Spot the Differential
11 April 2025 470 comments
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Gameweek 32 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which allows us to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Aston Villa, Arsenal and Liverpool, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

DONYELL MALEN

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: sou | NEW + mci | – | FUL | bou

Aston Villa’s April schedule is so intense it almost demands rest and rotation.

However, for Donyell Malen (£5.3m), who isn’t part of Villa’s UEFA Champions League squad, it should continue to present domestic opportunities, particularly in Gameweek 32.

The Dutchman started and scored against Nottingham Forest last week, which came just a few days after he found the net as a substitute at the Amex Stadium.

Now, with Saturday’s clash against relegated Southampton sandwiched in between two Champions League quarter-finals, Malen is once again in pole position to start on the right of Unai Emery’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The Saints, who sacked Ivan Juric earlier this week, have conceded 35 goals in 2025, the most of any top-flight side. They are also without a clean sheet in 14 Premier League matches.

Available at just £5.3m, Malen therefore looks great value in Gameweek 32, given his recent output.

Beyond that, the situation is admittedly cloudier, but if Malen impresses against Southampton on Saturday, he could potentially get another start against Manchester City in Double Gameweek 33, which arrives just a few days before Villa’s trip to Wembley for the FA Cup semi-final.

  • Saturday 12 April: Southampton (a), Gameweek 32
  • Tuesday 15 April: Paris Saint-Germain (h), Champions League
  • Saturday 19 April: Newcastle (h), Gameweek 33
  • Tuesday 22 April: Man City (a), Gameweek 33
  • Saturday 26 April: Crystal Palace (n), FA Cup semi-final

JAKUB KIWIOR

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: BRE | ips + CRY | – | BOU | liv

Following an impressive individual display in Arsenal’s victory over Real Madrid on Tuesday, we’ve opted to include Jakub Kiwior (£4.8m) among our trio of differentials.

The Polish international helped Mikel Arteta’s side to a clean sheet, as the Gunners recorded a memorable 3-0 win in the UEFA Champions League.

Calm and composed for the most part, Kiwior could gain further reward when Arsenal host Brentford on Saturday evening. The Gunners also have a Double Gameweek 33 to look forward to, when they face Ipswich Town and Crystal Palace.

Kiwior, who has been thrust into action in place of the injured Gabriel Magalhaes (£6.2m), who is out for the season, has started alongside William Saliba (£6.5m) at centre-back on six separate occasions this season.

In that time, Arsenal are unbeaten and have kept four clean sheets:

DateCompetitionOpponentResult
8 AprilChampions LeagueReal Madrid (h)3-0 win
5 AprilPremier LeagueEverton (a)1-1 draw
11 DecemberChampions LeagueMonaco (h)3-0 win
8 DecemberPremier LeagueFulham (a)1-1 draw
4 DecemberPremier LeagueMan Utd (h)2-0 win
30 OctoberEFL CupPreston (a)3-0 win

It offers owners a degree of confidence ahead of Gameweek 32, even if Mikel Arteta does indeed decide to mix up his starting XI, with one eye on Wednesday’s trip to the Santiago Bernabeu.

Available at just £4.8m, Kiwior looks an intriguing option for those Fantasy managers who are in the market for a new defender, particularly with no timeline on Riccardo Calafiori’s (£5.8m) return from a knee injury.

CONOR BRADLEY

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: WHU | lei | TOT | che | ARS

With Conor Bradley’s (£4.7m) impact off the bench in Gameweek 31 putting him in contention to start on Sunday, we’re happy to back the young defender as our final choice.

Crucially, Liverpool looked much more balanced after Bradley was introduced at Craven Cottage last week.

He even provided the assist for Luis Diaz’s (£7.5m) goal, which followed one of his signature driving runs into midfield.

“Of course, it’s a boost, it’s always a boost when quality players come back. Especially quality players in that position, because I think Curtis Jones is a quality player but it’s not his favourite position.

“So to have a player in his favourite position is always – not always – but might be better for the team. And Conor has done so well for us this season, just like Trent [Alexander-Arnold]. But when Trent then isn’t there, you always hope to look behind you and see that Conor is available.

“But then if he isn’t, we have to solve that problem. And we are not the only team in this league that has had these problems. We’ve tried to bring the best out of it. That worked really well against Everton. I think Curtis played well also against Fulham. Of course, he was involved in the goal but you can ask yourself the question if he could do so much about that. He did it quite well to very well, in my opinion, for two times.

“But now to have Conor back, I think we all would make the same decision and that’s playing Conor in that position.” – Arne Slot on Conor Bradley

Bradley, who costs just £4.7m in FPL, may be able to build on that encouraging outing against Fulham in Gameweek 32.

