Spot the Differential
2 January 2026 652 comments
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Our Gameweek 20 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


MARTIN ODEGAARD

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £7.8m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bou | LIV | nfo | MUN | lee

After scoring and providing an assist over the last two Gameweeks, Arsenal’s Martin Odegaard (£7.8m) looks like a great option for the Gunners’ trip to the Vitality Stadium.

The playmaker should certainly be full of confidence coming up against strugglers Bournemouth, having won possession to brilliantly set up Martin Zubimendi (£5.2m) against Aston Villa on Tuesday.

“He needed some consistency and some games. Obviously, he had two times the shoulder injury, then he had a big knee injury, and that takes a little bit of time.

“Now you can see that it’s flowing, that his energy level is back to where it is. He’s taking risks, he’s affecting the game in a great way and I think he was really, really good today again.” – Mikel Arteta on Martin Odegaard in Gameweek 19

Odegaard impressively ranks first among all players for chances created over the last six Gameweeks, with 20.

He is also joint-ninth in his position for goal attempts during the same timeframe (13).

Those underlying stats suggest Odegaard can continue his recent production against Bournemouth, as he comes up against a side that has failed to win since Gameweek 9, conceding 11 goals in their last four matches.

Andoni Iraola’s defence has admittedly performed better at home, but given Arsenal’s attacking output, Odegaard looks like an interesting differential prospect, particularly with Bournemouth conceding so many key passes from the left half-space.

Above: Bournemouth’s chances created conceded heatmap in 2025/26


FERDI KADIOGLU

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: BUR | mci | BOU | ful | EVE

For those Fantasy managers who aren’t afraid to roll the dice, Ferdi Kadioglu (£4.4m) could be a player to back this week as Brighton and Hove Albion entertain Burnley.

The £4.4m full-back provided his first assist of the 2025/26 campaign against West Ham United on Tuesday.

Furthermore, Kadioglu ranks joint-third among all FPL defenders for chances created and joint-10th for shots over the past four Gameweeks.

Set-pieces could prove crucial on Saturday, as Burnley, who have allowed nine goals in their last five matches, have conceded 76 goal attempts from dead-ball situations this season – only Aston Villa are worse off in that respect.

So as Brighton’s main corner-taker, Kadioglu could be set to profit from that weakness.

And with Brighton’s upcoming schedule pretty decent (they sit fifth on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty in Gameweeks 20-28), and considering Kadioglu has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, he could be a nice differential pickup with just 0.3% ownership.

Defensively, Fabian Hurzeler’s troops have kept four clean sheets in their last 10 matches, offering further optimism ahead of Gameweek 20.


MATEUS FERNANDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: wol | NFO | tot | SUN | che

West Ham have endured a difficult season thus far, picking up just 14 points from 19 matches.

However, the 2-2 draw against Brighton on Tuesday may provide the perfect springboard as they prepare for a favourable upcoming schedule.

In their next six matches, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face Wolverhampton Wanderers, Nottingham Forest and Burnley, all of whom are currently ranked 17th or below in the table.

“What I want is to perform, compete and make this point [against Brighton] really valuable. If we achieve a good win there [at Molineux], a good performance, this is what we’re going to prepare.” – Nuno Espirito Santo

Budget midfielder Mateus Fernandes, who costs just £5.5m, has been a key creator for West Ham this season.

He’s created 14 chances since the start of November, the most of any Hammers player.

Furthermore, Fernandes has produced defensive contribution (DefCon) points in five of his last eight starts.

West Ham visit Wolves on Saturday.

Rob Edwards’ side have failed to keep a clean sheet so far this season and have looked particularly vulnerable at Molineux, conceding nine goals across their new manager’s four home games in charge.

Fernandes could act as a decent enabler, then, given West Ham’s favourable upcoming schedule.


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Introducing The Eye Test 2
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  1. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 hours, 26 mins ago

    Which defence is better / worse Newcastle or Villa?

    Thiaw or Cash ?

