Spot the Differential
19 May 2023 511 comments
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Gameweek 37 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is nearing, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brighton and Hove Albion, Manchester United and Leeds United, who we think have the potential to finish the season strongly.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

EVAN FERGUSON

FPL Gameweek 37 differentials: Ferguson, Antony + Rodrigo 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SOU + MCI | avl

The fit-again Even Ferguson (£4.6m) could be an excellent punt in Double Gameweek 37, with his ownership currently sitting at just 1.4%.

That’s because he was benched for the midweek trip to St James’ Park, meaning his chances of a start against Championship-bound Southampton on Sunday have since gone up a notch.

The Irishman has scored four goals in 16 first-team Premier League appearances so far this season, although it’s worth noting he has come off the bench in eight of those matches. In that time, he’s averaging 3.14 shots and 0.82 big chances per 90 minutes.

Brighton go into their second consecutive Double Gameweek with home matches against Saints and a potentially rotated Manchester City side, who could rest key individuals if the title is already sewn up.

Ruben Selles’ troops, meanwhile, haven’t kept a clean sheet since Gameweek 27, conceding two or more goals in eight of their 10 games since. They have also struggled defending balls into the box all season, which bodes well for Ferguson, who is often the focal point of Brighton’s attack.

The Seagulls have been a bit up and down recently, but they guarantee goals, with 15 scored and 12 conceded in their last six matches. It suggests we might see another high-scoring affair at the Amex on Sunday, with Ferguson one of the best-placed options to capitalise if he starts.

ANTONY

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: bou + CHE | FUL

Antony (£7.3m) has often been criticised during his debut season at Man Utd, having registered just six attacking returns in 23 Premier League appearances since his summer move from Ajax.

However, he has shown improvement of late, including the 2-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers in Gameweek 36.

The Brazilian was particularly lively in the first half at Old Trafford, providing the assist for Anthony Martial’s (£6.3m) opener, before he went close on several occasions, registering six shots.

In fact, in his last six matches, he sits third among all FPL midfielders for goal attempts, having been presented with three Opta-defined ‘big chances’. His decision-making and finishing ability are admittedly sometimes questionable, but his shot volume offers encouragement.

As for Man Utd, they certainly have the pick of the fixtures, as they sit top of our Season Ticker for the remainder of the season. They, of course, play twice in Double Gameweek 37 against Bournemouth, who are already safe, before hosting Chelsea who have been poor under Frank Lampard.

With doubts around Marcus Rashford’s (£7.2m) involvement, Antony could be the one to step up. That’s because all of the Brazilian’s returns since the last international break have come without the England man on the pitch.

RODRIGO

FPL Gameweek 37 differentials: Ferguson, Antony + Rodrigo 2
  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: whu | TOT

Leeds United have just two games left to escape relegation, with a trip to the London Stadium up first on Sunday.

The timing of the clash could potentially work in their favour, given that West Ham United were involved in a gruelling UEFA Europa Conference League semi-final in Holland on Thursday. The last time they faced such a tight turnaround, they were comfortably beaten 2-0 at Brentford, conceding 3.7 expected goals (xG).

Sam Allardyce found room for strikers Rodrigo (£6.3m) and Patrick Bamford (£7.1m) against Newcastle United last time out, as the Spaniard lined up on the right side of his 4-3-3 formation, where he looked dangerous when he got the chance to cut back onto his stronger foot.

The same might be in store against the Hammers, where Rodrigo could potentially be up against left-back Emerson (£4.0m), who was benched against AZ Alkmaar on Thursday. His defending wasn’t great last weekend when he came off second best against Bryan Mbeumo (£5.6m).

Across the season, it’s also worth noting Rodrigo is Leeds’ top scorer, with 12 goals from 21 starts. He has also posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box and efforts on target.

With attacking returns in each of his two appearances under Allardyce, Rodrigo will now be looking to add to his tally against West Ham, and could be an effective differential for FPL managers on the lookout for a new midfielder.



511 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    How about these moves lads:

    Rashford,Martinelli,Isak,Chilwell—>Bruno,Odegaard,Alvarez, Lindelof (-8)

    Steele
    TAA,Shaw,Estupinan,Lindelof
    Salah,Bruno,Odegaard,Mahrez
    Haaland,Alvarez
    Sub:Raya,Mitoma,Trippier,Greenwood

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      wouldnt do Mart/Ode move - play Mitoma

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      i would keep rashford for -4. Mitoma will be rested

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Rashford won’t start one game tho? You mean I shouldn’t get Bruno?

    3. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Forget Linda kid for -4

  2. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Anything worth -4?

