Spot the Differential
23 October 2025 105 comments
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Brentford, Everton and Leeds United assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 9 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


IGOR THIAGO

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: LIV | cry | NEW | bha | BUR

With five goals scored in the first eight Gameweeks, Igor Thiago (£6.1m) enters Saturday’s home match against Liverpool in good nick.

The Brazilian was a constant menace in east London earlier this week, finding the net and only narrowly missing out on a second due to an offside call.

Despite suffering a serious knee injury in 2024/25, Thiago has started every league match this season, playing a crucial role for Keith Andrews’ side.

Indeed, the 24-year-old has been directly involved in 56% of Brentford’s Premier League goals when on the pitch.

He has also produced 18 shots, the third-most of any forward, and eight of those have been big chances.

“What we’ve seen from Igor Thiago is that he will score goals.

“He’s a handful. He’s a personality.” – Keith Andrews on Igor Thiago

Liverpool travel to the Gtech Community Stadium without a clean sheet in eight matches in all competitions, a period which has seen them concede 12 goals.

Furthermore, only two teams have conceded more big chances than Arne Slot’s side (14) over the last four Gameweeks.

Brentford, meanwhile, have already taken points off Aston Villa, Chelsea and Manchester United at home, so they look primed for another strong showing in front of their own fans.

Part of only 4.3% of squads, Thiago can deliver great value over the next few Gameweeks, with further favourable clashes against Brighton and Hove Albion and Burnley to follow.

MICHAEL KEANE

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: TOT | sun | FUL | mun | NEW

Everton defender Jarrad Branthwaite (£5.3m) won’t be returning to the pitch any time soon after suffering an injury setback.

Consequently, Michael Keane (£4.5m) gets our vote ahead of Sunday’s home match with Tottenham Hotspur.

The stand-in centre-back has enjoyed a solid campaign thus far.

Keane, who costs just £4.5m in FPL, has kept two clean sheets in four home matches in 2025/26.

He has also registered an impressive 78 defensive contributions (DefCon), the eighth-most of any defender and only 14 fewer than his partner at the back, James Tarkowski (£5.5m), who is much more expensive.

Above: Defenders sorted by total defensive contributions (Tot) in 2025/26

Keane also boasts a decent set-piece threat – only three defenders have had more shots than his eight over the season so far.

Tarkowski, by contrast, has one.

Everton, meanwhile, sit third on our Fixture Ticker over the next seven Gameweeks, facing five opponents that rank in the bottom half for non-penalty expected goals (NPxG): Tottenham Hotspur (14th), Sunderland (17th), Fulham (15th), Newcastle United (12th) and Nottingham Forest (13th).

With the potential to produce points at both ends of the pitch, Keane is firmly on the radar as a budget differential.

SEAN LONGSTAFF

The top FPL players for ‘chance involvement’ in 2025/26

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: WHU | bha | nfo | AVL | mci

With Leeds United in desperate need of three points when they entertain West Ham United, it may be time to take a chance on budget midfielder Sean Longstaff (£4.9m).

It’s been a relatively slow start for Daniel Farke’s side this season, who sit 16th in the table after eight matches.

However, Longstaff’s underlying stats suggest he’s the man most likely to deliver on Friday.

Longstaff has created 17 chances in 2025/26, the joint-most of any FPL midfielder except Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m).

Out of those key passes, nine have been produced from corners and free-kicks.

Notably, West Ham are bottom for set-piece goals and attempts conceded, as well as headed chances allowed.

Longstaff has also produced DefCon points in two of his three home starts, having fallen only three short against Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 7.

Regarding goal threat, eight shots over the last five Gameweeks is a respectable tally, although it is worth noting that most of his threat has arrived from outside the penalty box.

Still, costing less than £5.0m, Longstaff could be a very decent enabler for the upcoming period, with further appealing matches against Brighton and Hove Albion and Nottingham Forest to come.


105 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. RUUD!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 months, 5 days ago

    Is anyone going against Haaland captain this week? If so who?

    1. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      Saka or bruno

    2. Mr_Boof
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Tempted with Semenyo as a differential

      • GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Not in any GW in current form.

      • The Hunt
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        A guy in my work is talking about captaining someone else this week but I've long held the opinion that he is clinically insane.

