Spot the Differential
28 August 2025 334 comments
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Spot the Differential puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Nottingham Forest and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.



PAPE MATAR SARR

Is Sarr the answer to Spurs' problems - and a good FPL pick? 1

  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: Â£5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BOU | whu | bha | WOL | lee

Pape Matar Sarr (£5.0m) looks like a player reborn under new Tottenham Hotspur boss, Thomas Frank.

Currently sitting in just 2.8% of FPL squads, he’s the only central midfielder to have started all three of Spurs’ competitive games this season.

In last weekend’s 2-0 win at the Etihad Stadium, Sarr pushed up right alongside centre-forward Richarlison (£6.7m), as you can see in the image below:

Prior to that, from a deeper role, he provided the assist for Brennan Johnson’s (£7.1m) strike against Burnley.

Sarr’s position and the extent of attacking freedom afforded to him will vary based on the opponent, but his capacity to make late runs into the box will remain.

It’s also worth noting Sarr has nearly reached the defensive contributions (DefCon) threshold in both matches this season, with 10 (BUR) and nine (mci).

While it’s Johnson and Mohammed Kudus (£6.6m) who are understandably dominating most FPL managers’ thoughts when assessing Tottenham’s midfield options this week, there is certainly value to be found elsewhere, particularly in the case of Sarr.

It suggests he could be the perfect differential enabler, with Spurs facing very favourable fixtures beyond Saturday’s home clash with Bournemouth.

DAN NDOYE

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: Â£6.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: WHU | ars | bur | SUN | new

Arriving from Bologna in a deal worth £34m this summer, Dan Ndoye (£6.0m) appears to be the perfect winger for Nottingham Forest.

The Swiss international has the ability to provide quality crosses into target man Chris Wood (£7.7m), while he also possesses reasonable goal threat, having scored eight times in 30 Serie A appearances in 2024/25.

Ndoye, who provided the assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi’s (£6.0m) equaliser last week, should be presented with further opportunities to get amongst the points against a West Ham United side that allowed seven big chances in their 5-1 defeat to Chelsea, the most of any team in a single match this season. 

Looking further ahead, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face newly-promoted Burnley and Sunderland in Gameweeks 5 and 6:

For a team not known for its attacking play, Forest have totalled a very respectable six big chances across their first two matches (see image below), with Ndoye playing a direct role in two of these clear-cut opportunities.

It suggests a punt on the overlooked winger, who undoubtedly has the fixtures to excel, could pay off. 

Above: Team sorted by big chances (BCT) in 2025/26

MATTHIJS DE LIGT

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: Â£5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BUR | mci | CHE | bre | SUN

Although Patrick Dorgu (£4.5m) has attracted the majority of transfer interest this season, his Manchester United teammate Matthijs de Ligt (£5.0m) is a viable alternative.

The Dutchman has banked DefCon points in both matches of the 2025/26 season:

He’s yet to record any attacking points; however, he did take three shots against Arsenal in Gameweek 1 and poses a significant threat from set plays. 

Additionally, de Ligt secured three bonus points in the recent match against Fulham, thanks in part to six clearances, including one off the line.

The United centre-back is currently sitting in just 3.2% of FPL squads, but with clean sheet potential in three of the next five Gameweeks (BUR, bre, SUN), along with the capacity to accumulate DefCons in the other two (mci, CHE), he could prove to be a valuable differential asset.

United players admittedly won’t appeal to everyone following their unexpected midweek defeat to Grimsby Town in the Carabao Cup; however, in regard to de Ligt, there is at least rationale behind the selection.

334 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    For GW3 only which midfielder would you bring in for Palmer (-4) ? (can get all but Salah)

    Gonna WC in the IB:

    Sels
    Porro - Tosin - Dorgu
    Bruno (C) - Wirtz - Kudus - X
    Watkins - Ekitike - Pedro

    (Bizot, Rutter, Struijk, De Cuyper)

      1. White Pony
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        TF..

      2. Ale Seizer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        I'm eyeing up some short-term Barnes. Two juicy fixtures and no Gordon or Charlie Big-strikers to stand in his way. Whether he takes the opportunity is entirely down to him, but he's got previous for coming up with the goods.

