Spot the Differential
19 April 2025 618 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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Gameweek 33 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us but there’s still time to pick out three more differentials.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester City, Aston Villa and Fulham, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

To qualify, the player should have an ownership of 5% or less.

We’ve slightly bent the rules this time on Kevin De Bruyne (£9.3m), who was owned by under 4% of managers when we earmarked out differentials earlier this week but who has attracted nearly 400,000 transfers in since.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

­­­FPL Gameweek 15 differentials: De Bruyne, Paqueta + Enzo 3

  • FPL ownership: 8.3%
  • Price: £9.3m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: eve + AVL | – | WOL

Given that he’s not in the Scout Picks, it felt remiss not to cover De Bruyne in some capacity this week.

Be it sentimentality or just desperation to tap into the City attack ahead of their Double Gameweek 33, the veteran Belgian is back in vogue.

The third-most-bought midfielder of the upcoming Gameweek, he’s more than doubled his ownership in the process.

De Bruyne was sublime in Gameweek 32, securing a 12-point haul in Manchester City’s 5-2 win over Crystal Palace.

He topped both the shot and key pass tables in that match, too:

Speaking after his starring role, the City stalwart said he was pain-free for the first time in a long time.

“It’s been a hard year. You know, having a hernia wasn’t fun but I think now I would say I’m basically pain-free for the last six weeks and that’s a massive difference playing with pain or no pain. It was hard but now I feel free, I’m able to do a lot of training sessions and I feel I can do a good job.” – Kevin De Bruyne

Currently, he’s operating in a roaming ‘false nine’ capacity – possibly to limit the amount of hard yards he has to put in, something he would be doing in a more orthodox central midfield role. The two wingers on either side of him are playing narrower and running beyond him:

There are two schools of thought.

One, that Guardiola is going to get as much out of De Bruyne as he can before the Belgian departs in the summer and give him a fitting, prominent farewell.

Or, the 33-year-old playmaker is just another pawn on Guardiola’s moving chessboard. The slippery City boss could go back to ‘wide wingers’ and an orthodox striker at the drop of a hat and/or merely manage his veteran midfielder’s minutes.

We can’t even guarantee two starts in Gameweek 33 (a start and a substitute appearance would be our best guess) but that may well be the case for most City attackers and indeed a lot of the Villa and Arsenal midfielders.

At least we know that when De Bruyne gets on the grass, he’s capable of the special.

YOURI TIELEMANS

­­­FPL Gameweek 6 differentials: Tavernier, Savinho + Tielemans 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: NEW + mci | – | FUL

The ‘undroppable’ status of Morgan Rogers (£5.7m) has been widely discussed in recent weeks but there is another Aston Villa midfielder who has logged even more minutes than the England international in 2024/25.

Youri Tielemans (£5.5m) is the only Villan to start all 32 league matches for his club, completing 90 minutes on 25 of those occasions.

Unai Emery discussed both players’ durability last weekend.

“Some players are showing us their consistency, playing minutes and recovering. It is not easy to play at the level we demand in matches in a row without being injured.

“Youri and Morgan, they are being very important and consistent. I am always analysing if we can take some minutes to rest them, but until now they are being consistent and playing the demands we need.” – Unai Emery

Minutes aside, Tielemans is not the most glamorous of picks. He’s never managed more than 10 attacking returns in a single season, and is currently on eight for 2024/25.

Two of those have arrived in the last two Gameweeks, at least.

Tielemans’ recent underlying numbers haven’t been bad, either. Over the last six Gameweeks, he’s Villa’s leading chance creator (CC, below) and joint-second for shots (Tot, below):

differentials Gameweek 33

With Gameweek 33 opponents Newcastle United and Manchester City possessing two of the higher, more aggressive defensive lines in the division, Tielemans could find ample space in behind for his superb through-balls from central midfield.

differentials Gameweek 33

The Belgian is also on a share of set plays.

RYAN SESSEGNON

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £4.1m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: CHE | sou | avl

Ryan Sessegnon (£4.1m) might be a pick that some FPL managers will want to hold fire on, with the really good stuff – Southampton (a) – not until next weekend. He could enter the Gameweek 34 Free Hit conversation in particular.