    3. Totalfootball
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Who to bench ?
      What to do ? 6 players from arsenal vs palace

      1 Ft 2.3 it

      Raya
      Timber Senesi Burn
      Saka Sarr Semenyo Caicedo
      Haaland Mateta Pedro

      Dubravka Reijnders Vdv Guehi

      1. GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Stick. You'll get a few GWs like that.

    4. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Who is the most realistic striker that West Ham could sign?

      1. Herger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Gyokeres

      2. Budweiser
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Zirkzee

        1. Count of Monte Hristo
          • 12 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          That’s what I was thinking 😉

      3. Bobby Crush
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Muniz?

      4. GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Toney.

      5. z13
          2 months, 4 days ago

          Toney, apparently he wanted to be back in the PL before World Cup. Not super realistic i guess

        • Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          Callum Wilson

      6. hazza44
        • 13 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Which one for Reijnders?
        A) Enzo
        B) Mbeumo
        C) Ndiaye
        D) Gordon

        1. barton fc
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          A

        2. HighestPeake
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          B

        3. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          B

      7. barton fc
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        On BB which moves are best? (4FTs 0.0 ITB)

        Raya dubravka
        Gabriel tark senesi VDV adnersen
        Bruno semenyo ndiaye reijnders stach
        Haaland Gyok pedro

        A) andersen > rodon
        B) gyok stach andersen > kroupi Jr saka gudmundson

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          A

        2. Il Capitano
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          A

      8. Minion
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Random question, but does anyone know who the Geordie fella is on FFScout’s social media please?

        Usually on the shorts/reels that originate in that TikTok place the youngsters like.

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          I don't watch the videos but FPL Marc is also a Newcastle fan.

          He's one of the four who pick Scout squad each week.

      9. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Will u start burn or ismail sarr?

      10. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        1FT 0 ITB

        Raya
        Gabriel Tarkowski Senesi
        Saka Bruno Semenyo Reijnders
        Haaland JP Woltemade

        Dub - King Alderete Andersen*

        Had to go early on 2FTs this week (Gyok + Foden to Wolt + Saka). Roll the last FT and try and squeeze some Palace in next GW?

      11. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Who to bring in and play? For a hit.

        A) Bruno
        B) James
        C) Gabriel

        1. Budweiser
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          C

        2. Captain Mal
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 4 days ago

          Who are you playing if you don't make the transfer? None of them seem hit worthy this week.
          Also, which mid are you selling for A and which def for B and C?

        3. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          Sounds like a hit out of impatience if you are considering changing either midfield or defense.

      12. Punned It
          2 months, 4 days ago

          I'm probably doing JP > Mateta and Stach > Rice or Saka next week (rolling a FT this week), then Kudus > Gakpo and possibly Anthony > Sarr or Mbuemo GW12. Also considering Rodon > Timber if I get Rice over Saka. I know, I know, planning too far ahead. Anyway, should I speed up any of these transfers for this week instead of rolling?

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Barring injuries I think it's fine to roll this week.

            I'd also like to do 4 moves and have plenty of funds for everything but it feels like a slow period of play is in order.

            As long as your squad is set up well, you'll be fine.

            Some of the early wildcard squads look a bit weak, especially in midfield.

          2. Captain Mal
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 4 days ago

            A good week to roll, considering A) there are no real stand out fixtures to target and B) it's an EFL cup midweek, so you'll be getting 2 games worth information by rolling this week.

          3. Punned It
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Cheers, chaps!

          4. theshazly
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Bench DCL or ISarr ?

          5. Budweiser
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Who's bigger problem? Porro or Reijnders? 1FT
            Thinking James and Caicedo, but probs not worth a hit

          6. Sid07
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Gykores + kudus + tarkowski to Mateta + Saka + rondon

            1) yes
            2) No

            1. Bobby Digital
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              For free, yes.

          7. TafOnTour1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Thinking of going VVD and Reijnders to Chalobah and Ndiaye. Is this a good move?!

            1. Brosstan
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Yea seems fine. Lots of options to both players but if you like that pair, go for it.

          8. ShaunGoater123
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Which option do you prefer:
            A) VVD & reijnders > achempong / mukiele & mbuemo
            B) roll the transfer

            Current team
            Petrovic
            Senesi / Gabriel / Virgil / gudmundsson
            Saka / semenyo / kudus
            Haaland / Gyokeres / Woltemade

            Dubravka / Munoz / reijnders / KDH

            2 fts, 0.6 itb

          9. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            RLB on Omar Alderete:

            'Omar is under concussion protocols. We are hoping to have him back for the Everton fixture...'

            https://x.com/SunderlandAFC/status/1981337470374396409?t=pQ9tegvaF85UgcrBQ9PHIA&s=19

          10. Konstaapeli
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            What to do here?

            A) VDV + KDH to Cala + King
            B) Do the A

            Cheers.

