Spot the Differential
19 May 2023 511 comments
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Gameweek 37 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is nearing, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brighton and Hove Albion, Manchester United and Leeds United, who we think have the potential to finish the season strongly.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

EVAN FERGUSON

FPL Gameweek 37 differentials: Ferguson, Antony + Rodrigo 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SOU + MCI | avl

The fit-again Even Ferguson (£4.6m) could be an excellent punt in Double Gameweek 37, with his ownership currently sitting at just 1.4%.

That’s because he was benched for the midweek trip to St James’ Park, meaning his chances of a start against Championship-bound Southampton on Sunday have since gone up a notch.

The Irishman has scored four goals in 16 first-team Premier League appearances so far this season, although it’s worth noting he has come off the bench in eight of those matches. In that time, he’s averaging 3.14 shots and 0.82 big chances per 90 minutes.

Brighton go into their second consecutive Double Gameweek with home matches against Saints and a potentially rotated Manchester City side, who could rest key individuals if the title is already sewn up.

Ruben Selles’ troops, meanwhile, haven’t kept a clean sheet since Gameweek 27, conceding two or more goals in eight of their 10 games since. They have also struggled defending balls into the box all season, which bodes well for Ferguson, who is often the focal point of Brighton’s attack.

The Seagulls have been a bit up and down recently, but they guarantee goals, with 15 scored and 12 conceded in their last six matches. It suggests we might see another high-scoring affair at the Amex on Sunday, with Ferguson one of the best-placed options to capitalise if he starts.

ANTONY

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: bou + CHE | FUL

Antony (£7.3m) has often been criticised during his debut season at Man Utd, having registered just six attacking returns in 23 Premier League appearances since his summer move from Ajax.

However, he has shown improvement of late, including the 2-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers in Gameweek 36.

The Brazilian was particularly lively in the first half at Old Trafford, providing the assist for Anthony Martial’s (£6.3m) opener, before he went close on several occasions, registering six shots.

In fact, in his last six matches, he sits third among all FPL midfielders for goal attempts, having been presented with three Opta-defined ‘big chances’. His decision-making and finishing ability are admittedly sometimes questionable, but his shot volume offers encouragement.

As for Man Utd, they certainly have the pick of the fixtures, as they sit top of our Season Ticker for the remainder of the season. They, of course, play twice in Double Gameweek 37 against Bournemouth, who are already safe, before hosting Chelsea who have been poor under Frank Lampard.

With doubts around Marcus Rashford’s (£7.2m) involvement, Antony could be the one to step up. That’s because all of the Brazilian’s returns since the last international break have come without the England man on the pitch.

RODRIGO

FPL Gameweek 37 differentials: Ferguson, Antony + Rodrigo 2
  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: whu | TOT

Leeds United have just two games left to escape relegation, with a trip to the London Stadium up first on Sunday.

The timing of the clash could potentially work in their favour, given that West Ham United were involved in a gruelling UEFA Europa Conference League semi-final in Holland on Thursday. The last time they faced such a tight turnaround, they were comfortably beaten 2-0 at Brentford, conceding 3.7 expected goals (xG).

Sam Allardyce found room for strikers Rodrigo (£6.3m) and Patrick Bamford (£7.1m) against Newcastle United last time out, as the Spaniard lined up on the right side of his 4-3-3 formation, where he looked dangerous when he got the chance to cut back onto his stronger foot.

The same might be in store against the Hammers, where Rodrigo could potentially be up against left-back Emerson (£4.0m), who was benched against AZ Alkmaar on Thursday. His defending wasn’t great last weekend when he came off second best against Bryan Mbeumo (£5.6m).

Across the season, it’s also worth noting Rodrigo is Leeds’ top scorer, with 12 goals from 21 starts. He has also posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box and efforts on target.

With attacking returns in each of his two appearances under Allardyce, Rodrigo will now be looking to add to his tally against West Ham, and could be an effective differential for FPL managers on the lookout for a new midfielder.



511 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Will lindelof or varane start both games?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Lindelof

    2. StingRay
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      yes I thk they will. Central pos is definitely Lindelöf's and Varane is fir again he's slotted right in at the expense of Dalot Malaci & thd injured Martinez

  2. ran
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    BrunoF or Mahrez for this dgw?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Bruno

  3. StingRay
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    play TAA or WALKER & why

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Trent. Walker will likely get Chelsea game and then be benched?

  4. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    a) Rashford to Mahrez
    b) Solanke to Alvarez (bench Isak)

    1. dparran
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B

  5. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    sell 1:
    A) Trippier
    B) Isak

    1. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      In both cases one will be sold to a fodder... the other will start ... so basically who's better to ditch ?

      1. dparran
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        probably depends on who you would sell them for

  6. WibblesTeam
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    A) Kepa > De Gea
    B) Ode > Rashford

    Go for DDG because Rashy doubtful, or? On fh38 so can get Rashy next week

    1. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      DDG

  7. StingRay
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Dalot, Grealish & Mitoma OUT for LINDELÖF, MAC & MAHREZ ? Wise moves

  8. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Gundo or foden and why?

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Gundo form n position

  9. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Guys,

    Captain Bruno or Haaland? Am chasing a little in some ML's and pretty much secured 2nd in biggest one. Time for a punt, or not...? 😀

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Haaland imo

  10. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Would it be that mad to do Salah to Mahrez and then back again in 38? Villa not conceding many...