    Kepa
    TAA/Shaw/Estu
    Salah/Bruno/Grealish/Rash/Mac
    Haaland/Alvarez

    Raya/Tripp/Botman/Greenwood

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Looks good to me

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      You have done it 🙂

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Nice!

    4. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Double game week keeper maybe.

    5. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Sorry my bad kepa is a double. Good team.

  3. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    How many minutes do we reckon Mahrez and Gundo get each?

    120?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Gundo 90, Mahrez 180

    2. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Impossible to tell with Pep but i fancy Mahrez to get at least one start

  4. BC1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    And your man in Newcastles defence that's a model for it this week.

  5. Atwood
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Grealish/Watkins > Bruno/Alvarez

    Sound good?

    No hits. Need differentials for ML rank (25 behind) and leader has Grealish. He can't really get Bruno or Alvarez that easily either. I would then captain Bruno.

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Definitely

  6. M2.0
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Anything worth a hit? Bench correct?

    ————-—-STEELE———————-
    ——-- Trent - SHAW - ESTUPINIAN —
    MAC - Salah - RASH - MHRZ - GAKPO
    —— HAALAND - ALVAREZ ————-

    Raya - Isak - Trippier - Pinnock

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      all good

    2. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Gakpo should be lowercase*

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Bringing him in 38 and Eze -4

  7. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Schar has been a total disaster last few weeks and now I await his 15 pointer on selling him

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      He always seems such a goal threat but at the same time always on the floor

    2. Ser Davos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Newcastle defence has been bizarre this season

    3. Spark Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Also have Schar. Playing him ahead of Tripps in the hope all the stats finally deliver that haul. Also 12 behind in my mini league. Need this!

  8. JayKay1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    FH38, a new one for me, but should be fun :o)

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Good luck coping with the panic when team news leaks 10 mins before the deadline!

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Firmino (TC)

  9. popey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    a) KdB > Bruno
    b) KdB, Trip > Bruno, Shaw (-4)
    c) Isak, Willock > Greenwood, Bruno (-4 and keep KdB)

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Why lose KDB?

      1. popey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        dont really want to - risk of mins plus easy access to Bruno

  10. Ser Davos
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Think Leeds could replace Forest in the dogfight with that goal difference

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      If forest and Everton win, Leicester are down and so are basically Leeds

      1. Ser Davos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Just think there'll be an unlikely twist

        I think Leicester are down and Everton will be fine

        But Leeds could pip a tired Hammers and Forest up against Arsenal

        1. Kevin and Perry go
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          That sounds fun.

  11. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Differential captain in Mahrez or Antony or stick with Erling?

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Depends on if you’re chasing anything? Haaland is the safe pick if you’re only slightly chasing or want to maintain rank. Otherwise, look elsewhere

      1. Paqueta Rice
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Spark Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Wouldn’t go Anthony. Mahrez if chasing otherwise Haaland. Seriously considering Bruno though if I get him in.

      1. Paqueta Rice
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        I’d go Bruno too.

    3. Atwood
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I'm probably going Bruno, but I'm really tempted to go all out with Antony.

    4. NZREDS
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Would stick with haaland. Mahrez could be a decent (and fun) punt if you’re chasing though! Wouldn’t go Antony but it’s not the worst shout ever

    5. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Sterling or Gallagher for a buzz?

  12. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Play Kepa or Pope???

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Pope

    2. Spark Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Pope

    3. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Poop

    4. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Funny.

  13. Spark Dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Isak for Enciso on a neg 4 to facilitate an injured Zaha to Bruno? TC in play too, on either Haaland or Bruno if I made the switch

    Current team:
    Kepa
    Shaw Estupinan Schar
    Rash Salah MacA Grealish
    Haaland Isak Alvarez
    Bench: Tripps Raya Mings Zaha

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah go for it

      1. Spark Dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

    2. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Luxury.

    3. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Isak bench after them moves?

    4. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Sorry what’s the bench after those moves. Does look good.

  14. Rex Lapis
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which one?
    A. Grealish + Jota > Bruno + Alvarez (-4)
    B. Grealish > Mahrez

    Kepa
    Stones Estu Shaw
    Mitoma MacA Salah Rashford Grealish
    Haaland Wilson
    (Raya Jota Tripper Botman)

    1. Spark Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A - Bruno has to be priority this week. Like that

      1. Rex Lapis
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        and bench Wilson?

        1. Bushwhacker
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Can’t bench Wilson

    2. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Grealish bin

  15. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Best move here?

    A. Grealish/Kepa -> Mahrez/DDG -4 (Bench Isak)
    B. Grealish/Isak to Bruno/Alvarez -4 (Bench Mitoma)

    Kepa
    TAA Shaw Estupinan
    Salah Mitoma MacAllister Rashford Grealish
    Haaland Wilson

    Raya Isak Trippier Zinchenko

  16. Vinyl78LP
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    C'mon website, need a big morning lie-in.

  17. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Better move?