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              C) do the B

              1. Konstaapeli
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Great shout!

            2. Bobby Digital
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              A

              1. Konstaapeli
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Think that's the play here. Better to go with gut than overthink too much.

          11. ShaunGoater123
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Chelsea fans, what is the likelihood of acheampong retaining his place? Primarily thinking about the wolves and Burnley fixtures would need him for?

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              I don't think he will start ahead of Chalobah/Tosin/Fofana at CB

          12. Gudjohnsen
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Xhaka, Isak to Enzo, Mateta and bench Mateta against Arsenal to play 3-5-2?

            Sanchez
            Saliba, Van De Ven, Gudmundsson
            Saka, Enzo, Kudus, Reijnders, Semenyo (VC)
            Haaland (C), Gyokeres

            Subs: Dubravka, Mateta, Guehi, Cash

          13. jdogg
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Is

            Donnaruma tarkowski reijnders xavi pedro

            To

            Pope keane gakpo enzo woltemade

            Worth using all my 5 free transfers on?x

            1. GreennRed
              • 14 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              No. Would keep Donnaruma.

          14. Ninjaa
            • 15 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Curtently

            Raya Dubravka
            Vvd Senesi Guehi Burn Rodon
            Salah Semenyo Reijnders KDH 4.4m
            Haaland Mateta Pedro

            2fts 0.0m itb
            Was thinking
            A) Salah and Pedro > Saka and Voldemade or
            B) Salah and Rodon > Saka and Gabriel
            C) Anything else

            Thoughts please lads. Cheers..

            1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              B

            2. Bobby Digital
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              B

          15. Brosstan
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Second seems a ton better

          16. Warby84
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Petrovic (Dubravka)
            Gabriel Gudmundsson Timber (Romero Cash)
            Saka Semenyo Reijnders Kudus (Sarr)
            Pedro Haaland Woltemade

            I moved Salah and Marshall to Saka and Woltemade -4..

            Good moves or shall I Free hit?

            1. GreennRed
              • 14 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Roll.

          17. Letsgo!
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Any news on whether foster will start?
            Was thinking to use my bb

          18. z13
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Will Andersen start GW10 vs Wolves at home

              1. Tonyawesome69
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                We don’t have information on the grade/severity of the hammy injury.

            • Amartey Partey
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              I haven't watched much of Chelsea this season, but why is Caicedo scoring so many goals?

              1. Miguel Sanchez
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Shooting more and getting into better positions in and outside the box

              2. The Hunt
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                He's ranked 73rd for xG but only Semenyo and Anthony have scored more goals than him this season. Reading between the lines I would say that he's been a bit of a lucky b@st@rd.

            • C_G
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              is this gtg? 2.7 itb, 0 FTs, no hits taken

              Dubravka

              James Senesi Timber Munoz

              Saka Gakpo Semenyo Caicedo

              Mateta Haaland

              Vicario Guiu Reijnders Hill

            • Disco Stu
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              After Tuesday's outburst, would you continue to hold onto Gyorkeres? Looking at Thiago or Woltemade to free up funds

              1. The Hunt
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Nah, a couple of goals against a Mickey Mouse outfit proves nothing. Guehi, Lacroix and Richards will put his gas back at a peep.

            • Stimps
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Any news on Evanilson and Andersen?

            • Stap
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Have 4 FT, probably BB this week

              Raya / Dubravka
              Gabriel - Senesi - VdV - Chalobah - Mukiele
              Bruno - Semenyo - Ndiaye - Stach - Reijnders
              JP - Haaland - Isak

              How many transfers would you do?
              1) Isak to Mateta (ars) not great fixture -> but would get Mateta otherwise next week)
              2) Reijnders tot Enzo (sun)

              If I do 1 and 2, I will have 1.9 ITB
              3) Stach (whu) to Gakpo (bre) (-0.6). Could also sell Ndiaye
              4) Downgrade VdV (eve) > Hartman (wol)

              What would you do?

              1. GreennRed
                • 14 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                2.

                Any other options beside Enzo?