    1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 hours, 25 mins ago

      I’ve gone for cash mate on Wc

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 hours, 24 mins ago

        That’s on wildcard not the toilet haha

        1. FPL Blow-In
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 hours, 23 mins ago

          Lol

          Yeah trying to decide between the two. Not sold on either defence really but Cash has slightly edged it currently

          1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 hours, 21 mins ago

            3 goals and one assist this season next 3 games are tasty I’d go for him mate

  2. Kiyoshi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 hours, 26 mins ago

    On Wildcard. What Goalies would you consider? Thinking about

    A: Vicario
    B: Pope
    C: Martinez
    D: Sanchez

    1. FDMS All Starz
      • 10 Years
      3 hours, 6 mins ago

      D, plum fixtures coming up

  3. Donny_Rover
    • 10 Years
    3 hours, 25 mins ago

    Many, many fires to fight this week (5 unavailable or flagged players, terrible goalkeepers) so I’ve pulled the plug and WC’d. This is where I am at the moment with £1.1m in the bank and a view to bringing in Chelsea assets in 2-3 weeks’ time (eg Saka placeholder for Palmer).

    Any glaring omissions or players who shouldn’t be there?

    Verbruggen John
    Timber Gabriel Tarkowski Hall Dorgu
    Saka Gordon Cunha Cherki Garner
    Haaland Bowen DCL

    1. Kiyoshi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 hours, 15 mins ago

      I would go Rogers instead of Cunha. Also for me Matheus Nunes is a must in the Wildcard. Otherwise looks very good

      1. Donny_Rover
        • 10 Years
        3 hours, 9 mins ago

        Thanks, I do like Nunes and just last weekend recommended him to my sister in law on her wildcard (very disengaged player!) He could come in for Hall, wary of Pep benching him but at least there’s a decent bench here.

        Also really like Rogers but the team I’m chasing in my ML has him which puts me off; and could potentially transfer Cunha & Gordon for Palmer & Enzo in a few weeks anyway so happy to take the punt on Cunha getting something in the next 2 before ditching.

        1. I have no Wirtz
            2 hours, 39 mins ago

            I understand your ML situation, but wouldn’t it be good to have Rogers instead of Gorden then, and the Cunha punt at the same time?

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 hours, 24 mins ago

      Semenyo > Rogers worth a FT?

      1. Donny_Rover
        • 10 Years
        3 hours, 24 mins ago

        I reckon so unless you’ve got other issues that you need to fix

    3. Pomp and Circumstance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 hours, 22 mins ago

      looking to bring in Gabriel (as so many are); need to raise funds (for doing Calafiori-->Gabriel; need to raise at least 0.4, and it would be with a -4 for 2 transfers)

      not sure what other move to make though; there are several possibilities in different areas
      current squad:
      Sanchez, Dub
      Cala, Keane, Andersen, O'Reilly, Alderete
      Saka, Semenyo, Wilson, Foden, Bruno G.
      Haaland, Ekitike, Thiago

      could move to lower price players any of the following potentially: Sanchez, O'Reilly, Andersen, Semenyo, Ekitike

      what do you think makes most sense? thanks!

      1. LeytonOrient
        • 11 Years
        3 hours, 12 mins ago

        Cala + Thiago to Gab + DCL

    4. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      3 hours, 22 mins ago

      A vdv
      B mukielue

    5. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      3 hours, 19 mins ago

      GVV 2 - 1 Anderson

      Quality darts, this match...

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        3 hours, 14 mins ago

        That's magic darts.

        1. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          3 hours, 13 mins ago

          Great tungsten...

      2. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        3 hours, 12 mins ago

        GVV 3 - 1 Anderson

        Let's go Anderson, time to tune up dude....

        1. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          3 hours, 5 mins ago

          Anderson with a Big Fish, yah beauty...

          1. Jafooli
            • 13 Years
            3 hours, 3 mins ago

            And GVV straight back with another Big Fish, amazing....

            1. NZREDS
              • 12 Years
              2 hours, 58 mins ago

              Crazy set! That was Anderson’s for the taking. The final tomorrow is gonna be immense no matter who goes through

              1. Jafooli
                • 13 Years
                2 hours, 52 mins ago

                Agreed, he lost with a 117 average lol, how is that

                GVV with 68% check out 😮

    6. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 hours, 19 mins ago

      O'Reilly & Wirtz >>
      Gabriel & Bruno G
      YAAAAY
      No
      Bruno or Cherki ?

