Spot the Differential
9 May 2023 838 comments
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Double Gameweek 36 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is on the horizon, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some fresh differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Newcastle United and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

NONI MADUEKE

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NFO | mci + mun | NEW

Noni Madueke (£5.4m) put in another strong showing at the weekend, as Chelsea ended their losing run under Frank Lampard.

After opening his account against Arsenal in Gameweek 34, the England U21 international was a real threat at Bournemouth, racking up three shots and more penalty box touches (12) than anyone on show.

Deployed on the right of a front three for the most part, he saw plenty of the ball, completing six dribbles, twice as many as the next player on the pitch. If he replicates that role against Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 36, he’ll be up against their weaker left flank, something we’ve previously highlighted.

Steve Cooper’s side also rank bottom for big chances conceded (23) in their last six matches, a period that has seen them ship 13 goals, so there is potential for Madueke to do well.

As for Chelsea, they registered their first win under Lampard with a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth last time out. It’s been a miserable campaign for the Blues, but they have improved since moving to a 4-3-3 formation with the ball. Now, they host Nott’m Forest, before their Gameweek 37 double-header.

Madueke is a raw but exciting player, who has proven in his last two matches that he has to be in Lampard’s plans for the run-in. That makes him an excellent differential for the remainder of the season, with potentially four matches in the next three Gameweeks.

JOE WILLOCK

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lee + BHA | LEI | che

Joe Willock (£4.7m) has been one of Newcastle’s standout performers in recent months, with one goal and four assists in his last 10 appearances.

In that time (Gameweek 27 onwards), he’s attempted 24 goal attempts and 15 shots in the box, totals only beaten by one team-mate – Alexander Isak (£7.0m). He’s also created 14 chances, and it’s that duel threat that has seen him rack up 5.44 expected goal involvement (xGI), a team-leading total.

Newcastle failed to break down a resilient Arsenal outfit at the weekend, but they had scored a league-high 13 goals in their previous three, so you’d expect them to do well when they visit leaky Leeds United on Saturday, the first of two fixtures in Double Gameweek 36.

A home meeting with Brighton follows before hosting relegation-threatened Leicester City. Both of those opponents conceded five goals in their most recent outings, offering encouragement to those investing in Newcastle’s attack.

It’s also worth noting in their last four matches, the Magpies place top for expected goals (xG), joint-top for big chances and second for shots in the box.

Willock is in a really good moment right now, having started each of the last six matches, and could be a quality budget midfielder to bring in ahead of Double Gameweek 36.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: MCI | wol | BOU

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was back to his best on Monday, claiming his second consecutive attacking return.

Even though he didn’t score at the Amex, he was a constant threat, running Brighton centre-backs Lewis Dunk (£4.8m) and Adam Webster (£4.5m) ragged and earning the assist for Abdoulaye Doucoure’s (£5.3m) opener.

We haven’t seen Calvert-Lewin look this sharp in a long time, with Sean Dyche’s careful management of his star forward starting to pay off.

Indeed, his return has given the whole Everton squad a lift, and they are clearly benefitting from having a proper focal point in attack, as they rank sixth for xG in the last four, coinciding with the former England forward’s comeback.

Everton’s 5-1 win at Brighton moved them up to 17th in the Premier League table, two points clear of the relegation zone. Their immediate fixture against Man City is challenging but anything can happen as we reach this crunch stage of the season, as evidenced on Monday.

Pep Guardiola’s troops will have their hands full at Goodison Park, too, with key UEFA Champions League semi-finals against Real Madrid either side. Beyond that, Everton finish up with two very appealing fixtures against Wolves and Bournemouth.

Calvert-Lewin is finally injury free, on penalties, and we’re backing his good run of form to continue, making him a decent differential pick for the run-in.



838 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. RedLightning
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is anybody there?

    1. Alan The Llama
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You performing a seance?

      1. RedLightning
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I was just wondering whether the comments on this article were working.

        1. Bluetiger1
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          whats the football related question?

  2. putana
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    who are you guys captaining in ucl fantasy?

    1. CoracAld2831
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Haaland is probably the most risk free choice, but only slightly.

      1. CoracAld2831
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        On Wednesday (if H blanks), someone from Inter, I guess.

    2. The Red Devil
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Same question, thinking haaland, but this is away from home, so tempted by Benzema or vini

  3. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Guys, I need your help!

    Ederson (Iversen)
    TAA Tripp Dalot Estup Zouma*
    Salah Rash Grealish March* Andreas*
    Haaland Jota Solanke

    2 FT-s, FH and TC chip. Would u:

    a) FH gw36
    b) 2FT-s gw36

    TC gw37 seems inevitable.

    Also Brighton gw36 games are hard + their form is questionable, so triple-up and FH maybe risky? Thats the case why gw36 has FH vs 2FT-s dilemma when other players are solid in my team. What do you think?

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      2fts I think

    2. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      2FT then FH38

    3. Bishopool
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      thanks guys

    4. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      2 FTs 36
      TC 37
      FH 38

  4. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What do you think? Play Gakpo (I think he could be rotated) or Ouatarra to Joelinton / Willock -4

    Johnstone
    Trippier, Stones, Shaw
    Saka, Martinelli, Gakpo, Mahrez
    Haaland, Kane, Wilson

    Steele, Ouatarra, Moreno, Castagne 0ft 1.3itb

  5. boc610
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    mahrez owners rejoice 🙂

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Good call & alternative for mid-fielder this weekend
      over Grealish & KDB?

