Spot the Differential
9 May 2023 838 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Double Gameweek 36 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is on the horizon, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some fresh differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Newcastle United and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

NONI MADUEKE

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NFO | mci + mun | NEW

Noni Madueke (£5.4m) put in another strong showing at the weekend, as Chelsea ended their losing run under Frank Lampard.

After opening his account against Arsenal in Gameweek 34, the England U21 international was a real threat at Bournemouth, racking up three shots and more penalty box touches (12) than anyone on show.

Deployed on the right of a front three for the most part, he saw plenty of the ball, completing six dribbles, twice as many as the next player on the pitch. If he replicates that role against Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 36, he’ll be up against their weaker left flank, something we’ve previously highlighted.

Steve Cooper’s side also rank bottom for big chances conceded (23) in their last six matches, a period that has seen them ship 13 goals, so there is potential for Madueke to do well.

As for Chelsea, they registered their first win under Lampard with a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth last time out. It’s been a miserable campaign for the Blues, but they have improved since moving to a 4-3-3 formation with the ball. Now, they host Nott’m Forest, before their Gameweek 37 double-header.

Madueke is a raw but exciting player, who has proven in his last two matches that he has to be in Lampard’s plans for the run-in. That makes him an excellent differential for the remainder of the season, with potentially four matches in the next three Gameweeks.

JOE WILLOCK

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lee + BHA | LEI | che

Joe Willock (£4.7m) has been one of Newcastle’s standout performers in recent months, with one goal and four assists in his last 10 appearances.

In that time (Gameweek 27 onwards), he’s attempted 24 goal attempts and 15 shots in the box, totals only beaten by one team-mate – Alexander Isak (£7.0m). He’s also created 14 chances, and it’s that duel threat that has seen him rack up 5.44 expected goal involvement (xGI), a team-leading total.

Newcastle failed to break down a resilient Arsenal outfit at the weekend, but they had scored a league-high 13 goals in their previous three, so you’d expect them to do well when they visit leaky Leeds United on Saturday, the first of two fixtures in Double Gameweek 36.

A home meeting with Brighton follows before hosting relegation-threatened Leicester City. Both of those opponents conceded five goals in their most recent outings, offering encouragement to those investing in Newcastle’s attack.

It’s also worth noting in their last four matches, the Magpies place top for expected goals (xG), joint-top for big chances and second for shots in the box.

Willock is in a really good moment right now, having started each of the last six matches, and could be a quality budget midfielder to bring in ahead of Double Gameweek 36.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: MCI | wol | BOU

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was back to his best on Monday, claiming his second consecutive attacking return.

Even though he didn’t score at the Amex, he was a constant threat, running Brighton centre-backs Lewis Dunk (£4.8m) and Adam Webster (£4.5m) ragged and earning the assist for Abdoulaye Doucoure’s (£5.3m) opener.

We haven’t seen Calvert-Lewin look this sharp in a long time, with Sean Dyche’s careful management of his star forward starting to pay off.

Indeed, his return has given the whole Everton squad a lift, and they are clearly benefitting from having a proper focal point in attack, as they rank sixth for xG in the last four, coinciding with the former England forward’s comeback.

Everton’s 5-1 win at Brighton moved them up to 17th in the Premier League table, two points clear of the relegation zone. Their immediate fixture against Man City is challenging but anything can happen as we reach this crunch stage of the season, as evidenced on Monday.

Pep Guardiola’s troops will have their hands full at Goodison Park, too, with key UEFA Champions League semi-finals against Real Madrid either side. Beyond that, Everton finish up with two very appealing fixtures against Wolves and Bournemouth.

Calvert-Lewin is finally injury free, on penalties, and we’re backing his good run of form to continue, making him a decent differential pick for the run-in.



838 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    City trying to pass it into the net. 3 players in the box and they won’t just swing it in

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      The thing about City is, they always try to walk it in.

  2. JJO
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    When was the last time you saw Modric make a mistake 🙂 ?

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Such a world classic player, envy RM for having him all those years.