      1. I have no Wirtz
          2 hours, 34 mins ago

          O'Reilly & Wirtz >> Gabriel & Cherki

      2. MGD
        • 9 Years
        3 hours, 19 mins ago

        Current bench: Rodon**, Esteve**, Guiu

        No backup and have some concerns in Oreilly ect.

        A) Saka + Rodon -> Rogers + Gabriel (-4)
        B) Rodon -> Alderete

        (A would be triple Ars defence with Timber and Raya)

        1. I have no Wirtz
            2 hours, 33 mins ago

            A

        2. Kiyoshi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 hours, 17 mins ago

          On Wildcard, 1 GK and 1 Defender left to chose:

          A: Pope
          B: Martinez
          C: Vicario
          D: Sanchez

          1: Hall
          2: Cash
          3: Van de Ven

          1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • 9 Years
            2 hours, 43 mins ago

            B3
            If you don't want Roefs? In that case I'd say Roefs and Cash

        3. Nightf0x
          • 10 Years
          3 hours, 17 mins ago

          alison (dub)
          cala oriley mukiele clyne (richards)
          gordon foden saka (rice king)
          tiago eki haland

          3fts, itb 0.6, which ?

          a) alison cala oriley king tiago -8 to john gabriel alderete rogers dcl
          b) cala oriley to gabriel obrien
          c) alison cala oriley king -4 to pickford gabriel alderete garner
          d) alison oriley saka king -4 to pickford gabriel rogers garner.

        4. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          3 hours, 17 mins ago

          Would you bench VVD and play HWilson, Dorgu and Thiago? Don’t trust in Pool CS, want to play HWilson, so benching him would sound logical?

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 hours, 11 mins ago

            See my team below I put HWilson and Thiago higher than VVD and them all over Dorgu ... may change my mind tomorrow

            1. Atimis
              • 9 Years
              3 hours, 7 mins ago

              Cheers mate, I see serious headache in your team! Not afraid of cameos for Keane and Rice?
              About Dorgu, essentially I would be counting on attacking return, just seems not right to bench him if he’s playing as a winger…

              1. Magic Zico
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 hours, 2 mins ago

                Those narratives are playing around and around and around the last couple of days in my head 😛 I may toss coin tomorrow

                1. Atimis
                  • 9 Years
                  2 hours, 59 mins ago

                  Yeah, I had enough myself…

        5. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 hours, 15 mins ago

          Do you think its too risky to start both Keane and O'Reilly? Was planning to do VVD to Gabriel but contemplating now to keep Virgil and transfer O'Reilly out for Gabriel

          1. Atimis
            • 9 Years
            3 hours, 12 mins ago

            Yeah, same here, I most likely keeping VVD and moving OR

            1. Jam0sh
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              3 hours ago

              Cheers

        6. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 hours, 12 mins ago

          Bench order sensible here folks? Especially to cover Keane and Rice ...

          Raya
          Gabriel Thiaw Keane*
          Foden Cunha Wilson Stach Rice*
          Haaland Ekitike

          Dub Thiago Virgil Dorgu

          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 11 Years
            3 hours, 8 mins ago

            i would play thiago ahead of stach . gtg nice team

            1. Magic Zico
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 hours, 5 mins ago

              Cheers

        7. DagheMunegu
          • 5 Years
          3 hours, 10 mins ago

          A VVD to Gabriel
          B O'Reilly to Tarkowski
          C Minteh to Grealish

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 hours, 9 mins ago

            Probably A or C but not Grealish

        8. 1justlookin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          3 hours, 10 mins ago

          Obsessed for ages, finally done

          O'Reilly and Rice
          to
          Gabriel and Cherki

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 hours, 9 mins ago

            Nice

        9. FDMS All Starz
          • 10 Years
          3 hours, 10 mins ago

          What would you do here? Thinking maybe O’Reilly to Gabriel?

          Verbruggen
          Timber Keane VDB O’Reilly
          Saka Cunha Foden
          Haaland Ekitike Thiago

          Areola Le Fee Andersen Devenny
          (3FTs & 1.3itb)

        10. F4L
          • 11 Years
          3 hours, 9 mins ago

          you reckon for Rice this GW its either start or 0 mins?