  6. HD7
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    2 ft ; 0.4 itb

    Guys, what would be your moves here?
    Thanks

    Steele
    
 Trippier Stones Estupinan
    Salah Rashford Grealish Mitoma 

    Jota Haaland Watkins

    Kepa Martinelli Shaw Henry

    1. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Newcastle striker in

      1. Haul or Nothing
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Get them both in!

    2. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Watkins to Isak

      Would also start Martinelli over Grealish

  7. RealSocialDads
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    In a dilemma, team with 2FT is currently:

    Kepa
    Shaw Trippier Estu
    Salah Maddison Mitoma Mart Saka
    Haaland Watkins

    Raya Solanke Castagne A. Moreno

    The options I've whittled down are:

    A. Watkins Solanke -> Isak Wilson
    B. Watkins -> Isak/Wilson and save a FT for DGW37

    Appreciate any advice! Cheers

    1. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like B from those 2. Save a FT for DGW37 when you have 4 teams to choose from for the double

  8. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone care to post a City and Madrid combined XI ?

    Hard to leave any out

  9. mdm
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play one:

    A. Shaw (WOL)
    B. Jota (lei)
    C. Watkins (TOT)

    1. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Tough, probably B and hope he starts - not sure what the chances of this are but he could go big if he does, it's the time of the season to take risks

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    3. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jota, but I would look to get rid for 37.

      Firmino's final home game.

    4. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  10. Digital-Real
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Pep Guardiola has reached the Semi Finals of Champions League on 10 out of 14 occasions in his career as manager. Quite impressive.

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      “This will be Pep Guardiola's 10th semi-final tie as a manager in the Champions League.

      The City boss has been eliminated at this stage in six of the previous nine, which is the joint-most for any manager in the semi-finals of the competition”

      Quite unimpressive 😉

      1. Digital-Real
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Very difficult competition to win once you reach the knockout stages.
        Pep's achievements in the CL will invariably questioned, I think he wins two more before he ends his career.

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      But could he do it with Stoke on a wet Tuesday night?

      1. Bada Bing
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        If he had a billion pounds to spend to replace Stoke's team with Man City's team, then maybe.

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      How Many has he won?

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        although must say very impressive

        Unfortunately Pep outthink himself

  11. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Already have 3 Brighton (Mitoma, MacA, March) and 3 NewC (Trippier, Schar, Isak). March injury thrown a spanner in the works as I'm sure it has for many. I was going to use my remainign transfer to plan for GW37 and 38.

    2FT
    So options:
    a) March > Gross & save a FT - with 4 DGW teams in GW37 might be best option.
    b) March > Willock & Schar > Estu
    c) Schar > 3.8 & Watkins > Wilson
    d) Watkins > DCL as above & Save FT

    1. One Flew Over The Goalies N…
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yep I think saving 2ft for 37 is still best so A for me

    2. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like a), don't have to worry about money and focus on GW37. Looking at something similar

  12. Fit_to_drop
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Arsenal watchers. Is martinelli due a rest?

    1. Dennis System
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      There's only 3 games to go and they could still win the league

    2. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Will start against Brighton

  13. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Alvarez > Isak for free? Would be joining Wilson upfront.

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A yes from me

  14. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Can only keep one:

    A) Saka
    B) Martinelli

    Appreciate ya help guys 🙂

    1. LarryDuff
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        “Ahh hello Ted” , love Father Larry Duff haha!

        Cheers bud!

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  15. tiger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Grealish may have injured himself

  16. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Grealish injured already?

  17. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Grealish really struggling

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mahrez

  18. Fintroy
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    No doubt Pep already thinking about his first sub, to rest those tired legs.....bless

  19. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I don't get how that's not a penalty... I really don't understand it

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Pen for me. No intention to play the ball at all just playing to push the man in the back.

      1. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Literally mate. Goes unpunished week in week out!

  20. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Already feels like Courtois could be the difference in this tie.

  21. dark91
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bernardo or Carvajal to be booked first?
    Both are pushing their luck so far

  22. artvandelay316
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play Navas against Chelsea or Raya against West Ham?

    1. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Raya, Hammers might rotate because of Europe

      1. dark91
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I thought you were joking about Hammers and Europe. Totally forgot they are in the semi final 😀

  23. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What’s the point of the ref being there?

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Rigged mate. It's Madrid.

      1. Marvin.
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Don't be silly.

  24. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What is the best option for this week?

    A. Robertson to Trippier (own Botman)
    B. March to Joelinton
    C. March to Bruno
    D. Greenwood to Wilson (own Isak)
    Anything else?

    I would be benching Mahrez in B-D

    1. Alan The Llama
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A - if I had Mahrez, I'd want to play him this week.

    2. Sure You Did
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      D and play Mahrez. A is terrible, don't do that as double NewC defence is not a good option.

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

  25. Sure You Did
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    This ref is shocking.

  26. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    UEFAMadrid should have at least 1 yc

  27. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Absolutely crazy the ref has brandished a card yet

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      *hasn’t

  28. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    The score graphic makes it look like Man City have had a red card.

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Lol I was thinking the same when first turned it on. Not sure why it's not consistent with the equivalent white banner.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        It's the kits but is misleading at first.

        1. Gandalf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Ah yes, rather forgot that it was half red half black!

  29. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    OMG vinicius

  30. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Fulham striker scores