FPL
29 October 2025 552 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Two weekend goals have caused Bryan Mbeumo (£8.2m) to be the most-bought Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in the run-up to Gameweek 10. By Wednesday afternoon, he’s already reached 750,000 purchases.

However, while he’s ahead of costlier Manchester United teammate Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m) for points, committing to the Cameroon international isn’t a straightforward decision.

Using basic numbers, deeper stats from our Members Area and some additional context, let’s try to determine which midfielder is best.


RECENT FORM

It’s not just Mbeumo’s brace, but also his Gameweek 8 goal at Anfield, which followed an assist against Sunderland. Whereas Fernandes has only one attacking return over the last four Gameweeks.

During this period, Mbeumo dominates his colleague for both goals and points, while both have created the same number of big chances (two).

[GAMEWEEKS
6 TO 9]
FPL POINTSATTEMPTSSHOTS ON
TARGET
BIG
CHANCES
CHANCES
CREATED
xG (DELTA)xGI (DELTA)
FERNANDES14104291.54 (-1.54)2.17 (-1.17)
MBEUMO3286471.05 (+1.95)1.82 (+2.18)

Fernandes’ shots are more about quantity than quality, as Mbeumo makes up for his fewer efforts by having a high accuracy (85.7%).

Yet here we have a case of overachievement versus underachievement when it comes to expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI) tallies.

Despite the worse FPL output from Gameweek 6, Fernandes has still outdone Mbeumo for both. Still, it’s worth remembering that the latter, when at Brentford, had 2024/25’s biggest xG Delta (+7.74), showing a recent history of beating the data.

GOAL THREAT


defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

552 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Am I good to go?

    Petrovic
    Timber, Muñoz, Alderete*
    Saka, Bruno, Mbeumo, Semenyo, Enzo
    Haaland(C), Mateta

    Dubravka, Richards*, Senesi, Obi

  2. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Sarr has started to rise like a rocket, 0.68% / hour. He almost certainly won't rise tonight, but I see zero reason to wait with exact money.

  3. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Would you swap out Kudus for Sarr this week, or roll the FT?

    A) Kudus to Sarr
    B) Roll FT

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      A

  4. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Arsenal with 2 free flowing goals from open play

    Saka this time

    Update the stats/narrative!

    1. #1 Salah Hater
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Both with Gyokeres not on the pitch

      #noticing

  5. F4L
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    triple flick on for that Wolves long throw goal lol 😀

  6. Glasner Ball
    • 13 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    At last, Munoz getting taken of

  7. Rico123
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Does Eze starting tonight make it a worry for him starting at the weekend?

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      No, but it sucks, because less rsst

  8. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Eze or Rice on free hit?

    Or neither and go triple defence?

    1. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      If on FH try and get wind if Martinelli/Trossard starts and go with them.
      Eze start tonight doesnt bode too well for Burnley

  9. Haa-lala-land
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Richarlison is not very good at football anymore

    1. #1 Salah Hater
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 7 days ago

      anymore?

  10. Soyland
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    On WC:

    Last attacking spot:
    A) Sarr + 0,9 itb (have Mateta and Munoz)
    B) woltermade

    1. Soyland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      The case for woltermade is that he will be an easyer upgrade to Isak in gw 12 if he looks ok

      1. NoOneCares
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Isak is an absolute shocking pick. No one serious will pick him.

          1. Soyland
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Not now, but the narrative might change quickly. Round 12 is after the international brake, that gives him and Liverpool some time to get into shape. Fixtures are great from that point.

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Eze or saka on wc?

    3. myteamissheeeeeeeet
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Thoughts on this please? Need to do tonight as KDH is dropping.

      A. KDH to Sarr (CP)
      B. Pedro to Mateta

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        B

      2. #1 Salah Hater
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 7 days ago

        A

      3. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        I think Sarr

    4. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Eze off Trossard on

    5. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Liverpool red card

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Nallo on as a sub then sent off. What a wholloper

    6. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Nallol

    7. Glasner Ball
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Uche coming on

    8. JBG
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Liverpool on fire lately.

      1. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Dumpster fire

        1. JBG
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          XD

    9. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      What are people’s thoughts on Kudus now?

      Thinking either him or Grealish along with JP to Mbeumo and Welbeck (-4)?

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Be also looking at Sarr, but it’s either him or Mbeumo this week as need the money from Pedro.

        Sarr or Mbeumo more important this week?

      2. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Another option might be to actually just go ahead and actually ditch Gakpo!

    10. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Saka & Woltemade non owners re assessing:roll:

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Was set of aiming for Saka this week until last weekend. But I can’t really do it easily for a single hit without getting rid of either Semenyo or Gakpo.

      2. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Saka won't play without Big Joke every week..

      3. FantasyClub
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Nah, a single goal is hardly something to obsess or reassess. At his price you require a return every week or hauls every other

    11. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      I had two transfers, I used 1 already but if I use my wildcard now do I go back to 2 transfers?

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Yep

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 15 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          thanks

      2. F4L
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        if wc'ing you wouldnt gain a ft for this gw, not sure if you're counting that in the 2. transfer would be cancelled. 2 ft for next gw after wc. sorry if i misunderstood

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 15 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          No thats fine, thanks!

    12. F4L
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      delap lmao. sent off, barely been on, 2 yellows

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Not the sharpest tool in the shed.

    13. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Delap Red 😆

      1. Haa-lala-land
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        It comes from Maresca.

        It simply cant be anything else, than the manager tactics/instructions, that his team get so many (he himself got one recently - leading by example!)

    14. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Delap on and just sent off for a second yellow. Why is Chelsea’s disciplinary in the gutter? Club culture can’t be good.

    15. F4L
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      gittens banger. not gonna get any pens today 🙁

    16. Glasner Ball
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Pink goal 🙂

      1. Glasner Ball
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        lol Pino

    17. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      3 nil Palace

      Pino

    18. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      3 nil Palace

      Liverpool slumping

    19. Kaneyonero
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Liverpool are garbage selling all my assets now useless

      1. thegaffer82
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        They have been garbage, but I wouldn’t pay much attention to tonight’s result and performance. That is Liverpool’s reserves and U21 teams

        1. tutankamun
          • 16 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Slot should’ve played a stronger team considering they are desperate for a win.

    20. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Isak switch to Liverpool reaching comical levels now. Karma for the way he treated Newcastle like garbage.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Woltemade tipping away to rub salt further into the wounds as well

      2. Glasner Ball
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Agreed

      3. JBG
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        They deserve each other

    21. thegaffer82
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Liverpool brought on Trent