    1. Mother Farke
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 9 days ago

      MGW or Ndoye to "cover" Wood going nuts?

    2. Wenger_In
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Barnes Damsgaard Grealish are my picks outside Utd and Spurs in midfield.

      • Big Mike
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Sarr, He has a good record against Villa. Plus after that he faces Sunderland and West Ham.

    3. The Hunt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Who won the pre-season Guess the Player Prices competition? I haven't seen it mentioned anywhere.

      1. White Pony
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Mark Sutherns I hear.

        1. The Hunt
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Nice one Mark. Free membership.

          And another thing, does the "Years On Site" indicator stop at 15 or is it broke?

          1. Feanor
            • 16 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            not sure

      2. TallestJohn
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        I never even saw the competition!

    4. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Larsen to Newcastle...

      Wolves close to reaching agreement with Genk for Nigerian international striker Tolu Arokodare, who was left out of squad for tonight's Europa League play-off v Lech Poznan.
      https://x.com/RyanTaylorSport/status/1961157328012513560?t=X0-MM54yLdmaSAHZX3nkvw&s=19

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Thx. Looks like Isak to Liverpool is going to happen. JSL to Newcastle to replace him. Who is the striker they signed, do we expect him to be 2nd choice, eased in or what?

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Or maybe not...

        NUFC won’t sign Woltemade & Jorgen Strand Larsen — too similar
        https://x.com/SkySports_Keith/status/1961121745953325165?t=im4ieGuRW7TIcnoOO6IWqQ&s=19

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Possibly yes. But they do also need squad depth and they play in Europe. They might still be after both Wissa and JSL, if Isak money is big enough, however I am not sure of financial fair play rule situation. And certainly they may have been looking for a cheaper Wissa "replacement" also. Wolves new signing is strong signal of JSL leaving imo.

          Newcastle transfer rumours: Jorgen Strand Larsen - BBC Sport https://share.google/N4CQCyF8YtlYbDojj

    5. CoracAld2831
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Are you keeping or selling Palmer?

      I'm still 50/50 myself.

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        60/40 keeping and Andersen/Esteve autosub

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Might sell

      2. Zalk
        • 14 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Me too. I'll probably make a decision at deadline...

      3. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        I sold him for Cunha to beat the price rise...

      4. Feanor
        • 16 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        He's 10.5m with a dicky groin and hasn't scored in open play since January

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Not even in CWC?

      5. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Sold

      6. Big Mike
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Selling. He's too expensive to sit on the bench, even if he's only missing one game.

      7. A Trout
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Struggling to settle on a replacement. May just let Rodon off the bench and keep a transfer.

        • Cruyff's Eleven
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 8 days ago

          Cold is Gooone.

          See you after the IB champ.

      8. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Who do you think is more nailed and will be the best option moving forward?

        A) Sarr (from Spurs)
        B) Ndoye
        C) Dango
        D) Ndiaye
        E) O’Riley

        1. Moneymar
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          B

        2. Khark
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          BADCE

        3. NoOneCares
            3 months, 9 days ago

            B and E are not nailed and will get the least minutes out of everyone else. Get Sarr from Palace or C.

          • Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            B or c

          • Big Mike
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            A

        4. Mother Farke
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 9 days ago

          WC squad representation:

          England x3
          Spain x2
          Ghana x2
          Serbia
          Sweden
          Denmark
          Kiwi
          Brazil
          Norway
          Slovakia
          Mozambique

          Money ITB for a certain Swede.

        5. shorey143
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Sels Verbruggen - fine til WC

          Porro Milenkovic RAN* De Cuyper Rodon

          Gakpo Wirtz Palmer* Bruno Rutter*

          Mateta Watkins Evanilson

          8m+ rank which I’m not sweating about as a lot in the same boat. Not WC until 7 earliest. Wanted to roll past transfer window and Intl break.