  11. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Bench one

    A) Shaw (Rumoured didnt get off bus)
    B) Trippier

    1. AppleDunk
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Shaw fell asleep on the bus?
      B btw.
      Shaw either start or not play at all.

  12. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Raya/Kepa to either De Gea/Steele for a -4? I feel like worth it at this point

  13. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Any news on Shaw?

  14. AppleDunk
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Who to get for a punt?

    A) Mahrez
    B) Gundo
    C) Antony
    D) Who else?

    1. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A or C. I don't think Gundo will get many minutes over the double.

  15. House Frey Wedding Planner
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Best move for this week? 13 points ahead of ML rival but he has Bruno and if he captains him and he hauls, then I may be done.

    DDG
    Shaw Estupinan Trent
    Salah Mitoma Mac Rashford Grealish
    Haaland Wilson

    Kepa Isak Trippier Gabriel (1FT, 1.6itb)

    A - Grealish ➡ Mahrez
    B - Rash and Trippier ➡ Bruno and Kiwior (-4)
    C - roll transfer

    Cheers

    1. PaladinVargas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A. Hopefully the defensive double-up negates Bruno's damage.

  16. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Any if trippier starts? Or do -4 firindelof or hav mee.play from.bench

  17. mitro
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Wilson + Rash to Alvarez + Bruno (-4)?
    or Kepa to DDG

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B

  18. cutch
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Steele
    Trippier, Dalot, Estupiñán
    Salah, Bruno, Mahrez Mitoma
    Haaland, Wilson, Kane
    Subs: Kepa, Mee, Mings, DaSilva

    Already on a - 4, anything worth a second hit?

    A) Trippier to Shaw
    B) Wilson to Álvarez
    C) Kane to Álvarez
    D) No second hit, GTG

    1. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      D

  19. andre_c
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Don't know what to do with this squad. Just hold?

    Steele
    Dias - TAA - Lindelof
    KDB - Fernandes - Mitoma - Mac Allister - Rashford*
    Haaland - Isak

    Iverson - Schar - Bueno - Greenwood

    1FT - $2.1ITB

    Thanks

  20. PaladinVargas
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Feel like I've snookered myself with past transfers. 2FTs and £0.8m ITB.

    A) Kepa & Grealish > DDG & Mahrez? (No Bruno)
    B) Grealish & Watkins > Bruno & Awoniyi?
    C) Grealish & Watkins & Stones > Bruno & Alvarez & Konate?
    D) Any other opinions?

    Steele Kepa
    Estu Trippier Stones Shaw Henry
    Salah Mac Ode Grealish Rash
    Haaland Watkins Isak

  21. reo19uk
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Start Ederson or Steele?

    1. PaladinVargas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Ederson.

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I’m going Steele, as Ederson could easily miss one

  22. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Trippier + rashy > Estu + Mahrez

    For free?

    1. PaladinVargas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Good moves.

    2. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Is trippier der out?

  23. NJ MetroStars
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    more valuable?

    a) rolling the transfer
    b) kepa --> Pickford (1 transfer in 38)

    1. NJ MetroStars
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      backup is iversen

  24. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Took a -4… good to go? Who to start from Wilson or Enciso? Really can’t decide.

    Ederson (Iversen)
    Estupiñán Dalot TAA (Bueno Coufal**)
    Salah Bruno Rashford Grealish Mitoma
    Haaland(TC) Wilson (Enciso)

    1. PaladinVargas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Has to be Wilson. Great form and Leicester have been terrible.

    2. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Dalot won't start

  25. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    We need a FFS journalist at these press conferences! Lampard didn't talk about Kepa vs. Mendy, Pep wasn't asked about Ake or other injuries etc.!

  26. steven8991
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Kepa Forster
    TAA Gabriel Mings Trippier Estupinan
    Salah Rasford MacAllister Mitoma Martinelli*
    Haaland Isak Wilson

    1FT 0ITB

    A. Gabriel > Shaw (bench Trippier)
    B. Isak > Alvarez
    C. Martinelli > Mahrez, Isak > Alvarez for -4
    D. TAA > Lindelof, Martinelli > Bruno for -4
    E. A+B for -4
    F. A+C for -8

    1. NJ MetroStars
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A and bench isak

    2. PaladinVargas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      C.

  27. JBG
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    230k atm.

    So... what to do to push for (hopeful, but not likely) 100k.

    Captain:
    A) Bruno
    B) Haaland

    Transfer:
    A) Trippier to City defender
    B) Isak+Mitoma to 4.5+Mahrez
    C) Save ft.

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      B is -4, forgot to mention.

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A + A

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

  28. Drogba Legend
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    130 points this past GW..big boost finally

    Ederson
    Shaw - TAA - Estu - Lindolof
    Salah - Rash - Grealish - March - Mitoma
    Haaland - Wilson

    Iversen - Solanke - Botman - March*

    A) March > MaCallister
    B) Grealish > Mahrez
    C) Rash > someone?
    D) Something else?

  29. Hits from the Bong
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Would you change anything here? 1 ft, £0.1 itb

    Pope
    TAA Estupinan Lindelof
    Salah KDB Grealish Rashford Mitoma
    Haaland Wilson

    Iversen Enciso AWB Coufal

  30. steven8991
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which City def best to get?

    1. Deer-in-headlights
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Not confident that any will start both games. I have Akanji and will likely bench for Trippier this week.