It’s a nice match-up, given that West Ham United are among the worst three sides for crosses conceded from their left flank under Graham Potter.

Liverpool have a couple of decent fixtures beyond that, too, with Leicester City (a) and Tottenham Hotspur (h) on the horizon.

Since the turn of the year, all three of those opponents rank among the worst seven sides for StatsBomb expected goals (xG), boosting the Reds’ clean sheet potential.



470 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. rainy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Price changes 12th April

    Rises:
    Mateta 7.8
    Gvardiol 6.2
    I.Sarr 5.8

    Falls:
    Bowen 7.5
    Wissa 6.5
    Tel 5.8
    A.Becker 5.5
    Georginio 5.0
    Beto 4.9
    O.Dango 4.8
    McConnell 4.3

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      3-0, cheers

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        8 months, 14 days ago

        Same. Nice one
        CR

        1. Fitzy.
          • 14 Years
          8 months, 14 days ago

          Same as probably a couple of million others.

    2. DeSelby
      • 3 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      N. Williams also listed as rising. To 4.5.

      1. Bennerman
        • 7 Years
        8 months, 14 days ago

        Very important observation

        1. Bennerman
          • 7 Years
          8 months, 14 days ago

          How many times has this happened, amid the back-slapping, one wonders

      2. rainy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 10 Years
        8 months, 14 days ago

        Cheers, my mistake

    3. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      3 up!

  2. Manani
    • 14 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    BB these lot?

    Raya Rogers Saliba Milenkovic

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      alternative will be TC Isak

      1. waldo666
        • 15 Years
        8 months, 14 days ago

        Probably a toss of the coin TBH mate, I'd probably lean to BB.

        1. Manani
          • 14 Years
          8 months, 14 days ago

          just seems that forest bunch (Sels, Milenkovic) BB this week is way superior, and probably 8pts. difference if they get the easy CS

    2. Grounderz
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Christmas hat never left you ehh since 11 years ago when Gravatar was a thing on here.

      1. beric
        • 13 Years
        8 months, 14 days ago

        Made me smile, good times

        1. Grounderz
          • 14 Years
          8 months, 14 days ago

          There were definitely some good and dramatic times.

  3. Ruinenlust
    • 7 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Burn or Livra?

    1. putana
      • 7 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      livra

    2. Grounderz
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Have a feeling for Burn. And it's burning hot.

    3. NJ MetroStars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      livra

  4. putana
    • 7 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    gvardiol or milenkovic?

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      As long as MC has to play Gvar at CB your betting on CS

    2. NJ MetroStars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      milenkovic

  5. RESULT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Need some help guys! AM TC BB all available. Any ideas which gw would be appropriate to utilise the chips
    Thanks in advance

    1. NZREDS
      • 12 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      TC Isak this week, BB 33 and AM at the end of the season

    2. Cold Palms
      • 1 Year
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Hurry up you are going to suffer from chip congestion

  6. marpy016
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    GTG or worth a BB?

    Verbruggen
    Munoz - Livra - Gvardiol
    Salah - Sarr - Asensio - Murphy
    Isak (C) - Mateta - Marmoush

    Raya - Saka - Saliba - Neco

    1. Krap Nottarf
      • 13 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      My bench currently looks like

      Rays, Saka, Saliba, Dias and considering the same whether BB is worth it.? Risky with Saka minutes news and just one Brentford goal and waste of a BB. Clean sheet and we’re laughing..

      For me it’s a save BB but it’s hard to call. My team looks hard to bench 3 players in gw33 also which is why prefere to pray on a Brentford goal this week and prob play Martinez this week see below 🙂

      Good luck

  7. Krap Nottarf
    • 13 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Play Raya (BRE) or Martinez (sou)

    Thanks

    1. NJ MetroStars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      martinez

    2. Bennerman
      • 7 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      What do you expect from this question?

      1. 112kane112
        • 7 Years
        8 months, 14 days ago

        Probably people to suggest which keeper to play

    3. 112kane112
      • 7 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      I fancy a clean sheet for both, Soton may play more freely now they're relegated. I'd go Raya. Just.

  8. NJ MetroStars
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    start saka or savinho?

    1. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      same question here. I've gone with Saka

      1. NJ MetroStars
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        8 months, 14 days ago

        east coast usa, gotta go to bed too, 6am deadline. have it on saka. start your stars I guess. good luck everyone

  9. gunnersxgooners
    • 1 Year
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Saliba and Mbeumo to Neco and Palmer for -4?

  10. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Start Saka or Savinho?