If you’re going early on the budget Fantasy defender, Chelsea aren’t exactly formidable foes right now. After nearly losing to Championship-bound Ipswich Town, the Blues fell to a 2-1 loss at home to Legia Warsaw on Thursday.

Enzo Maresca’s side are also winless in their last eight Premier League matches on the road.

differentials Gameweek 33

Above: Chelsea are bottom of the eight-match away form table

The Cottagers even turned over their neighbours at Stamford Bridge in December, winning 2-1.

Why Sessegnon? If you’ve not watched Fulham in the last few weeks, you may have missed the former Tottenham Hotspur defender playing ‘out of position’ on the right wing.

differentials Gameweek 33

After successive returns off the bench in Gameweeks 29 and 30, Sessegnon was rewarded with a start in the last home match against Liverpool and turned in a superb showing, scoring for the third time in five matches.

He unsurprisingly kept his place on Monday at Bournemouth. Don’t be spooked by his early withdrawal: that turned out to be a touchline admin error, something that sent Marco Silva apoplectic.

Those two starts have brought six shots in the box, a Fulham high over that period:

differentials Gameweek 33

Sessegnon has also had more than twice as many penalty area touches (16) as any teammate in the last two Gameweeks.

There’s obvious risk involved with Fulham well stocked with wingers but Sessegnon seems to hold the upper hand for now.



618 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Thoughts?

    A livra to saliba, play Salah and Isak

    B livra to saliba, Murphy to rogers, bench Isak

    Rogers dgw v Isak sgw

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      A

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Cheers

  2. CoracAld2831
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Repost from yesterday, cause there were no responses:

    Raya (Areola)
    Saliba-Konsa-Gvardiol (Trippier, Kerkez)
    Salah-Rogers-Saka©-Sarr (Murphy)
    Mateta-Isak-Marmoush(vc)

    AM: Glasner

    3 FT, 0.9 million in bank

    Move for this team?

    A: Roll FT
    B: Trippier, Murphy -> RAN, Rashford & bench Isak
    C: Glasner -> Arteta/Guardiola/Emery
    D: Isak, Murphy -> Evanilson, KDB

    Will FH34, BB35-36

    1. Punned It
        7 months, 21 days ago

        C or D. Maybe C Arteta. It's a safer move, and you can put your FTs towards clearing out doublers after 34 for in form attackers for the run in.

        1. CoracAld2831
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Thank you.

    2. BlueMan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      A. Isaac to Watkins (free) bench Murphy.
      B. Murphy to De Bruyne (-4) bench Isaac.
      C. Hold , play Isaac , bench Murphy

    3. One for All
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      How likely is Saka to start against Ipswich?

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Neale has benched him.

      2. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        40/60

        1. One for All
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Dilemma lol behind in ml want to captain Saka, think I have to take the risk.

      3. Conners
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        I think he starts both.

        Arteta won't be happy with their last two results.

        1. One for All
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Thanks

    4. Who Ate All Depays?
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Raya
      Munoz, Gvardiol, Saliba
      Salah, Saka, KDB, X, X
      Marmoush, X

      Any 1 striker?
      A) Watkins
      B) Mateta

      Any 2 mids?
      1) Eze
      2) Rashford
      3) Rogers

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        A
        1 and 3

      2. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        A23

    5. AutoFill 2021
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Apologies for the Q. If I use the AM chip this week can I not use another chip in the following two weeks or can I use a free hit next week?

      Thanks in advance

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        You can't use any other chip

      2. CoracAld2831
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        You cannot use a another chip for the next 3 gameweeks as AM would cover gameweeks 33, 34 & 35.

        Next time you can use a chip would be in GW36.

        1. AutoFill 2021
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Thanks

    6. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      DGW captains always a disappointment. Tempted by Diaz or Mo.

      1. Paganoi
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        I'm on Mo as well.

    7. Lucky Z
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Isak => Watkins not worth -4, yeah? FH in 34

      1. Original Sin
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Nope

    8. AMP
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Good morning

      play

      Konsa or Konate?