    A) Martinelli + Wilson —> Bruno + Álvarez (-4)
    B) Martinelli —> Mahrez (FT) and start Wilson (aka the boring yet safer move)

    Cheers!

  18. WibblesTeam
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    A) Kepa > De Gea
    B) Odegaard > Rashford
    C) Grealish > Mahrez

    Which one for 1 FT?

  19. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    G2G here guys?

    Kepa
    Shaw - Estupinan - TAA
    Salah - Mahrez - Mac Allister - Bruno
    Haaland - Wilson - Alvarez
    _______________________________
    Raya: Mitoma: Trippier: Moreno

    Just unsure who to captain, stick with boring Haaland?

    Thanks for any input gents.

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      2FT --> thinking Grealish + Martinelli --> Bruno + Eze (FT). Best move?

      Steele
      TAA -- Estupinan -- Shaw
      Salah -- Grealish -- Mitoma -- Rashford
      Haaland -- Álvarez -- Isak

      Iversen -- Martinelli -- Trippier -- Botman [2FT + 1.9m ITB]

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Reply fail to I shall reply to yours!

        I think that's a solid side (simialr to mine actually) -- I'm between Haaland + Bruno but feel safer with Haaland.

        1. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Haha no probs man, cheers thank you for that. Yeah feels much safer with Haaland doesn’t it 🙂

  20. sfcspartans
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Sell Gakpo or Mitoma to make way for Mahrez? Mitoma out would also involve using second FT downgrading Trippier (who I’m currently benching) for funds

  21. Miami Monkey
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    1 FT, 0.4 itb. Ideas? Moved to 104k last week and trying to break into top 100k

    Steele / Kepa
    TAA / Shaw / Lindelof / Trippier / Botman
    Salah / Grealish / Rashford / Mitoma / MacAllister
    Haaland / Jota / Wilson

    1. Spark Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Good team mate. I’d almost hold that for two FT in 38. Personally, want Bruno this week but can’t get there in one move.

    2. sfcspartans
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Looks great. I’d roll.

    3. FlamingMoe
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Roll the free, looks good. Rashford status only issue but your bench should cover ok

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Echo the others - good side and best to save

  22. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone considering Enciso?

    1. Spark Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yeh mate. Want Bruno but would need to do Isak to Enciso to facilitate. What’s your thinking?

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Enciso will enable me Bruno whilst keeping Rashford. Gonna sell Mitoma as he’ll probably rest so I think it might be a good punt this GW.

        1. FlamingMoe
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Didn’t Miriam have a rest v Brighton?

          1. FlamingMoe
            • 4 Years
            2 years, 8 months ago

            Mitoma, bloody autocorrect

  23. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which is best here? Trying some fun options as I’m chasing.

    A) Martinelli to Antony
    B) Trippoer and Martinelli to Bruno and AWB/Lindleof (4.3m)
    C) Ouatarra to Garnacho and bench Martinelli

    Thank you

  24. Kantelele
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Who gives more points ?
    A) TAA in GW37&38 and Watkins in 38
    B) Robertson in GW37&38 and Jesus in 38

    1. sfcspartans
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

  25. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    What to do here? 1FT and 0ITB. Thinking of just rolling

    Ederson
    TAA Shaw Estu
    Rashford Bruno MacA Mitoma Salah
    Haaland Wilson

    Kepa Trippier Schar Greenwood

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Great team, I would roll

  26. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    .best option for TC? Thx
    1.fernandez dgw37 bou, CHE
    2.rashford if fit? dgw37, bou,CHE
    3 salah gw38 sou
    4.halland dgw37 CHE, bri
    5 gudogan dgw37 CHE, bri
    6.kdb dgw37 CHE, bri

    1. M2.0
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      4

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      1 or 4

      2 could be there but the illness turns me off

    3. Total Foot 5
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Thx goin 4

    4. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      1or4 or sterling for a buzz unless he’s already in Ibiza.

  27. M2.0
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone else bricking it that they don’t have Bruno or a feasible route to get him?

    1. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Nar garnacho and sabitzer with an happy meal will be better.

  28. Steager
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    On FH, have shaw, Bruno Alvarez and Haaland.

    A) Antony and Ederson
    B) Mahrez and De Gea

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Easy easy easy b for me

    2. Kevin and Perry go
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      In the fishing world it’s called a BB.

  29. Tribecca
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Will Dalot start?

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Doubt it

  30. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    So, are any United or City defenders apart from Shaw likely to play two matches and have a reasonably high ceiling?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Don't think so/.