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Just saw it asked above, never mind

  11. Wayner9
    • 3 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Is Mbeumo to Asensio worth -4?

    1. NZREDS
      • 12 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Not a chance for -4

  12. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    On BB and mostly FH in gw33

    Henderson
    Munoz, Gvardiol, Livra
    Salah, Bruno, Murphy, Semenyo
    Isak, Evanilson, Marmoush
    (Sa, Milenkovic, MGW, Estupinan)

    Would still have 10 players for bgw34, Any changes worth a hit?
    A) Bruno to Palmer
    B) Bruno to Eze/Sarr (would mean taking a hit in 34 to field 11 players)
    C) any other suggestions

  13. Urban Cowboy.
    • 14 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Saliba or Gvardiol? Currently on Gvardiol.

  14. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Start Verbruggen or Raya?

  15. Kaneyonero
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    With Gordon unlikely playing much would you Captain Murphy?

    1. 112kane112
      • 7 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Only if you don't have Isak

  16. Legohair
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Start one?
    A. Saka
    B. Rogers
    C. Saliba
    D. Ruben

    Or just use BB...

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      C

    2. Ange Ball
      • 10 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      B hope he plays if he does he will score

  17. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Sit one

    Marmoush

    Palmer

    Ascension

  18. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Start two from this lot?

    A) Milinkovic
    B) Saliba
    C) Gvardiol
    D) Rogers
    E) Saka

    Also, TC Isak or save?

    Thanks

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Any chances of a reply

    2. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Despite the doubt over Saka, that looks like BB material tbh.

  19. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Planned TC on Isak since GW25 when everyone went Salah. Now thinking should I TC Murphy my rival does not have him he will likely cap Isak. His lead at moment is 150pts. He has played all his chips. I still have BB Free hit and AM chip

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Im looking at murphy too

    2. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Overall Murphy has the better stats but at home Isak is a beast. Its pretty close so if you need to catch up I say do it.

    3. Eze Really?
      • 11 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Throw in the towel bud IMO. Sorry for that.

  20. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Would you buy Asencio over Rogers?

    Can’t afford Rashford

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Too much uncertainty around villa to be sure of either tbh

  21. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Sit one

    A. Palmer

    B. Ascensio

    C. Marmoush

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      b

  22. Bggz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Im not feeling particularly enthused about an Isak TC this GW. Anyone got a better idea?

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Lack of better options later

    2. The Hunt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      I wouldn't overthink it. For many he's the default captaincy pick after Salah and his team (who have a lot to play for) have two home games against bottom half sides. That's a hard to beat scenario.

    3. Cold Palms
      • 1 Year
      8 months, 14 days ago

      Two home games for Isaak does isay hello to a TC

    4. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      I feel the same way. He seems to still be carrying a niggle and isn't at the same level. Who else is there through? no guarantee of a DGW36.

      Its not an ideal TC, Salah in GW24 was the play in the end I think.

    5. Drop Dead Tsimikas
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      I'm thinking Saka in GW33.

  23. dansmusen
    • 8 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Thinking of benching Saka and Rogers....is that madness ?

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      I'm benching Saka and starting Rogers

  24. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Who to captain:
    Chasing in ML’s

    A) Isak
    B) Murphy

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      A

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 months, 13 days ago

      A

  25. Drop Dead Tsimikas
    • 14 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Good to go?

    Verbruggen
    Munoz* | RAN | Livra*
    Salah | Saka | Murphy* | CHO
    Marmoush | Isak (c) | Wood

    Pickford, Mbeumo, Castagne, Kilman

    Now, the question is do I have the cojones to TC either Isak or Murphy...

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 months, 13 days ago

      Yes, Isak

  26. SomeoneKnows
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Raya
    Gvardiol, Munoz, Milenkovic
    Salah, Saka, Murphy, Sarr
    Marmoush, Isak, Mateta

    (Verbruggen, Kluivert*, Kerkez, Gabriel*)

    Planning for GW33 with 2FT by then + 0 itb (AM is activated and FH34, BB36 planed)

    A) Howe + Gabriel > Pep + Timber
    B) Howe + Gabriel > Arteta + Collins
    C) Other ideas

    ** I've selected Collins because of GW36 opponent and assured GW37 match

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 months, 13 days ago

      A

  27. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    8 months, 14 days ago

    Any chance of Elanga playing EVE?

    1. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      8 months, 14 days ago

      The FFS Team News lineup's have him starting

  28. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 months, 13 days ago

    Think I’m locked in. Gvardiol starting instead of Konsa, Savinho ahead of Saka. TC Isak. Those have been my biggest decisions.

    Good luck everyone