      1. Lucky Z
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Konsa

    9. Feloh
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Eze to Bowen or just leave it?

    10. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Interestingly Marmoush's hauls have come at home. Expect little from Everton away and more from Villa at home.

    11. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Bench Boost? How likely are we to get another big DGW?

      Raya
      Milenkovic Kerkez Munoz
      Salah Saka Murphy Asensio Eze
      Mateta Marmoush

      Sels Isak RAN Burn

      1FT, 0.9 ITB

      Isak to Watkins and Bench Boost?

      1. My own Personal Jesus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Watkins no longer a sure starter, might start one of two, and fixtures not easy

    12. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Which one? Will FH34

      A Konsa
      B Trippier + 4

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Same dilemma with Livra. Tempted to keep

      2. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        B

    13. gomez123
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Does it matter what order you set your team up on BB?
      Just put 4 Double GW players on the bench and it looks good!! Ha!

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        None. Makes no difference. Just looks good on the Insta post.

        1. gomez123
          • 12 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          thanks

    14. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Is Murphy -> Rogers worth a -4 to bench Isak?

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Thinking similar with Rashford, got to be a pen in these games

    15. TSN
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      A. Murillo > Kiwior (-4), bench Jmurph
      B. Play Jmurph

      Other def: Saliba, Konsa, Munoz

    16. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Who’s you Captain?

      1. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        No clue, my options all have at least one negative against them. Might opt for a SGWer

      2. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        May just go Salah

    17. Redranger
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Bench any of these guys for Konsa?

      A) Saliba
      B) Munoz
      C) Gvardiol

      1. Goro Majima
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        No

    18. Garlana
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Best single gameweek defender 5.4m or under? I'm looking to replace Burn.

      1. Punned It
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Sessegnon

      2. Garfield1001
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Would you rather keep Milenkovic OR Livramento on BB (and for rest of season)?

        Thanks

        1. Pipermaru
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Milenkovic

      3. niaz1982
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Murphy > Trossard?
        Areola > Martinez

      4. RogueBlood
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        4ft 0.8ITB BB this week FH next week, currently thinking

        Schar & Murphy> Lewis & Rashford, how does this sound? Risky double city at the back but gives me 12 DGW players

        Raya
        Saliba, Munoz,Gvardiol
        Saka, Rogers, Sarr, Salah
        Marmoush, Mateta, Isak

        Verbruggen,Schar,Murphy,Konsa

      5. gfcc20
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Schar + Eze + Savinho to Bradley + KDB + Rogers worth a -4?

      6. Bleh
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Best move? 1 FT

        A. Livramento > Bradley
        B. Livramento > Konsa
        C. Roll

        1. Garlana
          • 10 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Is Bradley even a good option now with Trent back?

          1. Bleh
            • 8 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Forgot to mention - will likely only need them this week on BB. Happy to bench him or Konsa for the rest of the season.

        2. Feloh
          • 8 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          C

        3. Tonyawesome69
          • 6 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          I am rolling

      7. FplmorelikeFml
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Any Man City line-up leaks so far?

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          No

      8. Releasebreaks
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Saka to DeBruyne for free ?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 6 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Stick

      9. Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Sarr, eze, or Murphy…?
        For Rogers in.

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 6 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Murphy if on FH34

          1. Taegugk Warrior
            • 7 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Not FH, but BB, FH GW34

        2. Punned It
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Eze

        3. FootballRookie
          • 3 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          A) Keep Saka
          B) Downgrade to Trossard, and Murphy to KDB

          To maximise BB.... FH next week

        4. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Timber owners holding?

          1. Royal5
            • 14 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Yep

          2. Tonyawesome69
            • 6 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Probably a sub app for Ben White in the 1st game and a start in the 2nd

          3. g40steve
            • 7 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            Cheers

        5. The-Red-1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Which date the best accounts on X for city leaked lineups please?

          1. Conners
            • 6 Years
            7 months, 21 days ago

            As far as I know...

            FPL Toni
            FPL Maine Road

            1. The-Red-1
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              7 months, 21 days ago

              Thanks