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 hours, 8 mins ago

            Probably 0 mins

            1. F4L
              • 11 Years
              2 hours, 59 mins ago

              fair, cheers. i have good other options so dont wont to risk a sub cameo appearance, think will just bench just in case

        11. Richm
          • 4 Years
          3 hours, 8 mins ago

          Play one
          A Guehi
          B Andersen
          C Mukiele

        12. LeytonOrient
          • 11 Years
          3 hours, 8 mins ago

          Will Gabriel outscore Mukiele by 4 points to justify a hit to bring him in for Calafiori?

          1. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            3 hours, 7 mins ago

            Yes

        13. Tsparkes10
          • 7 Years
          3 hours, 7 mins ago

          VVD to Gabriel worth a hit?

          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 11 Years
            3 hours, 5 mins ago

            no

          2. I have no Wirtz
              2 hours, 23 mins ago

              Gabriel is so good, it actually is hit territory.

          3. Kiyoshi
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 hours, 6 mins ago

            Which 3 to start:

            A: Keane
            B: Gabriel
            C: Matheus N.
            D: Hall

            1. RockLedge
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              3 hours, 5 mins ago

              BCD

          4. dansmith1985
            • 3 Years
            3 hours, 5 mins ago

            Choose one to sell for Gabriel
            A)VVD
            B)OReilly
            C)Hincapie
            D)Guehi

            And choose one other transfer
            1)Tavernier to Garner
            2)Thiago to DCL

            1. Ajax Hamsterdam
              • 11 Years
              3 hours, 1 min ago

              1

          5. RockLedge
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 hours, 1 min ago

            Bench which one?

            - Kayode (eve)
            - Guehi (new)
            - Dorgu (lee)

          6. Yordan Letchkov
            • 9 Years
            3 hours, 1 min ago

            Foden and O’Reilly to Cherki and Gab?

            1. Norco
              • 11 Years
              3 hours ago

              Absolutely

            2. I have no Wirtz
                2 hours, 20 mins ago

                Yes

            3. Norco
              • 11 Years
              3 hours, 1 min ago

              RMWCT:

              Verbruggen / Dubravka
              Gabriel Timber Tarko Cash Alderete
              Saka Rogers BrunoG Cherki Garner
              Haaland Bowen Ekitike

              Wondering is Ekitike a hold on WC over having Cunha?

              If not. Could go Ekitike > DCL and Garner > Cunha instead.

              1. Norco
                • 11 Years
                2 hours, 59 mins ago

                Cunha gives me a spot to downgrade to Rice/Enzo/other mid etc later. Garner would need cash to move up.

            4. Jafooli
              • 13 Years
              3 hours ago

              GVV 4 - 1 Anderson

              Anderson like Long John Silver, in need of another leg...

              1. Jafooli
                • 13 Years
                2 hours, 57 mins ago

                And Anderson averaged 117 in that last set, and lost....

            5. donbagino
              • 5 Years
              2 hours, 59 mins ago

              I need to downgrade to afford Gabriel, so:
              a) Lacroix, Raya --> Gabriel, Verbgruggen/Kelleher
              b) VVD, Thiago ---> Gabriel, DCL
              c) VVD, Cunha -->Gabriel, Gordon

              1. LeytonOrient
                • 11 Years
                2 hours, 55 mins ago

                B for me

              2. TBL
                • 4 Years
                2 hours, 52 mins ago

                c

            6. LeytonOrient
              • 11 Years
              2 hours, 59 mins ago

              Which is best to help me free up Gabriel $

              A. James > Cash/Thiaw/other 5m or under
              B. KDH > L.Miley

              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 11 Years
                2 hours, 58 mins ago

                a

              2. donbagino
                • 5 Years
                2 hours, 57 mins ago

                A (look at my post above, ur advice?)

            7. Ronnies
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 hours, 57 mins ago

              Play one;

              A) Rice
              B) O'Reilly
              C) Gudmundsson

              Cheers.

              1. donbagino
                • 5 Years
                2 hours, 56 mins ago

                B (Rice doubtful)

                1. Ronnies
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  2 hours, 41 mins ago

                  You think O'Reilly starts?