          RAN is fine as his downgrade doesn’t lost value as still 6.0 in my bank so will play Rodon.

          Wirtz not looking a great pick but will let it ride over the next few fixtures.

          Rutter was going to be benched anyway.

          My dilemma is Palmer, if him and Chelsea were smart they’d sit him out at the weekend which helps justify pulling out of the England squad. Get him back on WC.

          So who to get him for and the whole question is Haaland necessary I guess?????

          So I could downgrade him to KDH and then make two moves for the Burnley game to upgrade a striker.

          Or do I go Kudus for the next 5 and wait to see if Marmoush or Foden get a run so I go for one of them and keep all 11 assets decent without compromise?

          So I guess the question is Haaland a must for Burnley but with KDH and Rutter along with a RAN downgrade or a team of semi premiums?

          1. Four Letter Wirtz
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Yeah, you're getting a bit squeezed by going with no Salah or Haaland and then the semi-premiums all underperforming and/or getting injured.

            The main problem I see that it's not clear which striker should be sold... they all could come good still on their current run of fixtures.

            1. shorey143
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              Thanks. Tbh thought same and figured they all get another couple of weeks and then the choice could be obvious

        6. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Imagine there are people who own 3 United assets because they wanted to target 2 good fixtures. Lol. Imagine..

          1. Dynamic Duos
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Have you got 3?, you can tell us , we won't laugh

          2. shorey143
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Haha. I’ve gotta hold Bruno and as a Hammer resisted buying any of mine which I’m glad about

          3. g40steve
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Yes imagine watching last nights game & seeing them handed their ar5e by 3rd tier team

          4. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Imagine drinking whiskey alone and not being nice to others. Everything is possible in football. None of the MU assets has failed yet vs Burnley. Surely players like Bruno, Mbeumo and Cunha are still good football players? Class is permanent, they say.

        7. The 12th Man
          • 12 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Considering Palmer > Dango and Peroe > Wood for free.

          1. shorey143
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Now downside there this week, depends what you’re thinking longer term. Palmer prob back w4 and Wood flying back across the world to face Arsenal

            1. The 12th Man
              • 12 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Fhing in 4

          2. Cruyff's Eleven
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            I thought Django was a Western movie

        8. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Best Palmer replacement for next 4...
          A Kudus
          B Barnes
          C Cunha
          D Bruno

          1. shorey143
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            I’m on A

            1. The 12th Man
              • 12 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Yeh he’s in my thoughts too but doesn’t score many.

          2. Mother Farke
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 9 days ago

            A or B. Leaning towards A based on the eye test. Avoid the witches cauldron that is United, even if the fixture is Burnley.

            1. Lilliputian
                3 months, 8 days ago

                Witches cauldron.

            2. Big Mike
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              B

            3. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Certainly not D

          3. You've got red on you.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            For 1 week only?

            Burn or Porro

            Semenyo or Barnes

            1. Mother Farke
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Porro x Semenyo.

            2. g40steve
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              PS

            3. Big Mike
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Porro and Barnes.

              Porro and Semenyo play each other, so if one hauls the other blanks.

          4. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Pick one to play
            A- Diouf NFO (A)
            B- KDH WOL (A)
            C- VDV BOU (H)

            1. Mother Farke
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              C.

              Not A because chances are Forest will score and West Ham look poop.

              Nit B because KDH doesn’t look involved in the attack.

            2. Big Mike
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              B. Higher upside.

          5. CoracAld2831
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Same question, different player:

            Are you keeping or selling Wirtz?

            I'm 60/40 towards selling for Cunha or Mbeumo and capping the player i get.

            1. Big Mike
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Selling, but not this game week.

            2. Feanor
              • 16 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              If you were gonna sell him it should have been before his dropped in price

          6. Kodap
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            On WC currently, have 0.2m in the bank with this lot..

            Would you leave it as is, or swap Sels, Cunha & Ekitike for > Vicario, Gakpo & Gyokeres?

