on overall rank (slightly away from the last rewading positions with opportunity to go either way) , but better to secure this one.

    I could have fielded around 7-8 players this week, which would not be enough to keep the monthly lead if someone else free hits/wildcards.

    Going pretty much template:

    Kepa
    Chilwell, Trippier, Gabriel/Zinchenko
    Saka, Martinelli, Son(c), Maddison?
    Kane, Watkins + Kai/Felix/Toney

    Thoughts on keeper, Arsenal defender, Maddison and 3rd striker?

    Will stand by Son as captain. He is back 😀

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      i like the double up on chelsea def, could also look at Emi/Sa

      Arsenal def think Gabriel for goal threat, especially if Palace no recognised keeper

      Maddison probably best, could also get Ode and threearsenal mids? shame no chelsea mid options stand out as lots of choice at striker.

      Toney/Kai depending on whether want to roll the dice against well owned player

    2. Scalper
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Son captain?

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Son is back, I agree. I am considering giving him the armband too

  27. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    GTG & hold FT or use FT?

    Raya,
    Mee, Trippier, Zinch, Chilwell
    Saka, Ode, Maddison,
    Kane, Toney,

    Sanchez, Rashford, Purvis, Mitoma, Haaland

    1FT

    .4

    1. Lucky Z
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      seems like Haaland=>Watkins/Havertz is your only FT option

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Havertz?

        1. Lucky Z
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          one of him or Watkins

  28. Total Slotball
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    What is this regen in goal for Palace? So now they’re with a kid in goal with zero threat. Yikes

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      injuries

  29. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Where March points?

    1. Firminooooo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      They add them to his total after the match.

    2. Zalk
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      ...is where Mitoma scores.

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      back in Leeds?!

  30. artvandelay316
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Sub Grimaldo put for Di Lorenzo or Valverde?

    Also keep captain on J. Mario or switch to Vinicius?

    Cheers.

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Grimaldo to Rudiger for me (haven't decided)
      I see Klopper has Milner starting, prolly to cover Vinny.
      Suppose if your on 70 points or less you go for it