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Class*

      2. JJO
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Such a class
        Now even winning a duel with Walker hahah

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Spurs days

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Was considered 'a bit lightweight' back then. Probably was, a little - for the Prem at the time. Or, just the Spursiness seeping into him

    3. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      The day he signed for Tottenham

    4. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Saw him in the flesh at the Ethiad years ago. In a match with Aguero, Silva and Bale (who scored a screamer), he was the standout player for me. Was a step ahead of everyone.

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Lucky you... the best player I've seen play,live, is Rashford or Pogba.

        1. Sure You Did
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          You need to start going to better games!

    5. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Amazing player, one of the all time greats. Glad he even bothered to give us a year or 2 of his career

  3. Digital-Real
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    so easy for Madrid.

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Timing

      1. Digital-Real
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        predictable

  4. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Wow De Bruyne

  5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    OMG kdb

  6. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    De Bruyneeeeeee!!!!!!

  7. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Equaliser

    1-1

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      KDB blasts it in

      From Gundogan

      Frustrations unleashed!

  8. DycheDycheBaby
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    KEVINNNNNNN!!!!

  9. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I’ve slagged kdb loads of times but you can only say fair play to that

    What a strike, rocket

    1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      He’s had 4 shots on target this game.

      Never usually this attacking in big games

  10. JBG
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Wow another lovely goal this match.

  11. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Wow. Talking of screamers.

  12. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Finish!!

  13. dark91
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    KDB looked so ready and prepared to take that shot

  14. OverTinker
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Big Kevin yessss

  15. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    The incessant Madrid crying is hilarious.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Focusing on the wrong side of the game.

  16. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Delighted for city. Hope they go on now and beat this shower of wa@kers

    1. Sure You Did
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Loving how they are slapping Arsenal back to reality and would love them to beat this shower as well.

    2. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Cheering for oil money, have some shame

      1. Sure You Did
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Could be worse, could be a Man U fan!

  17. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    KDB owners finally rewarded 😉

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      It's been a while coming...

      Well, since his 19 pointer in FPL

  18. OverTinker
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    My cousin was talking about how Kevin remains silent whenever City needs him the most and he has responded seconds after. Loving it

  19. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Rudiger is pure filth

  20. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Glad for Kdb, he needed to silent the critics in Spain who hadn't rated him in big fixtures.

    1. Brehmeren
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Must also add something extra that it was against Courtois..

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Agree, he hasn’t been great at all other than the goal though

    3. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      He’s got 3 goals and an assist against Real Madrid in the last 3 years.

  21. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Gundo needs hooking

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      For who? They're light in central midfield.

      Pep doesn't like Phillips.

      1. Sure You Did
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Great toothbrushes but lacking in the TV department.

      2. Paqueta Rice
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I’d bring Mahrez on and drop Bernardo deep

        1. Piggs Boson
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Shout

          1. Paqueta Rice
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Never mind, Bernardo has been terrible last 5minutes lol

    2. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah get the Yorkshire Pudding on for a laugh

  22. boc610
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    city the plucky underdogs coming back into this now

  23. jimmy12
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    45 pts behind ML leader
    who would be a good gamble as captain for 36 ?

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Wilson

  24. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Need to get Foden on and get passing to Haaland.

  25. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Still time for this to kick off
    With a kerfuffle...

  26. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Best move this week?

    A. Botman March & Watkins > Lindelof MacAlister & Wilson (-4)

    B. Botman & Watkins > Lindelof & Wilson (bench March and play Grealish)

  27. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    1-1 in Madrid would be a good result to be fair

    1. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not enough when Real have second leg CL voodoo

  28. JJO
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Get Mac10 and Wilson tonight?
    Exact cash

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yep

  29. SkyByBo
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bernado Silva is the most overrated player in world football. Get ball, mess around with it for a few seconds, ignore all forward options, give it back to the CB. Rinse repeat for 90 mins.

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Couldn’t disagree more.

      1. SkyByBo
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        My ban would get more goals and assists in this city team.

        1. SkyByBo
          • 16 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Nan*

  30. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Pep not making any subs.