            Vicario
            Cucu - Saliba - Dorgu
            Salah - Kudus - Cunha - Semenyo
            Wood (c) - Joao Pedro - Ekitike

            Dubravka - Reijnders - VDV - Gudmondsson

            1. Camzy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              The team looks pretty good. Wouldn't go Vicario though and double up with Spurs.

              Would probably keep Sels and I prefer Ekitike to Gyokeres too.

              1. Kodap
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Thanks Camzy, appreciated! Will keep it as is then

              2. Baps Hunter
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Do you trust Dorgu after Grimsby game? Without enough saved transfers I would avoid all possible minutes risks before itb. Ekitike may also become one later supposing they sign Isak.

          7. Flynny
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            What would you do here with 1ft? Thanks

            A....save ft
            B.....georginio to sarr and bench munoz
            C.....something else

            Sels
            Porro murillo munoz dorgu (gudmundsson)
            Salah cunha wirtz reijnders (georginio)
            Watkins pedro (guiu)

            1. Big Mike
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              B

          8. gremo
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Best 7M MID option? Have Salah, Sarr, Reijnders and Kudos. Thank you.

            1. Mother Farke
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Elanga/Barnes punt while Gordon is out?

            2. Big Mike
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Short term, Barnes. Long term, probably Dango or Rogers.

          9. Count of Monte Hristo
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Dorgu or Cash?

            1. Big Mike
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Cash

              1. Feanor
                • 16 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Tango

          10. Randy_Marsh
            • 15 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Wildczrd

            Sanchez
            VanDeVen Chalobah dorgu
            Salah, cunha, Johnson, rejnders
            Haaland, Pedro, wood

            Hope thos will do well

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Dorgu being subbed off at HT vs Grimsby is a red flag for me. There has to be serious risk that it may happen again or before 60 minutes.

          11. Ginola
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            My (premium) membership was not automatically renewed this year. Is this the case for other people as well, or is this the new policy?

            1. Denis Tueart on the wing
              • 15 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              It's a no reply fpl ghost town on here. Nobody is answering

            2. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Mine was, but at quite high price... There have been some earlier issues and personnel has changed.

          12. Denis Tueart on the wing
            • 15 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            I have been on here for a load of years, but never seen such basic out-of-date info. What has happened?

          13. Sir Burtenshaw
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Semenyo or Sarr?

          14. Ady87
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Palmer to

            1) Semenyo
            2) Johnson
            3) Kudus

            Leaning 2. Team:

            Sanchez (Dub)
            VDV Aina Gab (Diouf Esteve)
            PALMER Salah Bruno I.Sarr Reijnders
            Wood Watkins (Guiu)

            Probably WC soon.

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Coin toss category. I might get Kudus. I wouldn't WC that before you want triple Arsenal.

          15. Silva Bilva Tilva Pilva
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Hi mates, some advice here would be great.
            I'm going to FH4 and want to replace Palmer and Guiu (my other ones are Wirtz, Gakpo, Kudus, Reijnders, Haaland and Watkins).

            Guiu will be Wood.

            What would be the best option for Palmer (7.3m itb)?

            A - Johnson
            B - Ndoye
            C - Elanga
            D - Semenyo
            E - PMSarr
            F - Dango
            H - CHO

            1. CherryBoys
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              D but I’m biased!

          16. Digital-Real
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            With Isak moving to Liverpool imminent, goals will be shared in that forward line. Is Salah still worth the 14.5m price? We also have Haaland knocking around at 14m.

          17. Mr.What?
            • 13 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Porro Sarr Guiu
            Or
            Van De Ven King Wood

            Really want Wood but too much sacrifice?

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              For how long? Guiu and King are just bench fodders? No other route?

          18. Tinslinger
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 8 days ago

            Very keen on Pape Sarr but with the Xavi Simmons signing looking like it’s going ahead. I’m a bit worried about minutes.

            1. Cruyff's Eleven
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 8 days ago

              Simmons won't start on the weekend champ

          19. OneArseneWenger32
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 7 days ago

            Anyone captain on Cunha?